Response of vegetation distribution, ecosystem productivity, and fire to climate change scenarios for California
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Projections for the number of wildfire events by end of century vary dramatically, e.g., +9 to 13%, +40 to 49%, and +34 to 53%.
“projections for the number of wildfire events by the end the century vary dramatically (e.g., +9 to 13% [11], +40 to 49% [14], and +34 to 53% [12]).”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [11]
Our finding of moderate increases in the number of fires in the two forecast periods evaluated (2001-2025, 2026-2050) is in agreement with Lenihan et al [11], who forecast relatively small increases (on the order of 4-7%) to burned area.
“Our finding of a moderate increases in the number of fires in the two forecast periods evaluated (2001–2025, 2026–2050) are in agreement with Lenihan et al [11], who use dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) to forecast relatively small increases (on the order of 4–7%) to burned area but with broad shifts in fire regime and plant community patterns.”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [11]
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- Authors
- Lenihan, J. M., Bachelet, D., Neilson, R. P., & Drapek, R.
- Affiliations
- US Forest Service (US)
- Oregon State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lenihan, James M.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2007-11-30
- Volume
- 87
- Issue
- S1
- Pages
- 215-230
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2040144539
- Cited by
- 217
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 19
- FWCI
- 7.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Climatic Change (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- climate change scenarios, vegetation distribution, ecosystem productivity, forest fires, carbon sink, net primary productivity, grassland expansion, biomass consumption, California, climate change projections
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