Cited by 791Advanced Breast Cancer TherapiesBreast Cancer Treatment StudiesPARP inhibition in cancer therapy

Overall Survival with Ribociclib plus Letrozole in Advanced Breast Cancer.

Open access
Hortobagyi, Gabriel N., Stemmer, Salomon M., Burris, Howard A., Yap, Yoon-Sim, Sonke, Gabe S., Hart, Lowell, Campone, Mario, Petrakova, Katarina +12 more·2022·New England Journal of Medicine

Abstract

BACKGROUND: In a previous analysis of this phase 3 trial, first-line ribociclib plus letrozole resulted in significantly longer progression-free survival than letrozole alone among postmenopausal patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced breast cancer. Whether overall survival would also be longer with ribociclib was not known. METHODS: Here we report the results of the protocol-specified final analysis of overall survival, a key secondary end point. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either ribociclib or placebo in combination with letrozole. Overall survival was assessed with the use of a stratified log-rank test and summarized with the use of Kaplan-Meier methods after 400 deaths had occurred. A hierarchical testing strategy was used for the analysis of progression-free survival and overall survival to ensure the validity of the findings. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 6.6 years, 181 deaths had occurred among 334 patients (54.2%) in the ribociclib group and 219 among 334 (65.6%) in the placebo group. Ribociclib plus letrozole showed a significant overall survival benefit as compared with placebo plus letrozole. Median overall survival was 63.9 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 71.0) with ribociclib plus letrozole and 51.4 months (95% CI, 47.2 to 59.7) with placebo plus letrozole (hazard ratio for death, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63 to 0.93; two-sided P = 0.008). No new safety signals were observed. CONCLUSIONS: First-line therapy with ribociclib plus letrozole showed a significant overall survival benefit as compared with placebo plus letrozole in patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Median overall survival was more than 12 months longer with ribociclib than with placebo. (Funded by Novartis; MONALEESA-2 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01958021.).

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1056/nejmoa2114663

Cites

32 of 32 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

25 of 48 cited sources checked · 7 supported · 7 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Study design and conductcitation
    § Discussion · p. 8

    The trial's follow-up was long, with a median of 80 months.

    “This trial has a long follow-up (median, 80 months). 19-23”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [19] 19. Johnston S, Martin M, Di Leo A, et al. MONARCH 3 final PFS: a randomized study of abemaciclib as initial therapy for advanced breast cancer. NPJ Breast Cancer 2019; 5: 5. source

      The Results > Efficacy passage reports a median follow-up of 26.73 months at the final data cutoff, not 80 months. This directly contradicts the follow-up duration attributed to this trial. (LLM, conf=0.93)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [20] 20. Slamon DJ, Neven P, Chia S, et al. Ribociclib plus fulvestrant for postmenopausal women with hormone receptorpositive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer in the phase III randomized ­ MONALEESA-3 trial: updated overall survival. Ann Oncol 2021; 32: 1015-24. source

      The Discussion (pp. 7, 9) calls this an extended, long follow-up analysis, but gives the median follow-up as 56.3 months, not 80 months. The stated duration directly contradicts the claim's figure. (LLM, conf=0.92)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [21] 21. Rugo HS, Finn RS, Diéras V, et al. Palbociclib plus letrozole as first-line therapy in estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer with extended follow-up. Breast Cancer Res Treat 2019; 174: 719-29. source

      The Efficacy section reports median follow-up of 37.6 months in the palbociclib–letrozole arm and 37.3 months in the placebo–letrozole arm, not 80 months. The Discussion calls the follow-up long relative to other phase 3 CDK4/6 inhibitor studies, but does not support the claimed duration. (LLM, conf=0.90)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [22] 22. Tripathy D, Im S-A, Colleoni M, et al. Updated overall survival (OS) results from the phase III MONALEESA-7 trial of preor perimenopausal patients with hormone receptor positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR+/HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC) treated with endocrine therapy (ET) ± ribociclib. Cancer Res 2021; 81: Suppl 4: PD2-04. abstract. source
    • cites [23] 23. Cristofanilli M, Rugo HS, Im S-A, et al. Overall survival (OS) with palbociclib (PAL) + fulvestrant (FUL) in women with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC): updated analyses from PALOMA-3. J Clin Oncol 2021; 39: Suppl 15: 1000. abstract. source
  • Findingown data
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    At the primary and updated analyses of MONALEESA-2, the overall survival data had not matured.

    “Data for overall survival were immature at the time of the primary and updated analyses.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [10] 10. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Ribociclib as first-line therapy for HR-positive, advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 1738-48. source

      The Characteristic section states that overall survival results were not mature at the interim analysis, supporting the claim about the primary analysis. This 2016 paper does not report an updated analysis or establish whether overall survival data were still immature then. (LLM, conf=0.87)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [17] 17. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Updated results from ­ MONALEESA-2, a phase III trial of firstline ribociclib plus letrozole versus place- n engl j med 386;10 nejm.org March 10, 2022 bo plus letrozole in hormone receptorpositive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Ann Oncol 2018; 29: 1541-7. source
  • Premisecitation
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    Two ribociclib trials that enrolled some patients receiving first-line therapy demonstrated a significant overall survival benefit.

    “To date, two trials evaluating ribociclib that included some patients receiving firstline therapy showed a significant overall survival benefit. 14-16”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [14] 14. Im S-A, Lu Y-S, Bardia A, et al. Overall survival with ribociclib plus endocrine therapy in breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2019; 381: 307-16. source
    • cites [15] 15. Slamon DJ, Neven P, Chia S, et al. Overall survival with ribociclib plus fulvestrant in advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2020; 382: 514-24. source

      The Discussion (page unavailable) says that MONALEESA-3 and MONALEESA-7 both showed significant overall-survival benefits. The Overall Survival section documents patients receiving first-line treatment in MONALEESA-3, but our copy does not establish that MONALEESA-7 also enrolled first-line patients. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [16] 16. Sledge GW Jr, Toi M, Neven P, et al. The effect of abemaciclib plus fulvestrant on overall survival in hormone receptorpositive, ERBB2-negative breast cancer that progressed on endocrine therapy MONARCH 2: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA Oncol 2020; 6: 116-24. source

      The Discussion (page not available) reports a statistically significant overall-survival improvement in one ribociclib trial, MONALEESA-7. The paper does not report significant overall-survival benefits for two ribociclib trials or establish that the trial it discusses included patients receiving first-line therapy; the References list MONALEESA-2 as a first-line trial but give no survival result for it. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Findingcitation
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    In the primary and updated analyses of MONALEESA-2, the hazard ratio for disease progression or death with ribociclib plus letrozole versus placebo plus letrozole was 0.57 (95% CI 0.46 to 0.70; P<0.001).

    “In the primary and updated analyses of MONALEESA-2, progression-free survival was significantly longer with ribociclib plus letrozole than with placebo plus letrozole (median in updated analysis, 25.3 months vs. 16.0 months; hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.46 to 0.70; P&lt;0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [10] 10. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Ribociclib as first-line therapy for HR-positive, advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 1738-48. source

      The Efficacy of Ribociclib plus Letrozole section reports significantly longer progression-free survival with ribociclib plus letrozole in the primary interim analysis. It gives a hazard ratio of 0.56 (95% CI, 0.43 to 0.72), not the claimed 0.57 (95% CI, 0.46 to 0.70); our copy does not report the cited updated-analysis figures. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [17] 17. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Updated results from ­ MONALEESA-2, a phase III trial of firstline ribociclib plus letrozole versus place- n engl j med 386;10 nejm.org March 10, 2022 bo plus letrozole in hormone receptorpositive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Ann Oncol 2018; 29: 1541-7. source
  • Findingcitation
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    In the primary and updated analyses of MONALEESA-2, median PFS was 25.3 months with ribociclib plus letrozole versus 16.0 months with placebo plus letrozole.

    “In the primary and updated analyses of MONALEESA-2, progression-free survival was significantly longer with ribociclib plus letrozole than with placebo plus letrozole (median in updated analysis, 25.3 months vs. 16.0 months; hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.46 to 0.70; P&lt;0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [10] 10. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Ribociclib as first-line therapy for HR-positive, advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 1738-48. source

      The Efficacy of Ribociclib plus Letrozole section reports significantly longer progression-free survival with ribociclib plus letrozole at the interim analysis. It does not report the claimed updated-analysis medians of 25.3 and 16.0 months; instead, the ribociclib median had not been reached and the placebo median was 14.7 months. No page numbers are available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.90)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [17] 17. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Updated results from ­ MONALEESA-2, a phase III trial of firstline ribociclib plus letrozole versus place- n engl j med 386;10 nejm.org March 10, 2022 bo plus letrozole in hormone receptorpositive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Ann Oncol 2018; 29: 1541-7. source
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 3
  • May combine two claims. 18
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 16
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingcitation
    § Discussion · p. 8

    Median survival to date in the ribociclib group was 63.9 months among women whose tumors were HR-positive and HER2-negative.

    “as well as impressive median survival to date (63.9 months) among women with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. 16,20,22-29”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim5 of 10 sources checked
    • cites [16] 16. Sledge GW Jr, Toi M, Neven P, et al. The effect of abemaciclib plus fulvestrant on overall survival in hormone receptorpositive, ERBB2-negative breast cancer that progressed on endocrine therapy MONARCH 2: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA Oncol 2020; 6: 116-24. source

      The Overall Survival section reports a median of 46.7 months for abemaciclib plus fulvestrant, not 63.9 months for ribociclib. The Discussion mentions ribociclib only in connection with a separate study’s survival hazard ratio; it gives no ribociclib median survival of 63.9 months. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [20] 20. Slamon DJ, Neven P, Chia S, et al. Ribociclib plus fulvestrant for postmenopausal women with hormone receptorpositive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer in the phase III randomized ­ MONALEESA-3 trial: updated overall survival. Ann Oncol 2021; 32: 1015-24. source

      The Overall survival section (p. 3) reports median overall survival of 53.7 months in the ribociclib arm, not 63.9 months, at the October 2020 data cutoff. The Results summary (p. 1) gives the same 53.7-month figure. (LLM, conf=0.90)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [22] 22. Tripathy D, Im S-A, Colleoni M, et al. Updated overall survival (OS) results from the phase III MONALEESA-7 trial of preor perimenopausal patients with hormone receptor positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR+/HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC) treated with endocrine therapy (ET) ± ribociclib. Cancer Res 2021; 81: Suppl 4: PD2-04. abstract. source
    • cites [23] 23. Cristofanilli M, Rugo HS, Im S-A, et al. Overall survival (OS) with palbociclib (PAL) + fulvestrant (FUL) in women with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC): updated analyses from PALOMA-3. J Clin Oncol 2021; 39: Suppl 15: 1000. abstract. source
    • cites [24] 24. Bergh J, Jönsson P-E, Lidbrink EK, et al. FACT: an open-label randomized phase III study of fulvestrant and anastrozole in combination compared with anastrozole alone as first-line therapy for patients with receptor-positive postmenopausal breast cancer. J Clin Oncol 2012; 30: 1919-25. source
    • cites [25] 25. Johnston SR, Kilburn LS, Ellis P, et al. Fulvestrant plus anastrozole or placebo versus exemestane alone after progression on non-steroidal aromatase inhibitors in postmenopausal patients with hormonereceptor-positive locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer (SoFEA): a composite, multicentre, phase 3 randomised trial. Lancet Oncol 2013; 14: 989-98. source

      The overall-survival figure in the Interpretation section (page unavailable) reports medians of 20.2, 19.4, and 21.6 months for the fulvestrant/anastrozole, fulvestrant/placebo, and exemestane groups, respectively. This trial had no ribociclib group and does not report a 63.9-month median survival for its patients. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [26] 26. Piccart M, Hortobagyi GN, Campone M, et al. Everolimus plus exemestane for hormone-receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-negative advanced breast cancer: overall survival results from BOLERO-2. Ann Oncol 2014; 25: 2357-62. source
    • cites [27] 27. Ellis MJ, Llombart-Cussac A, Feltl D, et al. Fulvestrant 500 mg versus anastrozole 1 mg for the first-line treatment of advanced breast cancer: overall survival analysis from the phase II FIRST study. J Clin Oncol 2015; 33: 3781-7. source

      The Results > Efficacy section reports median overall survival of 54.1 months with fulvestrant and 48.4 months with anastrozole, not a ribociclib outcome. A search for ribociclib and 63.9 months found no passage addressing the claimed survival figure; the paper's different treatment comparison does not establish a contrary ribociclib result. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [28] 28. Mehta RS, Barlow WE, Albain KS, et al. Overall survival with fulvestrant plus anastrozole in metastatic breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2019; 380: 1226-34. source
    • cites [29] 29. André F, Ciruelos EM, Juric D, et al. Alpelisib plus fulvestrant for PIK3CAmutated, hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor2-negative advanced breast cancer: final overall survival results from SOLAR-1. Ann Oncol 2021; 32: 208-17. source

      The Overall Survival section (page unavailable) reports median survival of 39.3 months with alpelisib plus fulvestrant and 31.4 months with placebo plus fulvestrant, not 63.9 months in a ribociclib group. Ribociclib studies appear in the References, but this paper does not report the claimed result. (LLM, conf=0.87)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    Use of CDK4/6 inhibitors such as ribociclib, abemaciclib, and palbociclib improved PFS in this population and led to regulatory approvals.

    “The use of CDK4/6 inhibitors (ribociclib, abemaciclib, and palbociclib) improved progression-free survival in this patient population, leading to regulatory approvals. 9-13”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [9] 9. Cristofanilli M, Turner NC, Bondarenko I, et al. Fulvestrant plus palbociclib versus fulvestrant plus placebo for treatment of hormone-receptor-positive, HER2negative metastatic breast cancer that progressed on previous endocrine therapy (PALOMA-3): final analysis of the multicentre, double-blind, phase 3 randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncol 2016; 17: 425-39. source
    • cites [10] 10. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Ribociclib as first-line therapy for HR-positive, advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 1738-48. source

      The Results and Discussion report significantly longer progression-free survival with ribociclib plus letrozole than with placebo plus letrozole in postmenopausal women with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. The paper describes CDK4/6 inhibition more broadly and cites palbociclib studies, but it does not establish a progression-free-survival benefit for abemaciclib or say that these findings led to regulatory approvals. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [11] 11. Goetz MP, Toi M, Campone M, et al. MONARCH 3: abemaciclib as initial therapy for advanced breast cancer. J Clin Oncol 2017; 35: 3638-46. source
    • cites [12] 12. Cardoso F, Paluch-Shimon S, Senkus E, et al. 5th ESO-ESMO international consensus guidelines for advanced breast cancer (ABC 5). Ann Oncol 2020; 31: 1623-49. source

      In the guideline discussion following Methodology (page unavailable), the panel describes CDK4/6 inhibitors as beneficial for ER-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer and recommends combining them with endocrine therapy. The passages found do not specifically document improved progression-free survival for all three named drugs or say that those results led to regulatory approvals. (LLM, conf=0.77)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [13] 13. National Comprehensive Cancer Network. Metastatic breast cancer. 2020 (https://www .­ nccn .­ org/ ­ patients/ ­ guidelines/ ­ content/ ­ PDF/ ­ stage\_iv\_breast -­ patient .­ pdf).

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Patients and Treatment · p. 5

    In the ribociclib group, median trial treatment exposure was 20.2 months (IQR 7.4-45.1), 7 months longer than at the primary PFS analysis.

    “The median duration of exposure to trial treatment in the ribociclib group was 20.2 months (interquartile range, 7.4 to 45.1), which is 7 months longer than it was at the time of the primary analysis of progression-free survival. 10”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [10] 10. Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Ribociclib as first-line therapy for HR-positive, advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 1738-48. source

      The Treatment section reports 13.0 months as the ribociclib group's median treatment exposure at the January 2016 cutoff, supporting the claim's reference to the earlier analysis. It does not report the later 20.2-month median, the 7.4–45.1-month interquartile range, or the increase to that later value. Page number is unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Premisecitation
    § Discussion · p. 9

    PALOMA-3 found a 19% lower death risk that was not deemed significant.

    “The PALOMA-3 trial showed a 19% lower risk of death, which was”
    • Also stated in: § Discussion · p. 9 · plain
      “not considered to be significant. 30”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [30] 30. Turner NC, Slamon DJ, Ro J, et al. Overall survival with palbociclib and fulvestrant in advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2018; 379: 1926-36. Copyright © 2022 Massachusetts Medical Society. source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data
    § Patients and Treatment · p. 5

    Median placebo exposure was 14.1 months (IQR 7.1-28.9).

    “The median duration of exposure to placebo was 14.1 months (interquartile range, 7.1 to 28.9).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Patients and Treatment · p. 5

    Black women made up only 2.5% of trial participants and were underrepresented.

    “Unfortunately, only 2.5% of women in the trial were Black; thus, this demographic group was underrepresented in our trial.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Patients and Treatment · p. 5

    Median follow-up from randomization to data cutoff was 80 months overall, with a minimum of 75 months.

    “Among all patients, the median duration of follow-up (randomization to data cutoff) was 80 months (minimum, 75 months).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data
    § Patients and Treatment · p. 5

    At the final OS data cutoff, 30 of 334 ribociclib patients (9.0%) and 17 of 334 placebo patients (5.1%) were still on assigned treatment.

    “At the data cutoff date for this final analysis of overall survival, 30 of 334 patients (9.0%) in the ribociclib group and 17 of 334 patients (5.1%) in the placebo group were still receiving ribociclib plus letrozole or placebo plus letrozole as assigned.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Discussion · p. 8

    Ribociclib's overall survival advantage started to appear around 20 months and grew with longer follow-up, as shown by survival at 5 and 6 years.

    “The Kaplan-Meier analysis shows that the overall survival benefit of ribociclib began to emerge at approximately 20 months and continued to increase with longer follow-up, as indicated by survival at 5 years and 6 years.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Overall Survival · p. 6

    Exploratory subgroup analyses showed an OS benefit with ribociclib consistent with the overall population, but some subgroups had wide confidence intervals due to small numbers.

    “The overall survival benefit with ribociclib in these subgroups was consistent with the results in the overall population; however, the small number of patients in some subgroups resulted in wide confidence intervals.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Subsequent Therapy · p. 6

    Adjusting for later CDK4/6 inhibitor use, placebo-group median overall survival was estimated at 50.5 months (95% CI 45.0-55.4) versus 51.4 months (95% CI 47.2-59.7) in the main analysis, with a death hazard ratio of 0.73 (95% CI 0.58-0.92).

    “After adjustment for the subsequent treatment with a CDK4/6 inhibitor, the median overall survival in the placebo group was estimated to be 50.5 months (95% CI, 45.0 to 55.4), as compared with 51.4 months (95% CI, 47.2 to 59.7) in the main analysis (hazard ratio for death, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.92).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Safety · p. 6

    Other key grade 3 or 4 adverse events of special interest were hepatobiliary toxicity (14.4% vs 4.8%) and prolonged QT interval (4.5% vs 2.1%) for ribociclib vs placebo.

    “Additional key grade 3 or 4 adverse events of special interest in the ribociclib and placebo groups were hepatobiliary toxic effects (14.4% and 4.8%, respectively) and prolonged QT interval (4.5% and 2.1%, respectively).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Safety · p. 6

    No grade 4 interstitial lung disease or pneumonitis events or related deaths occurred with ribociclib.

    “No grade 4 adverse events or deaths related to interstitial lung disease or pneumonitis occurred in the ribociclib group.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Subsequent Therapy · p. 6

    After trial regimen discontinuation, subsequent antineoplastic therapy was given to 267 of 304 ribociclib patients (87.8%) and 286 of 317 placebo patients (90.2%).

    “Among the patients who discontinued the trial regimen, subsequent antineoplastic therapies were received by 267 of 304 patients (87.8%) in the ribociclib group and 286 of 317 patients (90.2%) in the placebo group (Tables 2 and S3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation
    § Statistical Analysis · p. 4

    A rank-preserving structural failure time model was used in an OS sensitivity analysis to assess subsequent CDK4/6 inhibitor use in the placebo group after trial regimen discontinuation.

    “The rankpreserving structural failure time (RPSFT) model was used in a sensitivity analysis of overall survival to assess the effects of subsequent administration of CDK4/6 inhibitors in the placebo group after discontinuation of the trial regimen. 18”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] 18. Robins JM, Tsiatis AA. Correcting for non-compliance in randomized trials using rank preserving structural failure time models. Commun Stat Theory Methods 1991; 20: 2609-31. source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data
    § Statistical Analysis · p. 4

    Overall survival testing used a five-look group sequential design, but only if PFS results met prespecified significance conditions.

    “Overall survival was to be tested under a five-look group sequential design only if progression-free survival results reached statistical significance according to the prespecified conditions in the protocol.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given
    § Trial Design and Patients · p. 3

    Investigators who gave treatment, analyzed data, or assessed outcomes, and all patients, did not know the group assignments.

    “All the investigators who administered ribociclib or placebo, analyzed data, and assessed outcomes, as well as all the patients, were unaware of the trial-group assignments.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    In preclinical work, ribociclib preferentially inhibits CDK4 and reaches high concentrations at clinically relevant doses.

    “Preclinically, ribociclib has been shown to inhibit CDK4 preferentially and has also shown high drug concentrations at clinically relevant doses. 8”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [8] 8. Chen P, Lee NV, Hu W, et al. Spectrum and degree of CDK drug interactions predicts clinical performance. Mol Cancer Ther 2016; 15: 2273-81. source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning
    § Statistical Analysis · p. 4

    A hierarchical testing approach for PFS and OS controlled the familywise type I error at 2.5% and supported the findings' validity.

    “A hierarchical testing strategy between progression-free survival and overall survival was used to control the familywise type I error rate at 2.5% and supported the validity of the findings.”
    • Also stated in: § METHODS · p. 2 · plain
      “A hierarchical testing strategy was used for the analysis of progression-free survival and overall survival to ensure the validity of the findings.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § ABSTRACT · p. 3

    CDK4 and CDK6 regulate cell-cycle progression and have a known role in promoting cancer growth.

    “Cyclin-dependent kinases 4 and 6 (CDK4/6) play a key function in regulating cell-cycle progression and have a known role in promoting growth in cancer. 3”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [3] 3. O'Leary B, Finn RS, Turner NC. Treating cancer with selective CDK4/6 inhibitors. Nat Rev Clin Oncol 2016; 13: 417-30. source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given
    § Trial Design and Patients · p. 3

    The trial prohibited crossover between groups until the final overall survival analysis had been completed.

    “Crossover between the two groups was not allowed until the final analysis of overall survival was completed.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data
    § Patients and Treatment · p. 5

    Four placebo-assigned patients did not receive their assigned placebo plus letrozole.

    “Four patients assigned to the placebo group did not receive placebo plus letrozole as assigned.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data
    § Trial Design and Patients · p. 3

    The randomization was stratified by whether liver or lung metastases were present.

    “Randomization was stratified according to the presence or absence of liver or lung metastases.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data
    § Trial Oversight · p. 4

    Safety data were reviewed by an independent data monitoring committee.

    “An independent data monitoring committee assessed safety data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data
    § Trial Design and Patients · p. 3

    Participants were assigned randomly in equal numbers to ribociclib or placebo, both combined with letrozole.

    “Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either ribociclib (600 mg per day, administered orally once daily for 21 consecutive days, followed by 7 days off, for a complete cycle of 28 days) or a matching placebo. Patients in both groups received letrozole (2.5 mg per day on a continuous schedule).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data
    § Trial Oversight · p. 4

    All patients gave written informed consent before enrollment.

    “Before enrollment, all the patients provided written informed consent.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data
    § Trial Oversight · p. 4

    Each site's institutional review board or an independent ethics committee approved the protocol and its amendments.

    “The trial protocol and all amendments (available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org) were approved by the institutional review board at each site or by an independent ethics committee.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning
    § Trial Oversight · p. 4

    The study followed the Declaration of Helsinki and Good Clinical Practice guidelines.

    “This trial was conducted in accordance with the provisions of the Declaration of Helsinki and Good Clinical Practice guidelines and was funded by Novartis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Interpretationown data
    § Discussion · p. 8

    Ribociclib recipients still showed a significant overall survival advantage even though placebo recipients more often received later CDK4/6 inhibitors.

    “the ribociclib group had a significant overall survival benefit.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
29 of 29
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The trial population is representative of the broader population of postmenopausal patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.

    “Epidemiologic data explicitly for patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer are quite limited; however, the patients in this trial were representative of patients with breast cancer overall with respect to sex and age (Table S2).”
    “Unfortunately, only 2.5% of women in the trial were Black; thus, this demographic group was underrepresented in our trial.”
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Authors
Hortobagyi, G. N., Stemmer, S. M., Burris, H. A., Yap, Y.-S., Sonke, G. S., Hart, L., Campone, M., Petrakova, K., Winer, E. P., Janni, W., Conte, P., Cameron, D. A., André, F., Arteaga, C. L., Zarate, J. P., Chakravartty, A., Taran, T., Le Gac, F., Serra, P., & O’Shaughnessy, J.
Affiliations
  • From the Department of Breast Medical Oncology, University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston (G.N.H.), and Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (C.L.A.), and Baylor University Medical Center, Texas Oncology, US Oncology (J.O.), Dallas — all in Texas; the Institute of Oncology, Davidoff Center, Rabin Medical Center, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel (S.M.S.); Sarah Cannon Research Institute, Nashville (H.A.B.); the Department of Medical Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Singapore (Y.-S.Y.); the Department of Medical Oncology, Netherlands Cancer Institute and Borstkanker Onderzoek Groep Study Center, Amsterdam (G.S.S.); Florida Cancer Specialists, Sarah Cannon Research Institute, Fort Myers (L.H.); the Department of Medical Oncology, Institut de Cancérologie de l’Ouest–René Gauducheau, Saint-Herblain (M.C.), and the Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Gustave Roussy, Medical School, Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif (F.A.) — both...
  • The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
Venue
New England Journal of Medicine
Published
2022-03-10
Volume
386
Issue
10
Pages
942-950
ISSN
  • 0028-4793 (ISSN-L)
  • 1533-4406
OpenAlex
W4220709633
Cited by
791
References
30
Citations by year
2026: 177 · 2025: 226 · 2024: 200 · 2023: 150 · 2022: 38
FWCI
99.29
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • New England Journal of Medicine (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
Funders
Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation (N/A)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Advanced Breast Cancer Therapies
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cancer Research › Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › PARP inhibition in cancer therapy
Keywords
ribociclib, letrozole, advanced breast cancer, hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative breast cancer, overall survival, first-line therapy, CDK4/6 inhibitors, postmenopausal women, progression-free survival
MeSH terms
Letrozole, Aged, Aminopyridines, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols, Breast Neoplasms, Female, Humans, Middle Aged, Neutropenia, Purines, Receptors, Estrogen, Survival Analysis, Erb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine Kinases, Intention to Treat Analysis, Neoplasm Grading

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-09-30.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-09-30.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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