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Using Chao’s Estimator as a Stopping Criterion for Technology-Assisted Review
Abstract
Technology-Assisted Review aims to reduce the human effort required for screening processes such as abstract screening for Systematic Literature Reviews. Human reviewers label documents as relevant or irrelevant during this process, while the system incrementally updates a prediction model based on the reviewers’ previous decisions. After each model update, the system proposes new documents it deems relevant, to prioritize relevant documents over irrelevant ones. A stopping criterion is necessary to guide users in stopping the review process to minimize the number of missed relevant documents and the number of read irrelevant documents. In this article, we propose and evaluate a new ensemble-based Active Learning strategy and a stopping criterion based on Chao’s Population Size Estimator that estimates the prevalence of relevant documents in the dataset. Our simulation study demonstrates that this criterion performs well on several datasets and is compared to other methods presented in the literature.
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“The number of missed records depends, in effect, on the stopping rule and the model's performance in identifying the final relevant records [6].”
From Large-scale simulation study of active learning models for systematic reviews (2025) · cites this paper as [6]
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“In the current active learning pipeline, some dataset segments go unscreened when the dataset appears sufficiently sparse, and the stopping rule is reached [6].”
From Large-scale simulation study of active learning models for systematic reviews (2025) · cites this paper as [6]
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Chai, K. E. K., Lines, R. L. J., Gucciardi, D. F., & Ng, L. (2021) · Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1186/s13643-021-01635-3 · Cited by 190 · cited 2×
“Recently, systems were proposed and built that potentially reduce the human effort needed by limiting the number of irrelevant documents shown to the reviewer [9, 15, 37, 43].”
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Statistical stopping criteria for automated screening in systematic reviews
Callaghan, M. W., & Müller-Hansen, F. (2020) · Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1186/s13643-020-01521-4 · Cited by 121 · cited 26×
“The Poisson parameter can vary for each document i , allowing for heterogeneity in capture probabilities.”
InfluentialEngineering Quality and Reliability in Technology-Assisted Review
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Cited by
ASReview LAB v.2: Open-source text screening with multiple agents and a crowd of experts
de Bruin, J., Lombaers, P., Kaandorp, C., Teijema, J., van der Kuil, T., Yazan, B., Dong, A., & van de Schoot, R. (2025) · Patterns · doi:10.1016/j.patter.2025.101318 · Cited by 27
Large-scale simulation study of active learning models for systematic reviews
Teijema, J. J., de Bruin, J., Bagheri, A., & van de Schoot, R. (2025) · International Journal of Data Science and Analytics · doi:10.1007/s41060-025-00777-0 · Cited by 13
Metadata
- Authors
- Bron, M., van der Heijden, P. G. M., Feelders, A., & Siebes, A.
- Venue
- ACM Transactions on Information Systems
- Published
- 2025-05-09
- Volume
- 43
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1-51
- ISSN
- 1046-8188
- 1558-2868
- Cited by
- 7
- References
- 12
- Language
- en
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