Theoretical Basis of the Beavis Effect
Abstract
The core of statistical inference is based on both hypothesis testing and estimation. The use of inferential statistics for QTL identification thus includes estimation of genetic effects and statistical tests. Typically, QTL are reported only when the test statistics reach a predetermined critical value. Therefore, the estimated effects of detected QTL are actually sampled from a truncated distribution. As a result, the expectations of detected QTL effects are biased upward. In a simulation study, William D. Beavis showed that the average estimates of phenotypic variances associated with correctly identified QTL were greatly overestimated if only 100 progeny were evaluated, slightly overestimated if 500 progeny were evaluated, and fairly close to the actual magnitude when 1000 progeny were evaluated. This phenomenon has subsequently been called the Beavis effect. Understanding the theoretical basis of the Beavis effect will help interpret QTL mapping results and improve success of marker-assisted selection. This study provides a statistical explanation for the Beavis effect. The theoretical prediction agrees well with the observations reported in Beavis's original simulation study. Application of the theory to meta-analysis of QTL mapping is discussed.
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In many crosses, the estimated effect size is inflated by the Beavis effect or winner's curse.
“In many cases as well, the effect size estimated in the cross will be an overestimate due to the Beavis effect/winner’s curse101,102”
From Rare and common variants: twenty arguments (2012) · cites this paper as [101]
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- Authors
- Xu, S.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Riverside (US)
- Corresponding author
- Xu, Shizhong
- ORCID
- Xu, Shizhong
- Venue
- Genetics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2003-12-01
- Volume
- 165
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 2259-2268
- ISSN
- 0016-6731 (ISSN-L)
- 1943-2631
- OpenAlex
- W2153222781
- Cited by
- 464
- References
- 17
- Citations by year
- 2026: 31 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 33 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 22 · 2018: 20 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 33 · 2014: 22 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 30
- FWCI
- 3.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model (vor)
- Locations
- Genetics (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (R01GM055321)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Mapping and Diversity in Plants and Animals
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic and phenotypic traits in livestock
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Keywords
- QTL mapping, QTL effect estimation, truncated distributions, sample size, phenotypic variance, marker-assisted selection, QTL meta-analysis, hypothesis testing
- MeSH terms
- Chromosome Mapping, Genetic Markers, Genetics, Population, Humans, Models, Genetic, Models, Theoretical, Quantitative Trait, Heritable
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