Cited by 150Neural and Behavioral Psychology StudiesDecision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsEmbodied and Extended Cognition

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Why the brain talks to itself: sources of error in emotional prediction

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Gilbert, Daniel T., Wilson, Timothy D.·2009·Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

DOI 10.1098/rstb.2008.0305PMC PMC2666705

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Abstract

People typically choose pleasure over pain. But how do they know which of these their choices will entail? The brain generates mental simulations (previews) of future events, which produce affective reactions (premotions), which are then used as a basis for forecasts (predictions) about the future event's emotional consequences. Research shows that this process leads to systematic errors of prediction. We review evidence indicating that these errors can be traced to five sources.

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Authors: Gilbert, D. T., & Wilson, T. D.
Affiliations: Harvard University (US)
University of Virginia (US)
Corresponding author: Gilbert, Daniel T.
ORCID: Gilbert, Daniel T.
Wilson, Timothy D.
Venue: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Publisher: The Royal Society
Published: 2009-05-12
Volume: 364
Issue: 1521
Pages: 1335-1341
ISSN: 0962-8436 (ISSN-L)
1471-2970
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2008.0305
PMC: PMC2666705
OpenAlex: W2112835752
Cited by: 150
References: 62
Citations by year: 2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 14 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 10
FWCI: 0.68
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Licence: royalsociety.org/journals/ethics-policies/data-sharing-mining/ (tdm)
Locations: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders: National Science Foundation (0722132)
Topics: Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Embodied and Extended Cognition
Keywords: prediction error, mental simulation, affective forecasting, pleasure and pain, decision-making, cognitive biases
MeSH terms: Affect, Brain, Concept Formation, Emotions, Humans, Imagination, Mental Processes

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Why the brain talks to itself: sources of error in emotional prediction

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