The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate effects on archaic human habitats and species successions
Abstract
It has long been believed that climate shifts during the last 2 million years had a pivotal role in the evolution of our genus Homo 1–3 . However, given the limited number of representative palaeo-climate datasets from regions of anthropological interest, it has remained challenging to quantify this linkage. Here, we use an unprecedented transient Pleistocene coupled general circulation model simulation in combination with an extensive compilation of fossil and archaeological records to study the spatiotemporal habitat suitability for five hominin species over the past 2 million years. We show that astronomically forced changes in temperature, rainfall and terrestrial net primary production had a major impact on the observed distributions of these species. During the Early Pleistocene, hominins settled primarily in environments with weak orbital-scale climate variability. This behaviour changed substantially after the mid-Pleistocene transition, when archaic humans became global wanderers who adapted to a wide range of spatial climatic gradients. Analysis of the simulated hominin habitat overlap from approximately 300–400 thousand years ago further suggests that antiphased climate disruptions in southern Africa and Eurasia contributed to the evolutionary transformation of Homo heidelbergensis populations into Homo sapiens and Neanderthals, respectively. Our robust numerical simulations of climate-induced habitat changes provide a framework to test hypotheses on our human origin.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Climatic variations notoriously impact the habitats of hominins46,47”
From Javanese homo erectus on the move in SE asia circa 1.8 ma (2022) · cites this paper as [47]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
The complete genome sequence of a Neanderthal from the Altai Mountains
Prüfer, K., Racimo, F., Patterson, N., Jay, F., Sankararaman, S., Sawyer, S., Heinze, A., Renaud, G., Sudmant, P. H., de Filippo, C., et al. (2014) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature12886 · Cited by 2,254
New fossils from Jebel Irhoud, Morocco and the pan-African origin of Homo sapiens.
Hublin, J.-J., Ben-Ncer, A., Bailey, S. E., Freidline, S. E., Neubauer, S., Skinner, M. M., Bergmann, I., Le Cabec, A., Benazzi, S., Harvati, K., et al. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature22336 · Cited by 1,347
Nuclear DNA sequences from the Middle Pleistocene Sima de los Huesos hominins
Meyer, M., Arsuaga, J.-L., de Filippo, C., Nagel, S., Aximu-Petri, A., Nickel, B., Martínez, I., Gracia, A., de Castro, J. M. B., Carbonell, E., et al. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature17405 · Cited by 584
A mitochondrial genome sequence of a hominin from Sima de los Huesos
Meyer, M., Fu, Q., Aximu-Petri, A., Glocke, I., Nickel, B., Arsuaga, J.-L., Martínez, I., Gracia, A., de Castro, J. M. B., Carbonell, E., et al. (2014) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature12788 · Cited by 534
Multiple Deeply Divergent Denisovan Ancestries in Papuans
Jacobs, G. S., Hudjashov, G., Saag, L., Kusuma, P., Darusallam, C. C., Lawson, D. J., Mondal, M., Pagani, L., Ricaut, F.-X., Stoneking, M., et al. (2019) · Cell · doi:10.1016/j.cell.2019.02.035 · Cited by 346
Dynamics of Green Sahara Periods and Their Role in Hominin Evolution
Larrasoaña, J. C., Roberts, A. P., & Rohling, E. J. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0076514 · Cited by 334
Direct dating of Florisbad hominid
Grün, R., Brink, J. S., Spooner, N. A., Taylor, L., Stringer, C. B., Franciscus, R. G., & Murray, A. S. (1996) · Nature · doi:10.1038/382500a0 · Cited by 270
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 58
- deMenocal, P. B. Climate and human evolution. Science 331, 540–542 (2011). · DOI
- Potts, R. Variability selection in hominid evolution. Evol. Anthropol. 7, 81–96 (1998). · DOI
- Levin, N. E., Quade, J., Simpson, S. W., Semaw, S. & Rogers, M. Isotopic evidence for Plio–Pleistocene environmental change at Gona, Ethiopia. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 219, 93–110 (2004). · DOI
- Dart, R. A. Australopithecus africanus: the man–ape of South Africa. Nature 115, 195–199 (1925). · DOI
- Dominguez-Rodrigo, M. Is the “savanna hypothesis” a dead concept for explaining the emergence of the earliest hominins? Curr. Anthropol. 55, 59–81 (2014). · DOI
- Timmermann, A. & Friedrich, T. Late Pleistocene climate drivers of early human migration. Nature 538, 92–95 (2016). · DOI
- Breeze, P. S. et al. Palaeohydrological corridors for hominin dispersals in the Middle East similar to 250–70,000 years ago. Quatern. Sci. Rev. 144, 155–185 (2016). · DOI · Paper page
- Beyer, R. M., Krapp, M., Eriksson, A. & Manica, A. Climatic windows for human migration out of Africa in the past 300,000 years. Nat. Commun. 12, 4889 (2021). · DOI
- Groucutt, H. S. et al. Multiple hominin dispersals into southwest Asia over the past 400,000 years. Nature 597, 376–380 (2021). · DOI
- Pagani, L. et al. Genomic analyses inform on migration events during the peopling of Eurasia. Nature 538, 238–242 (2016). · DOI
- Potts, R. et al. Increased ecological resource variability during a critical transition in hominin evolution. Sci. Adv. 6, eabc8975 (2020). · DOI
- Potts, R. & Faith, J. T. Alternating high and low climate variability: the context of natural selection and speciation in Plio–Pleistocene hominin evolution. J. Hum. Evol. 87, 5–20 (2015). · DOI
- Tigchelaar, M. & Timmermann, A. Mechanisms rectifying the annual mean response of tropical Atlantic rainfall to precessional forcing. Clim. Dynam. 47, 271–293 (2016). · DOI
- Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Calov, R. & Brovkin, V. Mid-Pleistocene transition in glacial cycles explained by declining CO2 and regolith removal. Sci. Adv. 5, eaav7337 (2019). · DOI
- Berger, A. Long-term variations of caloric insolation resulting from the Earth’s orbital elements. Quatern. Res. 9, 139–167 (1978). · DOI · Paper page
- Lorenz, S. J. & Lohmann, G. Acceleration technique for Milankovitch type forcing in a coupled atmosphere–ocean circulation model: method and application for the Holocene. Clim. Dynam. 23, 727–743 (2004). · DOI
- Friedrich, T., Timmermann, A., Tigchelaar, M., Timm, O. E. & Ganopolski, A. Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future greenhouse warming. Sci. Adv. 2, e1501923 (2016). · DOI
- Friedrich, T. & Timmermann, A. Using late Pleistocene sea surface temperature reconstructions to constrain future greenhouse warming. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 530, 115911 (2020). · DOI
- Tierney, J. E. et al. Glacial cooling and climate sensitivity revisited. Nature 584, 569–573 (2020). · DOI · Paper page
- Raia, P., Mondanaro, A., Melchionna, M., Di Febbraro, M. & Diniz-Filho, J. A. F. Past extinctions of Homo species coincided with increased vulnerability to climatic change. One Earth 3, 1–11 (2020). · DOI
- Mondanaro, A. et al. A major change in rate of climate niche envelope evolution during hominid history. iScience 23, 101693 (2020). · DOI
- Etherington, T. R. Mahalanobis distances and ecological niche modelling: correcting a chi-squared probability error. PeerJ 7, e6678 (2019). · DOI
- Farber, O. & Kadmon, R. Assessment of alternative approaches for bioclimatic modeling with special emphasis on the Mahalanobis distance. Ecol. Model. 160, 115–130 (2003). · DOI
- Antón, S. Natural history of Homo erectus. Am. J. Phys. Anthropol. S37, 126–170 (2003). · DOI
- Kaboth-Bahr, S. et al. Paleo-ENSO influence on African environments and early modern humans. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 118, e2018277118 (2021). · DOI
- Santonja, M., Perez-Gonzalez, A., Panera, J., Rubio-Jara, S. & Mendez-Quintas, E. The coexistence of Acheulean and Ancient Middle Palaeolithic techno-complexes in the Middle Pleistocene of the Iberian Peninsula. Quatern. Int. 411, 367–377 (2016). · DOI
- Arsuaga, J. L. et al. Neandertal roots: cranial and chronological evidence from Sima de los Huesos. Science 344, 1358–1363 (2014). · DOI · Paper page
- Backwell, L. R. et al. New excavations at Border Cave, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. J. Field Archaeol. 43, 417–436 (2018). · DOI
- Porat, N. et al. New radiometric ages for the Fauresmith industry from Kathu Pan, southern Africa: implications for the Earlier to Middle Stone Age transition. J. Archaeol. Sci. 37, 269–283 (2010). · DOI
- Chan, E. K. F. et al. Human origins in a southern African palaeo-wetland and first migrations. Nature 575, 185–189 (2019). · DOI · Paper page
- Schlebusch, C. M. et al. Khoe-San genomes reveal unique variation and confirm the deepest population divergence in Homo sapiens. Mol. Biol. Evol. 37, 2944–2954 (2020). · DOI
- Foley, R. A. Mosaic evolution and the pattern of transitions in the hominin lineage. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B 371, 20150244 (2016). · DOI
- Amos, W. Correlated and geographically predictable Neanderthal and Denisovan legacies are difficult to reconcile with a simple model based on inter-breeding. R. Soc. Open Sci. 8, 201229 (2021). · DOI
- Slon, V. et al. The genome of the offspring of a Neanderthal mother and a Denisovan father. Nature 561, 113–116 (2018). · DOI · Paper page
- Shultz, S. & Maslin, M. Early human speciation, brain expansion and dispersal influenced by African climate pulses. PLoS ONE 8, e76750 (2013). · DOI
- Scerri, E. M. L. et al. Did our species evolve in subdivided populations across Africa, and why does it matter? Trends Ecol. Evol. 33, 582–594 (2018). · DOI
- Holt, R. D. Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: ecological and evolutionary perspectives. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 19659–19665 (2009). · DOI
- Hua, X. & Wiens, J. J. How does climate influence speciation? Am. Nat. 182, 1–12 (2013). · DOI
- Meehl, G. A. et al. Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models. Sci. Adv. 6, eaba1981 (2020). · DOI · Paper page
- Masson-Delmotte, V. et al. (eds) IPCC, 2021: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge University Press, in the press).
- Ganopolski, A., Calov, R. & Claussen, M. Simulation of the last glacial cycle with a coupled climate ice-sheet model of intermediate complexity. Clim. Past 6, 229–244 (2010). · DOI
- Timmermann, A. et al. Modeling obliquity and CO2 effects on Southern Hemisphere climate during the past 408 ka. J. Clim. 27, 1863–1875 (2014). · DOI
- Ganopolski, A. & Rahmstorf, S. Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model. Nature 409, 153–158 (2001). · DOI
- Friedrich, T. et al. The mechanism behind internally generated centennial-to-millennial scale climate variability in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. Geosci. Model Dev. 3, 377–389 (2010). · DOI
- Vettoretti, G. & Peltier, W. R. Fast physics and slow physics in the nonlinear Dansgaard–Oeschger relaxation oscillation. J. Clim. 31, 3423–3449 (2018). · DOI
- Brovkin, V., Ganopolski, A. & Svirezhev, Y. A continuous climate-vegetation classification for use in climate–biosphere studies. Ecol. Model. 101, 251–261 (1997). · DOI
- Del Grosso, S. et al. Global potential net primary production predicted from vegetation class, precipitation, and temperature. Ecology 89, 2117–2126 (2008). · DOI
- Ainsworth, E. A. & Rogers, A. The response of photosynthesis and stomatal conductance to rising CO2: mechanisms and environmental interactions. Plant Cell Environ. 30, 258–270 (2007). · DOI
- Profico, A. et al. Filling the gap. Human cranial remains from Gombore II (Melka Kunture, Ethiopia; ca. 850 ka) and the origin of Homo heidelbergensis. J. Anthropol. Sci. 94, 1–24 (2016).
- Meignen, L. in The Lower and Middle Palaeolithic in the Middle East and Neighbouring Regions (eds Le Tensorer, J. M. et al.) 85–100 (University of Liège Press, 2011).
- Krajcarz, M. T. et al. Towards a chronology of the Jerzmanowician—a new series of radiocarbon dates from Nietoperzowa Cave (Poland). Archaeometry 60, 383–401 (2018). · DOI
- de la Torre, I. et al. New excavations in the MNK Skull site, and the last appearance of the Oldowan and Homo habilis at Olduvai Gorge, Tanzania. J. Anthropol. Archaeol. 61, 101255 (2021). · DOI
- Herbert, T. D., Peterson, L. C., Lawrence, K. T. & Liu, Z. H. Tropical ocean temperatures over the past 3.5 million years. Science 328, 1530–1534 (2010). · DOI
- Clemens, S. C., Prell, W. L., Sun, Y. B., Liu, Z. Y. & Chen, G. S. Southern Hemisphere forcing of Pliocene δ18O and the evolution of Indo–Asian monsoons. Paleoceanography 23, PA4210 (2008). · DOI
- Lyons, R. P. et al. Continuous 1.3-million-year record of East African hydroclimate, and implications for patterns of evolution and biodiversity. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 112, 15568–15573 (2015). · DOI
- Jouzel, J. et al. Orbital and millennial Antarctic climate variability over the past 800,000 years. Science 317, 793–796 (2007). · DOI
- Tiedemann, R., Sarnthein, M. & Shackleton, N. J. Astronomic timescale for the Pliocene Atlantic δ18O and dust flux records of Ocean Drilling Program Site-659. Paleoceanography 9, 619–638 (1994). · DOI
- DeMenocal, P. B. African climate change and faunal evolution during the Pliocene–Pleistocene. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 220, 3–24 (2004). · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Javanese homo erectus on the move in SE asia circa 1.8 ma
Husson, L., Salles, T., Lebatard, A.-E., Zerathe, S., Braucher, R., Noerwidi, S., Aribowo, S., Mallard, C., Carcaillet, J., Natawidjaja, D. H., et al. (2022) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-022-23206-9 · Cited by 28
Metadata
- Authors
- Timmermann, A., Yun, K.-S., Raia, P., Ruan, J., Mondanaro, A., Zeller, E., Zollikofer, C., Ponce de León, M., Lemmon, D., Willeit, M., & Ganopolski, A.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2022-04-13
- Volume
- 604
- Issue
- 7906
- Pages
- 495-501
- ISSN
- 0028-0836
- 1476-4687
- PMC
- PMC9021022
- Cited by
- 152
- References
- 7
- Language
- en
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review