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PROPORTION OF DISEASE CAUSED OR PREVENTED BY A GIVEN EXPOSURE, TRAIT OR INTERVENTION1
Abstract
The structures of two epidemiologic parameters are explored. One, the “etiologic fraction, ” relates to markers of increased risk, and it is the proportion of disease attributable to the marker and/or to factors associated with it. The other, the “prevented fraction, ” is the equivalent of this for a marker of reduced risk. It is shown that both parameters depend—in different ways—-on the frequency of the marker among cases of the disease, and on the “standardized morbidity ratio” for those with the marker. Point estimation of these parameters is often straight-forward, particularly in case-control studies.
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“ETT has been used in econometrics to evaluate the effectiveness of social programs on their participants (Heckman, 1992) and has long been the target of research in epidemiology, where it came to be known as 'the effect of exposure on the exposed,' or 'standardized morbidity' (Miettinen, 1974; Greenland and Robins, 1986).”
From Causal inference in statistics: An overview (2009) · cites this paper as Miettinen, 1974
In the citing paper
“Population-attributable fractions, adjusted for aforementioned model covariates, were calculated using Miettinen’s formula, aPRs, and weighted prevalence estimates of each health condition and risk behavior by each cumulative ACEs count level”
From Adverse childhood experiences and health conditions and risk behaviors among high school students—Youth Risk Behavior Survey, United States, 2023 (2024) · cites this paper as [11]
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“For example, it has been termed as aetiological fraction by Miettinen [7], attributable fraction [8] and population attributable risk percent by Cole and MacMahon [9].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- MIETTINEN, O. S.
- Corresponding author
- MIETTINEN, OLLI S.
- Venue
- American Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1974-05
- Volume
- 99
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 325-332
- ISSN
- 0002-9262 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-6256
- OpenAlex
- W1953501928
- Cited by
- 1,036
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 24 · 2025: 34 · 2024: 41 · 2023: 35 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 35 · 2020: 39 · 2019: 40 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 27 · 2015: 25 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 22 · 2012: 26
- FWCI
- 7.80
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Historical and modern epidemiology studies
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Keywords
- population attributable fraction, prevented fraction, attributable fraction, risk indicators, standardized morbidity ratio, case-control study, disease prevention
- MeSH terms
- Coffee, Coronary Disease, Drinking, Epidemiologic Methods, Humans, Hypercholesterolemia, Hypertension, Models, Theoretical, Morbidity, Myocardial Infarction, Population, Preventive Medicine, Smoking, Statistics as Topic
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