The DOI matches its Crossref record; 38 of the 38 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Prognostic Value of Cardiac Risk Factors and Coronary Artery Calcium Screening for All-Cause Mortality
Abstract
PURPOSE: To develop risk-adjusted multivariable models that included risk factors and coronary calcium scores determined with electron-beam computed tomography (CT) in asymptomatic patients for the prediction of all-cause mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We followed up a cohort of 10,377 asymptomatic individuals undergoing cardiac risk factor evaluation and coronary calcium screening with electron-beam CT. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were developed to predict all-cause mortality. Risk-adjusted models incorporated traditional risk factors for coronary disease and coronary calcium scores. RESULTS: Cardiac risk factors such as family history of coronary disease (69%), hypercholesterolemia (62%), hypertension (44%), smoking (40%), and diabetes (9%) were prevalent. The frequency of coronary calcium scores was 57%, 20%, 14%, 6%, and 3% for scores of 10 or less, 11-100, 101-400, 401-1,000, and greater than 1,000, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 5.0 years +/- 0.0086 (standard error of the mean), the death rate was 2.4%. In a risk-adjusted model (model chi2 = 388.2, P <.001), coronary calcium was an independent predictor of mortality (P <.001). Risk-adjusted relative risk values for coronary calcium were 1.64, 1.74, 2.54, and 4.03 for scores of 11-100, 101-400, 401-1,000, and greater than 1,000, respectively (P <.001 for all values), as compared with that for a score of 10 or less. Five-year risk-adjusted survival was 99.0% for a calcium score of 10 or less and 95.0% for a score of greater than 1,000 (P <.001). With a receiver operating characteristic curve, the concordance index increased from 0.72 for cardiac risk factors alone to 0.78 (P <.001) when the calcium score was added to a multivariable model for prediction of death. CONCLUSION: This large observational data series shows that coronary calcium provides independent incremental information in addition to traditional risk factors in the prediction of all-cause mortality.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Expert Panel on Detection, E. (2001) · JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association · doi:10.1001/jama.285.19.2486 · Cited by 26,011
Prediction of coronary heart disease using risk factor categories
Wilson, P. W. F., D’Agostino, R. B., Levy, D., Belanger, A. M., Silbershatz, H., & Kannel, W. B. (1998) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.97.18.1837 · Cited by 9,581
Quantification of coronary artery calcium using ultrafast computed tomography
Agatston, A. S., Janowitz, W. R., Hildner, F. J., Zusmer, N. R., Viamonte, M., & Detrano, R. (1990) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/0735-1097(90)90282-t · Cited by 7,786
Downs, J. R., Clearfield, M., Weis, S., Whitney, E., Shapiro, D. R., Beere, P. A., Langendorfer, A., Stein, E. A., Kruyer, W., Gotto, Jr., et al. (1998) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.279.20.1615 · Cited by 5,236
The Pathogenesis of Coronary Artery Disease and the Acute Coronary Syndromes
Epstein, F. H., Fuster, V., Badimon, L., Badimon, J. J., & Chesebro, J. H. (1992) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199201303260506 · Cited by 3,725
The Pathogenesis of Coronary Artery Disease and the Acute Coronary Syndromes
Epstein, F. H., Fuster, V., Badimon, L., Badimon, J. J., & Chesebro, J. H. (1992) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199201233260406 · Cited by 2,717
Chambless, L. E., Heiss, G., Folsom, A. R., Rosamond, W., Szklo, M., Sharrett, A. R., & Clegg, L. X. (1997) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a009302 · Cited by 1,990
Grundy, S. M., Pasternak, R., Greenland, P., Smith, S., & Fuster, V. (1999) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.100.13.1481 · Cited by 1,315
Farb, A., Burke, A. P., Tang, A. L., Liang, Y., Mannan, P., Smialek, J., & Virmani, R. (1996) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.93.7.1354 · Cited by 1,276
Cited by
Coronary Calcium as a Predictor of Coronary Events in Four Racial or Ethnic Groups
Detrano, R., Guerci, A. D., Carr, J. J., Bild, D. E., Burke, G., Folsom, A. R., Liu, K., Shea, S., Szklo, M., Bluemke, D. A., et al. (2008) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa072100 · Cited by 2,989
Cancer risks from diagnostic radiology
HALL, E. J., & BRENNER, D. J. (2008) · The British Journal of Radiology · doi:10.1259/bjr/01948454 · Cited by 915
Prognostic value of coronary artery calcium screening in subjects with and without diabetes
Raggi, P., Shaw, L. J., Berman, D. S., & Callister, T. Q. (2004) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2003.09.068 · Cited by 608
Self-citationVascular calcifications as a marker of increased cardiovascular risk: A meta-analysis
Rennenberg, R., Kessels, Schurgers, Engelshoven, V., de Leeuw, P., & Kroon (2009) · Vascular Health and Risk Management · doi:10.2147/vhrm.s4822 · Cited by 469
Impact of Coronary Artery Calcium Scanning on Coronary Risk Factors and Downstream Testing
Rozanski, A., Gransar, H., Shaw, L. J., Kim, J., Miranda-Peats, L., Wong, N. D., Rana, J. S., Orakzai, R., Hayes, S. W., Friedman, J. D., et al. (2011) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2011.01.019 · Cited by 458
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Shaw, L. J., Raggi, P., Schisterman, E., Berman, D. S., & Callister, T. Q.
- Venue
- Radiology
- Published
- 2003-09
- Volume
- 228
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 826-833
- ISSN
- 0033-8419 (ISSN-L)
- 1527-1315
- OpenAlex
- W2151599748
- Cited by
- 891
- References
- 38
- FWCI
- 47.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Prognostic Value of Cardiac Risk Factors and Coronary Artery Calcium Screening for All-Cause Mortality. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1148/radiol.2283021006
- The paper
- Shaw, L. J., Raggi, P., Schisterman, E., Berman, D. S., & Callister, T. Q. (2003). Prognostic Value of Cardiac Risk Factors and Coronary Artery Calcium Screening for All-Cause Mortality. Radiology. https://doi.org/10.1148/radiol.2283021006
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.