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Viral epitope profiling of COVID-19 patients reveals cross-reactivity and correlates of severity
Open accessAbstract
Profiling coronaviruses: Among the coronaviruses that infect humans, four cause mild common colds, whereas three others, including the currently circulating severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), result in severe infections. Shrock et al. used a technology known as VirScan to probe the antibody repertoires of hundreds of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients and pre–COVID-19 era controls. They identified hundreds of antibody targets, including several antibody epitopes shared by the mild and severe coronaviruses and many specific to SARS-CoV-2. A machine-learning model accurately classified patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 and guided the design of an assay for rapid SARS-CoV-2 antibody detection. The study also looked at how the antibody response and viral exposure history differ in patients with diverging outcomes, which could inform the production of improved vaccine and antibody therapies. Science , this issue p. eabd4250
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![Fig. 4 Machine learning models trained on VirScan data discriminate COVID-19–positive and –negative individuals with very high sensitivity and specificity. (A) Gradient-boosting machine learning models were trained on IgG and IgA VirScan data from 232 COVID-19 patients and 190 pre–COVID-19 era controls. Separate models were created for the IgG and IgA data, and then a third model (Ensemble) was trained to combine the outputs of the first two. (B) The plot shows the predicted probability that each sample is positive for COVID-19. True COVID-19–positive samples are shown as red dots; true COVID-19–negative samples are shown as gray dots. The corresponding confusion matrix for each model is shown on the right. (C and D) SHAP analysis to identify the most discriminatory peptides informing the models in (B). The chart in (C) summarizes the relative importance of the most discriminatory peptides increased among COVID-19 patients identified by the IgG and IgA gradient-boosting models. The enrichment [log2(fold change) of the normalized read counts in the sample IP versus in no-serum control reactions] of each of these peptides across all samples is shown in (D). (E) Luminex assay using highly discriminatory SARS-CoV-2 peptides identifies IgG antibody responses in COVID-19 patients but rarely in pre–COVID-19 era controls. Each column represents a COVID-19 patient (n = 163) or pre–COVID-19 era control (n = 165); each row is a SARS-CoV-2–specific peptide. Peptides containing public epitopes from rhinovirus A, EBV, and HIV-1 served as positive and negative controls. The color scale indicates the median fluorescence intensity (MFI) signals after background subtraction. (F) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the Luminex assay predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection history, evaluated by 10× cross-validation. The light red lines indicate the ROC curve for each test set, the dark line indicates the average, and the gray region represents ±1 SD. The average area under the curve (AUC) is shown. (G) (Left) Predicted probability that each sample is positive for COVID-19, using the Luminex model, as in (B). The dashed line indicates the model threshold. (Right) Confusion matrix for the Luminex model.](/paper-figures/53ececf3ef704d358576610cd73c3a19/viral-epitope-profiling-of-covid-19-patients-reveals-cross-reactivity-and-figure-4.jpg)



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“COVID-19 severity has been linked to the incidence of CMV, a primary pathogen associated with memory inflation, but more work is needed to establish how CMV and other latent viruses of the elderly affect new memory T cell formation, function, and longevity146.”
From SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 and the aging immune system (2021) · cites this paper as [146]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Shrock, E., Fujimura, E., Kula, T., Timms, R. T., Lee, I.-H., Leng, Y., Robinson, M. L., Sie, B. M., Li, M. Z., Chen, Y., Logue, J., Zuiani, A., McCulloch, D., Lelis, F. J. N., Henson, S., Monaco, D. R., Travers, M., Habibi, S., Clarke, W. A., Caturegli, P., Laeyendecker, O., Piechocka-Trocha, A., Li, J. Z., Khatri, A., Chu, H. Y., MGH COVID-19 Collection & Processing Team, Villani, A.-C., Kays, K., Goldberg, M. B., Hacohen, N., Filbin, M. R., Yu, X. G., Walker, B. D., Wesemann, D. R., Larman, H. B., Lederer, J. A., Elledge, S. J., Lavin-Parsons, K., Parry, B., Lilley, B., Lodenstein, C., McKaig, B., Charland, N., Khanna, H., Margolin, J., Gonye, A., Gushterova, I., Lasalle, T., Sharma, N., Russo, B. C., Rojas-Lopez, M., Sade-Feldman, M., Manakongtreecheep, K., Tantivit, J., Thomas, M. F., Abayneh, B. A., Allen, P., Antille, D., Armstrong, K., Boyce, S., Braley, J., Branch, K., Broderick, K., Carney, J., Chan, A., Davidson, S., Dougan, M., Drew, D., Elliman, A., Flaherty, K., Flannery, J., Forde, P., Gettings, E., Griffin, A., Grimmel, S., Grinke, K., Hall, K., Healy, M., Henault, D., Holland, G., Kayitesi, C., LaValle, V., Lu, Y., Luthern, S., Marchewka (Schneider), J., Martino, B., McNamara, R., Nambu, C., Nelson, S., Noone, M., Ommerborn, C., Pacheco, L. C., Phan, N., Porto, F. A., Ryan, E., Selleck, K., Slaughenhaupt, S., Sheppard, K. S., Suschana, E., Wilson, V., Alter, G., Balazs, A., Bals, J., Barbash, M., Bartsch, Y., Boucau, J., Chevalier, J., Chowdhury, F., Einkauf, K., Fallon, J., Fedirko, L., Finn, K., Garcia-Broncano, P., Hartana, C., Jiang, C., Kaplonek, P., Karpell, M., Lam, E. C., Lefteri, K., Lian, X., Lichterfeld, M., Lingwood, D., Liu, H., Liu, J., Ly, N., Michell, A., Millstrom, I., Miranda, N., O’Callaghan, C., Osborn, M., Pillai, S., Rassadkina, Y., Reissis, A., Ruzicka, F., Seiger, K., Sessa, L., Sharr, C., Shin, S., Singh, N., Sun, W., Sun, X., Ticheli, H., Trocha-Piechocka, A., Worrall, D., Zhu, A., Daley, G., Golan, D., Heller, H., Sharpe, A., Jilg, N., Rosenthal, A., & Wong, C.
- Affiliations
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- Massachusetts Consortium on Pathogen Readiness, Boston, MA, USA.
- Massachusetts General Hospital (US)
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Shrock, Ellen
- Fujimura, Eric
- Kula, Tomasz
- Timms, Richard T.
- Elledge, Stephen J.
- ORCID
- Shrock, Ellen
- Fujimura, Eric
- Kula, Tomasz
- Timms, Richard T.
- Lee, I-Hsiu
- Leng, Yumei
- Robinson, Matthew L.
- Sie, Brandon M.
- Li, Mamie Z.
- Chen, Yuezhou
- Logue, Jennifer
- Zuiani, Adam
- McCulloch, Denise
- Lelis, Felipe J. N.
- Henson, Stephanie
- Travers, Meghan
- Habibi, Shaghayegh
- Clarke, William A.
- Caturegli, Patrizio
- Laeyendecker, Oliver
- Piechocka-Trocha, Alicja
- Li, Jonathan Z.
- Khatri, Ashok
- Chu, Helen Y.
- Villani, Alexandra-Chloé
- Goldberg, Marcia B.
- Hacohen, Nir
- Filbin, Michael R.
- Yu, Xu G.
- Walker, Bruce D.
- Wesemann, Duane R.
- Larman, H. Benjamin
- Elledge, Stephen J.
- Parry, Blair
- Lilley, Brendan
- McKaig, Brenna
- Charland, Nicole
- Khanna, Hargun
- Margolin, Justin
- Gonye, Anna
- Gushterova, Irena
- Russo, Brian C.
- Sade-Feldman, Moshe
- Manakongtreecheep, Kasidet
- Tantivit, Jessica
- Thomas, Molly Fisher
- Dougan, Michael
- Flaherty, Keith
- Hall, Kathryn
- Healy, Meg
- Lu, Yuting
- Martino, Brittani
- Phan, Nicole
- Ryan, Edward
- Suschana, Elizabeth
- Alter, Galit
- Balazs, Alejandro
- Bals, Julia
- Bartsch, Yannic
- Boucau, Julie
- Chowdhury, Fatema
- Einkauf, Kevin
- Hartana, Ciputra
- Jiang, Chenyang
- Lam, Evan C.
- Lian, Xiaodong
- Lichterfeld, Mathias
- Lingwood, Daniel
- Liu, Hang
- Michell, Ashlin
- Osborn, Matthew
- Pillai, Shiv
- Rassadkina, Yelizaveta
- Seiger, Kyra
- Sessa, Libera
- Shin, Sally
- Singh, Nishant
- Sun, Weiwei
- Sun, Xiaoming
- Worrall, Daniel
- Zhu, Alex
- Daley, George
- Heller, Howard
- Sharpe, Arlene
- Jilg, Nikolaus
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2020-11-27
- Volume
- 370
- Issue
- 6520
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- PMC
- PMC7857405
- OpenAlex
- W3091214020
- Cited by
- 678
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 31 · 2025: 44 · 2024: 67 · 2023: 105 · 2022: 156 · 2021: 236 · 2020: 39
- FWCI
- 17.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (AI139538)
- National Cancer Institute (U24)
- MassCPR (No Number)
- U.S. Department of Defense (W81XWH-16-1-0464)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › vaccines and immunoinformatics approaches
- Keywords
- SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 pandemic, humoral immune response, cross-reactive antibodies, neutralizing antibodies, spike protein, nucleocapsid protein, ORF1, pre-existing antibodies, disease severity, cytomegalovirus, herpes simplex virus type 1, sex differences in antibody response, hospitalized patients
- MeSH terms
- Seroconversion, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Serological Testing, Antibody Formation, Epitopes, Cross Reactions, Female, Humans, Male, Protein Conformation, Severity of Illness Index, Epitope Mapping, Cryoelectron Microscopy, Antibodies, Neutralizing
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