Hedging Climate Change News
Abstract
We propose and implement a procedure to dynamically hedge climate change risk. We extract innovations from climate news series that we construct through textual analysis of newspapers. We then use a mimicking portfolio approach to build climate change hedge portfolios. We discipline the exercise by using third-party ESG scores of firms to model their climate risk exposures. We show that this approach yields parsimonious and industry-balanced portfolios that perform well in hedging innovations in climate news both in sample and out of sample. We discuss multiple directions for future research on financial approaches to managing climate risk.
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Firms with better ESG performance have lower exposure to climate risk and earn lower returns, consistent with increased investor demand due to the high potential to hedge against climate risk.
“Firms with better ESG performance have lower exposure to climate risk and earn lower returns, consistent with an increased investor demand due to the high potential to hedge against climate risk (Ardia et al., 2022;Bolton & Kacperczyk, 2021;Engle et al., 2020;Huynh & Xia, 2021).”
From A review on ESG investing: Investors' expectations, beliefs and perceptions (2024) · cites this paper as Engle et al., 2020
Approaches used in climate analytics include NLP for identifying climate risks and investment opportunities in company disclosures, NLP for analyzing media climate coverage to dynamically hedge climate change risk, econometric approaches for arbitrage strategies using carbon risk factor, and ML for forecasting carbon price in emission exchanges.
“Approaches used in this field include: natural language processing techniques for identifying climate risks and investment opportunities in disclosures made by companies [254,442,498,752] as well as for analyzing the evolution of climate coverage in the media to dynamically hedge climate change risk [221]; econometric approaches for developing arbitrage strategies that take advantage of the carbon”
From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [221]
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- Authors
- Engle, R. F., Giglio, S., Kelly, B., Lee, H., & Stroebel, J.
- Affiliations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- Center for Economic and Policy Research (US)
- Yale University (US)
- New York University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Engle, Robert F
- Venue
- The Review of Financial Studies
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2020-02-14
- Volume
- 33
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1184-1216
- ISSN
- 0893-9454 (ISSN-L)
- 1465-7368
- OpenAlex
- W4214836379
- Cited by
- 1,489
- References
- 25
- Citations by year
- 2026: 330 · 2025: 360 · 2024: 311 · 2023: 207 · 2022: 140 · 2021: 79 · 2020: 37 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 4 · 2016: 1 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 83.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model (vor)
- Locations
- Review of Financial Studies (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Risk Management in Financial Firms
- Keywords
- climate risk, dynamic hedging, climate news, mimicking portfolios, ESG ratings, climate risk exposure, hedging portfolio, out-of-sample performance
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