Measuring metacognitive performance: type 1 performance dependence and test-retest reliability
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Abstract
Research on metacognition—thinking about thinking—has grown rapidly and fostered our understanding of human cognition in healthy individuals and clinical populations. Of central importance is the concept of metacognitive performance, which characterizes the capacity of an individual to estimate and report the accuracy of primary (type 1) cognitive processes or actions ensuing from these processes. Arguably one of the biggest challenges for measures of metacognitive performance is their dependency on objective type 1 performance, although more recent methods aim to address this issue. The present work scrutinizes the most popular metacognitive performance measures in terms of two critical characteristics: independence of type 1 performance and test-retest reliability. Analyses of data from the Confidence Database (total N = 6912) indicate that no current metacognitive performance measure is independent of type 1 performance. The shape of this dependency is largely reproduced by extending current models of metacognition with a source of metacognitive noise. Moreover, the reliability of metacognitive performance measures is highly sensitive to the combination of type 1 performance and trial number. Importantly, trial numbers frequently employed in metacognition research are too low to achieve an acceptable level of test-retest reliability. Among common task characteristics, simultaneous choice and confidence reports most strongly improved reliability. Finally, general recommendations about design choices and analytical remedies for studies investigating metacognitive performance are provided.
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The assumption that meta-d'/d' is fully independent of metacognitive bias and performance has been challenged.
“However, the assumption that meta-d ′ /d ′ is fully independent of metacognitive bias and performance has been challenged (Guggenmos 2021, Xue et al. 2021).”
From Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis (2024) · cites this paper as Guggenmos 2021
The Results section reports that meta-dʹ/dʹ (Mratio) is largely stable across type 1 performance levels but varies at some levels of metacognitive noise and type 1 performance, challenging full performance independence. The paper does not establish that Mratio depends on metacognitive bias; its Introduction discusses bias insensitivity for a different measure, AUROC2. No page numbers are available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
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“A frequent use case is between-subject designs in which performance levels might differ between participants and/or groups and which thus explicitly require a measures invariant to type 1 performance (Baird et al. 2014; Hauser et al. 2017; Sadeghi et al. 2017; Faivre et al. 2020; Hertz et al. 2020; Nicholson et al. 20…”
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Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis
Fleming, S. M. (2024) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-022423-032425 · Cited by 256 · see citing works
“However, the assumption that meta-d’/d’ is fully independent of metacognitive bias and performance has been challenged (Guggenmos, 2021, Xue et al., 2021).”
How Local and Global Metacognition Shape Mental Health
Seow, T. X. F., Rouault, M., Gillan, C. M., & Fleming, S. M. (2021) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2021.05.013 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
- Authors
- Guggenmos, M.
- Affiliations
- Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Guggenmos, Matthias
- ORCID
- Guggenmos, Matthias
- Venue
- Neuroscience of Consciousness
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2021-02-10
- Volume
- 2021
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- niab040-niab040
- ISSN
- 2057-2107 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8633424
- OpenAlex
- W3216979255
- Cited by
- 66
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 8 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 2
- FWCI
- 5.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Neuroscience of Consciousness (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Refubium (Universitätsbibliothek der Freien Universität Berlin) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- PsyArXiv (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- PsyArXiv (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
- Universitätsbibliothek der FU Berlin Hochschulschriftenstelle u. Dokumentenserver (cc-by)
- Funders
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (GU 1845/1-1)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Memory Processes and Influences
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Visual perception and processing mechanisms
- Keywords
- metacognition, test-retest reliability, confidence reports, metacognitive confidence, metacognitive model, simultaneous choice
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