Declining Lung Cancer Rates Among Young Men and Women in the United States: A Cohort Analysis
Abstract
Although overall age-adjusted rates of mortality from lung cancer in the United States continue to rise, rates at ages below 45 years have begun to decline. In this report we show that the decrease is greatest among white men, with a 29% drop between the mid-1970s and mid-1980s, but a decrease also occurred among black men and white and black women. Cohort analyses revealed that the rates of lung cancer peaked among men born around 1925-1930 and among women born around 1935-1940, and have declined thereafter. If these trends continue, overall lung cancer mortality rates will start to decline in the 1990s among men and after the year 2000 among women.
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Findings from a cohort of a specific age group collected in the past might not apply to people currently in the same age group.
“For example, findings from a cohort of a specific age group collected in the past might not apply to people currently in the same age group.118”
From Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology using Mendelian Randomisation (STROBE-MR): explanation and elaboration. (2021) · cites this paper as [118]
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- Authors
- Devesa, S. S., Blot, W. J., & Fraumeni, J. F.
- Affiliations
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Devesa, S. S.
- Venue
- JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1989-10-18
- Volume
- 81
- Issue
- 20
- Pages
- 1568-1571
- ISSN
- 0027-8874 (ISSN-L)
- 1460-2105
- OpenAlex
- W2171191579
- Cited by
- 86
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2024: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 1 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 3.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
- Keywords
- lung cancer mortality, mortality decline, young adults, cohort analysis, age-adjusted mortality rates, racial differences, white men, Black men, women, birth cohort, United States
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Female, Humans, Lung Neoplasms, Male, Middle Aged, Smoking, United States, Cohort Studies
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