The challenge of biased evidence in conservation
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Efforts to tackle the current biodiversity crisis need to be as efficient and effective as possible given chronic underfunding. To inform decision-makers of the most effective conservation actions, it is important to identify biases and gaps in the conservation literature to prioritize future evidence generation. We used the Conservation Evidence database to assess the state of the global literature that tests conservation actions for amphibians and birds. For the studies in the database, we investigated their spatial and taxonomic extent and distribution across biomes, effectiveness metrics, and study designs. Studies were heavily concentrated in Western Europe and North America for birds and particularly for amphibians, and temperate forest and grassland biomes were highly represented relative to their percentage of land coverage. Studies that used the most reliable study designs-before-after control-impact and randomized controlled trials-were the most geographically restricted and scarce in the evidence base. There were negative spatial relationships between the numbers of studies and the numbers of threatened and data-deficient species worldwide. Taxonomic biases and gaps were apparent for amphibians and birds-some entire orders were absent from the evidence base-whereas others were poorly represented relative to the proportion of threatened species they contained. Metrics used to evaluate effectiveness of conservation actions were often inconsistent between studies, potentially making them less directly comparable and evidence synthesis more difficult. Testing conservation actions on threatened species outside Western Europe, North America, and Australasia should be prioritized. Standardizing metrics and improving the rigor of study designs used to test conservation actions would also improve the quality of the evidence base for synthesis and decision-making.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
AI management of SAI would introduce new issues such as black box opacity of decision processes or inappropriate generalizations of incomplete data.
“This would introduce a raft of new issues, for instance 'black box' opacity of decision processes (Rudin and Radin, 2019) or inappropriate generalizations of incomplete data (Martin et al., 2012; Christie et al., 2020).”
From A Fate Worse Than Warming? Stratospheric Aerosol Injection and Global Catastrophic Risk (2021) · cites this paper as Christie et al., 2020
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
R Core Team (2000) · doi:10.32614/r.manuals · Cited by 355,706 · see citing works
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species
(2012) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.49-6872 · Cited by 12,828 · see citing works
Defaunation in the Anthropocene
Dirzo, R., Young, H. S., Galetti, M., Ceballos, G., Isaac, N. J. B., & Collen, B. (2014) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1251817 · Cited by 4,305 · cited 1× · see citing works
“The insufficient funding of biodiversity conservation (Dirzo et al. 2014) means researchers and funders must prioritize effort to maximize its potential to inform conservation.”
BackgroundAn ecoregion-based approach to protecting half the terrestrial realm
Dinerstein, E., Olson, D., Joshi, A., Vynne, C., Burgess, N. D., Wikramanayake, E., Hahn, N., Palminteri, S., Hedao, P., Noss, R., et al. (2017) · BioScience · doi:10.1093/biosci/bix014 · Cited by 2,460 · see citing works
Decline of the North American avifauna
Rosenberg, K. V., Dokter, A. M., Blancher, P. J., Sauer, J. R., Smith, A. C., Smith, P. A., Stanton, J. C., Panjabi, A. O., Helft, L., Parr, M. J., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaw1313 · Cited by 2,127 · see citing works
Applied Spatial Data Analysis with R - Second Edition
Bivand, R., Pebesma, E., & Gómez-Rubio, V. (2008) · Use R! · doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-7618-4 · Cited by 2,065 · see citing works
The need for evidence-based conservation
Sutherland, W. J., Pullin, A. S., Dolman, P. M., & Knight, T. M. (2004) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2004.03.018 · Cited by 1,822 · see citing works
Self-citationA comprehensive phylogeny of birds (Aves) using targeted next-generation DNA sequencing
Prum, R. O., Berv, J. S., Dornburg, A., Field, D. J., Townsend, J. P., Lemmon, E. M., & Lemmon, A. R. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature15697 · Cited by 1,668 · see citing works
Pyron, R. A., & Wiens, J. J. (2011) · Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.ympev.2011.06.012 · Cited by 1,397 · see citing works
The seven impediments in invertebrate conservation and how to overcome them
Cardoso, P., Erwin, T. L., Borges, P. A. V., & New, T. R. (2011) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2011.07.024 · Cited by 1,065 · see citing works
Effectiveness of terrestrial protected areas in reducing habitat loss and population declines
Geldmann, J., Barnes, M. D., Coad, L., Craigie, I. D., Hockings, M. T., & Burgess, N. D. (2013) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2013.02.018 · Cited by 1,060 · see citing works
IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature)
(2014) · International Year Book and Statesmen's Who's Who · doi:10.1163/1570-6664_iyb_sim_org_2285 · Cited by 1,016 · see citing works
A comprehensive phylogeny of birds (Aves) using targeted next-generation DNA sequencing
Prum, R. O., Berv, J. S., Dornburg, A., Field, D. J., Townsend, J. P., Lemmon, E. M., & Lemmon, A. R. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature19417 · Cited by 928 · see citing works
Species richness, hotspots, and the scale dependence of range maps in ecology and conservation
Hurlbert, A. H., & Jetz, W. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0704469104 · Cited by 710 · see citing works
Languages Are Still a Major Barrier to Global Science
Amano, T., González‐Varo, J. P., & Sutherland, W. J. (2016) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.2000933 · Cited by 601 · see citing works
Self-citationTaxonomic Bias in Conservation Research
Clark, J. A., & May, R. M. (2002) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.297.5579.191b · Cited by 594 · see citing works
Martin, L. J., Blossey, B., & Ellis, E. (2012) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1890/110154 · Cited by 521 · see citing works
Geographical sampling bias and its implications for conservation priorities in Africa
Reddy, S., & Dávalos, L. M. (2003) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.2003.00946.x · Cited by 454 · see citing works
sp: Classes and Methods for Spatial Data
Pebesma, E. J., & Bivand, R. (2005) · doi:10.32614/cran.package.sp · Cited by 452 · see citing works
Accounting for uncertainty when mapping species distributions: The need for maps of ignorance
Rocchini, D., Hortal, J., Lengyel, S., Lobo, J. M., Jiménez‐Valverde, A., Ricotta, C., Bacaro, G., & Chiarucci, A. (2011) · Progress in Physical Geography Earth and Environment · doi:10.1177/0309133311399491 · Cited by 406 · see citing works
Simple study designs in ecology produce inaccurate estimates of biodiversity responses
Christie, A. P., Amano, T., Martin, P. A., Shackelford, G. E., Simmons, B. I., & Sutherland, W. J. (2019) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13499 · Cited by 380 · see citing works
Self-citationWhat do conservation biologists publish?
Fazey, I., Fischer, J., & Lindenmayer, D. B. (2005) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2005.01.013 · Cited by 378 · see citing works
Changing trends and persisting biases in three decades of conservation science
Marco, M. D., Chapman, S., Althor, G., Kearney, S. G., Besançon, C., Butt, N., Maina, J. M., Possingham, H. P., von Bieberstein, K. R., Venter, O., et al. (2017) · Global Ecology and Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.gecco.2017.01.008 · Cited by 331 · see citing works
The 2010 Biodiversity Indicators: Challenges for Science and Policy
Mace, G. M., & BAILLIE, J. E. M. (2007) · Conservation Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2007.00830.x · Cited by 286 · see citing works
Amano, T., & Sutherland, W. J. (2013) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2012.2649 · Cited by 262 · see citing works
Self-citationTaxonomic bias and international biodiversity conservation research
Donaldson, M., Burnett, N. J., Braun, D. C., Suski, C. D., Hinch, S. G., Cooke, S. J., & Kerr, J. T. (2016) · FACETS · doi:10.1139/facets-2016-0011 · Cited by 246 · see citing works
Sutherland, W. J., Taylor, N. G., MacFarlane, D., Amano, T., Christie, A. P., Dicks, L. V., Lemasson, A. J., Littlewood, N. A., Martin, P. A., Ockendon, N., et al. (2019) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108199 · Cited by 233 · see citing works
Self-citationConservation Research Is Not Happening Where It Is Most Needed
Wilson, K. A., Auerbach, N. A., Sam, K., et al. (2016) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1002413 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
Rasmussen, L. N., & Montgomery, P. (2018) · Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1186/s13643-018-0786-6 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Poor availability of context-specific evidence hampers decision-making in conservation
Christie, A. P., Amano, T., Martin, P. A., Petrovan, S. O., Shackelford, G. E., Simmons, B. I., Smith, R. K., Williams, D., Wordley, C. F. R., & Sutherland, W. J. (2020) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108666 · Cited by 138 · see citing works
Self-citationIs research effort allocated efficiently for conservation? Felidae as a global case study
Brodie, J. F. (2009) · Biodiversity and Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10531-009-9617-3 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Correlates of Research Effort in Carnivores: Body Size, Range Size and Diet Matter
Brooke, Z. M., Bielby, J., Nambiar, K. Z., & Carbone, C. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0093195 · Cited by 130 · see citing works
Global mismatch between research effort and conservation needs of tropical coral reefs
Fisher, R., Radford, B., Knowlton, N., Brainard, R. E., Michaelis, F. B., & Caley, M. J. (2010) · Conservation Letters · doi:10.1111/j.1755-263x.2010.00146.x · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Nuñez, M. A., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M. W., et al. (2019) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13319 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
XML: Tools for Parsing and Generating XML Within R and S-Plus
Lang, D. T. (2000) · doi:10.32614/cran.package.xml · Cited by 113 · see citing works
A Severe Lack of Evidence Limits Effective Conservation of the World's Primates
Junker, J., Petrovan, S. O., Arroyo‐Rodríguez, V., Boonratana, R., Byler, D., Chapman, C. A., Chetry, D., Cheyne, S. M., Cornejo, F. M., Cortés‐Ortiz, L., et al. (2020) · BioScience · doi:10.1093/biosci/biaa082 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Self-citationPalma, A. D., Sánchez-Ortiz, K., Martin, P. A., Chadwick, A. J., Gilbert, G., Bates, A. E., Börger, L., Contu, S., Hill, S. L. L., & Purvis, A. (2018) · Advances in ecological research/Advances in Ecological Research · doi:10.1016/bs.aecr.2017.12.004 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Self-citationTemporal Instability of Evidence Base: A Threat to Policy Making?
Koricheva, J., & Kulinskaya, E. (2019) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2019.05.006 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
How exotic plants integrate into pollination networks
Stouffer, D. B., Cirtwill, A. R., & Bascompte, J. (2014) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12310 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Range geometry and socio‐economics dominate species‐level biases in occurrence information
Meyer, C., Jetz, W., Guralnick, R., Fritz, S. A., & Kreft, H. (2016) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.12483 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
“Conservation value”: a review of the concept and its quantification
Capmourteres, V., & Anand, M. (2016) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.1476 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Effects of publication bias on conservation planning
Hickisch, R., Hodgetts, T., Johnson, P. J., Sillero‐Zubiri, C., Tockner, K., & Macdonald, D. W. (2019) · Conservation Biology · doi:10.1111/cobi.13326 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Amphibian conservation in the Anthropocene
Grant, E. H. C., Muths, E., Schmidt, B. R., & Petrovan, S. O. (2019) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2019.03.003 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Self-citationMcQuatters‐Gollop, A., Mitchell, I., Vina-Herbon, C., Bedford, J., Addison, P., Lynam, C. P., Geetha, P. N., Vermeulen-Miltz, E., Smit, K. P., Bayley, D. T. I., et al. (2019) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00109 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Evidence Types and Trends in Tropical Forest Conservation Literature
Buřivalová, Z., Miteva, D. A., Salafsky, N., Butler, R. A., & Wilcove, D. S. (2019) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2019.03.002 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
Bird Conservation: Global evidence for the effects of interventions
Showler, D. A., & Pople, R. G. (2013) · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Is research effort associated with the conservation status of European bird species?
Murray, H., Green, E. J., Williams, D., et al. (2014) · Endangered Species Research · doi:10.3354/esr00656 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Self-citationWho studies where? Boosting tropical conservation research where it is most needed
Segovia, A. L. R., Romano, D., & Armsworth, P. R. (2020) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1002/fee.2146 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Amphibian Conservation. Global evidence for the effects of interventions
Halliday, T. R. (2014) · Phyllomedusa Journal of Herpetology · doi:10.11606/issn.2316-9079.v13i2p141-142 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Aranda, S. C., Gabriel, R. M. D. A., Borges, P. A. V., et al. (2011) · The Bryologist · doi:10.1639/0007-2745-114.3.611 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- certified by peer review) is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
- certified by peer review) is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
- certified by peer review) is the author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
A Fate Worse Than Warming? Stratospheric Aerosol Injection and Global Catastrophic Risk
Tang, A., & Kemp, L. (2021) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.720312 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Exploring gaps, biases, and research priorities in the evidence for reptile conservation actions
Speight, O., Morgan, W. H., White, T. B., Sainsbury, K. A., Bouskila, A., Rotem, G., Smith, R. K., Sutherland, W. J., Watson, M. J., & Christie, A. P. (2025) · Conservation Biology · doi:10.1111/cobi.70073 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Christie, A. P., Amano, T., Martin, P. A., Petrovan, S. O., Shackelford, G. E., Simmons, B. I., Smith, R. K., Williams, D. R., Wordley, C. F. R., & Sutherland, W. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- The University of Queensland (AU)
- University of Exeter (GB)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Christie, Alec P.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Conservation Biology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2020-09-05
- Volume
- 35
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 249-262
- ISSN
- 0888-8892 (ISSN-L)
- 1523-1739
- OpenAlex
- W3023716200
- Cited by
- 202
- References
- 50
- Citations by year
- 2026: 28 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 35 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 49 · 2021: 25 · 2020: 6
- FWCI
- 31.60
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Conservation Biology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- Open Research Exeter (University of Exeter) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion)
- Apollo
- Funders
- Arcadia Fund
- Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE, /L002507/1, NE/S001, 395/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Conservation, Ecology, Wildlife Education
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Keywords
- amphibians, birds, spatial bias, taxonomic bias, threatened species, data deficient species, effectiveness indicators, research design, randomized controlled trials, evidence synthesis, biodiversity crisis, conservation prioritization
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Conservation of Natural Resources, Europe, North America, Australasia, Biodiversity, Endangered Species
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review