The DOI matches its Crossref record; 41 of the 41 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Evolutionary tipping points in the capacity to adapt to environmental change
Open accessAbstract
Significance: Environmental variation is becoming more frequent and unpredictable as a consequence of climate change, yet we currently lack the tools to evaluate the extent to which organisms may adapt to this phenomenon. Here we develop a model that explores these issues and use it to study how changes in the timescale and predictability of environmental variation may ultimately affect population viability. Our model indicates that, although populations can often cope with fairly large changes in these environmental parameters, on occasion they will collapse abruptly and go extinct. We characterize the conditions under which these evolutionary tipping points occur and discuss how vulnerability to such cryptic threats may depend on the genetic architecture and life history of the organisms involved.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M. C., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L., & Chen, Z. (2007) · Cited by 23,383
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Parmesan, C. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 · Cited by 8,652
Developmental Plasticity and Evolution
West-Eberhard, M. J. (2003) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780195122343.001.0001 · Cited by 6,115
Hays, J. D., Imbrie, J., & Shackleton, N. J. (1976) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.194.4270.1121 · Cited by 3,781
(1994) · Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries · doi:10.1007/bf00044132 · Cited by 3,282
Climate change and evolutionary adaptation
Hoffmann, A. A., & Sgrò, C. M. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature09670 · Cited by 3,242
Shifting plant phenology in response to global change
CLELAND, E., CHUINE, I., MENZEL, A., MOONEY, H., & SCHWARTZ, M. (2007) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2007.04.003 · Cited by 2,335
Phenotypic evolution: a reaction norm perspective
(1999) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.36-4478 · Cited by 1,836
Phenotypic flexibility and the evolution of organismal design
Piersma, T., & Drent, J. (2003) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/s0169-5347(03)00036-3 · Cited by 1,018
The Evolutionary Maintenance of Alternative Phenotypes
Moran, N. A. (1992) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/285369 · Cited by 864
Cited by
Plasticity in thermal tolerance has limited potential to buffer ectotherms from global warming
Gunderson, A. R., & Stillman, J. H. (2015) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.0401 · Cited by 792
Social determinants of health and survival in humans and other animals
Snyder-Mackler, N., Burger, J. R., Gaydosh, L., Belsky, D. W., Noppert, G. A., Campos, F. A., Bartolomucci, A., Yang, Y. C., Aiello, A. E., O’Rand, A., et al. (2020) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aax9553 · Cited by 679
Three types of rescue can avert extinction in a changing environment
Hufbauer, R. A., Szűcs, M., Kasyon, E., Youngberg, C., Koontz, M. J., Richards, C., Tuff, T., & Melbourne, B. A. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1504732112 · Cited by 277
Wright, J., Bolstad, G. H., Araya‐Ajoy, Y. G., & Dingemanse, N. J. (2019) · Biological Reviews · doi:10.1111/brv.12451 · Cited by 175
Self-citationDefining Division of Labor in Microbial Communities
Giri, S., Waschina, S., Kaleta, C., & Kost, C. (2019) · Journal of Molecular Biology · doi:10.1016/j.jmb.2019.06.023 · Cited by 89
Metadata
- Authors
- Botero, C. A., Weissing, F. J., Wright, J., & Rubenstein, D. R.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2014-11-24
- Volume
- 112
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 184-189
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2107289345
- Cited by
- 470
- References
- 41
- FWCI
- 12.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Evolutionary tipping points in the capacity to adapt to environmental change. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1073/pnas.1408589111
- The paper
- Botero, C. A., Weissing, F. J., Wright, J., & Rubenstein, D. R. (2015). Evolutionary tipping points in the capacity to adapt to environmental change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1408589111
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
