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The Impact of Cigarette Excise Taxes on Smoking Cessation Rates From 1994 to 2010 in Poland, Russia, and Ukraine
Open accessAbstract
INTRODUCTION: We studied the impact of cigarette excise taxes on the rates of smoking cessation with data from 3 neighboring Eastern European countries (Russia, Poland, and Ukraine) during the post-transitional period of the 1990s and 2000s. METHODS: Using Global Adult Tobacco Survey data from 11,106 former and current smokers, we estimated the impact of cigarette taxes on the smokers' likelihood of quitting over time. We first transformed the survey's cross-sectional data into a pseudo-longitudinal format in which the average observation period for individual subjects was 12 years and then employed duration analysis. RESULTS: We estimated that a 10% increase in cigarette taxes during the observation period increased the probability of smoking cessation among smokers in these countries by 1.6% to 2.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Cigarette tax increases have played a significant role in driving smoking cessation in Poland, Russia, and Ukraine. Further increases in cigarette excise taxes are likely to encourage further cessation and thus impact the prevalence of smoking in the region.
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“Tobacco taxes reduce initiation among youth, demand and consumption among current smokers, and relapse among former smokers.5–10”
From Seven-year tobacco tax plan in Ukraine: a case study of the actors, tactics and factors motivating policy passage (2022) · cites this paper as [10]
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Paraje, G. R., Jha, P., Savedoff, W., & Fuchs, A. (2023) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2023-011866 · Cited by 52
Weiger, C., Hoe, C., & Cohen, J. E. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049833 · Cited by 10
Metadata
- Authors
- Ross, H., Kostova, D., Stoklosa, M., & Leon, M.
- Affiliations
- American Cancer Society (US)
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
- Centre international de recherche sur le cancer (FR)
- Venue
- Nicotine & Tobacco Research
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2013-12-16
- Volume
- 16
- Issue
- Suppl 1
- Pages
- S37-S43
- ISSN
- 1462-2203 (ISSN-L)
- 1469-994X
- OpenAlex
- W2071734437
- Cited by
- 19
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 3 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 0.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- zenodo.org
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- Nicotine & Tobacco Research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Fiscal Studies
- Keywords
- cigarette excise tax, smoking cessation, tobacco taxation, tobacco control, post-communist transition, Eastern Europe, Poland, Russia, Ukraine, event history analysis, smoking prevalence
- MeSH terms
- Smoking Prevention, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Commerce, Cross-Sectional Studies, Data Collection, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Poland, Russia, Smoking, Taxes, Ukraine, Prevalence, Smoking Cessation, Models, Economic, Young Adult, Tobacco Products
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