Environmental Impact Assessment of Wood Use in Japan through 2050 Using Material Flow Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment
Abstract
Summary: In this study, we used material flow analysis and life cycle assessment to quantify the environmental impacts and impact reductions related to wood consumption in Japan from 1970 to 2013. We then conducted future projections of the impacts and reductions until 2050 based on multiple future scenarios of domestic forestry, wood, and energy use. An impact assessment method involving characterization, damage assessment, and integration with a monetary unit was used, and the results were expressed in Japanese yen (JPY). We found that environmental impacts from paper consumption, such as climate change and urban air pollution, were significant and accounted for 56% to 83% of the total environmental impacts between 1970 and 2013. Therefore, reductions of greenhouse gas, nitrogen oxide, and sulfur oxide emissions from paper production would be an effective measure to reduce the overall environmental impacts. An increase in wood use for building construction, civil engineering, furniture materials, and energy production could lead to reductions of environmental impacts (via carbon storage, material substitution, and fuel substitution) amounting to 357 billion JPY in 2050, which is equivalent to 168% of the 2013 levels. Particularly, substitution of nonwooden materials, such as cement, concrete, and steel, with wood products in building construction could significantly contribute to impact reductions. Although an increase of wood consumption could reduce environmental impacts, such as climate change, resource consumption, and urban air pollution, increased wood consumption would also be associated with land‐use impacts. Therefore, minimizing land transformations from forest to barren land will be important.
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Kayo et al estimate that increasing wood construction in Japan could lead to a net GHG emission reduction of 1.23 tCO2-eq/m3.
“Kayo et al [83] estimate that increasing wood construction in Japan could lead to a net GHG emission reduction of 1.23 tCO 2 -eq/m 3”
From Material efficiency strategies to reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with buildings, vehicles, and electronics—a review (2019) · cites this paper as [83]
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- Authors
- Kayo, C., Dente, S. M. R., Aoki‐Suzuki, C., Tanaka, D., Murakami, S., & Hashimoto, S.
- Affiliations
- Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology (JP)
- Ritsumeikan University (JP)
- The University of Tokyo (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Kayo, Chihiro
- ORCID
- Venue
- Journal of Industrial Ecology
- Published
- 2018-04-16
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 635-648
- ISSN
- 1088-1980 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-9290
- OpenAlex
- W2801206978
- Cited by
- 65
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 5
- FWCI
- 2.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Industrial Ecology (publishedVersion)
- Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- JSPS KAKENHI (16K21023)
- MEXT KAKENHI (15H02863)
- The Policy Study Fund for Environmental Economics (the third period) of the Ministry of the Environment, Japan
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- wood consumption, environmental impact assessment, papermaking, climate change impacts, urban air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, NOx emissions, SOx emissions, wood substitute, building construction, wood energy, carbon storage, land use change, forest conversion, future scenarios, Japan
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