Influences on the predictive performance of thermal sensation indices
Abstract
Understanding humans’ perception of the thermal built environment is one of the prerequisites for designing satisfactory workplaces and related to their energy use. This paper compares the predictive performance of nine thermal comfort indices with respect to the population mean and individual votes together with the effect of false assumptions of metabolic rate, clothing level, and air velocity on this performance. In addition, the potential to customize the indices to the building level, e.g. by means of the coefficient for psychological adaptation, PSYCH, included in the adaptive thermal heat-balance (ATHB) model is analysed. The analysis of field data from two naturally ventilated and four mixed-mode office buildings showed that the ATHB indices outperform the other indices in terms of predicting thermal sensation. The effect of false assumption is larger for predicted mean vote (PMV)-based models compared with standard effective temperature (SET)-based models. In addition, customization revealed no clear distinction between naturally and mixed-mode buildings, which suggests that other factors are more influential. These results are discussed with respect to the potential of the ATHB approach to account for differences in building control characteristics and the way thermal comfort is addressed in related standards.
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Recent works evaluating predictive performance showed that only between 30% and 50% of individual thermal sensation votes were predicted correctly.
“Not surprisingly, recent works evaluating the predictive performance of several of these models showed that only between 30% and 50% of individual thermal sensation votes were predicted correctly [13].”
From Drivers of diversity in human thermal perception – A review for holistic comfort models (2018) · cites this paper as [13]
The ATHB approach offers a framework to include individual processes of thermal adaptation into the heat balance by Fanger and the SET model by Gagge.
“The ATHB approach [13,14] offers a framework to include individual processes of thermal adaptation (behavioral, physiological, psychological) into the heat balance by Fanger [14] and the SET model by Gagge [13,14].”
From Drivers of diversity in human thermal perception – A review for holistic comfort models (2018) · cites this paper as [13]
The approach by Schweiker et al. adjusts the metabolic rate as input to either PMV and/or SET calculation to model effects of physiological adaptation, and as a result, the output of the PMV model aligns with the results of the adaptive comfort model.
“A first intent can be seen in the approach by Schweiker et al., which adjusts the metabolic rate as input to either PMV [13,14] and/or SET [13] calculation to model effects of physiological adaptation as described in section ”Methodology”, Equation (2). As a result, the output of the PMV model aligns with the results of the adaptive comfort model [13,14].”
From Drivers of diversity in human thermal perception – A review for holistic comfort models (2018) · cites this paper as [13]
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- Authors
- Schweiker, M., & Wagner, A.
- Affiliations
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Schweiker, Marcel
- Venue
- Building Research & Information
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2016-12-14
- Volume
- 45
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 745-758
- ISSN
- 0961-3218 (ISSN-L)
- 1466-4321
- OpenAlex
- W2566150397
- Cited by
- 31
- References
- 36
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 1.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Building Research & Information (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Baden-Württemberg Stiftung
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Urban Heat Island Mitigation
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Wind and Air Flow Studies
- Keywords
- thermal comfort index, thermal sensation prediction, predicted mean vote, standard effective temperature, naturally ventilated buildings, metabolic rate, air velocity, psychological adjustment, workplace thermal environment
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