Cited by 740Physical Activity and HealthCardiovascular and exercise physiologyBehavioral Health and Interventions

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 38 of the 38 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 62 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

Effectiveness of physical activity promotion based in primary care: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Open access
Orrow, G., Kinmonth, A.-L., Sanderson, S., Sutton, S.·2012·BMJ

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether trials of physical activity promotion based in primary care show sustained effects on physical activity or fitness in sedentary adults, and whether exercise referral interventions are more effective than other interventions. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. DATA SOURCES: Medline, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EMBASE, SPORTDiscus, Centre for Reviews and Dissemination, the Cochrane Library, and article reference lists. REVIEW METHODS: Review of randomised controlled trials of physical activity promotion in sedentary adults recruited in primary care, with minimum follow-up of 12 months, reporting physical activity or fitness (or both) as outcomes, and using intention to treat analyses. Two reviewers independently assessed studies for inclusion, appraised risk of bias, and extracted data. Pooled effect sizes were calculated using a random effects model. RESULTS: We included 15 trials (n=8745). Most interventions took place in primary care, included health professionals in delivery, and involved advice or counselling given face to face or by phone (or both) on multiple occasions. Only three trials investigated exercise referral. In 13 trials presenting self reported physical activity, we saw small to medium positive intervention effects at 12 months (odds ratio 1.42, 95% confidence interval 1.17 to 1.73; standardised mean difference 0.25, 0.11 to 0.38). The number needed to treat with an intervention for one additional sedentary adult to meet internationally recommended levels of activity at 12 months was 12 (7 to 33). In four trials reporting cardiorespiratory fitness, a medium positive effect at 12 months was non-significant (standardised mean difference 0.51, -0.18 to 1.20). Three trials of exercise referral found small non-significant effects on self reported physical activity at 12 months (odds ratio 1.38; 0.98 to 1.95; standardised mean difference 0.20, -0.21 to 0.61). CONCLUSIONS: Promotion of physical activity to sedentary adults recruited in primary care significantly increases physical activity levels at 12 months, as measured by self report. We found insufficient evidence to recommend exercise referral schemes over advice or counselling interventions. Primary care commissioners should consider these findings while awaiting further trial evaluation of exercise referral schemes and other primary care interventions, with longer follow-up and use of objective measures of outcome.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

Physical activity promotion based in primary care for sedentary adults produced small to medium improvements in self-reported physical activity at 12 months, with a number needed to treat of 12 for one additional adult to meet recommended activity levels. Evidence was insufficient to show that exercise referral schemes are more effective than advice or counselling.

Key findings

  • In 15 trials (n=8745), pooled analysis of 13 trials reporting self-reported physical activity at 12 months found small to medium positive effects: odds ratio 1.42 (95% CI 1.17 to 1.73); standardised mean difference 0.25 (0.11 to 0.38); number needed to treat 12 (7 to 33).
  • Four trials reporting cardiorespiratory fitness found a medium but non-significant pooled effect at 12 months: standardised mean difference 0.51 (−0.18 to 1.20); only one study reported objective physical activity and found no significant effect (−0.04, −0.16 to 0.08).
  • Three exercise referral trials found small non-significant effects on self-reported physical activity at 12 months: odds ratio 1.38 (0.98 to 1.95); standardised mean difference 0.20 (−0.21 to 0.61).
  • Subgroup analysis found larger effects in trials with no-intervention controls (OR 1.74, 1.39 to 2.18; SMD 0.36, 0.28 to 0.43) than with comparator controls (OR 1.18, 0.95 to 1.48; SMD −0.03, −0.17 to 0.11), with significant differences between these sets.

Methods

  • Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials of physical activity promotion in sedentary adults aged 16 years or over recruited through primary care, with minimum 12 months’ follow-up, reporting physical activity or fitness, and using intention-to-treat analyses.
  • Searched Medline, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EMBASE, SPORTDiscus, Centre for Reviews and Dissemination, and the Cochrane Library (May 2009; repeated May 2010), plus reference lists and expert check; two reviewers independently assessed inclusion, risk of bias, and extracted data.
  • Pooled effect sizes used a random effects model; odds ratios and standardised mean differences with 95% confidence intervals were calculated, with I² used to assess heterogeneity and a formula used to calculate number needed to treat.

Limitations

  • The paper states that most included trials used self-reported physical activity as the main outcome, which is susceptible to differential social desirability bias and lacks precision; few trials used objective measures.
  • The paper states that intervention content was often poorly reported, participants were mostly white with socioeconomic characteristics poorly reported, no unpublished trials were identified, only one reviewer screened titles and abstracts, and follow-up was limited to 12 months so clinical outcomes could not be assessed.
  • Evident from the text: all but two studies were judged at high risk of bias in at least one domain, including lack of blinding, inadequate management of incomplete outcome data in six studies, and selective outcome reporting in one study; some pooled estimates had high heterogeneity (I²=70% for continuous self-reported physical activity; I²=97% for fitness).

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1136/bmj.e1389

Cites

38 of 38 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

0 of 62 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

Show all 66 claims

  • It may state two separate claims as one. 33
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 26
54 of 54
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    In 2006, the UK National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence advised that exercise referral schemes should not be commissioned in primary care outside of well designed research studies.

    “In 2006, the UK National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) advised that exercise referral schemes should not be commissioned in primary care outside of well designed research studies.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Exercise referral schemes remain widely used in the UK despite the NICE recommendation.

    “Despite this recommendation, the schemes remain widely used”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Physical activity promotion in primary care improves self reported physical activity in the short term (3-6 months), but its effect in the longer term is unclear.

    “Physical activity promotion in primary care improves self reported physical activity in the short term (3-6 months), but its effect in the longer term is unclear”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Exercise referral schemes are popular yet costly, and their effectiveness compared with other types of intervention over the medium to long term is unknown.

    “Exercise referral schemes are popular yet costly, and their effectiveness compared with other types of intervention over the medium to long term is unknown”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Self reported measures of physical activity lack precision.

    “Self reported measures of physical activity also lack precision and our findings would have been strengthened if complemented by greater use of objective measures.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It is difficult to conceal the study group from participants in physical activity trials.

    “It is difficult to conceal the study group from participants in physical activity trials, and self reported measures are therefore susceptible to differential social desirability bias, which could inflate estimates of intervention effect.”
6 of 6

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Exercise referral study described as both significant and non-significant

    Major

    The results state that none of the three exercise referral studies found a significant effect on self-reported physical activity at 12 months. The discussion says the third study found a significant effect for its continuous activity measure.

1 of 1

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Show all 38 references

Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. [33]Higgins JPT, Green S, eds. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 5.0.2 (updated September 2009). Chapter 8. Cochrane Collaboration, 2009.
  2. [34]Higgins JPT, Green S, eds. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 5.0.2 (updated September 2009). Chapter 7.7.3.8. Cochrane Collaboration, 2009.
  3. [37]Higgins JPT, Green S, eds. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 5.0.2 (updated September 2009). Chapter 16.3.4. Cochrane Collaboration, 2009.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Items 501–600 of 740

Metadata

Authors
Orrow, G., Kinmonth, A.-L., Sanderson, S., & Sutton, S.
Affiliations
University of Cambridge (GB)
Corresponding author
Orrow, G.
Venue
BMJ
Publisher
BMJ
Published
2012-03-26
Volume
344
Issue
mar26 1
Pages
e1389-e1389
ISSN
  • 0007-1447 (ISSN-L)
  • 0959-8138
  • 1468-5833
OpenAlex
W2042918999
Cited by
739
References
38
Citations by year
2026: 28 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 54 · 2023: 36 · 2022: 39 · 2021: 60 · 2020: 126 · 2019: 54 · 2018: 49 · 2017: 53 · 2016: 45 · 2015: 51 · 2014: 56 · 2013: 43 · 2012: 13
FWCI
5.61
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by-nc
Locations
  • BMJ (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • National Institute for Health and Care Research (RP-PG-0608-10079, PB-PG-0110-20199, NF-SI-0507-10182, ACF-2008-14-008)
  • University of Cambridge
  • NIHR School for Primary Care Research
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Physical Activity and Health
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology (medical) › Cardiovascular and exercise physiology
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Behavioral Health and Interventions
Keywords
physical activity promotion, primary care, sedentary adults, exercise referral schemes, physical activity counseling, cardiorespiratory fitness, health behavior change, number needed to treat, long-term intervention effects, telephone counseling, self-reported physical activity, health disparities, health inequalities reduction
MeSH terms
Counseling, Exercise Therapy, Health Promotion, Humans, Motor Activity, Primary Health Care, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-10-06, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).

A second model labelled each claim on 2026-10-06 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review