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Climate change and wildfire in Canada
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of postulated greenhouse warming on the severity of the forest fire season in Canada. Using CO 2 levels that are double those of the present (2 × CO 2), simulation results from three general circulation models (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and Oregon State University) were used to calculate the seasonal severity ratings for six stations across Canada. Monthly anomalies from the 2 × CO 2 simulation results were superimposed over historical sequences of daily weather. Then, seasonal severity ratings of the present were compared with those for 2 × CO 2 using five variations involving temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity. The relationship between seasonal severity rating and annual provincial area burned by wildfire was explored. The results suggest a 46% increase in seasonal severity rating, with a possible similar increase in area burned, in a 2 × CO 2 climate.
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Cited by
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073
Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire
Flannigan, M. D., Krawchuk, M. A., de Groot, W. J., Wotton, B. M., & Gowman, L. M. (2009) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf08187 · Cited by 1,460
Self-citationFlannigan, M. D., Logan, K. A., Amiro, B. D., Skinner, W. R., & Stocks, B. J. (2005) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5935-y · Cited by 874
Self-citationTrends in global wildfire potential in a changing climate
Liu, Y., Stanturf, J., & Goodrick, S. (2010) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.002 · Cited by 791
Impacts of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest
FLANNIGAN, M., STOCKS, B., TURETSKY, M., & WOTTON, M. (2009) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01660.x · Cited by 732
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Metadata
- Authors
- Flannigan, M. D., & Wagner, C. E. V.
- Venue
- Canadian Journal of Forest Research
- Publisher
- Canadian Science Publishing
- Published
- 1991-01-01
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 66-72
- ISSN
- 0045-5067 (ISSN-L)
- 1208-6037
- OpenAlex
- W1975580420
- Cited by
- 333
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 5.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Climate change and wildfire in Canada. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1139/x91-010
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- Flannigan, M. D., & Wagner, C. E. V. (1991). Climate change and wildfire in Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. https://doi.org/10.1139/x91-010
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
