Improving the precision and accuracy of animal population estimates with aerial image object detection
Open accessAbstract
Animal population sizes are often estimated using aerial sample counts by human observers, both for wildlife and livestock. The associated methods of counting remained more or less the same since the 1970s, but suffer from low precision and low accuracy of population estimates. Aerial counts using cost‐efficient Unmanned Aerial Vehicles or microlight aircrafts with cameras and an automated animal detection algorithm can potentially improve this precision and accuracy. Therefore, we evaluated the performance of the multi‐class convolutional neural network RetinaNet in detecting elephants, giraffes and zebras in aerial images from two Kenyan animal counts. The algorithm detected 95% of the number of elephants, 91% of giraffes and 90% of zebras that were found by four layers of human annotation, of which it correctly detected an extra 2.8% of elephants, 3.8% giraffes and 4.0% zebras that were missed by all humans, while detecting only 1.6 to 5.0 false positives per true positive. Furthermore, the animal detections by the algorithm were less sensitive to the sighting distance than humans were. With such a high recall and precision, we posit it is feasible to replace manual aerial animal count methods (from images and/or directly) by only the manual identification of image bounding boxes selected by the algorithm and then use a correction factor equal to the inverse of the undercounting bias in the calculation of the population estimates. This correction factor causes the standard error of the population estimate to increase slightly compared to a manual method, but this increase can be compensated for when the sampling effort would increase by 23%. However, an increase in sampling effort of 160% to 1,050% can be attained with the same expenses for equipment and personnel using our proposed semi‐automatic method compared to a manual method. Therefore, we conclude that our proposed aerial count method will improve the accuracy of population estimates and will decrease the standard error of population estimates by 31% to 67%. Most importantly, this animal detection algorithm has the potential to outperform humans in detecting animals from the air when supplied with images taken at a fixed rate.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Use of machine learning massively reduces analysis costs, with reduction factors estimated between 2 and 10.
“use of ML also massively reduces analysis costs, with reduction factors estimated between 2 and 1042.”
From Perspectives in machine learning for wildlife conservation (2022) · cites this paper as [42]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition
He, K., Zhang, X., Ren, S., & Sun, J. (2016) · 2016 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) · doi:10.1109/cvpr.2016.90 · Cited by 235,474 · see citing works
ImageNet: A large-scale hierarchical image database
Deng, J., Dong, W., Socher, R., Li, L.-J., Li, K., & Fei-Fei, L. (2009) · 2009 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · doi:10.1109/cvpr.2009.5206848 · Cited by 65,333 · see citing works
Feature Pyramid Networks for Object Detection
Lin, T.-Y., Dollar, P., Girshick, R., He, K., Hariharan, B., & Belongie, S. (2017) · 2017 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) · doi:10.1109/cvpr.2017.106 · Cited by 30,939 · see citing works
Focal Loss for Dense Object Detection
Lin, T.-Y., Goyal, P., Girshick, R., He, K., & Dollar, P. (2017) · 2017 IEEE International Conference on Computer Vision (ICCV) · doi:10.1109/iccv.2017.324 · Cited by 30,581 · see citing works
Proceedings of IEEE International Conference on Computer Vision
(1995) · IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision (ICCV) · doi:10.1109/iccv.1995.466933 · Cited by 13,117 · see citing works
Focal Loss for Dense Object Detection
Lin, T.-Y., Goyal, P., Girshick, R., He, K., & Dollar, P. (2020) · IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence · doi:10.1109/tpami.2018.2858826 · Cited by 9,556 · see citing works
ImageNet: A large-scale hierarchical image database
Deng, J., Dong, W. F., Socher, R., Li, L.-J., Li, K., & Fei-Fei, L. (2009) · IEEE Computer Society Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition/Proceedings - IEEE Computer Society Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition/Proceedings · doi:10.1109/cvprw.2009.5206848 · Cited by 2,714 · see citing works
Measuring and Monitoring Biological Diversity: Standard Methods for Mammals
Wilson, D. E., Cole, F. R., Nichols, J. D., Rudran, R., & Foster, M. S. (1996) · Cited by 903 · see citing works
Buckland, S. T., Anderson, D. R., Burnham, K. P., Laake, J. L., Borchers, D. L., & Thomas, L. (2004) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198507833.001.0001 · Cited by 830 · see citing works
A DOUBLE-OBSERVER APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING DETECTION PROBABILITY AND ABUNDANCE FROM POINT COUNTS
Nichols, J. D., Hines, J. E., Sauer, J. R., et al. (2000) · The Auk · doi:10.1642/0004-8038(2000)117[0393:adoafe]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 520 · see citing works
Linchant, J., Lisein, J., Ngabinzeke, J. S., Lejeune, P., & Vermeulen, C. (2015) · Mammal Review · doi:10.1111/mam.12046 · Cited by 502 · see citing works
Drones count wildlife more accurately and precisely than humans
Hodgson, J. C., Mott, R., Baylis, S. M., Pham, T. T., Wotherspoon, S. J., Kilpatrick, A. D., Segaran, R. R., Reid, I. D., Terauds, A., & Koh, L. P. (2018) · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.12974 · Cited by 465 · see citing works
Wildlife Management Techniques Manual
Mossman, A. S., & Schemnitz, S. D. (1982) · Journal of Wildlife Management · doi:10.2307/3808689 · Cited by 373 · see citing works
Christie, K. S., Gilbert, S. L., Brown, C. L., Hatfield, M. C., & Hanson, L. (2016) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1002/fee.1281 · Cited by 341 · see citing works
Kellenberger, B., Marcos, D., & Tuia, D. (2018) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2018.06.028 · Cited by 335 · see citing works
Sampling Methods for Aerial Censuses of Wildlife Populations
Jolly, G. M. (1969) · East African Agricultural and Forestry Journal · doi:10.1080/00128325.1969.11662347 · Cited by 253 · see citing works
Caughley, G., Sinclair, R., & Scott-Kemmis, D. (1976) · Journal of Wildlife Management · doi:10.2307/3800428 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Comparison of aerial counts with ground counts for large African herbivores
Jachmann, H. (2002) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2664.2002.00752.x · Cited by 193 · see citing works
Colefax, A. P., Butcher, P. A., & Kelaher, B. P. (2017) · ICES Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsx100 · Cited by 167 · see citing works
A Design for Estimating Visibility Bias in Aerial Surveys
Cook, R. D., & Jacobson, J. O. (1979) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2530104 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
Visual Localisation and Individual Identification of Holstein Friesian Cattle via Deep Learning
Andrew, W., Greatwood, C. M., & Burghardt, T. (2017) · IEEE International Conference on Computer Vision Workshops · doi:10.1109/iccvw.2017.336 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Detecting animals in African Savanna with UAVs and the crowds
Rey, N., Volpi, M., Joost, S., & Tuia, D. (2017) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.08.026 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Nature Conservation Drones for Automatic Localization and Counting of Animals
van Gemert, J. C., Verschoor, C., Mettes, P., Epema, K., Koh, L. P., & Wich, S. A. (2015) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-16178-5_17 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
RETRACTED CHAPTER: UAVs Applied to the Counting and Monitoring of Animals
Chamoso, P., Raveane, W., Parra, V., & Arrieta, A. G. (2014) · Advances in intelligent systems and computing · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-07596-9_8 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Accuracy and Precision of Aerial Moose Censusing
LeResche, R. E., & Rausch, R. (1974) · Journal of Wildlife Management · doi:10.2307/3800722 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Redfern, J. V., Viljoen, P. C., Kruger, J. M., & Getz, W. M. (2002) · South African Journal of Science · Cited by 76 · see citing works
A Double-Observer Approach for Estimating Detection Probability and Abundance from Point Counts
Nichols, J. D., Hines, J. E., Sauer, J. R., Fallon, J. E., & Heglund, P. J. (2000) · The Auk · doi:10.2307/4089721 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
The Treatment of Errors in Aerial Counts of Wildlife Populations
Jolly, G. M. (1969) · East African Agricultural and Forestry Journal · doi:10.1080/00128325.1969.11662348 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Fleming, P. J. S., & Tracey, J. P. (2008) · Wildlife Research · doi:10.1071/wr07081 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Estimating Abundance of African Wildlife
Jachmann, H. (2001) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4615-1381-0 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
An Evaluation of Waterfowl Surveys on the New Hampshire Coastline
Stott, R. S., & Olson, D. P. (1972) · Journal of Wildlife Management · doi:10.2307/3799077 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Automatic population counts for improved wildlife management using aerial photography
Sırmaçek, B., Wegmann, M., Cross, A., et al. (2012) · elib (German Aerospace Center) · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Mwakiwa, E., Hearne, J., Stigter, J. D., et al. (2015) · Environmental Conservation · doi:10.1017/s0376892915000296 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Modelling to optimise consumptive use of game
Hearne, J., Korrûbel, J. L., & Koch, K. J. (2000) · Annals of Operations Research · doi:10.1023/a:1018950007473 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
An aerial resource inventory of the national park Boucle du Baoule (Mali, West Africa) 1980-1981
de Bie, S., & Kessler, J. J. (1983) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Eikelboom, J. A. J. (. (2019) · Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling · doi:10.4121/uuid:ba99a206-3e5a-4673-b830-b5c866445b8c · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 7
- Chamoso, P., Raveane, W., Parra, V., & González, A. (2014). UAVs ap- plied to the counting and monitoring of animals. In Springer (Ed.), Ambient intelligence -Software and applications (pp. 71-80). Cham, Switzerland. https ://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07596-9 · DOI
- Davis, D. E., & Winstead, R. L. (1980). Estimating the numbers of wild- life populations. In S. D. Schemnitz (Eds.), Wildlife management tech- niques manual (4th ed., pp. 221-245).
- Dunn, W. C., Donnelly, J. P., & Krausmann, W. J. (2002). Using thermal infrared sensing to count Elk in the Southwestern United States. Wildlife Society Bulletin, 30(3), 963-967.
- WR07081 · DOI
- 2041210x, 2019, 11, Downloaded from https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/2041-210X.13277, Wiley Online Library on [01/09/2026]. See the Terms and Conditions (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/terms-and-conditions) on Wiley Online Library for rules of use; OA articles are governed by the applicable Creative Commons License | 1887 Methods in Ecology and Evoluঞon EIKELBOOM Et aL.
- Norton-Griffiths, M. (1978). Counting animals: Revised second edition. Handbook No. 1. Serengeti Ecological Monitoring Programme. Nairobi, Kenya: African Wildlife Leadership Foundation.
- Rabe, M. J., Rosenstock, S. S., & DeVos, J. C. Jr (2002). Review of big- game survey methods used by wildlife agencies of the Western United States. Wildlife Society Bulletin, 30(1), 46-52. https ://doi. org/10.2307/3784634 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Perspectives in machine learning for wildlife conservation
Tuia, D., Kellenberger, B., Beery, S., Costelloe, B. R., Zuffi, S., Risse, B., Mathis, A., Mathis, M. W., van Langevelde, F., Burghardt, T., et al. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-27980-y · Cited by 740 · see citing works
- Authors
- Eikelboom, J. A. J., Wind, J., van de Ven, E., Kenana, L. M., Schroder, B., de Knegt, H. J., van Langevelde, F., & Prins, H. H. T.
- Affiliations
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- Resource Ecology Group Wageningen University and Research Wageningen The Netherlands
- Kenya Wildlife Service (KE)
- Corresponding author
- Eikelboom, Jasper A. J.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Methods in Ecology and Evolution
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2019-08-29
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 1875-1887
- ISSN
- 2041-210X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2945020140
- Cited by
- 135
- References
- 36
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 29 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 9
- FWCI
- 7.62
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Methods in Ecology and Evolution (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Advanced Instrumentation for Wildlife Protection)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition › Advanced Neural Network Applications
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Plant Science › Smart Agriculture and AI
- Keywords
- RetinaNet, convolutional neural networks, elephants, giraffe, zebra, unmanned aerial vehicles, human observer comparison, sampling effort, wildlife census
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review