The effect of climate anomalies and human ignition factor on wildfires in Russian boreal forests
Open accessAbstract
Over the last few years anomalies in temperature and precipitation in northern Russia have been regarded as manifestations of climate change. During the same period exceptional forest fire seasons have been reported, prompting many authors to suggest that these in turn are due to climate change. In this paper, we examine the number and areal extent of forest fires across boreal Russia for the period 2002–2005 within two forest categories: ‘intact forests’ and ‘non-intact forests’. Results show a far lower density of fire events in intact forests (5–14 times less) and that those events tend to be in the first 10 km buffer zone inside intact forest areas. Results also show that, during exceptional climatic years (2002 and 2003), fire event density is twice that found during normal years (2004 and 2005) and average areal extent of fire events (burned area) in intact forests is 2.5 times larger than normal. These results suggest that a majority of the fire events in boreal Russia are of human origin and a maximum of one-third of their impact (areal extension) can be attributed to climate anomalies alone, the rest being due to the combined effect of human disturbances and climate anomalies.
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In many regions, humans account for the majority of ignitions and burned area, replacing lightning as the primary ignition source.
“In many regions, humans account for the majority of ignitions and burned area, replacing lightning as the primary ignition source (Achard, Eva, Mollicone, & Beuchle, 2008;Lasslop & Kloster, 2017).”
From Fire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers (2020) · cites this paper as Achard, Eva, Mollicone, & Beuchle, 2008
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Corning, S., Krasovskiy, A., Kiparisov, P., Pedro, J. S., Viana, C. M., & Kraxner, F. (2024) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire7040144 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
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Mäkelä, H., Venäläinen, A. K., Jylhä, K., Lehtonen, I., & Gregow, H. (2014) · Climate Research · doi:10.3354/cr01223 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
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Mapping Forest Stability within Major Biomes Using Canopy Indices Derived from MODIS Time Series
Shestakova, T. A., Mackey, B., Hugh, S., Dean, J., Александровна, К. Е., Laflamme, J., Shvetsov, E. G., & Rogers, B. M. (2022) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs14153813 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Bartalev, S. S., Kissiyar, O., Achard, F., Bartalev, S. A., & Simonetti, D. (2014) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/01431161.2014.883099 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Self-citationHuman Dimensions of Environmental Change in Siberia
Bergen, K. M., Hitztaler, S., Kharuk, V. I., Krankina, O. N., Loboda, T. V., Zhao, T., Shugart, H. H., & Sun, G. (2012) · Springer environmental science and engineering · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-4569-8_7 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
What the Blazes!? A People's History of Fire in Labrador
Oberndorfer, E. (2020) · Journal of the North Atlantic · doi:10.3721/037.006.4001 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Bigio, E. R., Swetnam, T. W., Baisan, C. H., Guiterman, C. H., Kisilyakhov, Y., Andreev, S. G., Батоцыренов, Э. А., & Ayurzhanaev, A. A. (2022) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6964 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Carbon Storage in Terrestrial Ecosystems
Scholes, R. J., & Smart, K. G. (2013) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-384703-4.00411-1 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Epidemiological Assessment of Fires in the Philippines, 2010-2012Preprint
Nenita, G., & Velasco, V. (2013) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Tracking ecosystem stability across boreal Siberia
Shestakova, T. A., Rogers, B. M., Mackey, B., Hugh, S., Norman, P., & Александровна, К. Е. (2024) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112841 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Chu, T., & Guo, X. (2014) · doi:10.5194/nhessd-2-4711-2014 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Quantifying Fire‐Driven Dust Emissions Using a Global Aerosol Model
Wagner, R., & Schepanski, K. (2025) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2024ms004466 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Disturbances on Riparian Vegetation: A Comprehensive Review
Mohan, N. S., & Joseph, S. (2024) · International Journal of Research and Review · doi:10.52403/ijrr.20240422 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Gutierrez-Flores, I. R., Panca, M., & Oyague, E. (2024) · Environmental Challenges · doi:10.1016/j.envc.2024.101044 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Modeling Natural Disturbances in Boreal Forests
Seidl, R., Fortin, M., Honkaniemi, J., & Lucash, M. S. (2023) · Advances in global change research · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-15988-6_24 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
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Sogacheva, L., Virtanen, T., Sundström, A., Kolmonen, P., Sofiev, M., Lappalainen, H., & Arola, A. (2024) · Big Earth Data · doi:10.1080/20964471.2024.2316730 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Gutierrez-Flores, I., Mercado, A., Zubieta, R., Beltrán, P., & Oyague, E. (2025) · Geomatics Natural Hazards and Risk · doi:10.1080/19475705.2025.2605112 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Human activity may have influenced Holocene wildfire dynamics in boreal eastern Siberia
Glückler, R., Dietze, E., Andreev, A., Kruse, S., Zakharov, E. S., Baisheva, I. A., Stieg, A., Tsuyuzaki, S., Пестрякова, Л. А., & Herzschuh, U. (2026) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-025-03169-1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Five Core Tenets of Pyrogeography
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High-Latitude Forest Cover Loss in Northern Eurasia, 2000–2005
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SYNTHESIS The human dimension of fire regimes on Earth
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Balch, J. K., Artaxo, P. E., Bond, W. J., Cochrane, M. A., DeFries, R., Johnston, F. H., Keeley, J. E., Krawchuk, M. A., Kull, C. A., et al. (2011)
Warkentin, I. G., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2012)
Wildfire and forest management effects on soil properties
Quijorna, M. F. (2019) · LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas)
McCarty, J. L. (2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-83-ac2
McCarty, J. L. (2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-83-ac1
McCarty, J. L., Aalto, J., Paunu, V.-V., et al. (2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-83-rc2
McCarty, J. L., Aalto, J., Paunu, V.-V., et al. (2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-83-rc1
McCarty, J. L. (2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-83-ac3
McCarty, J. L., Aalto, J., Paunu, V.-V., et al. (2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-83-rc3
Human dimension of Holocene wildfire dynamics in boreal eastern SiberiaPreprint
Glückler, R., Dietze, E., ANDREEV, A. A., Kruse, S., Zakharov, E. S., Baisheva, I. A., Stieg, A., Tsuyuzaki, S., Pestryakova, L. A., & Herzschuh, U. (2025) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2025.03.14.643308
Rudaya, N. A. (2025) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-36569-0.00022-7
Estimates of past and future forest fire danger in Finland from a climatological viewpoint
Mäkelä, H. M. (2015) · Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja
- Authors
- Achard, F., Eva, H. D., Mollicone, D., & Beuchle, R.
- Affiliations
- European Commission (BE)
- Corresponding author
- Achard, Frédéric
- Venue
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2007-11-15
- Volume
- 363
- Issue
- 1501
- Pages
- 2329-2337
- ISSN
- 0962-8436 (ISSN-L)
- 1471-2970
- PMC
- PMC2606783
- OpenAlex
- W2051525273
- Cited by
- 90
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 3.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics (submittedVersion)
- Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Keywords
- forest fires, boreal forest, climate anomalies, human ignition, fire origin, burned area, intact forests, climate change, northern Russia
- MeSH terms
- Climate, Fires, Humans, Human Activities, Russia, Trees, Databases, Factual, History, 21st Century
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