The DOI matches its Crossref record; 62 of the 62 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Why the brain talks to itself: sources of error in emotional prediction
Open accessAbstract
People typically choose pleasure over pain. But how do they know which of these their choices will entail? The brain generates mental simulations (previews) of future events, which produce affective reactions (premotions), which are then used as a basis for forecasts (predictions) about the future event's emotional consequences. Research shows that this process leads to systematic errors of prediction. We review evidence indicating that these errors can be traced to five sources.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Returning to Figure 1, each preview is associated with emotional arousal described as a “premotion”.”
From Extension of the Transdiagnostic Model to Focus on Intolerance of Uncertainty: A Review of the Literature and Implications for Treatment (2014) · cites this paper as Gilbert & Wilson, 2009
In the citing paper
“The premotion occurs as a direct consequence of the preview the individual has made (Gilbert & Wilson, 2009).”
From Extension of the Transdiagnostic Model to Focus on Intolerance of Uncertainty: A Review of the Literature and Implications for Treatment (2014) · cites this paper as Gilbert & Wilson, 2009
In the citing paper
“These estimates may be drawn from cognitive biases in our memories of past experiences (see further Gilbert & Wilson, 2009).”
From Extension of the Transdiagnostic Model to Focus on Intolerance of Uncertainty: A Review of the Literature and Implications for Treatment (2014) · cites this paper as Gilbert & Wilson, 2009
Citations
Cites
Advances In Experimental Social Psychology
(2022) · Advances in experimental social psychology · doi:10.1016/s0065-2601(22)x0002-6 · Cited by 22,559
(1994) · DigitalGeorgetown (Georgetown University Library) · Cited by 10,542
Well-being : the foundations of hedonic psychology
Kahneman, D. J., Diener, E. F., & Schwarz, N. (1999) · Cited by 7,472
Tulving, E. (1985) · Canadian Psychology / Psychologie canadienne · doi:10.1037/h0080017 · Cited by 4,638
Trope, Y., & Liberman, N. (2003) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.110.3.403 · Cited by 3,006
Buckner, R. L., & Carroll, D. C. (2007) · Trends in Cognitive Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.tics.2006.11.004 · Cited by 2,691
Liberman, N., & Trope, Y. (1998) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.75.1.5 · Cited by 2,447
Remembering the past to imagine the future: the prospective brain
Schacter, D. L., Addis, D. R., & Buckner, R. L. (2007) · Nature Reviews Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/nrn2213 · Cited by 2,394 · cited 2×
“…future events are produced in large part by the frontal regions of the brain (Ingvar 1985; Wheeler et al. 1997; Fellows & Farah 2005), which are especially activated when people are asked to simulate the future (Addis et al. 2007; Buckner & Carroll 2007; Schacter et al. 2007; Szpunar et al. 2007).”
BackgroundTau-mediated neurodegeneration in Alzheimer’s disease and related disorders
Ballatore, C., Lee, V. M.-Y., & Trojanowski, J. Q. (2007) · Nature Reviews Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/nrn2194 · Cited by 2,174
Stuss, D. T., & Benson, D. F. (1986) · Raven Press eBooks · Cited by 2,102
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Loewenstein G., 2003, Time and decision, 351
- Morewedge C.K. Gilbert D.T. Kassam K.S. Myrseth K.O.R.& Wilson T.D. Consuming experiences: the problem of shifting standards in affective forecasting. 2007 Cambridge MA:Harvard University.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Berridge, K. C., & Kringelbach, M. L. (2015) · Neuron · doi:10.1016/j.neuron.2015.02.018 · Cited by 1,730
An Interoceptive Predictive Coding Model of Conscious Presence
Seth, A. K., Suzuki, K., & Critchley, H. D. (2012) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00395 · Cited by 950
“Many previous studies have examined how predictions can influence emotion over longer, diachronic, timescales (Ploghaus et al., 1999; Porro et al., 2003; Ueda et al., 2003; Gilbert and Wilson, 2009); the brain networks involved in emotional predictions across time reliably include prefrontal cortex and the ACC.”
BackgroundPrediction, cognition and the brain
Bubić, A. (2010) · Frontiers in Human Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnhum.2010.00025 · Cited by 711
Positive interventions: An emotion regulation perspective.
Quoidbach, J., Mikolajczak, M., & Gross, J. J. (2015) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/a0038648 · Cited by 546
Neuroscience of affect: brain mechanisms of pleasure and displeasure
Berridge, K. C., & Kringelbach, M. L. (2013) · Current Opinion in Neurobiology · doi:10.1016/j.conb.2013.01.017 · Cited by 532
Metadata
- Authors
- Gilbert, D. T., & Wilson, T. D.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- University of Virginia (US)
- Corresponding author
- Gilbert, Daniel T.
- Venue
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2009-05-12
- Volume
- 364
- Issue
- 1521
- Pages
- 1335-1341
- ISSN
- 0962-8436 (ISSN-L)
- 1471-2970
- PMC
- PMC2666705
- OpenAlex
- W2112835752
- Cited by
- 150
- References
- 62
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 14 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 10
- FWCI
- 0.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (0722132)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Embodied and Extended Cognition
- Keywords
- prediction error, mental simulation, affective forecasting, pleasure and pain, decision-making, cognitive biases
- MeSH terms
- Affect, Brain, Concept Formation, Emotions, Humans, Imagination, Mental Processes
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review