Preclinical Rationale for the Phase III Trials in Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer: Is Wishful Thinking Clouding Successful Drug Development for Pancreatic Cancer?
Open accessAbstract
Prior phase III trials in advanced pancreatic cancer have been predominantly unsuccessful. In this review, we attempt to understand how past preclinical data were translated into phase III clinical trials in metastatic pancreatic cancer as described in the article. A systematic literature review conducted through the MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases, from January 1997 to June 2015 using key words-phase III clinical trials, metastatic/advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma or pancreatic cancer identified 30 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that met criteria. The trials were limited to RCTs in the first-line treatment of patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer. The success rate of first-line phase III studies in advanced pancreatic cancer was only 13%. In 60% of the RCTs, no preclinical experiments were referenced in biologically cognate pancreatic models. Nine (30%) of the RCTs were designed based on preclinical evidence from in vitro cell lines alone without additional in vivo validation in xenograft models. It remains uncertain how strongly the preclinical data influence the development of clinical regimens but so far the studies developed based on more solid preclinical evidence have been successful.
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There have been calls to reform PDAC drug development and to revise the criteria for advancing agents into larger trials.
“This has led to calls to revamp how drug development is furthered for this disease, and to redefine the thresholds needed for agents to move forward to larger phase trials281,282.”
From Pancreatic cancer: Advances and challenges (2023) · cites this paper as [281]
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Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Pancreatic cancer: Advances and challenges
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Thota, R., Maitra, A., & Berlin, J. D.
- Affiliations
- The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Berlin, Jordan D.
- Venue
- Pancreas
- Published
- 2017-02
- Volume
- 46
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 143-150
- ISSN
- 0885-3177 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5242389
- OpenAlex
- W2577776321
- Cited by
- 12
- References
- 104
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 0.11
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Pancreas (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Cancer Institute (P30CA068485)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Pancreatitis Pathology and Treatment
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Keywords
- metastatic pancreatic cancer, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, first-line therapy, randomized controlled trials, xenograft models, in vitro cell lines, trial design, preclinical evidence
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols, Drug Screening Assays, Antitumor, Drug Therapy, Humans, Neoplasm Metastasis, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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