Annual indices of Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus) larvae in the Gulf of Mexico developed using delta-lognormal and multivariate models
Open accessAbstract
Fishery independent indices of spawning biomass of Atlantic bluefin tuna in western North Atlantic Ocean are presented which utilize National Marine Fisheries Service ichthyoplankton survey data collected from 1977 through 2007 in the Gulf of Mexico. Indices were developed using similarly standardized data from which previous indices were developed (i.e. abundance of larvae with a first daily otolith increment formed per 100 m2 of water sampled with bongo gear). Indices were also developed for the first time from standardized data collected with neuston gear [i.e. abundance of 5-mm larvae (i.e. seven-day-old larvae) per 10 minute tow]. Indices of larval abundance were developed using delta-lognormal models, including following covariates: time of day, time of month, area sampled and year. Due to the large frequency of zero catches during ichthyoplankton surveys, a zero-inflated delta-lognormal approach was also used to develop indices. Finally, a multivariate delta-lognormal approach was employed to develop indices of annual abundance based on both bongo and neuston catches. The results of these approaches were compared with one another and with other indices of larval abundance previously developed for the Gulf of Mexico. Residual analyses indicated that abundance indices of Atlantic bluefin tuna larvae were more appropriately developed from bongo-collected data through the zero-inflated delta-lognormal approach than other data sets and modeling approaches. Also, when modeling bongo-collected data with the zero-inflated delta-lognormal approach, the index values increased, indicating some correction for zero-inflation, and their variability decreased as compared to indices developed with the delta-lognormal approach.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Only samples conducted during May within the standard grid are used in the bluefin tuna larval index, which tunes estimates of spawning stock biomass for the western Atlantic population.
“Only samples conducted during May, within the standard grid, are used in the bluefin tuna larval index, which tunes estimates of spawning stock biomass for the western Atlantic population (Ingram et al. 2010).”
From A comparison of sampling methods for larvae of medium and large epipelagic fish species during spring SEAMAP ichthyoplankton surveys in the Gulf of Mexico (2014) · cites this paper as Ingram et al. 2010
The Methodology (p. not available) says samples from April 20 through May 31 were used to index larval abundance, contrary to the claim that only May samples were used. It describes a usual sampling grid and a defined survey area, but does not establish a restriction to samples within a “standard grid.” The Discussion (p. not available) confirms that the larval index was used in a stock assessment model as an indicator of spawning stock biomass. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe annual index of larval abundance for the western population of Atlantic bluefin tuna is the only fishery-independent data used in the international management of western Atlantic bluefin tuna by ICCAT.
“This index is the only fishery-independent data used in the international management of western Atlantic bluefin tuna, by the International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT; Ingram et al. 2010).”
From A comparison of sampling methods for larvae of medium and large epipelagic fish species during spring SEAMAP ichthyoplankton surveys in the Gulf of Mexico (2014) · cites this paper as Ingram et al. 2010
The Introduction (page not available in our copy) identifies the larval-abundance index as fishery-independent and says most indices used in western Atlantic bluefin tuna assessments were fishery-dependent. The Discussion (page not available) says a larval index was used in the 2008 stock assessment model. Neither passage establishes that it was the only fishery-independent data used in ICCAT management. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Nonparametrics: Statistical Methods Based on Ranks
Mergenthaler, M. J., & Lehmann, E. L. (1979) · Technometrics · doi:10.2307/1268531 · Cited by 3,353 · see citing works
Evaluating resource selection functions
Boyce, M. S., Vernier, P. R., Nielsen, S. E., & Schmiegelow, F. K. A. (2002) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/s0304-3800(02)00200-4 · Cited by 2,580 · see citing works
Zero tolerance ecology: improving ecological inference by modelling the source of zero observations
Martin, T. G., Wintle, B. A., Rhodes, J. R., Kuhnert, P., Field, S. A., Low‐Choy, S., Tyre, A. J., & Possingham, H. P. (2005) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00826.x · Cited by 939 · see citing works
Zero‐Inflated Poisson and Binomial Regression with Random Effects: A Case Study
Hall, D. B. (2000) · Biometrics · doi:10.1111/j.0006-341x.2000.01030.x · Cited by 918 · see citing works
IMPROVING PRECISION AND REDUCING BIAS IN BIOLOGICAL SURVEYS: ESTIMATING FALSE‐NEGATIVE ERROR RATES
Tyre, A. J., Tenhumberg, B., Field, S. A., Niejalke, D. P., Parris, K. M., & Possingham, H. P. (2003) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/02-5078 · Cited by 804 · see citing works
McPherson, J. M., Jetz, W., & Rogers, D. J. (2004) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.0021-8901.2004.00943.x · Cited by 547 · see citing works
Indices of Relative Abundance from Fish Spotter Data based on Delta-Lognornial Models
Lo, N. C. H., Jacobson, L. D., & Squire, J. L. (1992) · Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences · doi:10.1139/f92-278 · Cited by 372 · see citing works
Efficient Estimators of Abundance, for Fish and Plankton Surveys
Pennington, M. (1983) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2530830 · Cited by 350 · see citing works
Life History and Stock Structure of Atlantic Bluefin Tuna (<i>Thunnus thynnus</i>)
Rooker, J. R., Alvarado Bremer, J. R., Block, B. A., Dewar, H., de Metrio, G., Corriero, A., Kraus, R. T., Prince, E. D., Rodríguez-Marín, E., & Secor, D. H. (2007) · Reviews in Fisheries Science · doi:10.1080/10641260701484135 · Cited by 239 · see citing works
Modeling shark bycatch: The zero-inflated negative binomial regression model with smoothing
Minami, M., Lennert‐Cody, C. E., Gao, W., & Román, M. (2006) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2006.10.019 · Cited by 230 · see citing works
Using between‐model comparisons to fine‐tune linear models of species ranges
Cumming, G. S. (2000) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.2000.00408.x · Cited by 136 · see citing works
Zero-inflated proportion data models applied to a biological control assay
Vieira, A. M. C., Hinde, J., & Demétrio, C. G. B. (2000) · Journal of Applied Statistics · doi:10.1080/02664760021673 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Coull, B. A., & Agresti, A. (2000) · Biometrics · doi:10.1111/j.0006-341x.2000.00073.x · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 14 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Murphy G.I., 1990, A review of Atlantic bluefin tuna larval surveys. ICCAT. Coll. Vol. Sci. Pap. 32, 262-269.
- Richards W.J., 1990, Results of a review of the U.S. bluefin tuna larval assessment with a brief response. ICCAT. Coll. Vol. Sci. Pap. 32, 240-247.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Varying mesoscale structures influence larval fish distribution in the northern Gulf of Mexico
Lindo-Atichati, D., Bringas, F., Goni, G., Muhling, B., Muller-Karger, F., & Habtes, S. (2012) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps09860 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Self-citationReglero, P., Tittensor, D., Álvarez-Berastegui, D., Aparicio-González, A., & Worm, B. (2014) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps10666 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
Rooker, J. R., Simms, J. R., Wells, R. J. D., Holt, S. A., Holt, G. J., Graves, J. E., & Furey, N. B. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0034180 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
MUHLING, B. A., LAMKIN, J. T., & ROFFER, M. A. (2010) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2419.2010.00562.x · Cited by 83 · see citing works
Self-citationReproduction and larval biology in tunas, and the importance of restricted area spawning grounds
Muhling, B. A., Lamkin, J. T., Alemany, F., García, A., Farley, J., Ingram, G. W., Berastegui, D. A., Reglero, P., & Carrion, R. L. (2017) · Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries · doi:10.1007/s11160-017-9471-4 · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Self-citationMuhling, B., Reglero, P., Ciannelli, L., Alvarez-Berastegui, D., Alemany, F., Lamkin, J., & Roffer, M. (2013) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps10397 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Self-citationFischer, J. L., Pritt, J. J., Roseman, E. F., Prichard, C. G., Craig, J. M., Kennedy, G. W., & Manny, B. A. (2018) · Transactions of the American Fisheries Society · doi:10.1002/tafs.10016 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Habtes, S., Muller‐Karger, F. E., Roffer, M. A., Lamkin, J. T., & Muhling, B. A. (2014) · Limnology and Oceanography: Methods · doi:10.4319/lom.2014.12.86 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Self-citationDomingues, R. M., Goni, G. J., Bringas, F. G., Muhling, B. A., Lindo‐Atichati, D., & Walter, J. F. (2016) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.12152 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Self-citationAbundance and habitat associations of tuna larvae in the surface water of the Gulf of Mexico
Cornic, M., Smith, B. L., Kitchens, L. L., Bremer, J. R. A., & Rooker, J. R. (2017) · Hydrobiologia · doi:10.1007/s10750-017-3330-0 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Malca, E., Muhling, B., Franks, J., García, A., Tilley, J., Gerard, T., Ingram, W., & Lamkin, J. T. (2017) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2017.01.019 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Use of Early Life Stages in Stock Identification Studies
Hare, J., & Richardson, D. E. (2014) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-397003-9.00015-1 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Puncher, G. N., Arrizabalaga, H., Alemany, F., Cariani, A., Oray, I., Karakulak, F., Basilone, G., Cuttitta, A., Mazzola, S., & Tinti, F. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0130407 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Ingram, G. W., Álvarez‐Berastegui, D., Reglero, P., Balbín, R., Garcı́a, A., & Alemany, F. (2017) · Deep Sea Research Part II Topical Studies in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2017.03.012 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Froeschke, J. T., & Froeschke, B. F. (2016) · Marine and Coastal Fisheries · doi:10.1080/19425120.2015.1079577 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Misidentification of bluefin tuna larvae: a call for caution and taxonomic reform
Puncher, G. N., Alemany, F., Arrizabalaga, H., Cariani, A., & Tinti, F. (2015) · Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries · doi:10.1007/s11160-015-9390-1 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Hernández, C. M., Richardson, D. E., Rypina, I. I., Chen, K., Marancik, K. E., Shulzitski, K., & Llopiz, J. K. (2021) · Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences · doi:10.1139/cjfas-2020-0444 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Pritt, J. J., DuFour, M. R., Mayer, C. M., Roseman, E. F., & DeBruyne, R. L. (2014) · Transactions of the American Fisheries Society · doi:10.1080/00028487.2014.911204 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Impacts of Climate Change on Pelagic Fish and Fisheries
Muhling, B. A., Lindegren, M., Clausen, L. W., Hobday, A. J., & Lehodey, P. (2017) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781119154051.ch23 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Self-citationSeasonality and Ontogenetic Habitat Partitioning of Cownose Rays in the Northern Gulf of Mexico
Ajemian, M. J., & Powers, S. P. (2015) · Estuaries and Coasts · doi:10.1007/s12237-015-0052-2 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Powers, S. P. (2012) · AquaDocs (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization) · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Implications of alternative spawning for bluefin tuna remain unclear
Walter, J. F., Porch, C. E., Lauretta, M. V., Cass‐Calay, S. L., & Brown, C. A. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1605962113 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Malca, E., Shropshire, T. A., Landry, M. R., Quintanilla-Hervás, J. M., Laiz‐Carrión, R., Shiroza, A., Stukel, M. R., Lamkin, J. T., Gerard, T., & Swalethorp, R. (2022) · Journal of Plankton Research · doi:10.1093/plankt/fbac024 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Self-citationRecruitment dynamics of a migratory fish in a semiarid river system
Silva, F. D. O., Neto, F. R. D. A., Hermes-Silva, S., da Silva, J. D. O., Zaniboni‐Filho, E., Prado, I. G., Peressin, A., & Pelicice, F. M. (2020) · Inland Waters · doi:10.1080/20442041.2020.1805977 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Kolody, D. S., Eveson, J. P., Preece, A. L., Davies, C. R., & Hillary, R. M. (2019) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2018.11.031 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
García‐Fernández, C., Suca, J. J., Llopiz, J. K., Álvarez, P., Domínguez‐Petit, R., & Saborido‐Rey, F. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.696246 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Malca, E., Quintanilla, J., Gerard, T., Alemany, F., Sutton, T. T., García, A., Lamkin, J., & Laiz-Carrión, R. (2023) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1233249 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Self-citationLutcavage, M. E., Galuardi, B., & Lam, T. C. H. (2013) · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Álvarez‐Berastegui, D., Saber, S., Ingram, G. W., Díaz‐Barroso, L., Reglero, P., Macías, D., García‐Barcelona, S., de Urbina, J. M. O., Tintoré, J., & Alemany, F. (2018) · Fisheries Research · doi:10.1016/j.fishres.2018.08.014 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Habitat Use and Fishery Dynamics of a Heavily Exploited Coastal Migrant, Spanish Mackerel
Schrandt, M. N., Powers, S. P., & Mareska, J. F. (2015) · North American Journal of Fisheries Management · doi:10.1080/02755947.2015.1009659 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Cornic, M., & Rooker, J. (2021) · Journal of Marine Systems · doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2021.103524 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Aalto, E. A., Ferretti, F., Lauretta, M. V., Walter, J. F., Stokesbury, M. J. W., Schallert, R. J., & Block, B. A. (2021) · Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences · doi:10.1139/cjfas-2019-0445 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Yosboonruang, N., Niwitpong, S., & Niwitpong, S. (2021) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.11651 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Cruz‐Castán, R., Saber, S., Macías, D., Gómez-Vives, M. J., Galindo-Cortés, G., Curiel-Ramı́rez, S., & Meiners‐Mandujano, C. (2019) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.7187 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Tran, B., Barton, A. D., Muhling, B. A., Semmens, B. X., Erisman, B., Craig, M. T., Jiménez‐Rosenberg, S. P. A., Aceves‐Medina, G., & Thompson, A. R. (2025) · Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences · doi:10.1139/cjfas-2024-0151 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Self-citationCzaja, R. E., Lestrade, O., Zapfe, G. A., Malca, E., & Muhling, B. A. (2025) · Ecography · doi:10.1002/ecog.07965 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Self-citationYosboonruang, N., Niwitpong, S., & Niwitpong, S. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0265875 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Biology of four sympatric sticklebacks in Cobscook Bay, Maine, a boreal, macrotidal bay
McCleave, J. D., Zydlewski, G. B., & Vieser, J. D. (2018) · Environmental Biology of Fishes · doi:10.1007/s10641-018-0791-6 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Quintanilla-Hervás, J. M., Tanaka, S., Borrego‐Santos, R., Malca, E., Laiz‐Carrión, R., Robert, D., & Takasuka, A. (2025) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.70018 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Richardson, D. E., Marancik, K. E., Adamus, M., Broughton, E. A., Cowen, R. K., Gerard, T., Hernández, C. M., Hoey, J., Llopiz, J., Lutcavage, M., et al. (2026) · Progress in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2026.103687
ANNUAL INDICES OF SKIPJACK TUNA (KATSUWONUS PELAMIS) LARVAE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO (1982-2011)
Walter, G. G. (2013) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
ANNUAL INDICES OF BLUEFIN TUNA (THUNNUS THYNNUS) SPAWNING BIOMASS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO (1977-2011)
Ingram, G. W. (2013) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Age and Growth of Larval Atlantic Bluefin Tuna, Thunnus Thynnus from The Gulf of Mexico.
Malca, E. (2014) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Odom, A. R. (2015) · Aquila Digital Community (University of Southern Mississippi) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Fish Migration as an Ecosystem Linkage between Lake Erie and its Tributaries
Pritt, J. J. (2014) · OhioLink ETD Center (Ohio Library and Information Network)
Schrandt, M. N., Gregalis, K. C., & Powers, S. P. (2016) · Transactions of the American Fisheries Society · doi:10.1080/00028487.2016.1223753
Garcı́a, A., & Lamkin, J. T. (2014)
Self-citationPower and precision of invasive carp ichthyoplankton sampling along an invasion front
Preheim, A. E., & Weber, M. J. (2025) · North American Journal of Fisheries Management · doi:10.1093/najfmt/vqaf101
Armel, B. Y. D. (2020) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/c4299482z9e8dz404bz9d9ezfb9f0d48785d
Mnich, A., Zavell, M. D., Muhling, B. A., Hernández, C. M., & Cadrin, S. X. (2026) · Integrative and Comparative Biology · doi:10.1093/icb/icag041
Self-citation
- Authors
- Ingram Jr., G. W., Richards, W. J., Lamkin, J. T., & Muhling, B.
- Affiliations
- NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service Southeast Fisheries Science Center (US)
- ORCID
- Muhling, Barbara
- Venue
- Aquatic Living Resources
- Publisher
- EDP Sciences
- Published
- 2010-01
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 35-47
- ISSN
- 0990-7440 (ISSN-L)
- 1765-2952
- OpenAlex
- W2148809701
- Cited by
- 54
- References
- 14
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 2.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Aquatic Living Resources (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Fish Biology and Ecology Studies
- Keywords
- Thunnus thynnus, spawning stock biomass, ichthyoplankton surveys, bongo net, Gulf of Mexico, western North Atlantic, fish larvae
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review