The DOI matches its Crossref record; 8 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change presents increased potential for very large fires in the contiguous United States
Abstract
Very large fires (VLFs) have important implications for communities, ecosystems, air quality and fire suppression expenditures. VLFs over the contiguous US have been strongly linked with meteorological and climatological variability. Building on prior modelling of VLFs (>5000 ha), an ensemble of 17 global climate models were statistically downscaled over the US for climate experiments covering the historic and mid-21st-century periods to estimate potential changes in VLF occurrence arising from anthropogenic climate change. Increased VLF potential was projected across most historically fire-prone regions, with the largest absolute increase in the intermountain West and Northern California. Complementary to modelled increases in VLF potential were changes in the seasonality of atmospheric conditions conducive to VLFs, including an earlier onset across the southern US and more symmetric seasonal extension in the northern regions. These projections provide insights into regional and seasonal distribution of VLF potential under a changing climate, and serve as a basis for future strategic and tactical fire management options.
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Citations
Cites
Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity.
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Swetnam, T. W. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128834 · Cited by 5,176 · cited 2×
“Observed changes in climate may have already influenced wildfire potential over parts of the globe (e.g. Stocks et al. 1998; Gillett et al. 2004; Westerling et al. 2006), and projected changes in climate over the next century are hypothesised to significantly alter global wildfire regimes (e.g.…”
BackgroundImplications of changing climate for global wildland fire
Flannigan, M. D., Krawchuk, M. A., de Groot, W. J., Wotton, B. M., & Gowman, L. M. (2009) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf08187 · Cited by 1,460
Estimated Global Mortality Attributable to Smoke from Landscape Fires
Johnston, F. H., Henderson, S. B., Chen, Y., Randerson, J. T., Marlier, M., DeFries, R. S., Kinney, P., Bowman, D. M. J. S., & Brauer, M. (2012) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp.1104422 · Cited by 852
Projected increase in lightning strikes in the United States due to global warming
Romps, D. M., Seeley, J. T., Vollaro, D., & Molinari, J. (2014) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1259100 · Cited by 613
Global changes in extreme events: regional and seasonal dimension
Orlowsky, B., & Seneviratne, S. I. (2012) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0122-9 · Cited by 549
Forest fire occurrence and climate change in Canada
Wotton, B. M., Nock, C. A., & Flannigan, M. D. (2010) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf09002 · Cited by 436
Lenihan, J. M., Bachelet, D., Neilson, R. P., & Drapek, R. (2008) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9362-0 · Cited by 217
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Cited by
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073
Self-citationGlobal and Regional Trends and Drivers of Fire Under Climate Change
Jones, M. W., Abatzoglou, J. T., Veraverbeke, S., Andela, N., Lasslop, G., Forkel, M., Smith, A. J. P., Burton, C., Betts, R. A., van der Werf, G. R., et al. (2022) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2020rg000726 · Cited by 1,332
Self-citationWeiskopf, S. R., Rubenstein, M. A., Crozier, L. G., Gaichas, S., Griffis, R., Halofsky, J. E., Hyde, K. J. W., Morelli, T. L., Morisette, J. T., Muñoz, R. C., et al. (2020) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137782 · Cited by 1,262
Climate Extremes and Compound Hazards in a Warming World
AghaKouchak, A., Chiang, F., Huning, L. S., Love, C. A., Mallakpour, I., Mazdiyasni, O., Moftakhari, H., Papalexiou, S. M., Ragno, E., & Sadegh, M. (2020) · Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences · doi:10.1146/annurev-earth-071719-055228 · Cited by 1,103
Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States
Balch, J. K., Bradley, B. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Nagy, R. C., Fusco, E. J., & Mahood, A. L. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1617394114 · Cited by 1,043
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Metadata
- Authors
- Barbero, R., Abatzoglou, J. T., Larkin, N. K., Kolden, C. A., & Stocks, B.
- Venue
- International Journal of Wildland Fire
- Publisher
- CSIRO Publishing
- Published
- 2015-07-16
- Volume
- 24
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 892-899
- ISSN
- 1049-8001 (ISSN-L)
- 1448-5516
- OpenAlex
- W1946614090
- Cited by
- 434
- References
- 8
- FWCI
- 25.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Climate change presents increased potential for very large fires in the contiguous United States. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1071/wf15083
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- Barbero, R., Abatzoglou, J. T., Larkin, N. K., Kolden, C. A., & Stocks, B. (2015). Climate change presents increased potential for very large fires in the contiguous United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire. https://doi.org/10.1071/wf15083
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