Cited by 58Marine and fisheries researchOceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesIchthyology and Marine Biology

Comparison between environmental characteristics of larval bluefin tuna Thunnus thynnus habitat in the Gulf of Mexico and western Mediterranean Sea

Open access
Muhling, BA, Reglero, P, Ciannelli, L, Alvarez-Berastegui, D, Alemany, F, Lamkin, JT, Roffer, MA·2013·Marine Ecology Progress Series

Abstract

MEPS Marine Ecology Progress Series Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout the JournalEditorsTheme Sections MEPS 486:257-276 (2013) - DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps10397 Comparison between environmental characteristics of larval bluefin tuna Thunnus thynnus habitat in the Gulf of Mexico and western Mediterranean Sea Barbara A. Muhling1,*, Patricia Reglero2, Lorenzo Ciannelli3, Diego Alvarez-Berastegui4, Francisco Alemany2, John T. Lamkin5, Mitchell A. Roffer6 1Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, Florida 33149, USA 2Instituto Español de Oceanografía, Centre Oceanogràfic de les Balears, Moll de Ponent s/n, 07015 Palma de Mallorca, Spain 3College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, 104 CEOAS Administration Building, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331-5503, USA 4Balearic Islands Coastal Observing and Forecasting System, Parc Bit, Naorte, Bloc A 2-3, 07121 Palma de Mallorca, Spain 5National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service, Southeast Fisheries Science Center, Miami, Florida 33149, USA 6Roffer's Ocean Fishing Forecasting Service, Inc., 60 Westover Drive, West Melbourne, Florida 32904, USA *Email: barbara.muhling@noaa.gov ABSTRACT: Despite being well adapted for feeding in cold water on their North Atlantic feeding grounds, Atlantic bluefin tuna undertake long migrations to reach warm, low productivity spawning grounds in the Gulf of Mexico and Mediterranean Sea. Environmental conditions within spawning areas have been presumed to benefit larval survival, through appropriate feeding conditions, and enhanced larval retention and growth rates. However, field collections and studies to explore the potential mechanisms are rare. In this study, a comparison of the environmental characteristics of both spawning sites was completed using standardized environmental data and modeling methods. Predictive models of larval occurrence were constructed using historical larval collections, and environmental variables from both in situ and remotely sensed sources. Results showed that larvae on both spawning grounds were most likely to be found in warm (23 to 28°C), low chlorophyll areas with moderate current velocities and favorable regional retention conditions. In the Gulf of Mexico, larvae were located in offshore waters outside of the Loop Current and warm eddies, while in the western Mediterranean, larval occurrences were associated with the confluence of inflowing Atlantic waters and saltier resident surface waters. Although our results suggested common themes within preferred spawning grounds on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean, the ecological processes governing larval survival and eventual recruitment are yet to be fully understood. KEY WORDS: Bluefin tuna · Spawning · Mediterranean Sea · Gulf of Mexico Full text in pdf format PreviousNextCite this article as: Muhling BA, Reglero P, Ciannelli L, Alvarez-Berastegui D, Alemany F, Lamkin JT, Roffer MA (2013) Comparison between environmental characteristics of larval bluefin tuna Thunnus thynnus habitat in the Gulf of Mexico and western Mediterranean Sea. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 486:257-276. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps10397 Export citation RSS - Facebook - Tweet - linkedIn Cited by Published in MEPS Vol. 486. Online publication date: July 12, 2013 Print ISSN: 0171-8630; Online ISSN: 1616-1599 Copyright © 2013 Inter-Research.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This study compares environmental conditions associated with larval Atlantic bluefin tuna occurrence in the Gulf of Mexico and the western Mediterranean/Balearic Islands using standardized historical larval collections and habitat models. It finds shared preferences for warm, low-chlorophyll, moderately dynamic waters, but regional differences in water-mass associations, especially Loop Current avoidance in the Gulf and Atlantic–Mediterranean frontal salinity conditions around the Balearic Islands.

Key findings

  • Larvae on both spawning grounds were most likely in warm (23–28°C), low-chlorophyll areas with moderate current velocities and favorable retention conditions; the discussion summarizes preferred conditions as low chlorophyll (<0.2 mg m⁻³), warm waters (24–27°C), and moderate current flows (<0.3 m s⁻¹).
  • In the Gulf of Mexico, larvae were found offshore outside the Loop Current and warm eddies; modeled probabilities peaked at surface temperatures of 25–28°C only where temperature at 100 m was below about 22°C, i.e. outside Loop Current water.
  • In the Balearic Islands, larval occurrences were associated with the confluence of inflowing Atlantic waters and saltier resident surface waters; the most important model predictor was PC1, interpreted as water mass, and larvae were most likely at low surface chlorophyll (<~0.2 mg m⁻³) and surface temperatures of 24–26°C.
  • Positive-station proportions increased from about 5% in mid-April to 35% by late May in the Gulf of Mexico, and from about 5% in early-mid June to 20–25% by the first week of July in the Balearic Islands before declining to about 5% by late July.

Methods

  • Historical larval collections were used: Gulf of Mexico SEA-MAP data from 1998–2009 and western Mediterranean/Balearic Islands surveys from 2001–2005; bongo and neuston tows were used in the Gulf, and bongo tows around the Balearic Islands.
  • Environmental predictors included in situ CTD temperature and salinity at 0, 100, and 200 m, remotely sensed surface chlorophyll, geostrophic velocity, day of year, and hour; PCA was applied separately by region to reduce collinearity.
  • Presence/absence habitat models were built with multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks, with sensitivity analysis for predictor importance, scatterplots and wireframe plots for variable relationships, and kriging to map predicted probabilities for selected years.

Limitations

  • The paper states that habitat models are affected by lags in time and space from temporal averaging and spatial interpolation of predictors, larval ages, and larval patchiness; larvae collected are probably several days to more than a week old, implying drift since spawning.
  • The paper states that sampling scales are likely coarser than larval patchiness, so allocation of spawning to finer-scale oceanographic features is not possible without modified sampling designs; Gulf of Mexico tows were much deeper than Balearic Islands tows (200 vs. 70 m), probably underestimating larval presence in the Gulf.
  • The paper states that models predicted presence/absence rather than abundance because larval abundances were often low and variable and gears were not directly comparable; it also notes that data on basic larval processes, actual spawning locations, diets, growth, behavior, and planktonic food webs are lacking. Evident from the text: the study is correlative and compares only two regions, so it cannot establish causal mechanisms linking environmental conditions to larval survival or recruitment.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.3354/meps10397

Cites

70 of 71 references verified0 citation errors · 1 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

13 of 70 cited sources checked · 3 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    In the Gulf of Mexico, bluefin tuna larvae were found most frequently in common waters outside of the warm Loop Current and associated warm-core rings, and away from higher chlorophyll continental shelf waters.

    “In the GOM, BFT larvae were found most frequently in 'common waters' outside of the warm Loop Current and associated warm-core rings, and away from higher chlorophyll continental shelf waters (Muhling et al. 2010, Lindo-Atichati et al. 2012).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Muhling et al. 2010 source
    • cites Lindo-Atichati et al. 2012 source

      The Discussion and the section on effects of other mesoscale structures report bluefin tuna larvae in Gulf common waters and along anticyclonic boundaries outside the Loop Current region. But the paper reports higher mean bluefin larval density at anticyclonic boundaries than in common waters, so it does not establish common waters as their most frequent location. Our copy does not assess whether larvae avoided higher-chlorophyll continental shelf waters. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    In the western Mediterranean Sea, bluefin tuna larvae are most abundant near the salinity front where inflowing Atlantic waters converge with higher salinity resident waters around the Balearic Islands.

    “In the western Mediterranean Sea, larvae were most abundant near the salinity front where inflowing Atlantic waters converge with higher salinity resident waters around the Balearic Islands (Garcia et al. 2005, Alemany et al. 2010, Reglero et al. 2012).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Garcia et al. 2005

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Alemany et al. 2010 source
    • cites Reglero et al. 2012 source
  • Premisecitation

    Adult BFT rarely cross the thermocline.

    “and rarely cross the thermocline (Walli et al. 2009)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Walli et al. 2009 source

      The Results (Ambient temperature and depth preferences; page unavailable) report that mean diving depth tracked thermocline depth, but do not establish that adult bluefin tuna rarely crossed it. In one water mass, tagged tuna spent only 64.2% of their time above the thermocline, so the claim overstates the reported pattern. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Interpretationcitation

    Temperature stress may be more of a factor in the Gulf of Mexico than in the Mediterranean.

    “Temperature stress may be more of a factor in the GOM, where surface temperatures during summer months reach 29 to 31°C, with no cooler waters nearby (Muller-Karger et al. 1991).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Muller-Karger et al. 1991 source

      The paper’s sea-surface-temperature discussion reports that both eastern and western Gulf regions had temperatures above 29°C from July through September. It does not establish the full 29–31°C range, assess temperature stress, or say that no cooler waters were nearby; it also does not compare the Gulf with the Mediterranean. The relevant passage is in the section labeled “32” in our copy (page number unavailable). (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Larval collections in both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans have mostly been restricted to waters between ~22 and 28°C.

    “Larval collections in both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans have mostly been restricted to waters between ~22 and 28°C (Masuma et al. 2006, Tanaka et al. 2006, Alemany et al. 2010, Muhling et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Masuma et al. 2006
    • cites Tanaka et al. 2006 source

      The Materials and Methods section describes larval collections in the northwestern Pacific, and the Developmental phases and standard length section reports station temperatures of 25.0–28.8°C. This supports collections in warm Pacific waters, but the paper does not address Atlantic collections or establish a general 22–28°C range for both oceans. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Alemany et al. 2010 source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 26
  • May combine two claims. 43
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Atlantic bluefin tuna migrate long distances between cold-water foraging areas and warm, oligotrophic spawning areas.

    “Atlantic bluefin tuna Thunnus thynnus (BFT) is a highly migratory species that travels long distances between cold-water foraging areas and warm, oligotrophic spawning areas (Block et al. 2005, Rooker et al. 2007, Galuardi et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Block et al. 2005 source
    • cites Rooker et al. 2007 source

      The indexed passage (section and page unavailable) describes Atlantic bluefin tuna as highly migratory and says they use temperate feeding grounds after reproduction before migrating to northern latitudes. It does not establish that they travel long distances specifically between cold-water foraging areas and warm, oligotrophic spawning areas; a search for “oligotrophic” found no matching passage. (LLM, conf=0.72)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Galuardi et al. 2010 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the Gulf of Mexico, surface temperatures during summer months reach 29 to 31°C, with no cooler waters nearby.

    “where surface temperatures during summer months reach 29 to 31°C, with no cooler waters nearby (Muller-Karger et al. 1991).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Muller-Karger et al. 1991 source

      The sea-surface-temperature discussion (page not available in our copy) reports that the eastern and western Gulf subregions had similar temperatures above 29°C from July through September. It does not establish that temperatures reached 31°C or that there were no cooler waters nearby beyond those two subregions. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Adult BFT in captivity have been observed to spawn once water temperatures reach ~22°C.

    “Adult BFT in captivity have also been observed to spawn once water temperatures reach ~22°C (Sawada et al. 2005).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Sawada et al. 2005 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The complex mesoscale eddy fields in the western Mediterranean, resulting from inflowing Atlantic waters, contrast with the periodic shedding of large, warm anticyclonic eddies in the Gulf of Mexico.

    “The complex mesoscale eddy fields in the western Medi terranean, resulting from inflowing Atlantic waters, contrast with the periodic shedding of large, warm anticyclonic eddies in the GOM (Millot, 1999, Lindo-Atichati et al. 2012)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Millot, 1999 source
    • cites Lindo-Atichati et al. 2012 source

      The Introduction reports that the Gulf of Mexico’s Loop Current sheds large anticyclonic rings, with an average of 9.5 months between shedding events. Our copy does not describe those rings as warm. The western Mediterranean portion of the sentence is separately cited to Millot (1999), not this paper. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Few studies exist on the effects of temperature on larval tuna growth, with some studies finding no association and others a positive association.

    “Few studies exist on the effects of temperature on larval tuna growth, with some studies finding no association (Jenkins et al. 1991, Tanaka et al. 2006) and others a positive association (Reglero et al. 2011, Garcia et al. 2013).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Jenkins et al. 1991 source
    • cites Tanaka et al. 2006 source

      The Larval growth history and growth rate section says growth histories were not found to be affected by mean water temperature at sampling stations, supporting Tanaka et al. as an example of a study finding no general association. But it also reports a significant difference at Day 7, and the Growth of larval bluefin tuna in the field section cautions that station temperatures may not reflect the temperatures larvae experienced. An unqualified finding of no association between experienced temperature and growth therefore overstates the study. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Reglero et al. 2011 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Larval BFT appear likely to feed on copepods, copepod nauplii, cladocerans and appendicularians at preflexion stages, before becoming more piscivorous postflexion.

    “Studies concerning the diets of larval BFT are rare, but they appear likely to feed on copepods, copepod nauplii, cladocerans and appendicularians at preflexion stages, before becoming more piscivorous postflexion (Uotani et al. 1990, Llopiz et al. 2010, Catalán et al. 2011, Reglero et al. 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Uotani et al. 1990 source

      The paper’s Abstract reports that smaller bluefin tuna larvae feed mainly on copepod nauplii. It says larvae larger than 5 mm feed mainly on larger copepods, especially Corycaeus, rather than documenting a shift to fish prey. The passages do not establish preflexion feeding on cladocerans or appendicularians. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Llopiz et al. 2010 source
    • cites Catalán et al. 2011 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    During the sampled time period, surface temperatures from CTD casts at sampled stations in the Gulf of Mexico increased from a mean of about 24.5°C to 27°C, with high variability around these means.

    “During the sampled time period, surface temperatures from CTD casts at sampled stations increased from a mean of ~24.5°C to 27°C, although variability around these means was high.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Balearic Islands, PC1 was the most influential predictor, implying that water mass was the most important consideration when predicting larval occurrences.

    “In the BI, PC1 was the most influential predictor, implying that water mass was the most important consideration when predicting larval occurrences.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Spawning in the Balearic Islands region tended to begin at cooler temperatures than in the Gulf of Mexico, but the rate of temperature increase through the sampling period was higher.

    “Spawning in the BI region thus tended to begin at cooler temperatures than in the GOM, but the rate of temperature increase through the sampling period was higher (Fig. 4).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Predicted and actual probabilities of larval occurrence decreased with increasing salinity and temperature at depth, suggesting lower occurrences within Loop Current waters.

    “Predicted and actual probabilities of larval occurrence de crea sed with increasing salinity and temperature at depth, suggesting lower occurrences within Loop Current waters.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In the Gulf of Mexico, surface chlorophyll was highest on the continental shelf and lowest within the Loop Current region.

    “Surface chlorophyll was highest on the continental shelf, and lowest within the Loop Current region.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Gulf of Mexico, PC2 was the most important variable, suggesting a strong influence of date and surface temperature.

    “In the GOM, PC2 was the most important variable, suggesting a strong influence of date and surface temperature.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Balearic Islands, along PC2, stations with positive values were sampled later in the year and showed higher surface temperatures along with lower surface chlorophyll.

    “Along PC2, stations with positive values were sampled later in the year, and showed higher surface temperatures along with lower surface chlorophyll (Fig. 5).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In both regions, 6 principal component axes encompassed more than 90% of the sample variability, and the first 6 axes from each PCA analysis were input to neural network models.

    “In both regions, 6 principal component axes en compassed more than 90% of the sample variability, and so the first 6 axes from each PCA analysis were input to neural network models (Table 3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Balearic Islands, larvae were most likely to be collected at stations with low surface chlorophyll (<~0.2 mg m-3) and where surface temperatures were between 24 and 26°C.

    “Larvae were also most likely to be collected at stations with low surface chlorophyll (<~0.2 mg m -3 ), and where surface temperatures were between 24 and 26°C (Fig. 7).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The Gulf of Mexico during May was typically cooler in surface waters on the continental shelf than offshore, and warmer within the main body of the Loop Current.

    “The GOM during May was typically cooler in surface waters on the continental shelf than offshore, and warmer within the main body of the Loop Cur-rent (Fig. 2).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Although probabilities of occurrence in the Balearic Islands were proportionally greater at low chlorophyll values (<~0.2 mg m-3), there was no strong relationship in the Gulf of Mexico.

    “However, although probabilities of occurrence in the BI were proportionally greater at low chlorophyll values (<~0.2 mg m -3 ), there was no strong relationship in the GOM.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Salinities at the surface and at depth barely overlapped between the two study areas, with the Balearic Islands much more saline than the Gulf of Mexico (>36.4 vs. 34-37).

    “In contrast, salinities at the surface and at depth barely overlapped between the 2 study areas, with the BI much more saline than the GOM (> 36.4 vs. 34-37).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In the western Mediterranean Sea, surface chlorophyll was generally low, with higher values near the south coast of France.

    “Similar to the GOM, surface chlorophyll was generally low, with higher values near the south coast of France.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Gulf of Mexico, stations with negative values along PC1 had higher temperatures at 100 and 200 m depth, higher salinity at 200 m, higher geostrophic velocities and low surface chlorophyll.

    “In the GOM, stations with negative values along PC1 had higher temperatures at 100 and 200 m depth, higher salinity at 200 m, higher geostrophic velocities and low surface chlorophyll.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Balearic Islands, stations with positive values along PC1 had higher temperatures at depth and lower salinities throughout the water column.

    “In the BI, stations with positive values along PC1 had higher temperatures at depth, and lower salinities through out the water column.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In the western Mediterranean Sea, temperature at depth was spatially variable, with maximum values off the northern African coast.

    “Temperature at depth was spatially variable, with maximum values off the northern African coast.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Balearic Islands region, current velocities were generally much lower than in the Alboran Sea and also lower than in the Loop Current area of influence in the Gulf of Mexico.

    “Mode rate mean currents were also observed north of the BI, however, in general, velocities in the BI region were much lower than in the Alboran Sea, and also lower than in the Loop Current area of influence in the GOM.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    In the Gulf of Mexico, surface salinities on the shelf were lower than in the open Gulf, in association with riverine outflow.

    “Surface salinities on the shelf were lower than in the open GOM, in association with riverine outflow.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Bluefin tuna larvae were generally collected outside of the Loop Current (indicated by temperatures at depth <22°C and geostrophic velocities <~0.25 m s-1) in 1999, and outside of the Loop Current and an associated eddy in 2006.

    “BFT larvae were generally collected outside of the Loop Current (indicated by temperatures at depth < 22°C and geostrophic velocities <~0.25 m s -1 ) in 1999, and outside of the Loop Current and an associated eddy in 2006.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In 2005, larval habitat was more favorable in the western portion of the study area, and larval distributions were shifted accordingly.

    “Conversely, in 2005, larval habitat was more favorable in the western portion of the study area, and larval distributions were shifted accordingly.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Probabilities of larval occurrence in the Gulf of Mexico showed a parabolic relationship with surface temperature, peaking between 25 and 28°C, but this relationship was only present where temperature at depth was less than around 22°C (outside the Loop Current).

    “Probabilities of larval occurrence showed a parabolic relationship with surface temperature, peaking at between 25 and 28°C, however this relationship was only present where temperature at depth was less than around 22°C (i.e.outside the Loop Current).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the Balearic Islands neural network model, PC1 was the most important predictor, generally separating stations located in different water masses as indicated by surface salinity and temperature and salinity at depth.

    “The most important predictor in the BI neural network model was PC1.This axis generally separated stations located in different water masses, as indicated by surface salinity and temperature and salinity at depth.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In 2004, the most favorable habitat was to the east of the study area, and most positive stations were found in this area.

    “In 2004, the most favorable habitat was to the east of the study area, and most positive stations were found in this area.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Oceanographic conditions around the Balearic Islands were more complex; however, the habitat model still successfully placed most positive stations into favorable habitat.

    “Oceanographic conditions around the BI were more complex; however, the habitat model still successfully placed most positive stations into favorable habitat (Fig. 10).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In both the Gulf of Mexico and Balearic Islands, migrating adult BFT appeared to move past areas of very high current velocity, in the Loop Current and Alboran Sea respectively, and concentrate spawning in regions of moderate current flow (< 0.3 m s -1 ).

    “In both the GOM and BI, migrating adult BFT appeared to move past areas of very high current velocity, in the Loop Current and Alboran Sea respectively, and concentrate spawning in regions of moderate current flow (< 0.3 m s -1 ).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Larval BFT collections are a reliable proxy for spawning locations and habitat despite larval drift and age.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    BFT larvae in both the Gulf of Mexico and Balearic Islands were most likely to be collected in regions of moderate mesoscale oceanographic activity and eddy generation, but not in areas of strong, directional flow.

    “BFT larvae in both the GOM and BI were most likely to be collected in regions of moderate mesoscale oceanographic activity and eddy generation, but not in areas of strong, directional flow.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Larval BFT collections are a reliable proxy for spawning locations and habitat despite larval drift and age.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Overall, this comparative study suggested several strong similarities between BFT spawning grounds in the Gulf of Mexico and Balearic Islands, including a preference for low chlorophyll (< 0.2 mg m -3 ), warm waters (24 to 27°C) with moderate current flows (< 0.3 m s -1 ) and high oceanographic complexity.

    “Overall, this comparative study of environmental conditions on BFT spawning grounds in the GOM and BI suggested several strong similarities, in cluding a preference for low chlorophyll (< 0.2 mg m -3 ), warm waters (24 to 27°C) with moderate current flows (< 0.3 m s -1 ) and high oceanographic complexity.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Larval BFT collections are a reliable proxy for spawning locations and habitat despite larval drift and age.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Spawning seasons in both the Gulf of Mexico and western Mediterranean appeared likely to extend for around 6 to 8 weeks and were closely tied with sea temperatures.

    “Spawning seasons in both regions appeared likely to extend for around 6 to 8 wk, and were closely tied with sea temperatures (Muhling et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Muhling et al. 2010 source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Temperature is an important physiological control of many biological processes, including spawning.

    “Temperature is an important physiological control of many biological processes, including spawning (e.g.Masuma et al. 2006), and so temperatures at 3 discrete depths (0, 100 and 200 m) were included.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Masuma et al. 2006
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Correlations between chlorophyll values from the two sensors were strong in both the Gulf of Mexico (Pearson's r = 0.8) and the Balearic Islands (Pearson's r = 0.86).

    “Correlations between values from the 2 sensors were strong in both the GOM (Pearson's r = 0.8), and the BI (Pearson's r = 0.86).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The identifications of all scombrid larvae were confirmed at the Southeast Fisheries Science Center in Miami, Florida.

    “The identifications of all scombrid larvae were confirmed at the Southeast Fisheries Science Center in Miami, Florida.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    These types of neural networks are popular in ecology because they can approximate any continuous function.

    “These types of neural networks are popular in ecology because they can approximate any continuous function (Olden et al. 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Olden et al. 2008 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    More neurons in the hidden layer tend to improve model fit, but too many can lead to overfitting, so internal model validation is required.

    “The hidden layer contains a variable number of neurons: more neurons tend to improve model fit, however too many can lead to overfitting, thus internal model validation is required (Olden et al. 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Olden et al. 2008 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Artificial neural networks generally perform well for addressing questions related to species distribution modeling.

    “They generally perform well for addressing questions related to species distribution modeling (Segurado & Araujo 2004).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Segurado & Araujo 2004 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    Overfitting was prevented by holding back 20% of training data rows as the model fit was being performed and continually evaluating model fit against the hold-out dataset.

    “In this study, overfitting was prevented by holding back 20% of training data rows as the model fit was being performed and continually evaluating model fit against the hold-out dataset (Sherrod 2003).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Sherrod 2003

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    High collinearity among input variables can result in model non-convergence, inconsistent results and degraded model performance.

    “This can result in model non-convergence, inconsistent results and degraded model performance (Walczak & Cerpa 1999, Neumann 2002).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Walczak & Cerpa 1999 source
    • cites Neumann 2002 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Spawning peaks around the second half of May in the Gulf of Mexico and in early July in the Balearic Islands region.

    “Spawning peaks around the second half of May in the GOM (Muhling et al. 2010) and in early July in the BI region, so these months were chosen for climatological analyses.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Muhling et al. 2010 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Residence time on spawning grounds is likely to be variable, with adult fish arriving and leaving throughout the spawning season.

    “Although our study did not examine residence time on spawning grounds, this is likely to be variable, with adult fish arriving and leaving throughout the spawning season (Farley & Davis 1998, Block et al. 2001, Galuardi et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Farley & Davis 1998

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Block et al. 2001 source
    • cites Galuardi et al. 2010 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    v-fold cross validation was used for model testing and validation.

    “Logistic functions were used for hidden-and output-layer activation (Sherrod 2003), and v-fold cross validation was used for model testing and validation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Sherrod 2003

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Because bluefin tuna larval abundances were often low and variable, and the sampling gears between regions were not directly comparable, models were constructed to predict the presence or absence of bluefin tuna larvae rather than abundance.

    “As BFT larval abundances were often low and variable, and the sampling gears between regions were not directly comparable, models were constructed to predict the presence or absence of BFT larvae, rather than abundance.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Misclassification costs were adjusted iteratively and set at the lowest possible value at which model sensitivity remained above 80%.

    “This parameter was adjusted in an iterative fashion, and set at the lowest possible value at which model sensitivity remained above 80% (Muhling et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Muhling et al. 2010 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Larval bluefin tuna are usually most abundant in the upper 10 to 20 m of the water column, so the Gulf of Mexico surveys probably underestimated the presence of bluefin tuna larvae substantially.

    “Larval BFT are usually most abundant in the upper 10 to 20 m of the water column (Muhling et al. 2012), so the GOM surveys probably underestimated the presence of BFT larvae substantially.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Muhling et al. 2012 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    HYCOM performed quite well in replicating observed temperature and salinity fields in both regions, and surface current fields in the Gulf of Mexico, but was less successful for estimating surface currents in the Balearic Islands region.

    “Although HYCOM performed quite well in replicating observed temperature and salinity fields in both regions, and surface current fields in the GOM, it was less successful for estimating surface currents in the BI region.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    To compensate for potential differences in catchability between regions and general expected inefficiencies in sampling rare larvae due to gear avoidance, misclassification costs were assigned to each model from each region.

    “To compensate for this potential difference in catchability between regions, and general expected inefficiencies in sampling of rare larvae due to gear avoidance, misclassification costs were assigned to each model from each region (Sherrod 2003).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Sherrod 2003

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The coarse nature of the Southeast Area Monitoring and Assessment Program sampling grid has not allowed thorough investigation of whether spawning in the Gulf of Mexico is associated with finer-scale fronts, eddies or other oceanographic features.

    “the coarse nature of the Southeast Area Monitoring and Assessment Program sampling grid has not allowed thorough investigation of this.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the eastern Atlantic, BFT larvae have been collected in the far eastern Mediterranean Sea near Cyprus during June and in the central Mediterranean during July.

    “In the eastern Atlantic, BFT larvae have been collected in the far eastern Mediterranean Sea near Cyprus during June (Oray & Kurakulak 2005) and in the central Mediterranean during July (Tsuji et al. 1997, Koched et al. 2012).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Oray & Kurakulak 2005

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Tsuji et al. 1997

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Koched et al. 2012

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Parts of the western Caribbean are warm to a greater depth than the northern Gulf of Mexico, which may inhibit the ability of adult fish to thermoregulate by diving.

    “Parts of the western Caribbean are also warm to a greater depth than the northern GOM (Gordon 1967), which may inhibit the ability of adult fish to thermoregulate by diving.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gordon 1967 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Larvae collected are probably several days to more than a week old, implying considerable drift since spawning.

    “Larvae collected are probably several days to more than a week old, implying considerable drift since spawning.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Larval BFT on both sides of the Atlantic appear to grow at around 0.3 to 0.4 mm per day during early life.

    “Larval BFT on both sides of the Atlantic appear to grow at around 0.3 to 0.4 mm per day during early life (Scott et al. 1993, Garcia et al. 2013)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Scott et al. 1993

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Garcia et al. 2013

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    The strongest fronts in the Gulf of Mexico are associated with the Loop Current.

    “The strongest fronts in the GOM are associated with the Loop Current”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Within the Mediterranean Sea, spawning takes place earlier in the eastern basin, where waters warm to suitable temperatures earlier in the year.

    “Within the Mediterranean Sea, spawning takes place earlier in the eastern basin, where waters warm to suitable temperatures earlier in the year (Oray & Karakulak 2005).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Oray & Karakulak 2005 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Larvae in high-density patches may grow more slowly due to density-dependent competition for prey.

    “However, larvae in high-density patches may grow more slowly due to densitydependent competition for prey (Jenkins et al. 1991).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Jenkins et al. 1991 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the Gulf of Mexico, lowest regional chlorophyll is usually within the Loop Current, which adult BFT avoid.

    “where lowest regional chlorophyll is usually within the Loop Current, which adult BFT avoid (Teo et al. 2007).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Teo et al. 2007 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian oceans, temperature has been found to be a driving force behind spawning activity.

    “In the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian oceans, temperature has been found to be a driving force behind spawning activity (Yukinawa 1987, Miyashita et al. 2000, Medina et al. 2005”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Yukinawa 1987

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Miyashita et al. 2000 source
    • cites Medina et al. 2005

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Egg hatching and larval development are influenced by temperature, with around 25°C suggested to be optimal.

    “Egg hatching and larval development are also influenced by temperature, with around 25°C suggested to be optimal (Miyashita et al. 2000).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Miyashita et al. 2000 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Larval BFT growth may accelerate with the onset of piscivory.

    “with a possible acceleration of growth associated with the onset of piscivory (Kaji et al. 1996, Tanaka et al. 2012).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Kaji et al. 1996 source
    • cites Tanaka et al. 2012

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Tagged fish have not been reported to travel south of Cuba on their way to the Gulf of Mexico.

    “although tagged fish have not been reported to travel south of Cuba on their way to the GOM.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Tagged adult BFT have been shown to migrate from the open Atlantic into the Mediterranean as far as Sicily.

    “Tagged adult BFT have been shown to migrate from the open Atlantic into the Mediterranean as far as Sicily (Block et al. 2005)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Block et al. 2005 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Either additional environmental variables are important in determining actual spawning locations or additional unconfirmed spawning areas exist.

    “This suggests that either additional environmental variables are important in determining actual spawning locations or that additional unconfirmed spawning areas exist.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
65 of 65
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    A direct comparison of conditions on the two spawning grounds using the same environmental variables and the same methods is lacking.

    “However, a direct comparison of conditions on the 2 spawning grounds, using the same environmental variables and the same methods, is lacking.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The reasons why adult bluefin tuna expend large energy reserves to migrate to physiologically stressful spawning locations remain unclear.

    “The reasons why adult BFT expend large energy reserves to migrate to spawning locations that they find physio logically stressful remain unclear.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Larval BFT collections are a reliable proxy for spawning locations and habitat despite larval drift and age.

    “Larvae collected are probably several days to more than a week old, implying considerable drift since spawning.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Environmental variables derived from ocean models and remote sensing accurately represent conditions experienced by larval BFT.

    “Temperature and salinity at the surface and at 100 m depth were derived from the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HY-COM) + Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (NCODA) Global 1/12 Degree Analysis (GLBa0.08),2003 to 2012.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The Gulf of Mexico and Balearic Islands are major spawning grounds for Atlantic bluefin tuna.

    “Although this study concentrated on 2 well-known major spawning grounds for BFT”
5 of 5

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • For bluefin tuna in the North Atlantic, spawning is limited to the Gulf of Mexico and Mediterranean Sea.

    “For bluefin tuna in the North Atlantic, tuna spawning is limited to the Gulf of Mexico and Mediterranean Sea (Muhling et al., 2013).”

    From Evolutionary and ecological constraints of fish spawning habitats (2015) · cites this paper as Muhling et al., 2013

    The Discussion identifies the Gulf of Mexico and Mediterranean Sea as two major spawning grounds, but says larvae have also been collected elsewhere. It specifically reports evidence of some spawning activity in the far western Caribbean Sea, contrary to the claim that spawning is limited to those two areas. Page numbers are not provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.90)

    Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Tuna species show a preference for mesoscale structures with moderate activity to spawn, but avoid high EKE.

    “In general, tuna species show a preference for mesoscale structures, with moderate activity to spawn, but avoid high EKE (Teo et al. 2007, Reglero et al. 2012, Muhling et al. 2013); one factor involved could be the opportunity to disperse during the larval stage.”

    From Worldwide distributions of tuna larvae: revisiting hypotheses on environmental requirements for spawning habitats (2014) · cites this paper as Muhling et al. 2013

    The Discussion (page unavailable) reports that Atlantic bluefin tuna larvae in both study areas were most likely to occur in regions of moderate mesoscale activity, not strong directional flow; it also infers that adults concentrated spawning in moderate currents away from large energetic eddies. The paper does not establish this preference for tuna species generally or specifically measure avoidance of high eddy kinetic energy (EKE). (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • A preference for similar ranges of EKE has been reported for adult breeding Atlantic bluefin tuna distributions in the Gulf of Mexico, and mesoscale activity is commonly found in areas with larvae.

    “A preference for similar ranges of EKE has been re ported for adult breeding Atlantic bluefin tuna distributions in the Gulf of Mexico (Teo et al. 2007), and mesoscale activity is commonly found in areas with larvae (Muhling et al. 2013).”
  • Two spawning locations for North Atlantic bluefin tuna are in the Mediterranean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

    “Mediterranean Sea and in the Gulf of Mexico (Muhling et al., 2013).”

    From Evolutionary and ecological constraints of fish spawning habitats (2015) · cites this paper as Muhling et al., 2013

  • Across basins, there is a striking similarity of the environmental requirements for spawning.

    “but across basins there is a striking similarity of the environmental requirements for spawning Muhling et al., 2013)”

    From Evolutionary and ecological constraints of fish spawning habitats (2015) · cites this paper as Muhling et al., 2013

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Balearic Islands figure cites the Gulf of Mexico results

    Minor

    Figure 10 says its Balearic Islands variables were highlighted as influential in Figure 6, but Figure 6 presents the Gulf of Mexico model. The Balearic Islands scatterplots are in Figure 7.

1 of 1

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Brothers EB, Prince ED, Lee DW (1983) Age and growth of young-of-the-year bluefin tuna, Thunnus thynnus, from otolith microstructure. In: Prince ED, Pulos LM (eds) Proceedings of the international workshop on age determination of oceanic pelagic fishes: tunas, billfishes and sharks. NOAA Tech Rep NMFS 8:49-59

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Muhling, B., Reglero, P., Ciannelli, L., Alvarez-Berastegui, D., Alemany, F., Lamkin, J., & Roffer, M.
Venue
Marine Ecology Progress Series
Published
2013-07-12
Volume
486
Pages
257-276
ISSN
  • 0171-8630 (ISSN-L)
  • 1616-1599
OpenAlex
W2084323207
Cited by
58
References
71
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 10 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 2
FWCI
4.53
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Marine Ecology Progress Series (publishedVersion)
  • DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Funders
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ichthyology and Marine Biology
Keywords
bluefin tuna, Thunnus thynnus, larval habitat, spawning grounds, Gulf of Mexico, Western Mediterranean, environmental factors, larval retention, larval survival, larval growth, spawning migration, ocean warming

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-16.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-16.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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