The DOI matches its Crossref record; 47 of the 50 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change
Open accessAbstract
We find that extreme temperature and precipitation events are likely to respond substantially to anthropogenically enhanced greenhouse forcing and that fine-scale climate system modifiers are likely to play a critical role in the net response. At present, such events impact a wide variety of natural and human systems, and future changes in their frequency and/or magnitude could have dramatic ecological, economic, and sociological consequences. Our results indicate that fine-scale snow albedo effects influence the response of both hot and cold events and that peak increases in extreme hot events are amplified by surface moisture feedbacks. Likewise, we find that extreme precipitation is enhanced on the lee side of rain shadows and over coastal areas dominated by convective precipitation. We project substantial, spatially heterogeneous increases in both hot and wet events over the contiguous United States by the end of the next century, suggesting that consideration of fine-scale processes is critical for accurate assessment of local- and regional-scale vulnerability to climate change.
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“A weakening of orographic rain shadows related to changes in precipitation extremes has previously been noted in simulations of climate warming over North America [22, 75].”
From Precipitation Extremes Under Climate Change (2015) · cites this paper as [22]
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California
Diffenbaugh, N. S., Swain, D. L., & Touma, D. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1422385112 · Cited by 1,471
Self-citationRegional Climate Modeling for the Developing World: The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET
Pal, J. S., Giorgi, F., Bi, X., Elguindi, N., Solmon, F., Gao, X., Rauscher, S. A., Francisco, R., Zakey, A. S., Winter, J. M., et al. (2007) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-88-9-1395 · Cited by 941
Self-citationPast and future changes in climate and hydrological indicators in the US Northeast
Hayhoe, K., Wake, C. P., Huntington, T. G., Luo, L., Schwartz, M. D., Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F., Anderson, B. T., Bradbury, J., Degaetano, A., et al. (2006) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0187-8 · Cited by 915
Perkins, S. E. (2015) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.05.014 · Cited by 875
Precipitation Extremes Under Climate Change
O’Gorman, P. A. (2015) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-015-0009-3 · Cited by 881
Metadata
- Authors
- Diffenbaugh, N. S., Pal, J. S., Trapp, R. J., & Giorgi, F.
- Affiliations
- The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) (IT)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2005-10-19
- Volume
- 102
- Issue
- 44
- Pages
- 15774-15778
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC1276070
- OpenAlex
- W2055570283
- Cited by
- 498
- References
- 50
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 16 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 35 · 2014: 34 · 2013: 45 · 2012: 37
- FWCI
- 18.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- europepmc.org
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (0315677)
- Purdue University
- Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics
- Purdue Climate Change Research Center, Purdue University
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Keywords
- temperature extremes, heavy rainfall, climate change response, snow-albedo feedback, rain shadow, convective precipitation, greenhouse forcing, regional climate projections, contiguous United States, climate change vulnerability
- MeSH terms
- Climate, Cold Temperature, Geography, Hot Temperature, Rain, Snow, Temperature, United States
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