The DOI matches its Crossref record; 28 of the 28 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Pathogen spillover driven by rapid changes in bat ecology
Open accessAbstract
During recent decades, pathogens that originated in bats have become an increasing public health concern. A major challenge is to identify how those pathogens spill over into human populations to generate a pandemic threat 1. Many correlational studies associate spillover with changes in land use or other anthropogenic stressors 2,3, although the mechanisms underlying the observed correlations have not been identified 4. One limitation is the lack of spatially and temporally explicit data on multiple spillovers, and on the connections among spillovers, reservoir host ecology and behaviour and viral dynamics. We present 25 years of data on land-use change, bat behaviour and spillover of Hendra virus from Pteropodid bats to horses in subtropical Australia. These data show that bats are responding to environmental change by persistently adopting behaviours that were previously transient responses to nutritional stress. Interactions between land-use change and climate now lead to persistent bat residency in agricultural areas, where periodic food shortages drive clusters of spillovers. Pulses of winter flowering of trees in remnant forests appeared to prevent spillover. We developed integrative Bayesian network models based on these phenomena that accurately predicted the presence or absence of clusters of spillovers in each of the 25 years. Our long-term study identifies the mechanistic connections between habitat loss, climate and increased spillover risk. It provides a framework for examining causes of bat virus spillover and for developing ecological countermeasures to prevent pandemics.
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Citations
Cites
Global trends in emerging infectious diseases
Jones, K. E., Patel, N. G., Levy, M. A., Storeygard, A., Balk, D., Gittleman, J. L., & Daszak, P. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06536 · Cited by 8,338
Pathways to zoonotic spillover
Plowright, R. K., Parrish, C. R., McCallum, H., Hudson, P. J., Ko, A. I., Graham, A. L., & Lloyd-Smith, J. O. (2017) · Nature Reviews Microbiology · doi:10.1038/nrmicro.2017.45 · Cited by 1,244
Self-citationBehavioral responses to changing environments
Wong, B. B. M., & Candolin, U. (2015) · Behavioral Ecology · doi:10.1093/beheco/aru183 · Cited by 1,065
Zoonotic host diversity increases in human-dominated ecosystems
Gibb, R., Redding, D. W., Chin, K. Q., Donnelly, C. A., Blackburn, T. M., Newbold, T., & Jones, K. E. (2020) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2562-8 · Cited by 880
Bat-borne virus diversity, spillover and emergence
Letko, M., Seifert, S. N., Olival, K. J., Plowright, R. K., & Munster, V. J. (2020) · Nature Reviews Microbiology · doi:10.1038/s41579-020-0394-z · Cited by 553
Self-citationEcological dynamics of emerging bat virus spillover
Plowright, R. K., Eby, P., Hudson, P. J., Smith, I. L., Westcott, D., Bryden, W. L., Middleton, D., Reid, P. A., McFarlane, R. A., Martin, G., et al. (2015) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2014.2124 · Cited by 534
Self-citationAnthropogenic Land Use Change and Infectious Diseases: A Review of the Evidence
Gottdenker, N. L., Streicker, D. G., Faust, C. L., & Carroll, C. R. (2014) · EcoHealth · doi:10.1007/s10393-014-0941-z · Cited by 498
Halpin, K., Hyatt, A. D., Fogarty, R., Middleton, D., Bingham, J., Epstein, J. H., Rahman, S. A., Hughes, T., Smith, C., Field, H. E., et al. (2011) · The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · doi:10.4269/ajtmh.2011.10-0567 · Cited by 451
Land use-induced spillover: a call to action to safeguard environmental, animal, and human health
Plowright, R. K., Reaser, J. K., Locke, H., Woodley, S. J., Patz, J. A., Becker, D. J., Oppler, G., Hudson, P. J., & Tabor, G. M. (2021) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(21)00031-0 · Cited by 426
Self-citationPlowright, R. K., Field, H. E., Smith, C., Divljan, A., Palmer, C., Tabor, G., Daszak, P., & Foley, J. E. (2008) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2007.1260 · Cited by 303
Self-citation
Cited by
Tan, C. C. S., Trew, J., Peacock, T. P., Mok, K. Y., Hart, C., Lau, K., Ni, D., Orme, C. D. L., Ransome, E., Pearse, W. D., et al. (2023) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-023-38717-w · Cited by 34
(2023) · doi:10.1101/2023.01.17.524183 · Cited by 4
(2026) · doi:10.1038/s41564-025-02254-7 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Eby, P., Peel, A. J., Hoegh, A., Madden, W., Giles, J. R., Hudson, P. J., & Plowright, R. K.
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2022-11-16
- Volume
- 613
- Issue
- 7943
- Pages
- 340-344
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W4309244224
- Cited by
- 283
- References
- 28
- FWCI
- 44.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- Eby, P., Peel, A. J., Hoegh, A., Madden, W., Giles, J. R., Hudson, P. J., & Plowright, R. K. (2023). Pathogen spillover driven by rapid changes in bat ecology. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05506-2
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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