The DOI matches its Crossref record; 46 of the 46 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?
Abstract
This paper analyzes the relation of stock volatility with real and nominal macroeconomic volatility, economic activity, financial leverage, and stock trading activity using monthly data from 1857 to 1987. An important fact, previously noted by Officer (1973), is that stock return variability was unusually high during the 1929–1939 Great Depression. While aggregate leverage is significantly correlated with volatility, it explains a relatively small part of the movements in stock volatility. The amplitude of the fluctuations in aggregate stock volatility is difficult to explain using simple models of stock valuation, especially during the Great Depression.
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Cites
A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity
White, H. (1980) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912934 · Cited by 25,861
Engle, R. F. (1982) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912773 · Cited by 20,795
Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators
Hansen, L. P. (1982) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912775 · Cited by 13,467
Introduction to Statistical Time Series
McClave, J. T. (1978) · Technometrics · doi:10.1080/00401706.1978.10489651 · Cited by 4,252
Expected stock returns and volatility
French, K. R., Schwert, G. W., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1987) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(87)90026-2 · Cited by 4,107
Self-citationDo Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?
Shiller, R. (1980) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w0456 · Cited by 3,986
Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(89)90095-0 · Cited by 3,933
Dividend yields and expected stock returns
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(88)90020-7 · Cited by 3,556
Box, G. E. P., & Pierce, D. A. (1970) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1970.10481180 · Cited by 3,234
A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances
Bollerslev, T., Engle, R. F., & Wooldridge, J. M. (1988) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261527 · Cited by 3,138
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Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qjw024 · Cited by 12,458
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
Campbell, J. Y., & Cochrane, J. H. (1999) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/250059 · Cited by 5,210
Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts
Andersen, T. G., & Bollerslev, T. (1998) · International Economic Review · doi:10.2307/2527343 · Cited by 3,375
Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth
Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1999) · Policy Research Working Papers · doi:10.1596/1813-9450-1690 · Cited by 2,881
The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility
Andersen, T. G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F. X., & Labys, P. (2001) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1198/016214501750332965 · Cited by 2,104
Metadata
- Authors
- SCHWERT, G. W.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 1989-12
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1115-1153
- ISSN
- 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
- 1540-6261
- OpenAlex
- W3022041122
- Cited by
- 3,427
- References
- 46
- FWCI
- 49.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.