Cited by 157Cosmology and Gravitation TheoriesNoncommutative and Quantum Gravity TheoriesBlack Holes and Theoretical Physics

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 14 of the 14 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 8 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

No-Boundary Measure of the Universe

Open access
Hartle, James B., Hawking, S. W., Hertog, Thomas·2008·Physical Review Letters

Abstract

We consider the no-boundary proposal for homogeneous isotropic closed universes with a cosmological constant and a scalar field with a quadratic potential. In the semiclassical limit, it predicts classical behavior at late times if the scalar field is large enough. The classical histories may be singular in the past or bounce at a finite radius. This probability measure selects inflationary histories but is biased towards small numbers of e-foldings N. However, to obtain the probability of our observations in our past light cone these probabilities should be multiplied by exp(3N). This volume weighting is similar to that in eternal inflation. In a landscape potential, it would predict that the Universe underwent a large amount of inflation and could have always been semiclassical.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

The no-boundary wave function for homogeneous isotropic closed universes with a cosmological constant and quadratic scalar potential predicts classical late-time histories only above a minimum initial scalar field, and those histories inflate. Unconditioned probabilities favor little inflation, but volume weighting by exp(3N) reverses this, favoring large inflation and a semiclassical de Sitter-like origin near a broad landscape saddle.

Key findings

  • In a quadratic-potential minisuperspace model with µ = 3 and Λ = .03, there are no classical histories for φ₀ below a critical value φ_c₀ ≈ 1.2; a critical φ_s₀ ≈ 1.5 separates histories that bounce at finite radius from those singular when extrapolated back.
  • All histories that behave classically at late times undergo early slow-roll inflation; the no-boundary proposal plus classicality implies inflation.
  • Unconditioned no-boundary probabilities favor small amounts of inflation, but multiplying by the number of Hubble volumes, proportional to exp(3N), favors larger universes and more inflation; the probability gradient is positive when V³ ≥ |V,φ|², the same condition as eternal inflation.
  • In a landscape potential, the most probable homogeneous history consistent with data starts near a broad saddle-point in an approximately de Sitter state, has a large amount of slow-roll inflation, and lies in the semiclassical regime.

Methods

  • Uses the no-boundary wave function in homogeneous isotropic minisuperspace spanned by scale factor b and scalar field χ, with semiclassical steepest-descent approximation and classicality constraint |(∇S)²| ≫ |(∇I_R)²|.
  • Numerically solves the Friedman-Lemaître equations along a complex contour for each b and χ for V(Φ) = (1/2)m²Φ², in units h = c = G = 1, with µ ≡ (3/Λ)^(1/2)m; example shown for µ = 3 and Λ = .03.
  • Computes relative probabilities exp[−2I_R(b,χ)/h] for the one-parameter classical ensemble, then applies top-down probabilities by summing over spacetimes containing our data and over Hubble-volume locations, giving the exp(3N) volume factor.

Limitations

  • The paper states it discusses homogeneous universes only; inhomogeneous perturbations are mentioned, but the connection to eternal inflation is “not yet clear.”
  • The paper states that singularities in extrapolated classical histories are a limitation of the classical approximation, not an obstacle to prediction.
  • Evident from the text: the landscape-potential conclusions are by analogy with quadratic potentials rather than a full calculation, and the numerical results are illustrated for specific parameters such as µ = 3 and Λ = .03.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1103/physrevlett.100.201301

Cites

14 of 14 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

0 of 8 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingnone given

    Near the bounce the universe approaches a de Sitter state with radius ∼ (μφ0)^-1.

    “Near the bounce the universe approaches a de Sitter state with radius ∼ (µφ 0 ) -1 .”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingnone given

    The condition that the universe lasts ∼14 Gyr further restricts the ensemble, requiring φ0 to be larger than a critical value φg0 > φc0.

    “The condition that the universe lasts ∼14 Gyr further restricts the ensemble, requiring φ 0 to be larger than a critical value φ g 0 > φ c 0 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    For five members of the ensemble of classical histories in the μ=3 model for φ0 between 1.3 and 2, when followed back in time to higher H, they all lie within a very narrow band around H=μφ, which corresponds to slow-roll inflationary solutions.

    “When we follow the histories back in time to higher values of H, they all lie within a very narrow band around H = µφ.But this is precisely the regime that corresponds to slow roll inflationary solutions”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingcitation

    For quadratic potentials with realistic values of m and Λ, the constraints of classicality and minimum age yield a restricted ensemble of histories whose volume-weighted probabilities slightly favor a large number of e-foldings necessary for explaining the observed spatial flatness.

    “For quadratic potentials with realistic values of m and Λ the constraints of classicality and minumum age yield a restricted ensemble of histories whose volume weighted probabilities slightly favor a large number of efoldings [5] that are necessary for explaining the observed spatial flatness.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Findingnone given

    The relative probabilities for histories in the classical ensemble are given by exp[-2I_R(b,χ)/h] in the leading semiclassical approximation.

    “The relative probabilities for histories in this classical ensemble are given by exp[-2I R (b, χ)/h] in the leading”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 18
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 2
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    In the semiclassical approximation, the NBWF predicts non-zero probabilities only for a one-parameter ensemble of the two-parameter family of classical histories; classical histories not in the ensemble have zero probability.

    “the NBWF predicts non-zero probabilities only for a one-parameter ensemble of the two-parameter family of classical histories.Classical histories not in the ensemble have zero probability.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingcitation

    The gradient of the probability distribution ∼ exp(3N -2I_R) with respect to φi is positive if V^3 ≥ |V,φ|^2, which is the same as the condition for eternal inflation.

    “The gradient of the probability distribution ∼ exp(3N -2I R ) with respect to φ i is positive if V 3 ≥ |V ,φ | 2(6) which, intriguingly, is the same as the condition for eternal inflation [3,11].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [3]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [11]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    Individual classical bouncing histories are not generally time-symmetric about the bounce, although the time asymmetry is small for large φ0.

    “Individual classical bouncing histories are not generally time-symmetric about the bounce, although the time asymmetry is small for large φ 0 .”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    The classical histories differ in the value φi ≈ φ0 of the inflaton at the start of inflation, and consequently in the volume of the present surface of homogeneity.

    “But the classical histories differ in the value φ i ≈ φ 0 of the inflaton at the start of inflation, and consequently in the volume of the present surface of homogeneity.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    When the classicality constraint holds, the action S satisfies the Lorentzian Hamilton-Jacobi equation, and the NBWF predicts the corresponding ensemble of Lorentzian histories with probabilities exp[-2I_R(b,χ)]/h to leading order in h.

    “When (3) holds the action S satisfies the Lorentzian Hamilton-Jacobi equation.The NBWF then predicts the corresponding ensemble of Lorentzian histories.Their probabilities are exp[-2I R (b, χ)]/h] to leading order in h.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [1]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    The critical value φc0 increases slightly with μ and tends to 1.27 when Λ→0, for fixed m.

    “The critical value φ c 0 increases slightly with µ and tends to 1.27 when Λ → 0, for fixed m.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    Non-singular bouncing solutions form only a small subset of all scalar field gravity solutions but have significant probability in the no-boundary state.

    “Such non-singular solutions form only a small subset of all scalar field gravity solutions but have significant probability in the no-boundary state.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    On average each history has the same behavior shortly after inflation ends and thus predicts the same observable physics for every Hubble volume at the present time.

    “On average each history has the same behavior shortly after inflation ends and thus predicts the same observable physics for every Hubble volume at the present time.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This volume weighting favors larger universes and more inflation.

    “This favors larger universes and more inflation.In a larger universe there are more places for our Hubble volume to be.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If the descent direction is sharply curved, the classicality constraint is expected not to be satisfied in analogy with quadratic potentials; hence the no-boundary amplitude for universes that emerge from around such saddle-points will be approximately zero.

    “If this descent direction is sharply curved we expect the classicality constraint (3) not to be satisfied in analogy with the case of quadratic potentials.Hence the no-boundary amplitude for universes that emerge from around such saddle-points will be approximately zero.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Even for histories in the ensemble that are classically singular at an early time, the NBWF unambiguously predicts probabilities for late-time observables such as CMB fluctuations, because it predicts probabilities for histories rather than their initial data.

    “Even for the histories in the ensemble that are classically singular at an early time the NBWF unambiguously predicts probabilities for late time observables such as CMB fluctuations, because it predicts probabilities for histories rather than their initial data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The resulting probabilities favor an inflationary past and, in a landscape potential, suggest a semiclassical origin.

    “We will argue that the re-sulting probabilties favor an inflationary past and, in a landscape potential, suggest a semiclassical origin.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Events on one side of a bouncing universe are therefore unlikely to have a causal impact on the other and have much explanatory value.

    “Events on one side are therefore unlikely to have a causal impact on the other and have much explanatory value.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    The histories in the classical ensemble are not the same as the extremizing histories that provide the steepest-descents approximation to the integral; the classical histories are real and Lorentzian and may have two large regions, while the extrema are generally complex with only one large region.

    “The histories in the classical ensemble are not the same as the extremizing histories that provide the steepest descents approximation to the integral (1).The classical histories are real and Lorentzian and may have two large large regions.The extrema are generally complex with only one large region.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These most probable histories have a large amount of slow-roll inflation, during which the scalar field evolves from the saddle-point to the neighbouring minima of V, populating only a few of the possible vacua in the landscape.

    “They have a large amount of slow roll inflation.During this the scalar field evolves from the saddle-point to the neighbouring minima of V , populating only a few of the possible vacua in the landscape.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: A typical landscape potential has several saddle-points besides the quadratic directions discussed.
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    No additional measure would be needed to derive the probabilities for this structure; the NBWF in principle provides that.

    “In any event no additional 'measure' would be needed to derive the probabilities for this structure.The NBWF in principle provides that.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    In a landscape potential, the no-boundary proposal with volume weighting predicts that the universe would have a large amount of inflation and start in an approximately de Sitter state near a saddle-point of the potential.

    “In a landscape potential, it would predict that the universe would have a large amount of inflation and that it would start in an approximately de Sitter state near a saddle-point of the potential.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The string theory landscape contains a vast ensemble of stable and metastable vacua including some with a small positive effective cosmological constant and the low-energy effective field theory of the Standard Model.
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    The volume weighting is similar to that in eternal inflation.

    “This volume weighting is similar to that in eternal inflation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    The reality of the NBWF implies the ensemble of allowed classical histories is time symmetric; for every history in this ensemble, its time reverse is also a member.

    “However, the reality of the NBWF implies the ensemble of allowed classical histories is time symmetric.For every history in this ensemble, its time reverse is also a member.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
19 of 19
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The string theory landscape contains a vast ensemble of stable and metastable vacua including some with a small positive effective cosmological constant and the low-energy effective field theory of the Standard Model.

    “The string theory landscape is believed to contain a vast ensemble of stable and metastable vacua that includes some with a small positive effective cosmological constant and the low energy effective field theory of the Standard Model.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Classical spacetime is a prerequisite for the construction of effective theories, for cosmology, and for eternal inflation.

    “Classical spacetime is a prerequisite for the construction of effective theories, for cosmology, and for eternal inflation.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Classical spacetime emerges only for certain quantum states.

    “But classical spacetime is not a property of every state in quantum gravity.Rather it emerges only for certain quantum states.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Our data are detailed enough that they occur only once on the surface of homogeneity.

    “Assume that our data are otherwise detailed enough that they occur only once on this surface [8].”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    All vacua are consistent with the Standard Model.

    “We assume for simplicity that all vacua are consistent with the Standard Model.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The probability for our data on the past light cone can be approximated by the probability of data in a Hubble volume on an appropriate surface of homogeneity.

    “Approximate the probability for our data on the past light cone by the probability of data in a Hubble volume on an appropriate surface of homogeneity.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    A typical landscape potential has several saddle-points besides the quadratic directions discussed.

    “A typical landscape potential will have several saddlepoints besides the quadratic directions discussed above.”
7 of 7

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Metadata

Authors
Hartle, J. B., Hawking, S. W., & Hertog, T.
Affiliations
  • University of California, Santa Barbara (US)
  • Laboratoire AstroParticule et Cosmologie (FR)
Venue
Physical Review Letters
Published
2008-05-23
Volume
100
Issue
20
Pages
201301-201301
ISSN
  • 0031-9007 (ISSN-L)
  • 1079-7114
OpenAlex
W1961867386
Cited by
157
References
11
Citations by year
2026: 7 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 13 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 8
FWCI
4.23
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Physical Review Letters (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
  • HAL (submittedVersion)
  • arXiv (Cornell University)
Funders
National Science Foundation
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Nuclear and High Energy Physics › Noncommutative and Quantum Gravity Theories
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Nuclear and High Energy Physics › Black Holes and Theoretical Physics
Keywords
no-boundary proposal, closed universe, cosmological constant, scalar field, quadratic potential, semiclassical limit, bounce, inflation (cosmology), e-folding, eternal inflation, landscape potential, probability measures, past light cone

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