The DOI matches its Crossref record; 37 of the 37 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Are We Reaching Peak Travel? Trends in Passenger Transport in Eight Industrialized Countries
Open accessAbstract
Projections of energy use and greenhouse gas emissions for industrialized countries typically show continued growth in vehicle ownership, vehicle use and overall travel demand. This growth represents a continuation of trends from the 1970s through the early 2000s. This paper presents a descriptive analysis of cross‐national passenger transport trends in eight industrialized countries, providing evidence to suggest that these trends may have halted. Through decomposing passenger transport energy use into activity, modal structure and modal energy intensity, we show that increases in total activity (passenger travel) have been the driving force behind increased energy use, offset somewhat by declining energy intensity. We show that total activity growth has halted relative to GDP in recent years in the eight countries examined. If these trends continue, it is possible that an accelerated decline in the energy intensity of car travel; stagnation in total travel per capita; some shifts back to rail and bus modes; and at least somewhat less carbon per unit of energy could leave the absolute levels of emissions in 2020 or 2030 lower than today.
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Cited by
Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N., Boza-Kiss, B., Krey, V., McCollum, D. L., Rao, N. D., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., De Stercke, S., et al. (2018) · Nature Energy · doi:10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6 · Cited by 1,178
Fontaras, G., Zacharof, N.-G., & Ciuffo, B. (2017) · Progress in Energy and Combustion Science · doi:10.1016/j.pecs.2016.12.004 · Cited by 686
Global typology of urban energy use and potentials for an urbanization mitigation wedge
Creutzig, F., Baiocchi, G., Bierkandt, R., Pichler, P.-P., & Seto, K. C. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1315545112 · Cited by 598
Travel trends among young adults in Germany: increasing multimodality and declining car use for men
Kuhnimhof, T., Buehler, R., Wirtz, M., & Kalinowska, D. (2012) · Journal of Transport Geography · doi:10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.04.018 · Cited by 284
Menon, N., Barbour, N., Zhang, Y., Pinjari, A. R., & Mannering, F. (2019) · International Journal of Sustainable Transportation · doi:10.1080/15568318.2018.1443178 · Cited by 181
Metadata
- Authors
- Millard‐Ball, A., & Schipper, L.
- Venue
- Transport Reviews
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2011-05
- Volume
- 31
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 357-378
- ISSN
- 0144-1647 (ISSN-L)
- 1464-5327
- OpenAlex
- W2114431894
- Cited by
- 339
- References
- 37
- FWCI
- 12.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
