Cited by 206Substance Abuse Treatment and OutcomesSmoking Behavior and CessationChild and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development

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Conjoint Developmental Trajectories of Young Adult Substance Use

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Jackson, Kristina M., Sher, Kenneth J., Schulenberg, John E.·2008·Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research

DOI 10.1111/j.1530-0277.2008.00643.xPMC PMC2705997

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Abstract

Background. Despite the prominence of comorbidity among substances and the recent attention focused on trajectory‐based approaches to characterizing developmental change, little research in the substance use field has simultaneously considered both course and comorbidity. Methods. Using nationally representative panel data from the Monitoring the Future Project (MTF; n = 32,087; 56% female; 82% Caucasian), we identified developmental courses of heavy drinking, smoking, and marijuana use using 4 waves of data spanning ages 18 to 26 in a multi‐cohort young adult sample. Comorbidity was examined by cross‐classifying group membership in substance use trajectories. Finally, the extent to which risk factors (sex, race, alcohol expectancies, delinquency, sensation seeking, depressive affect, religiosity, academic achievement, and parent education) accounted for combinations of comorbidity that occurred at a rate greater than chance was examined. Results. For each substance, we identified 4 courses of substance use that were largely consistent with those found in the literature (chronic high use, late‐onset use, developmentally limited use, and low‐use), with a fifth moderate smoking group. Heavy drinking, smoking, and marijuana use were each highly associated, and distinct patterns of comorbidity were evident, with greatest agreement along the diagonal. All risk factors explained comorbidity to some degree, with delinquency, sensation seeking, alcohol expectancies, and religion in particular predicting combinations of comorbidity that were characterized by early onset and chronic high use. Conclusions. Cross‐substance trajectory concordance was high, with parallel changes in substance use over emerging adulthood. This suggests similar developmental timing of use, perhaps due to the experience of developmental transitions that have a common influence on use of different substances. Prediction of combinations of comorbidity characterized by early onset and persistently high use suggests that to some extent, individuals use multiple substances because of a common vulnerability to each, rather than directional relations among substances (e.g., cross‐tolerance, cueing).

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Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0005 · Cited by 1
Chronic Pain
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0029
Preface
Levin, J. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.002.0007
Health Policy Implications
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0033
Introduction
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.002.0009
Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0023
Immune Function
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0024
Heart Disease
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0020
Cancer
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0026
Disease Prevention, Detection, and Treatment
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0030 · Cited by 1
Diet and Weight
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0019
Dedication
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.002.0004
Personality Traits and Disorders
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0011
Schizophrenia and Other Psychoses
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0009
Coping with Stress
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0004
Exercise
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0018
Research Design
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0003 · Cited by 1
Delinquency and Crime
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0013
Foreword
Koh, H. K. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.002.0006
Physical Disability
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0028
Cerebrovascular Disease
Koenig, H. G., VanderWeele, T. J., & Peteet, J. R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190088859.003.0022

Authors: Jackson, K. M., Sher, K. J., & Schulenberg, J. E.
Affiliations: Brown University (US)
Corresponding author: Jackson, Kristina M.
ORCID: Jackson, Kristina M.
Sher, Kenneth J.
Schulenberg, John E.
Venue: Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research
Publisher: Wiley
Published: 2008-03-11
Volume: 32
Issue: 5
Pages: 723-737
ISSN: 0145-6008 (ISSN-L)
1530-0277
DOI: 10.1111/j.1530-0277.2008.00643.x
PMC: PMC2705997
OpenAlex: W2049130925
Cited by: 206
References: 104
Citations by year: 2026: 2 · 2025: 6 · 2023: 46 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 18 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 10 · 2012: 16
FWCI: 7.92
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Licence: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor (vor)
Locations: Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
Deep Blue (University of Michigan) (submittedVersion)
Funders: National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (AA12383, K01AA013938, R21AA012383, AA13938, K05AA017242)
National Institute on Drug Abuse (DA-01411, R01DA001411)
Topics: Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development
Keywords: substance use trajectories, comorbidities, emerging adulthood, heavy drinking, smoking, cannabis use, developmental transitions, delinquency, sensation seeking, alcohol expectancies, religiosity, risk factors, early onset of substance use
MeSH terms: Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Alcohol Drinking, Female, Humans, Male, Marijuana Smoking, Risk Factors, Smoking, Models, Statistical, Comorbidity

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Conjoint Developmental Trajectories of Young Adult Substance Use

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