Cited by 3,068Sustainable Finance and Green BondsCorporate Social Responsibility ReportingClimate Change Policy and Economics

The Importance of Climate Risks for Institutional Investors

Open access
Krueger, Philipp, Sautner, Zacharias, Starks, Laura T·2020·The Review of Financial Studies

Abstract

Abstract According to our survey about climate risk perceptions, institutional investors believe climate risks have financial implications for their portfolio firms and that these risks, particularly regulatory risks, already have begun to materialize. Many of the investors, especially the long-term, larger, and ESG-oriented ones, consider risk management and engagement, rather than divestment, to be the better approach for addressing climate risks. Although surveyed investors believe that some equity valuations do not fully reflect climate risks, their perceived overvaluations are not large.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1093/rfs/hhz137

Cites

103 of 103 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

5 of 80 cited sources checked · 1 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    These results are similar to the typical anatomy of engagement sequences analyzed in Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015), in which engagements most often start with discussions between management and shareholders and then potentially escalate.

    “These results are also similar to the typical anatomy of the engagement sequences analyzed in Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015), in which engagements most often start with discussions between management and shareholders and then potentially escalate depending on how the initial discussions are received.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015) source

      Section 2.1 (page unavailable) describes engagement sequences involving Raising Awareness—informing or warning target companies—and Requests for Change, a more stringent step. Section 3.3 (page unavailable) also characterizes Requests for Change as more aggressive. These passages support possible escalation, but they do not establish that engagements most often begin with management–shareholder discussions or that escalation depends on how those initial discussions are received. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Interpretationcitation

    Independent institutions are anticipated to be more involved in monitoring management.

    “are therefore anticipated to be more involved in monitoring management”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Ferreira and Matos (2008) source
    • cites Dyck et al. (2019) source

      Section 4 says institutional investors can engage with management, and Section 4.2 identifies private engagement as a likely way they push for environmental and social changes. Table 7 separately examines independent institutional investors, but the copy does not say they are expected to monitor management more than other investors. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Independent institutions have fewer potential business relationships with portfolio firms.

    “have fewer potential business relationships with portfolio firms”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Ferreira and Matos (2008) source
    • cites Dyck et al. (2019) source

      The Introduction and Section 5.6 discuss independent institutional investors’ financial incentives and exposure to social norms, but do not compare their potential business relationships with portfolio firms to those of other institutions. Searches for business relationships, business ties, and conflicts of interest did not locate a passage addressing that comparison. (LLM, conf=0.72)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Independent institutions are more likely to collect information.

    “independent institutions are more likely to collect information”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Ferreira and Matos (2008) source
    • cites Dyck et al. (2019) source

      The Introduction and Table 7 discuss independent institutional investors’ effects on firms’ environmental and social performance, not whether those investors collect more information. Searches for “collect information” and related terms found no passage in our copy addressing that comparison; the data-collection description in Section 2.1 concerns the researchers’ data sources. (LLM, conf=0.75)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Findingown data

    Institutional investors believe climate risks have financial implications for their portfolio firms.

    “institutional investors believe climate risks have financial implications for their portfolio firms”
    • Also stated in: § Abstract · boosted
      “The investors believe that climate risks have significant financial implications for portfolio firms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 78
  • May combine two claims. 75
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 6
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015) show that engagement on climate risks can enhance shareholder value.

    “Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015) show that engagement on climate risks can enhance shareholder value”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2015) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Surveyed investors believe some equity valuations do not fully reflect climate risks, but their perceived overvaluations are not large.

    “surveyed investors believe that some equity valuations do not fully reflect climate risks, their perceived overvaluations are not large”
    • Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
      “Our respondents believe that equity valuations do not fully reflect the risks from climate change, although the overvaluations are not perceived as being very large.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Respondents deem traditional financial risks to be the most important risks they face, followed by operating, governance, and social risks; climate risks and environmental risks are ranked fifth and sixth, respectively.

    “our respondents deem traditional financial risks to be the most important risks they face, followed by operating, governance, and social risks.Climate risks and environmental risks are ranked fifth and sixth, respectively.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The vast majority of surveyed investors expect a rise in global temperature by the end of this century, and four in ten predict an increase that exceeds the Paris 2C target.

    “the vast majority of investors expect a rise in global temperature by the end of this century, and four in ten even predict an increase that exceeds the Paris 2C target.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Having discussions with management is the most frequently used engagement channel, cited by 43% of respondents, with 32% proposing specific actions to management on climate risk issues.

    “Having discussions with management is cited as the most frequently used channel (43% of respondents used this approach, with 32% proposing specific actions to management on climate risk issues).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Investors take a wide variety of approaches to managing climate risks, with only 7% having chosen no approach to manage their climate risks during the 5 years preceding the survey.

    “investors take a wide variety of approaches to managing climate risks, with only a small percentage (7%) having chosen no approach to manage their climate risks during the 5 years preceding the survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Across all respondents, only 3% do not expect any temperature increase, 16% expect an increase by up to one degree, and 30% by up to 2C.

    “Across all respondents, only 3% do not expect any temperature increase, 16% expect an increase by up to one degree, and 30% by up to 2C.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Most firms responded to the investors' engagements, although a number of firms simply acknowledged an issue rather than successfully resolving it.

    “Most firms responded to the investors' engagements, although a number of the firms simply acknowledged an issue rather than successfully resolving it.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The percentage of relatively confident respondents varies between 36% and 51% across world regions, with confidence levels being highest among North American respondents.

    “the percentage of relatively confident respondents varies between 36% and 51% with confidence levels being highest among North American respondents.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Investors also use other forms of climate risk management, such as incorporating climate risks into their valuation models (26%) or hedging against climate risks (25%).

    “Investors also use other forms of climate risk management, such as incorporating climate risks into their valuation models (26%) or hedging against climate risks (25%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Investors with longer horizons, and institutions with a higher fraction of holdings subject to ESG analysis, also engage in more climate risk management.

    “Additionally, investors with longer horizons, and institutions with a higher fraction of holdings subject to ESG analysis, also engage in more climate risk management.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Four in ten respondents expect a temperature rise that exceeds the Paris 2C target, with 12% expecting an increase of more than 3C.

    “four in ten respondents expect a temperature rise that exceeds the Paris 2C target, with 12% expecting an increase of more than 3C.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The oil sector is considered the most overvalued sector overall, followed by traditional car manufacturers and electric utilities.

    “the oil sector is considered as the most overvalued sector overall, followed by traditional car manufacturers and electric utilities.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The difference between regulatory/technological and physical risks is statistically significant at the 1% level but relatively small in magnitude.

    “(the differences are statistically significant at the 1% level but relatively small in magnitude)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Close to 30% of investors submitted shareholder proposals on climate risk issues, and a similar fraction voted against management on proposals because of climate risk concerns.

    “Close to 30% of the investors submitted shareholder proposals on climate risk issues, and a similar fraction voted against management on proposals because of climate risk concerns.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From the list of 12 possible approaches, the least frequently used tool is to divest problematic portfolio firms, which is employed by 20% of the investors.

    “From the list of 12 possible approaches, the least frequently used tool is to divest problematic portfolio firms, which is employed by 20% of the investors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Fewer than 10% of respondents believe that climate risks will materialize only in 10 years or more, whereas 50% state that climate risks related to regulation have already started to materialize.

    “Fewer than 10% believe that climate risks will materialize only in 10 years or more, whereas 50% state that climate risks related to regulation have already started to materialize.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The two major approaches to climate risk management are analyses of portfolio firms' carbon footprints and stranded asset risks, employed by 38% and 35% of respondents, respectively.

    “the two major approaches are to conduct analyses of portfolio firms' carbon footprints and stranded asset risks, which are employed by 38% and 35% of the respondents, respectively.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Investor types that view more underpricing of climate risks are those with a larger share of their portfolios oriented to ESG standards and those that engage portfolio firms along more dimensions.

    “the investor types that view more underpricing of climate risks are those with a larger share of their portfolios oriented to ESG standards and those that engage portfolio firms along more dimensions”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Climate risks are ranked fifth, with only other environmental risks such as air pollution placing sixth.

    “Climate risks are ranked fifth, with only other environmental risks, such as air pollution placing sixth.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Purely financial motives score relatively high, especially the idea that incorporating climate risks is beneficial to returns (25% strongly agree) and reducing portfolio risk (24%) or tail risk (21%).

    “Purely financial motives also score relatively high, especially the idea that incorporating climate risks is beneficial to returns (25% strongly agree) and reducing portfolio risk (24%) or tail risk (21%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Agreement is strongest for two motives: protection of the investor's reputation (30% strongly agree) and moral/ethical reasons to consider climate risks (27.5%).

    “The table shows that agreement is strongest for two motives: the protection of the investor's reputation (30% strongly agree), which can arise from both financial and nonfinancial motives, and moral/ethical reasons to consider climate risks (27.5%), which would be a purely nonpecuniary motive.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The least frequently used approach is divestment, although a significant minority of investors (20%) take this approach.

    “The least frequently used approach is divestment, although there still exists a significant minority of investors (20%) who take this approach.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    29% of respondents strive to reduce the carbon footprint of their portfolios, and 23% strive to reduce stranded asset risk.

    “29% (23%) of respondents strive to reduce the carbon footprint (stranded asset risk) of their portfolios”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The most frequently used current techniques have been analyses of firms' carbon footprints and stranded asset risks, employed by 38% and 35% of the investors, respectively.

    “The most frequently used current techniques have been analyses of firms' carbon footprints and stranded asset risks, employed by 38% and 35% of the investors, respectively.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Willingness to file a lawsuit because of climate issues is otherwise unrelated to investor characteristics.

    “The willingness to file a lawsuit because of climate issues is higher among larger institutions but otherwise unrelated to investor characteristics.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The decision to divest is unrelated to investor characteristics, with the exception that investors with high ESG shares are more likely to exit due to climate concerns.

    “The decision to divest is unrelated to investor characteristics, with the exception that investors with high ESG shares are more likely to exit due to climate concerns.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The remaining investors either initiated the next level of engagement (21%) or tried to hedge the risk (23%).

    “The remaining investors either initiated the next level of engagement (21%) or tried to hedge the risk (23%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Screening is more frequently used by smaller investors and by investors with higher ESG shares.

    “Column 8 shows that screening is more frequently used by smaller investors and by investors with higher ESG shares”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Once a more complete specification is used in Column 5, some of the effects weaken, but most of the conclusions remain valid.

    “Once we use a more complete specification in Column 5, we find that some of the effects weaken, but most of the conclusions remain valid.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The estimates imply that investors with a medium (long) horizon use 0.8 (1) more approaches, a large number relative to the median of three approaches.

    “In fact, the estimates imply that investors with a medium (long) horizon use 0.8 (1) more approaches, a large number relative to the median of three approaches.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Investors' answers do not reflect precise estimates as substantial uncertainty exists around the mean estimates, with standard deviations ranging between 0.9 and 1.1.

    “Another important finding is that investors' answers do not reflect precise estimates as substantial uncertainty exists around the mean estimates (standard deviations range between 0.9 and 1.1).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In the past 5 years, 1% of survey respondents used other engagement approaches over climate risk issues.

    “Other 1 406 1-8, 10”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In panel A, there are only small differences across subsamples in terms of the importance of climate risks, with high-ESG institutions ranking climate risks only slightly higher than low-ESG institutions.

    “In panel A we find only small differences across the subsamples in terms of the importance of climate risks (high-ESG institutions rank climate risks only slightly higher than low-ESG institutions).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Stranded asset risks are largest among coal producers, followed by unconventional oil producers (tar sands or fracking).

    “We find that stranded asset risks are largest among coal producers, followed by unconventional oil producers (tar sands or fracking).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    11.9% of respondents rated stranded asset risk as 'very high' for natural gas producers, with a mean score of 2.46.

    “Natural gas producers 11.9 2.46 3 370 *** 1-3, 5”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Most respondents have taken at least first steps toward managing climate risks, although the two most common approaches (analyses of carbon footprints and stranded asset risks) have been used by less than half of them.

    “Most of the respondents have taken at least first steps toward managing climate risks, although the two most common approaches (analyses of carbon footprints and stranded asset risks) have been used by less than half of them.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The vast majority expect a significant rise in global temperature by the end of this century.

    “These beliefs are also reflected in the respondents' climate expectations: the vast majority expect a significant rise in global temperature by the end of this century.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The most common motives provided by the investors are to protect their reputations, moral/legal considerations, and the belief that climate risks affect portfolio risk and returns.

    “The most common motives provided by the investors are to protect their reputations, moral/legal considerations, and the belief that climate risks affect portfolio risk and returns.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The magnitude of sector-level mispricing is surprisingly low: the misvaluation of the three most overpriced sectors is around 0.5 only, while the mean across all sectors is 0.38.

    “Yet, the magnitude of sector-level mispricing is surprisingly low: the misvaluation of the three most overpriced sectors is around 0.5 only, while the mean across all sectors is 0.38.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    11.7% of respondents rated stranded asset risk as 'very high' for iron and steel producers, with a mean score of 2.40.

    “Iron and steel producers 11.7 2.40 5 369 *** 1-4”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Responses for most sectors are around 0.4, indicating that although investors believe in widespread overvaluations, they are only modest overvaluations.

    “However, the responses for most sectors are around 0.4, indicating that although investors believe in widespread overvaluations, they are only modest overvaluations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    16.7% of respondents rated stranded asset risk as 'very high' for conventional oil producers, with a mean score of 2.64.

    “Conventional oil producers 16.7 2.64 4 371 *** 1, 4-6”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    25.1% of respondents rated stranded asset risk as 'very high' for coal producers, with a mean score of 2.78.

    “Coal producers 25.1 2.78 3 371 *** 2-6”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Respondents identify opportunities mostly in renewable energy, but also in water, electric vehicles, and technology.

    “Our respondents identify opportunities mostly in renewable energy, but also in the areas of water (including water supplies and management), electric vehicles, and technology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In the previous 5 years, 3.7% of survey respondents took other approaches to incorporate climate risks.

    “Other 3.7 410 1-13 n/a”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    21.3% of respondents rated stranded asset risk as 'very high' for unconventional oil producers, with a mean score of 2.69.

    “Unconventional oil producers 21.3 2.69 3 371 *** 1, 4-6”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Passive share is positively associated with climate risk underpricing of electric utilities (coefficient 1.23, t=2.67).

    “Passive share (x100) | 0.02 | -0.00 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 1.23*** | 0.28 | 0.30”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Oil has the highest mean misvaluation score (0.52) among the industries surveyed.

    “Oil | 0.52 | 1.03 | 37% | 17 | 3 | 0.59 | 352”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Climate risk engagement is positively associated with rating stranded asset risk as 'very high' for unconventional oil producers, conventional oil producers, natural gas producers, iron and steel producers, and conventional electricity producers.

    “Climate risk engagement 0.13 0.14* 0.18** 0.22* 0.22** 0.27***”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    ESG share is positively associated with rating stranded asset risk as 'very high' for unconventional oil producers, iron and steel producers, and conventional electricity producers.

    “ESG share (x100) -0.30 1.38*** 0.61 1.06 1.78*** 1.57***”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    HQ country norms is negatively associated with climate risk underpricing average across all sectors (coefficient -0.18, t=-1.93).

    “HQ country norms | -0.18* | -0.19* | -0.29 | -0.31* | 0.50 | -0.07 | -0.25”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Renewable energy has the lowest mean misvaluation score (0.31) among the industries surveyed.

    “Renewable energy | 0.31 | 0.98 | -17% | 11 | 3 | 0.30 | 351”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Passive share is positively associated with rating stranded asset risk as 'very high' for coal producers, unconventional oil producers, conventional oil producers, natural gas producers, and conventional electricity producers.

    “Passive share (x100) 2.10*** 2.36*** 1.79*** 2.22*** 0.86 1.39**”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    10.5% of respondents rated stranded asset risk as 'very high' for conventional electricity producers, with a mean score of 2.42.

    “Conventional electricity producers 10.5 2.42 4 371 *** 1-3”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Some companies face direct costs related to changes in the climate, originating from extreme weather events or a general rise in sea levels.

    “Some companies face direct costs related to changes in the climate, originating from extreme weather events or a general rise in sea levels.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Investors react to political events related to firms' climate strategies.

    “Ramelli et al. (2019) provide evidence that investors react to political events related to firms' climate strategies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ramelli et al. (2019)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Better environmental policies are related to lower downside and overall portfolio risk.

    “archival studies show that better environmental policies are related to lower downside and overall portfolio risk (Hoepner et al. 2019;Gibson Brandon and Krueger 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Hoepner et al. 2019

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Gibson Brandon and Krueger 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Greater climate risk leads to lower firm leverage, with firms decreasing their demand for debt and lenders reducing their lending to firms with the greatest risk.

    “greater climate risk leads to lower firm leverage with firms decreasing their demand for debt and lenders reducing their lending to firms with the greatest risk (Ginglinger and Moreau 2019)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ginglinger and Moreau 2019 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The 439 survey respondents should be knowledgeable about the role of climate risks for their institutions, as one-third hold executive-level positions in their institutions.

    “The 439 survey respondents should be knowledgeable about the role of climate risks for their institutions, as one-third hold executive-level positions in their institutions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Firms can lower their cost of capital and increase value by improving their environmental policies.

    “studies conclude that firms can lower their cost of capital and increase value by improving their environmental policies (Sharfman and Fernando 2008;Chava 2014;El Ghoul et al. 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Sharfman and Fernando 2008 source
    • cites Chava 2014 source
    • cites El Ghoul et al. 2018 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Climate change also provides investment opportunities for portfolio companies and their institutional investors, for instance in renewable energy or energy storage.

    “At the same time, climate change also provides investment opportunities for the portfolio companies and their institutional investors, for instance, in the areas of renewable energy or energy storage.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Premisereasoning

    Other companies can be negatively affected by policies and regulations implemented to combat climate change.

    “Other companies can be negatively affected from policies and regulations implemented to combat climate change.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Premisecitation

    A nascent literature in finance provides theoretical and empirical evidence that institutional investors should consider climate risks in their investment decisions.

    “A nascent literature in finance provides theoretical and empirical evidence that institutional investors should consider climate risks in their investment decisions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    Many market participants, including institutional investors, find climate risks difficult to price and hedge, possibly because of their systematic nature, a lack of disclosure by portfolio firms, and challenges in finding suitable hedging instruments.

    “many market participants, including institutional investors, find climate risks difficult to price and hedge, possibly because of their systematic nature, a lack of disclosure by portfolio firms, and challenges in finding suitable hedging instruments.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    Integrating climate risks into the investment process can prove to be challenging, with investment tools and best practices not yet well established.

    “integrating climate risks into the investment process can prove to be challenging, with investment tools and best practices not yet well established.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisereasoning

    Technological innovations related to climate change threaten the business models of some portfolio firms that operate in traditional industries.

    “Technological innovations related to climate change also threaten the business models of some portfolio firms that operate in traditional industries.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Investors can reduce portfolio risk by incorporating climate criteria into their investment processes.

    “Jagannathan, Ravikumar, and Sammon (2019) argue that investors can reduce portfolio risk by incorporating climate criteria into their investment processes”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Jagannathan, Ravikumar, and Sammon (2019)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The authors programmed an online version with random orderings of response choices.

    “We then programmed an online version with random orderings of response choices.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The authors revised the survey based on feedback from two referees, several academics, and practitioners.

    “we revised the survey based on the feedback from two referees, several academics, and practitioners.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    The ranking across risks appears in line with the focus on traditional investment risks in most of the finance literature.

    “Overall, the ranking across risks appears in line with the focus on traditional investment risks in most of the finance literature.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The respondent group is likely biased toward investors with a relatively high awareness of climate risks, and possibly with higher credentials in climate risk management.

    “our respondent group is likely biased toward investors with a relatively high awareness of climate risks, and possibly with higher credentials in climate risk management.”
    • Also stated in: § 1.4 Response bias · hedged
      “Overall, our respondent group is potentially biased toward investors with a relatively high awareness of ESG topics and relatively higher credentials in climate risk management.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Respondents that expect a stronger increase in temperatures also believe that climate change will have larger consequences for firms, indicating internal validity across responses for some key climate variables.

    “Internet Appendix Table 3 shows that respondents that expect a stronger increase in temperatures also believe that climate change will have larger consequences for firms, which indicates internal validity across responses for some of the key climate variables we collected.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The authors use distribution-type fixed effects in all subsequent regression analyses to account for systematic differences in the responses across the four distribution channels.

    “We use distribution-type fixed effects in all of our subsequent regression analyses to account for systematic differences in the responses across the four distribution channels.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The authors presented the survey instrument at a conference at Columbia University and further revised it based on feedback by a discussant and conference participants.

    “We then presented the survey instrument at a conference at Columbia University. After this event, we further revised the survey based on feedback by a discussant and conference participants.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Understanding the views and actions of investors with high climate risk awareness is particularly important, because they are more likely to shape corporate climate policies and to guide future practices of integrating climate issues into investment management.

    “understanding the views and actions of such investors is particularly important, because they are more likely to shape corporate climate policies and to guide future practices of integrating climate issues into investment management.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The authors used an iterative process for developing the survey.

    “We used an iterative process for developing the survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    To mitigate concerns over strategic or untruthful answers, the authors guaranteed anonymity, did not ask for names or employers, and collected only limited information on the respondents' institutions.

    “To mitigate this concern, we guaranteed anonymity, did not ask for names or employers, and collected only limited information on the respondents' institutions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Painter (2019) shows that climate change considerations affect municipal bond prices.

    “Painter (2019) shows that climate change considerations affect municipal bond prices.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Painter (2019) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The large heterogeneity across investors suggests that the industry is still in the process of finding the most effective ways to manage climate risks.

    “The large heterogeneity across investors suggests that the industry is still in the process of finding the most effective ways to manage climate risks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Larger firm holdings reduce free-rider concerns and imply stronger engagement incentives.

    “The latter reduces free-rider concerns and implies stronger engagement incentives (Dimson, Karakaş, and Li 2018).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Dimson, Karakaş, and Li 2018 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Murfin and Spiegel (2019) reach the opposite conclusion in their analysis of expected sea level rises and real asset values.

    “although Murfin and Spiegel (2019) reach the opposite conclusion in their analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Murfin and Spiegel (2019)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The authors are unable to link the survey responses to the institutions' portfolio holdings, and some of the collected investor characteristics may be too coarse to allow significant results in cross-sectional tests.

    “The limitations of this approach are that we are unable to link the survey responses to the institutions' portfolio holdings and that some of the collected investor characteristics may be too coarse to allow us to obtain significant results in our cross-sectional tests.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Recent asset pricing models highlight the importance of climate risks as a long-run risk factor.

    “Recent asset pricing models highlight the importance of climate risks as a long-run risk factor (Bansal, Ochoa, and Kiku 2017).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bansal, Ochoa, and Kiku 2017

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The authors also have an oversampling of large investors.

    “We also have an oversampling of large investors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Comparing the FactSet population of institutional investors to the sampled population, pension funds and banks are somewhat overrepresented, while mutual funds and asset managers are somewhat underrepresented.

    “We compare the FactSet population of institutional investors to our sampled population and find that pension funds and banks are somewhat overrepresented in our sample (see Internet Appendix Figure 1).In contrast, mutual funds and asset managers are somewhat underrepresented.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These expectations suggest that many respondents view very damaging climate scenarios to be likely, which implies that at least some respondents should have deep concerns about the effects of climate change on their portfolios.

    “These expectations suggest that many of our respondents view very damaging climate scenarios to be likely, which implies that at least some of our respondents should have deep concerns about the effects of climate change on their portfolios.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    A professional survey designer reviewed the wording, the ordering of the questions, and the length of the survey.

    “we had a professional survey designer review the wording, the ordering of the questions, and the length of the survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The respondents' high average ESG share of 41% exceeds the percentages reported in other studies, reflecting potential sampling bias.

    “This potential sampling bias is reflected in our respondents' high average ESG share of 41%, which exceeds the percentages reported in other studies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Amel-Zadeh and Serafeim (2018) source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Investors with high climate risk awareness are probably more disposed to participate in a climate risk survey, and some responses were obtained at ESG conferences.

    “such investors are probably more disposed to participate in a climate risk survey.In addition, some of our responses were obtained at ESG conferences.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Green bonds have become increasingly important.

    “green bonds have become increasingly important (Baker et al. 2018;Flammer 2018;Tang and Zhang 2018;Zerbib 2019).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Baker et al. 2018 source
    • cites Flammer 2018 source
    • cites Tang and Zhang 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The authors eliminated 90 responses in this process, leaving 320 responses of good quality.

    “We eliminated 90 responses in this process leaving 320 responses of good quality.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The authors ran beta tests with practitioners to ensure the wording and questions would be clear.

    “We also ran beta tests with practitioners to ensure the wording and questions would be clear.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Gibson Brandon and Krueger (2018) find that institutional investors' environmental policies change after extreme weather events.

    “Gibson Brandon and Krueger (2018) find that institutional investors' environmental policies change after extreme weather events”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gibson Brandon and Krueger (2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Another form of risk management would be to avoid problematic firms.

    “Another form of risk management would be to avoid problematic firms as pointed out theoretically by Heinkel, Kraus, and Zechner (2001) and empirically tested by Fernando, Sharfman, and Uysal (2017).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Heinkel, Kraus, and Zechner (2001) source
    • cites Fernando, Sharfman, and Uysal (2017) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Others argue that climate risks are difficult to hedge in practice.

    “although others argue that they are difficult to hedge in practice (CISL 2015).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites CISL 2015

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The higher ranking of climate risks by larger investors may be because such investors are more exposed to externalities from climate change.

    “possibly because such investors are more exposed to externalities from climate change.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Andersson, Bolton, and Samama (2016a) and Engle et al. (2019) show that in principle investors can hedge climate risks.

    “Andersson, Bolton, and Samama (2016a) and Engle et al. (2019) show that in principle investors can hedge climate risks”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Andersson, Bolton, and Samama (2016a)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Engle et al. (2019)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The relatively small number of investors who choose divestment informs the debate regarding whether divestment or engagement is the more effective method for reducing climate risk.

    “The relatively small number of investors who choose divestment informs the debate regarding whether divestment or engagement is the more effective method for reducing climate risk.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The 7% figure could be influenced to some extent by sample selection.

    “which could be influenced to some extent by our sample selection.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Hong and Kostovetsky (2012) show that political preferences of investment managers predict their investments in socially responsible stocks.

    “Hong and Kostovetsky (2012), for instance, show that political preferences of investment managers predict their investments in socially responsible stocks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hong and Kostovetsky (2012) source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Hedging against climate risks requires understanding the fundamentally long-lived risk of climate change, dealing with the difficulty of identifying shocks, the proper horizon, and identifying the assets that correlate with the outcomes.

    “Hedging against climate risks requires not only understanding the fundamentally long-lived risk of climate change, but also dealing with the difficulty of identifying shocks, the proper horizon, and identifying the assets that correlate with the outcomes”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationcitation

    These findings support the implication that long-term investors should be more concerned about climate risks than shorter-term investors.

    “These findings support the implication that long-term investors should be more concerned about climate risks than shorter-term investors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Bénabou and Tirole (2010) propose several views on firm managements' motivations to engage in corporate social responsibility.

    “Bénabou and Tirole (2010) propose several views on firm managements' motivations to engage in corporate social responsibility.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bénabou and Tirole (2010) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    One view is that institutional investors take a long-term view and seek to maximize inter-temporal profits.

    “One view is that institutional investors take a long-term view and seek to maximize inter-temporal profits.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bénabou and Tirole (2010) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    A related view posits that investment managers consider climate risks because it benefits them at the expense of their beneficiaries.

    “A related view posits that investment managers consider climate risks because it benefits them at the expense of their beneficiaries (Bénabou and Tirole 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bénabou and Tirole 2010 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The fact that there does not exist an overwhelming dominant approach could reflect the immaturity of the developed approaches to climate risks.

    “The fact that there does not exist an overwhelming dominant approach could reflect the immaturity of the developed approaches to climate risks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The finding that higher ESG share investors rank climate risk closer to financial risk is consistent with the main investment thesis of ESG oriented investors.

    “which is consistent with the main investment thesis of ESG oriented investors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The finding that large institutions consider physical risks more financially material is consistent with the idea that such investors bear greater costs related to climate change.

    “which is consistent with the idea that such investors bear greater costs related to climate change.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    As Giglio et al. (2018) point out, climate change constitutes a rare event with potentially devastating consequences for the economy.

    “As Giglio et al. (2018) point out, climate change constitutes “a rare event with potentially devastating consequences for the economy.””
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Giglio et al. (2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted).

    Interpretationreasoning

    With regard to climate risks, the view that institutional investors maximize inter-temporal profits implies that incorporating these risks into the investment process is beneficial because of higher returns or lower risks.

    “With regard to climate risks, this view implies that incorporating these risks into the investment process is beneficial, because of higher returns or lower risks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The respondents consider climate risks to matter for their institutions' short-term as well as their long-term assets.

    “Overall, our numbers indicate that the respondents consider climate risks to matter for their institutions' short-term as well as their long-term assets.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Gibson Brandon and Krueger (2018) and Hoepner et al. (2019) use archival data in support of the view that incorporating climate risks is beneficial.

    “Gibson Brandon and Krueger (2018) and Hoepner et al. (2019) use archival data in support of this view”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Gibson Brandon and Krueger (2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Hoepner et al. (2019)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2018) study coordination in shareholder engagement on ESG issues.

    “Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2018) study coordination in shareholder engagement on ESG issues.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Dimson, Karakaş, and Li (2018) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    As Marcel Jeucken observed, if we divest, other investors will buy the stock and nothing will change.

    “As Marcel Jeucken, managing director of responsible investment at PGGM observed, “if we divest, other investors will buy the stock and nothing will change” (see Nicholls 2015).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Nicholls 2015

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The exposure of food stocks to drought risks is incorrectly valued by markets.

    “For example, Hong, Li, and Xu (2019) conclude that the exposure of food stocks to drought risks are incorrectly valued by markets.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hong, Li, and Xu (2019) source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Climate risks can significantly affect equity markets.

    “Recent research suggests that climate risks can significantly affect equity markets.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Bansal, Ochoa, and Kiku (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Daniel, Litterman, and Wagner (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Litterman (2011) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Empirical evidence supports the mispricing of climate risks.

    “Empirical evidence supporting the mispricing of climate risks exists as well.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Hong, Li, and Xu (2019) source
    • cites Kumar, Xin, and Zhang (2019) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Rising temperatures negatively affect the economy by increasing economic risk and reducing growth.

    “In Bansal, Ochoa, and Kiku (2017) rising temperatures negatively affect the economy by increasing economic risk and reducing growth.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bansal, Ochoa, and Kiku (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Carbon emissions should be priced at high levels immediately, primarily due to the risk of catastrophic damages.

    “In a similar spirit, Litterman (2011) argues that carbon emissions should be priced at high levels immediately, primarily due to the risk of catastrophic damages.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Litterman (2011) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    The Exxon Mobil measure passed in 2017 with 62% of the vote.

    “The measure passed in 2017 with 62% of the vote.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Potentially large deadweight costs exist from delays in climate change mitigation.

    “Daniel, Litterman, and Wagner (2017) calibrate the price of climate risk and suggest that potentially large deadweight costs exist from delays in climate change mitigation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Daniel, Litterman, and Wagner (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    A proposal at Exxon Mobil asked management to examine and disclose how climate risks would affect the company in the future.

    “A proposal at Exxon Mobil, for example, asked management to examine and disclose how climate risks would affect the company in the future.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Firms' exposures to climate risks predict returns, implying that stock markets misprice climate risks.

    “Similarly, Kumar, Xin, and Zhang (2019) present evidence that firms' exposures to climate risks predict returns, which implies that stock markets misprice climate risks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Kumar, Xin, and Zhang (2019) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Equity portfolios have negative exposures to long-run temperature fluctuations, suggesting that financial markets may be able to price climate risks at least to some extent.

    “On the other hand, through their theoretical analysis, Bansal, Kiku, and Ochoa (2017) show that equity portfolios have negative exposures to long-run temperature fluctuations, which suggests that financial markets may be able to price climate risks at least to some extent.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bansal, Kiku, and Ochoa (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    These costs include reduced diversification, ongoing compliance costs, and transaction costs.

    “These costs include reduced diversification, ongoing compliance costs, and transaction costs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bessembinder's (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    These numbers are consistent with a recent trend of successful shareholder proposals at oil companies.

    “These numbers are consistent with a recent trend of successful shareholder proposals at oil companies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    While investors have already started to integrate climate risks, the industry as a whole is still at early stages of incorporating these risks into their investment processes.

    “While investors have already started to integrate climate risks, the industry as a whole is still at early stages of incorporating these risks into their investment processes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    One-third of oil reserves, half of gas reserves, and over 80% of coal reserves must remain unused until 2050 if countries are to meet the targets stipulated in the Paris climate agreement.

    “McGlade and Ekins (2015), for example, estimate that one-third of oil reserves, half of gas reserves, and over 80% of coal reserves must remain unused until 2050 if countries are to meet the targets stipulated in the Paris climate agreement.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites McGlade and Ekins (2015) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    At least a significant proportion of respondents should have deep concerns about the effects of climate change on their portfolios.

    “Such expectations indicate that at least a significant proportion of our respondents should have deep concerns about the effects of climate change on their portfolios.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Some respondents' opinions might reflect their views of general industry misvaluations at the time of the survey.

    “Although we directly asked about misvaluations related to climate change, a caveat to our approach is that some respondents' opinions might reflect their views of general industry misvaluations at the time of the survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Investors believe valuations are somewhat too high, suggesting an aggregate investor belief of climate risk underpricing.

    “Rather the scores indicate that investors believe valuations are somewhat too high, which suggests an aggregate investor belief of climate risk underpricing.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The regressions control for respondent position and distribution channel fixed effects.

    “Respondent position FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes”
    • Also stated in: § about ECGI · plain
      “Distribution channel FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The t-statistics in Table 10 are based on standard errors clustered at the investor-country level.

    “t-statistics (reported in parentheses) are based on standard errors that are clustered at the investor-country level.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Standard errors are clustered at the investor-country level.

    “T-statistics (reported in parentheses) are based on standard errors that are clustered at the investor-country level.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The mean misvaluation score across all sectors of the economy is likely to be lower than the mean score across the selected sectors, because the selected sectors are probably more affected by climate change than the sectors not included.

    “The mean misvaluation score across all sectors of the economy is likely to be lower, as the sectors we selected for our survey are probably more affected by climate change than the sectors that we did not include.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The sectors selected for the survey are more affected by climate change than the sectors not included.
136 of 136
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Institutional investors act as marginal investors and thereby affect equity prices.

    “Understanding institutional investors' perceptions of any potential mispricing is particularly relevant as they likely act as marginal investors, thereby affecting equity prices.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Survey respondents answered truthfully and their responses accurately reflect their institutions' beliefs and actions.

    “Any survey faces the risk that respondents answer strategically or untruthfully.”
    “We are unable to fully assess the potential response bias in our sample, such as how our responses would change if we had a random set of investors.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Climate risks may cause some sectors to be overvalued and others to be undervalued.

    “To achieve meaningful responses, we employ a sector-level approach including both directions of mispricing, as climate risks may cause some sectors to be overvalued and others to be undervalued.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It is unclear to what extent investors consider climate risks important relative to other risks, and whether they incorporate climate risks into investment decisions at all.

    “However, it is unclear to what extent investors consider climate risks to be important in their investment decisions relative to other risks, and even whether they incorporate climate risks into those decisions at all.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Managing climate risks poses challenges to institutional investors because of difficulties in pricing and hedging these risks.

    “Managing climate risks poses challenges to institutional investors because of difficulties in pricing and hedging these risks.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There are few generally agreed upon methodologies as to how climate risks could and should be managed.

    “In addition, there are few generally agreed upon methodologies as to how climate risks could and should be managed.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Although one usually assumes that physical risks mostly materialize over the longer term, regulatory risks can have a much shorter time frame.

    “Although one usually assumes that physical risks mostly materialize over the longer term, regulatory risks can have a much shorter time frame.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Climate risks are increasingly a controversial topic at annual shareholder meetings.

    “Climate risks are increasingly a controversial topic at annual shareholder meetings.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The academic literature on climate risk management at this point is still in early stages.

    “The academic literature on climate risk management at this point is still in early stages”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Climate change is likely to generate winners as well.

    “However, climate change is likely to generate winners as well.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Many of those concerned about climate risks consider stranded assets to be a particularly significant risk for investors.

    “Many of those concerned about climate risks consider stranded assets to be a particularly significant risk for investors.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The direction of mispricing is not known.

    “This sector approach, with both directions of mispricing, is critical because the direction of mispricing is not known.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Respondents with more sophisticated tools would have been more likely to participate in the survey.

    “We note that respondents with more sophisticated tools would have been more likely to participate in the survey.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The sectors selected for the survey are more affected by climate change than the sectors not included.

    “the sectors we selected for our survey are probably more affected by climate change than the sectors that we did not include”
14 of 14

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • There is no single motivation that drives investors' choice of incorporating ESG considerations in their portfolio allocation decisions.

    “There is no single motivation that drives investors' choice of incorporating ESG considerations in their portfolio allocation decisions.”

    From A review on ESG investing: Investors' expectations, beliefs and perceptions (2024) · cites this paper as Krueger et al. (2020)

    The Abstract says the survey found no single motivation strongly dominated investors’ decisions to incorporate climate risks. Section 2.4 likewise reports several financial and nonfinancial motives. The cited paper addresses climate risks specifically, so it does not establish the same conclusion for ESG considerations as a whole. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Recent empirical studies provide support for engagement as a way to generate societal impact.

    “Recent empirical studies (such as Dimson et al., 2021;Krueger et al., 2020;Naaraayanan et al., 2020) provide support for engagement as a way to generate societal impact.”

    From A review on ESG investing: Investors' expectations, beliefs and perceptions (2024) · cites this paper as Krueger et al., 2020

    Section 4.1 reports that 25% of surveyed investors considered a typical climate-risk engagement successfully completed, providing some empirical support for engagement. But it also says firms typically acknowledged an issue rather than resolved it; the paper does not establish that these engagements generated societal impact. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Institutional investors consider climate and environmental risks as having lower relative importance compared to traditional financial risks for their portfolio decisions, while at the same time having significant financial implications for the portfolio firms.

    “Based on a survey about climate risk perceptions, Krueger et al. (2020) document that institutional investors consider climate and environmental risks as having lower relative importance compared to traditional financial risks for their portfolio decisions, while at the same time having significant financial implications for the portfolio firms.”

    From A review on ESG investing: Investors' expectations, beliefs and perceptions (2024) · cites this paper as Krueger et al. (2020)

    Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Value investors have a general expectation that incorporating ESG issues in their investment decisions will result in lower risk or higher returns.

    “These investors have a general expectation that incorporating ESG issues in their investment decisions will result in lower risk or higher returns, whether through portfolio selection or firm engagement”

    From Presidential Address: Sustainable Finance and ESG Issues— <i>Value</i> versus <i>Values</i> (2023) · cites this paper as Krueger, Sautner, and Starks (2020)

    Section 2.4 (page not available in our copy) reports that surveyed institutional investors consider higher returns and lower risk as financial reasons to incorporate climate risks into investment decisions. The source does not establish this as a general expectation among value investors about ESG issues broadly; it also reports nonfinancial motives. Section 3.2 describes screening and shareholder proposals, but does not link both approaches to the claimed expectation. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Climate risk is difficult to assess, primarily due to insufficient disclosure.

    “As has been pointed out previously (e.g., Krueger, Sautner, and Starks (2020)), climate risk is difficult to assess, primarily due to insufficient disclosure.”

    From Presidential Address: Sustainable Finance and ESG Issues— <i>Value</i> versus <i>Values</i> (2023) · cites this paper as Krueger, Sautner, and Starks (2020)

    The passage labeled Abstract (page unavailable) says many market participants find climate risks difficult to price and hedge and identifies lack of disclosure by portfolio firms as one possible reason. It also names the systematic nature of the risks and difficulty finding hedging instruments, so it does not establish insufficient disclosure as the primary reason. (LLM, conf=0.87)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Earlier risk expectations have the opposite voting association

    Major

    The text says investors expecting earlier materialization are more likely to vote against management. Table 7 instead gives a positive coefficient for climate risk horizon in the voting-against-management column; because smaller horizon values mean earlier materialization, the reported association runs in the opposite direction.

  • Hedging is assigned to opposing management categories

    Major

    The appendix variable definition counts hedging as an active approach, while Table 4 classifies it as passive. These conflicting definitions leave its treatment in the active and passive analyses unclear.

  • Coal stranded-asset mean differs from the table

    Minor

    The discussion gives the coal-producer mean as 2.73, whereas Table 10 reports 2.78.

3 of 3

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 12

  1. Barko,, 2019, Shareholder engagement on environmental, social, and governance performance
  2. Bessembinder,, 2017, Fossil fuel divestment and its potential impacts on students, faculty and other university and pension stakeholders
  3. 2016, Adapting portfolios to climate change Implications and strategies for all investors
  4. 2017, How BlackRock Investment Stewardship engages on climate risk
  5. 2015, Unhedgeable risk: How climate change sentiment impacts investment
  6. Carney,, 2015, Breaking the tragedy of the horizon-climate change and financial stability
  7. 2016, Article 173-VI: Understanding the French regulation on investor climate reporting
  8. Karolyi,, 2017, The economic consequences of investor relations: A global perspective
  9. Litterman,, 2013, The other reason for divestment, Ensia Magazine
  10. 2015, Investing in a time of climate change
  11. 2017, Investing in climate, investing in growth
  12. 2017, Final report—Recommendations of the task force on climate-related financial disclosures

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Krueger, P., Sautner, Z., & Starks, L. T.
Affiliations
  • University of Geneva (CH)
  • Frankfurt School of Finance & Management (DE)
  • The University of Texas at Austin (US)
Corresponding author
Sautner, Zacharias
Venue
The Review of Financial Studies
Published
2020-02-14
Volume
33
Issue
3
Pages
1067-1111
ISSN
  • 0893-9454 (ISSN-L)
  • 1465-7368
OpenAlex
W2906323621
Cited by
3,034
References
101
Citations by year
2026: 820 · 2025: 699 · 2024: 534 · 2023: 403 · 2022: 279 · 2021: 185 · 2020: 63 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 2 · 2012: 1
FWCI
167.69
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Review of Financial Studies (publishedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Strategy and Management › Corporate Social Responsibility Reporting
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
Keywords
climate risk, institutional investors, climate risk perception, regulatory risk, ESG investing, long-term investors, climate risk management, shareholder engagement, divestiture, stock valuation

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-10.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-10.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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