The Relationship Between Alcohol Consumption and Fatal Motor Vehicle Injury: High Risk at Low Alcohol Levels
Open accessAbstract
Background: Alcohol consumption causes motor vehicle accident (MVA) injury in a dose–response fashion. However, the relationship between how this risk is different with respect to fatal and nonfatal outcomes is not clear. A meta‐analysis has already been completed for alcohol consumption and nonfatal MVA injury, but none exists for fatal injury. Thus, an analysis of the acute dose–response relationship between alcohol and motor vehicle injury death is warranted to generate single occasion‐ and dose‐specific relative risks for the first time. Methods: A systematic literature review and inverse‐variance weighted, random effects meta‐analysis were conducted to fill this gap. Fractional polynomial regression was used to model the dose–response relationship. Usual tests of heterogeneity and publication bias were run. Results: Five studies meeting the inclusion criteria of this analysis were selected. At all levels of blood alcohol concentration (BAC), the odds ratio (OR) of fatal motor vehicle injury was significant. Overall, the 5 combined studies yielded an OR of fatal injury of 1.74 (95% CI: 1.43–2.14) for every 0.02% increase in BAC. At 0.08, the legal limit in most countries, the OR was 13.0 (95% CI: 11.1–15.2). Conclusions: This study is able to definitively show and quantify, for the first time, the significantly increased OR for fatal motor vehicle injury. This analysis showed some evidence of both study heterogeneity and publication bias, likely due to the increased variation we could expect from a small study number. The alcohol‐caused fatal motor vehicle injury literature is sparse with respect to dose–response information. More studies investigating this relationship and other injury types are recommended in this area to be able to calculate stable estimates of risk overall and by injury type specifically.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The dose-response relationship between acute alcohol use, measured through the blood alcohol concentration and injury, seems exponential for all injury types, albeit varying slightly by type of injury.
“The dose–response relationship between acute alcohol use, measured through the blood alcohol concentration and injury, seem exponential for all injury types, albeit varying slightly by type of injury 311, 312, 313.”
From The relationship between different dimensions of alcohol use and the burden of disease—an update (2017) · cites this paper as [313]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test
Egger, M., Smith, G. D., Schneider, M., & Minder, C. (1997) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.315.7109.629 · Cited by 56,722 · see citing works
Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta‐analysis
Higgins, J. P. T., & Thompson, S. G. (2002) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.1186 · Cited by 36,763 · see citing works
Operating characteristics of a rank correlation test for publication bias
Begg, C. B., & Mazumdar, M. (1994) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2533446 · Cited by 16,955 · see citing works
Lopez, A. D., Mathers, C. D., Ezzati, M., Jamison, D. T., & Murray, C. J. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)68770-9 · Cited by 5,630 · see citing works
Regression Using Fractional Polynomials of Continuous Covariates: Parsimonious Parametric Modelling
Royston, P. J., & Altman, D. G. (1994) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics) · doi:10.2307/2986270 · Cited by 1,797 · see citing works
Generalized Least Squares for Trend Estimation of Summarized Dose–response Data
Orsini, N., Bellocco, R., & Greenland, S. (2006) · The Stata Journal Promoting communications on statistics and Stata · doi:10.1177/1536867x0600600103 · Cited by 1,245 · see citing works
Systematic Review: Why sources of heterogeneity in meta-analysis should be investigated
Thompson, S. G. (1994) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.309.6965.1351 · Cited by 1,017 · see citing works
Field, A. P. (2001) · Psychological Methods · doi:10.1037/1082-989x.6.2.161 · Cited by 725 · see citing works
Taylor, B., Irving, H. M., Kanteres, F., Room, R., Borges, G., Cherpitel, C., Greenfield, T., & Rehm, J. (2010) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2010.02.011 · Cited by 509 · see citing works
Self-citationZador, P., Krawchuk, S. A., & Voas, R. B. (2000) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.2000.61.387 · Cited by 443 · see citing works
Alcohol-related morbidity and mortality.
Rehm, J. T., Gmel, G. E., Sempos, C. T., & Trevisan, M. (2003) · Europe PMC (PubMed Central) · Cited by 395 · see citing works
Self-citationCorrao, G., Bagnardi, V., Zambon, A., & Aricò, S. (1999) · Addiction · doi:10.1046/j.1360-0443.1999.9410155111.x · Cited by 389 · see citing works
[Alcohol-related morbidity and mortality].
Becker, U., & Tolstrup, J. S. (2021) · PubMed · Cited by 344 · see citing works
The Problems in Using Fixed-Effects Models of Meta-Analysis on Real-World Data
Field, A. P. (2003) · Understanding Statistics · doi:10.1207/s15328031us0202_02 · Cited by 237 · see citing works
A strategy for modelling the effect of a continuous covariate in medicine and epidemiology.
Royston, P. (2000) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/1097-0258(20000730)19:14 · Cited by 234 · see citing works
The relationship between blood alcohol concentration (BAC), age, and crash risk
Peck, R. C., Gebers, M. A., Voas, R. B., & Romano, E. (2008) · Journal of Safety Research · doi:10.1016/j.jsr.2008.02.030 · Cited by 207 · see citing works
Keall, M., Frith, W. J., & Patterson, T. L. (2003) · Accident Analysis & Prevention · doi:10.1016/s0001-4575(02)00114-8 · Cited by 201 · see citing works
Reducing alcohol-impaired driving in Massachusetts: the Saving Lives Program.
Hingson, R., McGovern, T., Howland, J., et al. (1996) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.86.6.791 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
The Long Beach/Fort Lauderdale relative risk study
Blomberg, R. D., Peck, R. C., Moskowitz, H., et al. (2009) · Journal of Safety Research · doi:10.1016/j.jsr.2009.07.002 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
Risk Factors for Injurious Falls Leading to Hospitalization or Death in a Cohort of 19,500 Adults
Malmivaara, A. O. V., Heliövaara, M., Knekt, P., Reunanen, A., & Aromaa, A. (1993) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116871 · Cited by 148 · see citing works
Risk of injury from acute alcohol consumption and the influence of confounders
Watt, K., Purdie, D. M., ROCHE, A. M., & McClure, R. (2004) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2004.00823.x · Cited by 144 · see citing works
The role of alcohol in Thailand motorcycle crashes
Kasantikul, V., Ouellet, J. V., Smith, T. D., et al. (2004) · Accident Analysis & Prevention · doi:10.1016/j.aap.2004.07.006 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Alcohol and fatal injuries among US adults. Findings from the NHANES I Epidemiologic Follow-up Study
Anda, R. F. (1988) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.260.17.2529 · Cited by 130 · see citing works
The Grand Rapids dip revisited
Hurst, P. M., Harte, D. S., & Frith, W. J. (1994) · Accident Analysis & Prevention · doi:10.1016/0001-4575(94)90026-4 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
A population-based case-crossover and case-control study of alcohol and the risk of injury.
Vinson, D. C., Maclure, M., Reidinger, C., & Smith, G. S. (2003) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.2003.64.358 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Alcohol and non‐traffic unintended injuries
Hingson, R., & Howland, J. (1993) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.1993.tb02105.x · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Lowering state legal blood alcohol limits to 0.08%: the effect on fatal motor vehicle crashes.
Hingson, R., Heeren, T., & Winter, M. R. (1996) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.86.9.1297 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
Mass ratio and relative driver fatality risk in two-vehicle crashes
Evans, L., & Frick, M. C. (1993) · Accident Analysis & Prevention · doi:10.1016/0001-4575(93)90062-2 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Greenfield, T. K., & Rogers, J. (1999) · Addiction · doi:10.1046/j.1360-0443.1999.9411173510.x · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Drinking and Recreational Boating Fatalities
Smith, G. S., Keyl, P. M., Hadley, J. A., et al. (2001) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.286.23.2974 · Cited by 94 · see citing works
Acute alcohol use and the risk of non‐fatal injury in sixteen countries
Borges, G. L. G., CHERPITEL, C. J. S., Orozco, R., Bond, J. C., Ye, Y., Macdonald, S., Giesbrecht, N., Stockwell, T. R., Cremonte, M., Moskalewicz, J., et al. (2006) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2006.01462.x · Cited by 79 · see citing works
THE EFFECTS OF ALCOHOL ON HEAD INJURY IN THE MOTOR VEHICLE CRASH VICTIM
Cunningham, R. M. (2002) · Alcohol and Alcoholism · doi:10.1093/alcalc/37.3.236 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Blood Alcohol Concentration and Management of Road Trauma Patients in the Emergency Department
Fabbri, A., Marchesini, G., Morselli‐Labate, A. M., et al. (2001) · doi:10.1097/00005373-200103000-00018 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Deery, H. A., & Love, A. W. (1996) · Addiction · doi:10.1046/j.1360-0443.1996.9168158.x · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Gullberg, R. G. (2007) · Forensic Science International · doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2006.11.010 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
A cohort study of 20 822 young drivers: the DRIVE study methods and population
Ivers, R., Blows, S., Stevenson, M., Norton, R., Williamson, A. M., Eisenbruch, M., Woodward, M., Lam, L. T.-M., Palamara, P., & Wang, J. (2006) · Injury Prevention · doi:10.1136/ip.2006.011825 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Anđelić, N., Jerstad, T., Sigurðardóttir, S., Schanke, A., Sandvik, L., & Røe, C. (2010) · Journal of Trauma Management & Outcomes · doi:10.1186/1752-2897-4-6 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Alcohol and fatal injuries in Oklahoma.
Goodman, R. A., Istre, G. R., Jordan, F. B., Herndon, J. L., & Kelaghan, J. W. (1991) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.1991.52.156 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Gmel, G. E., Kuendig, H., Rehm, J. T., Schreyer, N., & Daeppen, J. (2009) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-40 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Self-citationHalter, C. C., Laengin, A., Al‐Ahmad, A., et al. (2009) · Forensic Science International · doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2009.01.009 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Alcohol's effect on fatality risk from a physical insult.
Evans, L., & Frick, M. C. (1993) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol · doi:10.15288/jsa.1993.54.441 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ACUTE ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION AND CONSEQUENT INJURY TYPE
Watt, K., Purdie, D. M., ROCHE, A. M., et al. (2005) · Alcohol and Alcoholism · doi:10.1093/alcalc/agh164 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Borges, G. L. G., Orozco, R., Cremonte, M., Figlie, N. B., CHERPITEL, C. J. S., & Poznyak, V. B. (2008) · Salud Pública de México · doi:10.1590/s0036-36342008000700003 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Vingilis, E. R., McLeod, A. I., Stoduto, G., et al. (2007) · Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs · doi:10.15288/jsad.2007.68.905 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Relationship Between Postmortem Blood and Vitreous Humor Ethanol Levels
Chao, T. C., & Lo, D. (1993) · American Journal of Forensic Medicine & Pathology · doi:10.1097/00000433-199312000-00006 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Kinetics of ethanol degradation in forensic blood samples
Ferrari, L., Triszcz, J. M., & Giannuzzi, L. (2006) · Forensic Science International · doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2006.02.049 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
CHERPITEL, C. J. S., Bond, J. C., & Ye, Y. (2005) · European Addiction Research · doi:10.1159/000088582 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Mortality and potential years of life lost attributable to alcohol consumption in Canada in 2005
Shield, K. D., Taylor, B., Kehoe, T., Patra, J., & Rehm, J. T. (2012) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-91 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Self-citationAppenzeller, B. M. R., Schuman, M., & Wennig, R. (2008) · International Journal of Legal Medicine · doi:10.1007/s00414-008-0245-3 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
A CASE-CONTROL STUDY OF ALCOHOL AND SUBSTANCE USE DISORDERS AS RISK FACTORS FOR NON-FATAL INJURY
Borges, G. L. G., Mondragón, L., Medina‐Mora, M. E., et al. (2005) · Alcohol and Alcoholism · doi:10.1093/alcalc/agh160 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Bazargan‐Hejazi, S., Gaines, T. L., Duan, N., & CHERPITEL, C. J. S. (2007) · The American Journal of Drug and Alcohol Abuse · doi:10.1080/00952990601087455 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Elevated Postmortem Ethanol Concentrations in an Insulin-Dependent Diabetic
Collison, I. B. (2005) · Journal of Analytical Toxicology · doi:10.1093/jat/29.7.762 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Traumatic Brain Injury in Intoxicated Patients
Golan, J. D., Marcoux, J., Golan, E., et al. (2007) · The Journal of Trauma: Injury, Infection, and Critical Care · doi:10.1097/ta.0b013e31811ec178 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
The Widmark formula for alcohol quantification.
Brouwer, I. G. (2004) · PubMed · Cited by 18 · see citing works
COMPARING THE INVOLVEMENT OF ALCOHOL IN FATAL AND SERIOUS INJURY SINGLE VEHICLE CRASHES
Haworth, N. L. (2002) · PROCEEDINGS OF THE 16TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ALCOHOL, DRUGS AND TRAFFIC SAFETY · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
The relationship between different dimensions of alcohol use and the burden of disease—an update
Rehm, J., Gmel, G. E., Gmel, G., Hasan, O. S. M., Imtiaz, S., Popova, S., Probst, C., Roerecke, M., Room, R., Samokhvalov, A. V., et al. (2017) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.13757 · Cited by 1,204 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Taylor, B., & Rehm, J.
- Affiliations
- Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CA)
- University of Toronto (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Taylor, Benjamin
- ORCID
- Rehm, Jürgen
- Venue
- Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2012-05-07
- Volume
- 36
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1827-1834
- ISSN
- 0145-6008 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-0277
- PMC
- PMC3433627
- OpenAlex
- W2135392056
- Cited by
- 117
- References
- 55
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 9 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 10
- FWCI
- 2.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Canadian Institutes of Health Research
- National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (HHSN267200700041C)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (HHSN267200700041C)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality › Traffic and Road Safety
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Toxicology › Forensic Toxicology and Drug Analysis
- Keywords
- alcohol consumption, blood alcohol concentration, dose-response relationship, drunk driving, traffic fatalities, relative risk
- MeSH terms
- Alcohol Drinking, Automobile Driving, Humans, Risk Factors, Case-Control Studies, Motor Vehicles
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review