Is the superior efficacy of new generation antipsychotics an artifact of LOCF?
Open accessAbstract
It has been argued that the efficacy superiority found in meta-analyses for some of the atypical antipsychotics is an artifact of higher dropout rates due to side effects in the haloperidol group combined with last-observation-carried-forward (LOCF) analyses. We therefore reanalyzed a number of pivotal studies comparing new generation antipsychotics (NGAs) and conventional antipsychotics (CAs). A total of 5 studies (n = 1271) comparing amisulpride and 3 studies (n = 2454) comparing olanzapine with CAs were reanalyzed using original patient data. We applied 4 different models: LOCF, completer analysis, LOCF but excluding dropouts due to adverse events, and LOCF but excluding all dropouts with the exception of dropouts related to efficacy. Effect sizes expressed as standardized mean differences between NGAs and CAs based on the 4 different analysis models were compared. The overall results were not different irrespective of the model used. Single studies, however, showed higher effect sizes when LOCF instead of other models was used. Overall, it does not seem that higher dropout rates due to side effects in the haloperidol groups together with LOCF analyses consistently biased the results in favor of amisulpride and olanzapine. Because the results of the single studies, however, showed that this may occasionally be the case, future studies should look at the data from different angles applying sensitivity analyses, and they may use alternative statistics such as mixed models, which need to be developed further. Ultimately, strategies to reduce dropout rates are needed.
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Morriss, R. K., Vinjamuri, I., Faizal, M. A., Bolton, C. A., & McCarthy, J. P. (2013) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd005147.pub2 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Temmingh, H. S., Williams, T., Siegfried, N., & Stein, D. J. (2018) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd011057.pub2 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Chlorpromazine versus atypical antipsychotic drugs for schizophrenia
Saha, K. B., Li, B., Zhao, S., Xia, J., Sampson, S. J., & Zaman, R. U. (2016) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010631.pub2 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Antipsychotic medication for early episode schizophrenia
Bola, J. R., Kao, D., Soydan, H., & Adams, C. E. (2011) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd006374.pub2 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Psychoeducation for siblings of people with severe mental illness
Sin, J., Jordan, C., Barley, E. A., Henderson, C., & Norman, I. J. (2015) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010540.pub2 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Cognitive behavioural therapy (group) for schizophrenia
Guaiana, G., Abbatecola, M., Aali, G., Tarantino, F., Ebuenyi, I. D., Lucarini, V., Li, W., Zhang, C., & Pinto, A. (2022) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009608.pub2 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Rabinowitz, J., & Davidov, O. (2007) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sbm161 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Aripiprazole versus other atypical antipsychotics for schizophrenia
Khanna, P., Komossa, K., Rummel‐Kluge, C., Hunger, H., Schwarz, S., El-Sayeh, H. G. G., & Leucht, S. (2013) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd006569.pub4 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Training to Recognize the Early Signs of Recurrence in Schizophrenia
Morriss, R. K., Vinjamuri, I., Faizal, M. A., Bolton, C. A., & McCarthy, J. P. (2013) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sbs191 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Vitamin E for antipsychotic-induced tardive dyskinesia
Soares‐Weiser, K., Maayan, N., & Bergman, H. (2018) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd000209.pub3 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Samara, M. T., Cao, H., Helfer, B., Davis, J. M., & Leucht, S. (2014) · European Neuropsychopharmacology · doi:10.1016/j.euroneuro.2014.03.012 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Increasing antipsychotic dose for non response in schizophrenia
Samara, M. T., Klupp, E., Helfer, B., Rothe, P., Schneider‐Thoma, J., & Leucht, S. (2018) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd011883.pub2 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Carbamazepine for schizophrenia
Leucht, S., Helfer, B., Dold, M., Kissling, W., & McGrath, J. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd001258.pub3 · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Pyridoxal 5 phosphate for neuroleptic-induced tardive dyskinesia
Adelufosi, A. O., Abayomi, O., & Ojo, T. M.-F. (2015) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010501.pub2 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Cognitive behavioural therapy (brief versus standard duration) for schizophrenia
Naeem, F., Farooq, S., & Kingdon, D. (2015) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010646.pub3 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Sulpiride versus placebo for schizophrenia
Wang, J., & Sampson, S. J. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd007811.pub2 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Trifluoperazine versus placebo for schizophrenia
Koch, K., Mansi, K., Haynes, E., Adams, C. E., Sampson, S. J., & Furtado, V. A. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010226.pub2 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Clozapine for psychotic disorders in adults with intellectual disabilities
Ayub, M., Saeed, K., Munshi, T. A., & Naeem, F. (2015) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010625.pub2 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Kauppi, K., Valimaki, M. A., Hätönen, H. M., Kuosmanen, L., Warwick-Smith, K., & Adams, C. E. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009960.pub2 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Horticultural therapy for schizophrenia
Liu, Y., Li, B., Sampson, S. J., Roberts, S. A., Zhang, G., & Wu, W. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009413.pub2 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Haloperidol for long-term aggression in psychosis
Khushu, A., & Powney, M. J. (2016) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009830.pub2 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Fluphenazine (oral) versus placebo for schizophrenia
Matar, H. E., Almerie, M. Q., & Sampson, S. J. (2013) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd006352.pub2 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Risperidone (depot) for schizophrenia
Sampson, S. J., Hosalli, P., Furtado, V. A., & Davis, J. M. (2016) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd004161.pub2 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Video games for people with schizophrenia
Roberts, M., Lloyd, J., Valimaki, M. A., Ho, G. W., Freemantle, M., & Békefi, A. Z. (2021) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd012844.pub2 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Addressing missing participant outcome data in dental clinical trials
Spineli, L. M., Fleming, P. S., & Pandis, N. (2015) · Journal of Dentistry · doi:10.1016/j.jdent.2015.03.007 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Yoga versus non-standard care for schizophrenia
Broderick, J. M., Crumlish, N., Waugh, A., & Vancampfort, D. (2017) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd012052.pub2 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Shen, X., Xia, J., & Adams, C. E. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd005475.pub2 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Owens, D. G. C. (2007) · Advances in Psychiatric Treatment · doi:10.1192/apt.bp.107.003970 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Flupenthixol versus placebo for schizophrenia
Shen, X., Xia, J., & Adams, C. E. (2012) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009777.pub2 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Ratner, Y., Gibel, A., Yorkov, V., & Ritsner, M. S. (2007) · Progress in Neuro-Psychopharmacology and Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.pnpbp.2007.06.008 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Psychological interventions for psychosis in adolescents
Datta, S. S., Daruvala, R., & Kumar, A. (2020) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009533.pub2 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Quetiapine for psychosis-induced aggression or agitation
Wilkie, F., & Fenton, M. (2012) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd009801 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Increasing antipsychotic dose versus switching antipsychotic for non response in schizophrenia
Samara, M. T., Klupp, E., Helfer, B., Rothe, P., Schneider‐Thoma, J., & Leucht, S. (2018) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd011884.pub2 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
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Leucht, S., Helfer, B., & Hartung, B. (2014) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd002832.pub3 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Loxapine inhaler for psychosis-induced aggression or agitation
Vangala, R., Ahmed, U., & Ahmed, R. I. (2012) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd010190 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
- Authors
- Leucht, S., Engel, R. R., Bauml, J., & Davis, J. M.
- Affiliations
- TUM Klinikum (DE)
- Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (DE)
- University of Illinois Chicago (US)
- Venue
- Schizophrenia Bulletin
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2006-12-07
- Volume
- 33
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 183-191
- ISSN
- 0586-7614 (ISSN-L)
- 1745-1701
- PMC
- PMC2632292
- OpenAlex
- W2127313266
- Cited by
- 193
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 12 · 2015: 22 · 2014: 27 · 2013: 34 · 2012: 41
- FWCI
- 3.18
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Schizophrenia Bulletin (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- mediaTUM – the media and publications repository of the Technical University Munich (Technical University Munich) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Schizophrenia research and treatment
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Keywords
- last observation carried forward, missing data
- MeSH terms
- Olanzapine, Amisulpride, Benzodiazepines, Flupenthixol, Haloperidol, Humans, Patient Dropouts, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Psychotropic Drugs, Schizophrenia, Schizophrenic Psychology, Sulpiride, Bias, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Artifacts, Treatment Outcome
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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