Postindustrial Fertility Ideals, Intentions, and Gender Inequality: A Comparative Qualitative Analysis
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We are grateful for financial support from the National Science Foundation (grant no. SES1123885) to Mary Brinton for the Japanese, Spanish, and U.S. portions of the project and from the Reischauer Institute of Japanese Studies and the Weatherhead Center for International Affairs at Harvard University for additional support of the Japan portion of the project. We also appreciate the financial support from the Agency for Administration of University and Research Grants (grant # 2013-BP-A-00043) and from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant Agreement No. 657030 to Xiana Bueno for the Spanish portion of the project, and the financial support from Riksbankens Jubileumsfond/Swedish Foundation for the Humanities and Social Sciences (grant no. P11-1049:1) to Livia Oláh for the Swedish portion. An earlier draft of the paper benefited from the constructive comments of Eunsil Oh, Yun Zhou, and an anonymous reviewer.\n\t\t\tFertility ideals remain centered on two children in most postindustrial societies, presenting a puzzle for demographers interested in very low fertility. This paper explores the conditions producing a gap between fertility ideals and intentions among young highly-educated adults in different postindustrial contexts. We employ in-depth interviews to analyze reasoning about fertility ideals and intentions in two countries with very low fertility (Japan and Spain) and two with slightly higher fertility (the U.S. and Sweden). We find that American and Swedish female interviewees are more likely than those in Japan and Spain to cite work-family conflict as a reason for their ideals-intentions gap. Our results also suggest that gender inequality is more important in generating low fertility intentions among highly-educated interviewees in Japan than Spain. Taken together, these findings suggest complexities in how gender inequality affects fertility intentions among the highly-educated in postindustrial contexts.
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In qualitative studies, participants' narratives of their obstacles to fertility include financial considerations (cost of children and cost of childcare), job stability, housing, work-family conflict, and gender equality.
“This includes financial considerations (cost of children and cost of childcare), job stability, housing, workfamily conflict, and gender equality.”
From Family Policies in Low Fertility Countries: Evidence and Reflections (2025) · cites this paper as Brinton et al. 2018
The “Reasoning for ideals and intentions” section reports interviewees’ concerns about the cost of raising children, childcare costs, stable jobs, and housing. The section on gender inequality reports work-family conflict in women’s accounts, but says gender-inequality concerns were barely evident in interviewees’ stated reasoning. The paper largely identifies gender inequality through its analysis rather than as an obstacle participants explicitly named. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)
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- Authors
- Brinton, M. C., Bueno, X., Oláh, L., & Hellum, M.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- University of Gothenburg (SE)
- Venue
- Population and Development Review
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2018-03-06
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 281-309
- ISSN
- 0098-7921 (ISSN-L)
- 1728-4457
- OpenAlex
- W2790452229
- Cited by
- 90
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 8 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 24 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 11.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- ddd.uab.cat
- Licence
- Locations
- Population and Development Review (publishedVersion)
- Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona) (submittedVersion, public-domain)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, public-domain)
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, Harvard University
- Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (P11‐1049:1)
- Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (SES1123885)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Keywords
- fertility intentions, gender inequality, post-industrial society, Japan, Spain, United States
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