Histopathologic basis for a chest CT deep learning survival prediction model in patients with lung adenocarcinoma
Abstract
Background A preoperative CT-based deep learning (DL) prediction model was proposed to estimate disease-free survival in patients with resected lung adenocarcinoma. However, the black-box nature of DL hinders interpretation of its results. Purpose To provide histopathologic evidence underpinning the DL survival prediction model and to demonstrate the feasibility of the model in identifying patients with histopathologic risk factors through unsupervised clustering and a series of regression analyses. Materials and Methods For this retrospective study, data from patients who underwent curative resection for lung adenocarcinoma without neoadjuvant therapy from January 2016 to September 2020 were collected from a tertiary care center. Seven histopathologic risk factors for the resected adenocarcinoma were documented: the aggressive adenocarcinoma subtype (cribriform, morular, solid, or micropapillary-predominant subtype); mediastinal nodal metastasis (pN2); presence of lymphatic, venous, and perineural invasion; visceral pleural invasion (VPI); and EGFR mutation status. Unsupervised clustering using 80 DL model–driven CT features was performed, and associations between the patient clusters and the histopathologic features were analyzed. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to investigate the added value of the DL model output to the semantic CT features (clinical T category and radiologic nodule type [ie, solid or subsolid]) for histopathologic associations. Results A total of 1667 patients (median age, 64 years [IQR, 57–71 years]; 975 women) were evaluated. Unsupervised patient clusters 3 and 4 were associated with all histopathologic risk factors (P < .01) except for EGFR mutation status (P = .30 for cluster 3). After multivariable adjustment, model output was associated with the aggressive adenocarcinoma subtype (odds ratio [OR], 1.03; 95% CI: 1.002, 1.05; P = .03), venous invasion (OR, 1.03; 95% CI: 1.004, 1.06; P = .02), and VPI (OR, 1.08; 95% CI: 1.06, 1.10; P < .001), independently of the semantic CT features. Conclusion The deep learning model extracted CT imaging surrogates for the histopathologic profiles of lung adenocarcinoma. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Yanagawa in this issue.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
These efforts include histology and CT-based models for survival prediction and correlation of CT imaging features with histology risk factors.
“These efforts include histology (102) and CT-based (103) models for survival prediction, and the correlation of CT imaging features with histology risk factors (104).”
From Artificial Intelligence in Oncology: Current Landscape, Challenges, and Future Directions (2024) · cites this paper as [104]
Cites
Rudin, C. (2019) · Nature Machine Intelligence · doi:10.1038/s42256-019-0048-x · Cited by 10,561 · see citing works
Edge, S. B., & Compton, C. C. (2010) · Annals of Surgical Oncology · doi:10.1245/s10434-010-0985-4 · Cited by 9,055 · see citing works
Decoding tumour phenotype by noninvasive imaging using a quantitative radiomics approach
Aerts, H. J. W. L., Velazquez, E. R., Leijenaar, R. T. H., Parmar, C., Grossmann, P., Carvalho, S., Bussink, J., Monshouwer, R., Haibe-Kains, B., Rietveld, D., et al. (2014) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms5006 · Cited by 5,132 · see citing works
Goldstraw, P. G., Chansky, K., Crowley, J. J., Rami–Porta, R., Asamura, H., Eberhardt, W., Nicholson, A. G., Groome, P. A., Mitchell, A., Bolejack, V., et al. (2016) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2015.09.009 · Cited by 4,616 · see citing works
The 2015 World Health Organization Classification of Lung Tumors
Travis, W. D., Brambilla, E. M., Nicholson, A. G., Yatabe, Y., Austin, J. H. M., Beasley, M. B., Chirieac, L. R., Đačić, S., Duhig, E., Flieder, D. B., et al. (2015) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1097/jto.0000000000000630 · Cited by 4,532 · see citing works
Goldstraw, P., Crowley, J., Chansky, K., Giroux, D. J., Groome, P. A., Rami-Porta, R., Postmus, P. E., Rusch, V., & Sobin, L. (2007) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1097/jto.0b013e31812f3c1a · Cited by 3,655 · see citing works
Can we open the black box of AI?
Castelvecchi, D. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/538020a · Cited by 1,773 · see citing works
Huang, Y., Liu, Z., He, L., Chen, X., Pan, D., Ma, Z., Liang, C., Tian, J., & Liang, C. (2016) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.2016152234 · Cited by 741 · see citing works
Travis, W. D., Asamura, H., Bankier, A. A., Beasley, M. B., Detterbeck, F., Flieder, D. B., Goo, J. M., MacMahon, H., Naidich, D. P., Nicholson, A. G., et al. (2016) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2016.03.025 · Cited by 722 · see citing works
Russell, P. A., Wainer, Z., Wright, G. M., Daniels, M. G., Conron, M., & Williams, R. A. (2011) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1097/jto.0b013e318221f701 · Cited by 624 · see citing works
Deep Learning in Medicine—Promise, Progress, and Challenges
Wang, F., Casalino, L. P., & Khullar, D. (2019) · JAMA Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.7117 · Cited by 483 · see citing works
Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer: Histopathologic Correlates for Texture Parameters at CT
Ganeshan, B., Goh, V., Mandeville, H., Ng, Q. S., Hoskin, P., & Miles, K. A. (2012) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.12112428 · Cited by 447 · see citing works
CT Radiogenomic Characterization of EGFR, K-RAS, and ALK Mutations in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
Rizzo, S., Petrella, F., Buscarino, V., Maria, F. D., Raimondi, S., Barberis, M. C. P., Fumagalli, C., Spitaleri, G., Rampinelli, C., de Marinis, F., et al. (2015) · European Radiology · doi:10.1007/s00330-015-3814-0 · Cited by 269 · see citing works
Tsao, M., Marguet, S., Teuff, G. L., Lantuéjoul, S., Shepherd, F. A., Seymour, L., Kratzke, R. A., Graziano, S. L., Popper, H., Rosell, R., et al. (2015) · Journal of Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1200/jco.2014.58.8335 · Cited by 269 · see citing works
van Timmeren, J. E., Leijenaar, R. T. H., van Elmpt, W., Reymen, B. J. T., Oberije, C., Monshouwer, R., Bussink, J., Brink, C., Hansen, O., & Lambin, P. (2017) · Radiotherapy and Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.radonc.2017.04.016 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Hattori, A., Hirayama, S., Matsunaga, T., Hayashi, T., Takamochi, K., Oh, S., & Suzuki, K. (2018) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2018.09.026 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Aokage, K., Miyoshi, T., Ishii, G., Kusumoto, M., Nomura, S., Katsumata, S., Sekihara, K., Tane, K., & Tsuboi, M. (2017) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2017.11.129 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
[18F]Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography and its prognostic value in lung cancer✩
Dhital, K. K., Saunders, C. A. B., Seed, P. T., O'Doherty, M. J., & Dussek, J. E. (2000) · European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/s1010-7940(00)00535-2 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Histologic features are important prognostic indicators in early stages lung adenocarcinomas
Yim, J. H., Zhu, L., Chiriboga, L. A., Watson, H. N., Goldberg, J. D., & Moreira, A. L. (2006) · Modern Pathology · doi:10.1038/modpathol.3800734 · Cited by 147 · see citing works
Deep Learning to Assess Long-term Mortality From Chest Radiographs
Lu, M. T., Ivanov, A., Mayrhofer, T., Hosny, A., Aerts, H. J. W. L., & Hoffmann, U. (2019) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.7416 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Kim, H., Goo, J. M., Lee, K. H., Kim, Y. T., & Park, C. M. (2020) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.2020192764 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Ohtsuka, T., Nomori, H., Watanabe, K., Kaji, M., Naruke, T., Suemasu, K., & Uno, K. (2006) · Cancer · doi:10.1002/cncr.22268 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Pathak, R., Goldberg, S. B., Canavan, M., Herrin, J. S., Hoag, J. R., Salazar, M. C., Papageorge, M. V., Ermer, T., & Boffa, D. J. (2020) · JAMA Oncology · doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2020.4232 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Tsutani, Y., Miyata, Y., Nakayama, H., Okumura, S., Adachi, S., Yoshimura, M., & Okada, M. (2013) · Annals of Oncology · doi:10.1093/annonc/mdt230 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Usuda, K., Sagawa, M., Motono, N., Ueno, M., Tanaka, M., Machida, Y., Matoba, M., Taniguchi, M., Tonami, H., Ueda, Y., et al. (2014) · Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention · doi:10.7314/apjcp.2014.15.2.657 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Varghese, C., Rajagopalan, S., Karwoski, R. A., Bartholmai, B. J., Maldonado, F., Boland, J. M., & Peikert, T. (2019) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2019.04.022 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Cao, S., Teng, J., Xu, J., Han, B., & Zhong, H. (2018) · Thoracic Cancer · doi:10.1111/1759-7714.12942 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Kim, H., Goo, J. M., Kim, Y. T., & Park, C. M. (2019) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.2019182068 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Yu, X., Dong, Z., Wang, W., Mao, S., Pan, Y., Liu, Y., Yang, S., Chen, B., Wang, C., Li, X., et al. (2021) · Cancer Management and Research · doi:10.2147/cmar.s302545 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Safiri, S., & Ashrafi‐Asgarabad, A. (2018) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2017.10.017 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Artificial Intelligence in Oncology: Current Landscape, Challenges, and Future Directions
Lotter, W., Hassett, M. J., Schultz, N., Kehl, K. L., Van Allen, E. M., & Cerami, E. (2024) · Cancer Discovery · doi:10.1158/2159-8290.cd-23-1199 · Cited by 196 · see citing works
Liu, F., Beck, S., Yang, L., Luo, H., & Zhang, K. C. (2026) · Nature reviews. Cancer · doi:10.1038/s41568-026-00922-2 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Weakly Supervised Deep Learning in Radiology
Misera, L., Müller‐Franzes, G. A., Truhn, D., & Kather, J. N. (2024) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.232085 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Novel tools for early diagnosis and precision treatment based on artificial intelligence
Shao, J., Feng, J., Li, J., Liang, S., Li, W., & Wang, C. (2023) · Chinese Medical Journal - Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.pccm.2023.05.001 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Tiwari, A., Ghose, A., Hasanova, M., Faria, S. S., Mohapatra, S., Adeleke, S. M., & Boussios, S. (2025) · Discover Oncology · doi:10.1007/s12672-025-02212-z · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Prediction of lung papillary adenocarcinoma-specific survival using ensemble machine learning models
Xia, K., Chen, D., Jin, S., Yi, X., & Luo, L. (2023) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-023-40779-1 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Xie, C., Ning, Z., Guo, T., Yao, L., Chen, X., Huang, W., Li, S., Chen, J., Zhao, K., Bian, X., et al. (2025) · EBioMedicine · doi:10.1016/j.ebiom.2025.105789 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Qian, L.-J., Wu, T., Kong, S., Lou, X., Jiang, Y., Tan, Z., Wu, L., & Gao, C. (2024) · European Journal of Radiology · doi:10.1016/j.ejrad.2024.111314 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Lim, W. H., Lee, K. H., Lee, J. H., Park, H., Nam, J. G., Hwang, E. J., Chung, J.-H., Goo, J. M., Park, S., Kim, Y. T., et al. (2023) · European Radiology · doi:10.1007/s00330-023-10204-2 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Kim, D. K., Corpuz, G. S., Ta, C., Weng, C., & Rohde, C. H. (2023) · Journal of Plastic Reconstructive & Aesthetic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.bjps.2023.11.016 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Tumor-associated prognostic factors extractable from chest CT scans in patients with lung cancer
Kim, H., & Park, C. M. (2023) · Translational Lung Cancer Research · doi:10.21037/tlcr-22-904 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Chen, M., Ding, L., Deng, S., Li, J., Li, X., Jian, M., Xu, Y., Chen, Z., & Yan, C. (2024) · Academic Radiology · doi:10.1016/j.acra.2024.02.011 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Survival Prediction in Lung Cancer through Multi-Modal Representation Learning
Farooq, A., Mishra, D., & Chaudhury, S. (2025) · IEEE Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision · doi:10.1109/wacv61041.2025.00384 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
An Efficient Automated Technique for Classification of Breast Cancer Using Deep Ensemble Model
Rehman, M. Z. U., Ahmad, J. E., Jaha, E. S., Ali, A., AlZain, M. A., & Saeed, F. (2023) · Computer Systems Science and Engineering · doi:10.32604/csse.2023.035382 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Feng, B., Chen, X., Chen, Y., Yu, T., Duan, X., Liu, K., Li, K., Liu, Z., Lin, H., Li, S., et al. (2023) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers15030892 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Jhang, H., Park, S. J., Sul, A.-R., Jang, H. Y., & Park, S. H. (2024) · Korean Journal of Radiology · doi:10.3348/kjr.2023.1281 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Xu, N., He, Q., Wang, L., Zhiwen, Z., Sheng, Q., Gao, S. B., Zhang, S., Chen, B., Sun, J., Zhang, Z., et al. (2025) · npj Digital Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41746-025-02229-2 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Li, Y., Zhao, J., Li, R., Yao, X., Dong, X., Zhao, Y., Xia, Z., Xu, Y., & Li, Y. (2024) · Translational Lung Cancer Research · doi:10.21037/tlcr-24-544 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Dong, S., Fu, A., & Liu, J. (2024) · Quantitative Imaging in Medicine and Surgery · doi:10.21037/qims-24-100 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Flannery, B. T., DeSilvio, T., Hariri, M., Sadri, A. R., Heller, N., Weight, C. J., & Viswanath, S. E. (2026) · Computers in Biology and Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.compbiomed.2026.111603 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Song, R., Liu, B., & Xu, H. (2024) · Urolithiasis · doi:10.1007/s00240-024-01656-2 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Application of Artificial Intelligence in Thoracic Radiology: A Narrative Review
Lim, W. H., & Kim, H. (2024) · Tuberculosis & respiratory diseases · doi:10.4046/trd.2024.0062 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Optimal resection strategies for small-size lung cancer: Is a wedge enough? Is lobectomy too much?
Na, K. J., & Kim, Y. T. (2023) · JTCVS Open · doi:10.1016/j.xjon.2023.10.012 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Qu, Z., Wang, Y., Guo, D., He, G., Sui, C., Duan, Y., Zhang, X., Meng, H., Lan, L., & Liu, X. (2024) · Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1111/jgh.16598 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Shi, C., Lee, J., Shi, D., Wang, G., Yuan, F., Lai, T. Y. Y., Liu, J., Lu, Y., Liu, D., Qin, B., et al. (2025) · Brain Sciences · doi:10.3390/brainsci15111249 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Zhan, Y., Dai, R. X., Li, F., Cheng, Z., Zhuo, Y., Shan, F., & Zhou, L. (2024) · Quantitative Imaging in Medicine and Surgery · doi:10.21037/qims-24-77
Prognostic AI Model for Precise Surgical Decision-making in Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer
Yan, H., & Suzuki, K. (2024) · Radiology · doi:10.1148/radiol.241370
Analysis and prediction of pathological risk factors for lung cancer by plasma metabolomics
Liu, Z., Wang, L., Gao, S., Xue, Q., Tan, F., & Gao, Y. (2025) · Respiratory Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.rmed.2025.108248
Qi, M., Dai, C., Li, C., Niu, W., Liu, B., Li, X., Li, Q., & Guo, L. (2025) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-10802303/v1
Quantitative Assessment of Lung Nodule: Deep Learning and Radiomics
Hwang, E. J., & Goo, J. M. (2026) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-032-14103-3_20
Microbiome-host interactions in different pathomic subtypes of early-stage lung adenocarcinoma
He, T., Zhu, A.-K., 韩起家, Chen, F., Wang, H., Wu, M., Chen, Q., Li, S., Wang, L., Yang, Z., et al. (2026) · BMC Pulmonary Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12890-026-04440-7
Liu, K., Xie, R., Yang, X., Li, S., Lin, X., Li, K., & Li, L. (2026) · Biomedical Signal Processing and Control · doi:10.1016/j.bspc.2026.111443
- Authors
- Nam, J. G., Park, S., Park, C. M., Jeon, Y. K., Chung, D. H., Goo, J. M., Kim, Y. T., & Kim, H.
- Affiliations
- Seoul National University (KR)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Radiology
- Published
- 2022-11
- Volume
- 305
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 441-451
- ISSN
- 0033-8419 (ISSN-L)
- 1527-1315
- OpenAlex
- W4283809060
- Cited by
- 32
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 8
- FWCI
- 3.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Radiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Seoul National University Open Repository (Seoul National University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Research Foundation of Korea
- Ministry of Science and ICT (NRF-2020R1C1C1003684)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › AI in cancer detection
- Keywords
- lung adenocarcinoma, disease-free survival, venous invasion, visceral pleural invasion, mediastinal lymph node metastasis, perineural invasion, EGFR mutation, unsupervised clustering, model interpretability, curative resection, prognostic model
- MeSH terms
- Adenocarcinoma of Lung, Deep Learning, Adenocarcinoma, Aged, Female, Humans, Lung Neoplasms, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, ErbB Receptors
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review