The DOI matches its Crossref record; 74 of the 74 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Global drivers of human pathogen richness and prevalence
Open accessAbstract
The differences in the richness and prevalence of human pathogens among different geographical locations have ramifying consequences for societies and individuals. The relative contributions of different factors to these patterns, however, have not been fully resolved. We conduct a global analysis of the relative influence of climate, alternative host diversity and spending on disease prevention on modern patterns in the richness and prevalence of human pathogens. Pathogen richness (number of kinds) is largely explained by the number of birds and mammal species in a region. The most diverse countries with respect to birds and mammals are also the most diverse with respect to pathogens. Importantly, for human health, the prevalence of key human pathogens (number of cases) is strongly influenced by disease control efforts. As a consequence, even where disease richness is high, we might still control prevalence, particularly if we spend money in those regions where current spending is low, prevalence is high and populations are large.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Prevalence measures are likely better assays of the impact of parasitic diseases than the number of such diseases (Dunn et al. 2010).”
From Parasite-stress promotes in-group assortative sociality: The cases of strong family ties and heightened religiosity (2012) · cites this paper as Dunn et al. 2010
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
(1998) · Cited by 36,049
The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital
Costanza, R., d'Arge, R., de Groot, R., Farber, S., Grasso, M., Hannon, B., Limburg, K., Naeem, S., O'Neill, R. V., Paruelo, J., et al. (1997) · Nature · doi:10.1038/387253a0 · Cited by 22,585
The Theory of Island Biogeography
MacArthur, R. H., & Wilson, E. O. (2001) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.1515/9781400881376 · Cited by 13,298
The Theory of Island Biogeography
Kirkby, M. J., MacArthur, R. H., & Wilson, E. O. (1968) · Geographical Journal · doi:10.2307/1796430 · Cited by 11,589
Global trends in emerging infectious diseases
Jones, K. E., Patel, N. G., Levy, M. A., Storeygard, A., Balk, D., Gittleman, J. L., & Daszak, P. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06536 · Cited by 8,338
Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control
(1992) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-117-2-174_4 · Cited by 7,819
TOWARD A METABOLIC THEORY OF ECOLOGY
Brown, J. H., Gillooly, J. F., Allen, A. P., Savage, V. M., & West, G. B. (2004) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/03-9000 · Cited by 7,779
Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control
Anderson, R. M., & May, R. M. (1991) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198545996.001.0001 · Cited by 6,179
Herbivores and the Number of Tree Species in Tropical Forests
Janzen, D. H. (1970) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/282687 · Cited by 4,778
Population biology of infectious diseases: Part I
Anderson, R. M., & May, R. M. (1979) · Nature · doi:10.1038/280361a0 · Cited by 3,225
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- Connell J. H., 1971, Dynamics of populations, 298
- ESRI, 2006, ArcMap
- Patterson B. D., 2007, Digital distribution maps of the mammals of the Western Hemisphere, version 3.0
- WHO, 2004, World health report 2004
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Host and viral traits predict zoonotic spillover from mammals
Olival, K. J., Hosseini, P. R., Zambrana-Torrelio, C., Ross, N., Bogich, T. L., & Daszak, P. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature22975 · Cited by 1,130
Global hotspots and correlates of emerging zoonotic diseases
Allen, T., Murray, K. A., Zambrana-Torrelio, C., Morse, S. S., Rondinini, C., Di Marco, M., Breit, N., Olival, K. J., & Daszak, P. (2017) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-017-00923-8 · Cited by 1,124
Global rise in human infectious disease outbreaks
Smith, K. F., Goldberg, M. E., Rosenthal, S. R., Carlson, L., Chen, J., Chen, C., & Ramachandran, S. (2014) · Journal of The Royal Society Interface · doi:10.1098/rsif.2014.0950 · Cited by 641
Combining Selective Pressures to Enhance the Durability of Disease Resistance Genes
Delmotte, F., Bourguet, D., Franck, P., Guillemaud, T., Reboud, X., Vacher, C., & Walker, A. S. A. S. (2016) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2016.01916 · Cited by 576
Effects of Host Diversity on Infectious Disease
Ostfeld, R. S., & Keesing, F. (2012) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102710-145022 · Cited by 528
Metadata
- Authors
- Dunn, R. R., Davies, T. J., Harris, N. C., & Gavin, M. C.
- Affiliations
- North Carolina State University (US)
- University of California, Santa Barbara (US)
- Victoria University of Wellington (NZ)
- Corresponding author
- Dunn, Robert R.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2010-04-14
- Volume
- 277
- Issue
- 1694
- Pages
- 2587-2595
- ISSN
- 0080-4649 (ISSN-L)
- 0962-8452
- 1471-2954
- PMC
- PMC2982038
- OpenAlex
- W2159932081
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 74
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 43 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 21 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 15 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 13.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Zoonotic diseases and public health
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Parasitology › Parasite Biology and Host Interactions
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Keywords
- human pathogens, pathogen prevalence, climate, birds, mammals, disease control, global biodiversity, zoonoses
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Birds, Climate, Communicable Disease Control, Communicable Diseases, Humans, Mammals, Prevalence, Biodiversity
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review