Epigenetic-based age acceleration in a representative sample of older Americans: Associations with aging-related morbidity and mortality
Open accessAbstract
Biomarkers developed from DNA methylation (DNAm) data are of growing interest as predictors of health outcomes and mortality in older populations. However, it is unknown how epigenetic aging fits within the context of known socioeconomic and behavioral associations with aging-related health outcomes in a large, population-based, and diverse sample. This study uses data from a representative, panel study of US older adults to examine the relationship between DNAm-based age acceleration measures in the prediction of cross-sectional and longitudinal health outcomes and mortality. We examine whether recent improvements to these scores, using principal component (PC)-based measures designed to remove some of the technical noise and unreliability in measurement, improve the predictive capability of these measures. We also examine how well DNAm-based measures perform against well-known predictors of health outcomes such as demographics, SES, and health behaviors. In our sample, age acceleration calculated using “second and third generation clocks,” PhenoAge, GrimAge, and DunedinPACE, is consistently a significant predictor of health outcomes including cross-sectional cognitive dysfunction, functional limitations and chronic conditions assessed 2 y after DNAm measurement, and 4-y mortality. PC-based epigenetic age acceleration measures do not significantly change the relationship of DNAm-based age acceleration measures to health outcomes or mortality compared to earlier versions of these measures. While the usefulness of DNAm-based age acceleration as a predictor of later life health outcomes is quite clear, other factors such as demographics, SES, mental health, and health behaviors remain equally, if not more robust, predictors of later life outcomes.
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Compared to chronological age, epigenetic clocks provide more sensitive measures of how stressors influence biological aging and health.
“Compared to chronological age, epigenetic clocks provide more sensitive measures of how stressors influence biological aging and health (Faul et al., 2023).”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
The Abstract says DNA-methylation biomarkers are thought to be influenced by external exposures and reports associations between epigenetic age acceleration and health outcomes in older US adults. The Methods describe age acceleration as a measure with the effect of chronological age removed. Neither section establishes that epigenetic clocks are more sensitive than chronological age to the effects of stressors. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredEpigenetic age deceleration and a lower pace of aging are associated with better health and a lower risk of chronic conditions, infection, cognitive decline, and all-cause mortality.
“Conversely, epigenetic age deceleration and a lower pace of aging are associated with better health and a lower risk of the aforementioned conditions (Faul et al., 2023).”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
The Results and Discussion (page numbers unavailable) associate faster epigenetic aging, including a faster DunedinPACE measure, with multimorbidity and mortality; this supports the converse association for slower aging. The paper reports cognitive dysfunction measured at the same time as DNA methylation, not subsequent cognitive decline, and the passages do not establish an association with infection risk. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredHigher epigenetic age acceleration and pace of aging are associated with chronic conditions, increased infection risk, cognitive decline, and general all-cause mortality.
“Higher EAA and pace of aging are associated with chronic conditions, increased infection risk, cognitive decline, and general all-cause mortality.”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
The Results (page not provided) associate epigenetic age acceleration and DunedinPACE with multimorbidity, concurrent cognitive dysfunction, and four-year mortality. They do not establish cognitive decline over time: the paper says cognition could only be analyzed cross-sectionally. Our copy also does not report an association with infection risk (searched: infection, infection risk). (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredStress can alter the epigenomic landscape of cells, a dynamic map of gene expression in response to external factors.
“Stress can alter the epigenomic landscape of cells—a dynamic map of how genes are expressed (activated or suppressed) in response to external factors (Faul et al., 2023).”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
The opening text following the Abstract says DNA methylation is thought to be influenced by external exposures and to modify gene expression. It does not specifically identify stress as an exposure or define the epigenomic landscape as a dynamic map of gene expression; the Discussion also notes that DNA methylation is only one measure of epigenetic modification. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredChronic conditions were excluded from primary models because they are often endogenous with epigenetic aging, but included in sensitivity analyses.
“Because chronic conditions are often endogenous with epigenetic aging, they were excluded from primary models, but included in sensitivity analyses (Faul et al., 2023).”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
The Analytic Approach lists the primary model adjustments without chronic conditions, which supports their exclusion as covariates. It does not say they were excluded because of endogeneity or included in sensitivity analyses; the additional models instead adjust for blood-based biomarkers. The Chronic disease assessment section treats chronic conditions as components of the multimorbidity outcome. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
DNA methylation patterns underlie epigenetic clocks, which estimate biological age from DNAm at CpG sites linked to aging markers.
“DNAm patterns underlie epigenetic “clocks”, which estimate biological age from DNAm at CpG sites linked to aging markers (Faul et al., 2023).”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
BMI and smoking status were included as covariates to reduce confounding and better capture caregiving effects beyond those attributable to health behaviors.
“Health-related covariates included BMI and smoking status (whether participants smoked at least a few cigarettes every day; never/did not answer, former, or current regular smoker), both established predictors of DNAm and epigenetic clock measures (Faul et al., 2023). Controlling for these reduces confounding and better captures caregiving effects beyond those attributable to health behaviors.”
From Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States (2026) · cites this paper as Faul et al., 2023
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Grandparent Caregiving and Epigenetic Aging among Midlife and Older Adults in the United States
Bhat, A. C., Trexberg, K. M., Apsley, A. T., Almeida, D. M., & Shalev, I. (2026) · The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · doi:10.1093/geronb/gbaf255 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“Conversely, epigenetic age deceleration and a lower pace of aging are associated with better health and a lower risk of the aforementioned conditions (Faul et al., 2023).”
Influential
- Authors
- Faul, J. D., Kim, J. K., Levine, M. E., Thyagarajan, B., Weir, D. R., & Crimmins, E. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Michigan (US)
- University of Southern California (US)
- Yale University (US)
- University of Minnesota (US)
- Corresponding author
- Crimmins, Eileen M.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2023-02-21
- Volume
- 120
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- e2215840120-e2215840120
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC9992763
- OpenAlex
- W4321440558
- Cited by
- 211
- References
- 5
- Citations by year
- 2026: 53 · 2025: 78 · 2024: 58 · 2023: 22
- FWCI
- 18.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- HHS | NIH | National Institute on Aging (R01 AG AG060110, U01 AG009740)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Epigenetics and DNA Methylation
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Aging › Genetics, Aging, and Longevity in Model Organisms
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Telomeres, Telomerase, and Senescence
- Keywords
- epigenetic aging, DNA methylation, accelerated aging, biological age, mortality prediction, cognitive impairment, functional limitations, chronic disease, socioeconomic status, health behavior, PhenoAge, GrimAge, DunedinPACE, older adults, health outcome prediction
- MeSH terms
- Acceleration, Aged, Aging, Cross-Sectional Studies, Humans, Biomarkers, DNA Methylation, Epigenesis, Genetic
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