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Observational constraints on mixed-phase clouds imply higher climate sensitivity
Abstract
A more sensitive climate system: How much global average temperature eventually will rise depends on the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS), which relates atmospheric CO 2 concentration to atmospheric temperature. For decades, ECS has been estimated to be between 2.0° and 4.6°C, with much of that uncertainty owing to the difficulty of establishing the effects of clouds on Earth's energy budget. Tan et al. used satellite observations to constrain the radiative impact of mixed phase clouds. They conclude that ECS could be between 5.0° and 5.3°C—higher than suggested by most global climate models. Science , this issue p. 224
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Cited by
An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence
Sherwood, S. C., Webb, M. J., Annan, J. D., Armour, K. C., Forster, P. M., Hargreaves, J. C., Hegerl, G., Klein, S. A., Marvel, K. D., Rohling, E. J., et al. (2020) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2019rg000678 · Cited by 1,254
Self-citationCloud feedback mechanisms and their representation in global climate models
Ceppi, P., Brient, F., Zelinka, M. D., & Hartmann, D. L. (2017) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.465 · Cited by 430
Self-citationMixed-Phase Clouds: Progress and Challenges
Korolev, A., McFarquhar, G., Field, P. R., Franklin, C., Lawson, P., Wang, Z., Williams, E., Abel, S. J., Axisa, D., Borrmann, S., et al. (2017) · Meteorological Monographs · doi:10.1175/amsmonographs-d-17-0001.1 · Cited by 455
McKinnon, C. (2019) · Environmental Politics · doi:10.1080/09644016.2018.1450344 · Cited by 86
Feinberg, A., Sukhodolov, T., Luo, B.-P., Rozanov, E., Winkel, L. H. E., Peter, T., & Stenke, A. (2019) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-12-3863-2019 · Cited by 84
Metadata
- Authors
- Tan, I., Storelvmo, T., & Zelinka, M. D.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2016-04-08
- Volume
- 352
- Issue
- 6282
- Pages
- 224-227
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2319504665
- Cited by
- 527
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 37.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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