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Television and Voter Turnout*
Open accessAbstract
I use variation across markets in the timing of television's introduction to identify its impact on voter turnout. The estimated effect is significantly negative, accounting for between a quarter and a half of the total decline in turnout since the 1950s. I argue that substitution away from other media with more political coverage provides a plausible mechanism linking television to voting. As evidence for this, I show that the entry of television in a market coincided with sharp drops in consumption of newspapers and radio, and in political knowledge as measured by election surveys. I also show that both the information and turnout effects were largest in off-year congressional elections, which receive extensive coverage in newspapers but little or no coverage on television.
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“it is estimated that the growth of television caused somewhere between 25% and 50% of the total decline in voter turnout from the 1950s through the 1970s (Gentzkow, 2006).”
From Stories in Action. (2022) · cites this paper as Gentzkow, 2006
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BackgroundPolitical power of the press in the Weimar Republic
Nguyen, B. D. (2022) · European Review of Economic History · doi:10.1093/ereh/heac002 · Cited by 1
“Gentzkow (2006) uses variation in the timing of television’s introduction across US counties and finds a negative effect on turnout.”
BackgroundResultInfluentialElectoral Revolutions: Towards a General Theory of Rapid Changes in Voter Turnout
Lioy, A. (2021) · Parliamentary Affairs · doi:10.1093/pa/gsab035 · Cited by 1
Advertising and Voter Data in Asymmetric Political Contests
Sharma, P., & Wagman, L. (2020) · Information Economics and Policy · doi:10.1016/j.infoecopol.2020.100864 · Cited by 1
Technological Progress and Political Disengagement
Grechyna, D. (2020) · Comparative Economic Studies · doi:10.1057/s41294-023-00217-7 · Cited by 4
“For example, Gentzkow (2006) found that the introduction of television in the USA caused a major drop in voter turnout because the television replaced other media with more political coverage.”
Does Internet Access Create or Destroy Social Capital? The Case of West Java Province
Kharisma, B., & Remi, S. S. (2020) · The Journal of Sociology & Social Welfare · doi:10.15453/0191-5096.4348 · Cited by 1
“The evidence linking television to a drop in voting is robust to partitioning counties into groups by demographic characteristics, controlling explicitly for demographics, and allowing nonlinear functions of time interacted with demographics (Gentzkow, 2006).”
BackgroundEnsaios sobre a expansão da igreja Universal do Reino de Deus no Brasil
Komatsu, B. K. (2019) · Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations (Universidade de São Paulo) · doi:10.11606/t.12.2019.tde-23082019-163147 · Cited by 1
State-dependent effect on voter turnout: The case of US House elections
Konstantinou, P. T., Panagiotidis, T., & Roumanias, C. (2019) · The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.qref.2019.01.019 · Cited by 1
“…participation rate (voter turnout) in congressional district i during period t.17 It is common in the literature (see e.g. Cox and Munger, 1989; Gentzkow, 2006; Washington, 2006) to employ models of the form yit = α + x ′ itβ + uit, (2) which under standard regularity conditions, allow the…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialMedia and Occupational ChoicePreprint
Konon, A., & Kritikos, A. (2017) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3046494 · Cited by 1
“Gentzkow (2006) establishes a negative effect of television on voter turnout in the United States.”
BackgroundResultInfluentialVoting and Elections: New Social Science Perspectives
Holden, R. (2016) · doi:10.1146/annurev-lawsocsci-110615-084704 · Cited by 1
Closing the Gap in State Legislative Races: The Effect of Campaign Spending on Ballot Drop-off
Davis, M., & Southwell, P. (2015) · doi:10.5539/jpl.v8n2p118 · Cited by 1
“Some research suggests that television causes a substitution effect away from other forms of media, leaving people less informed and reducing turnout (Gentzkow, 2006).”
BackgroundExtractive Institutions, Closed Borders and Economic Development
Lyubimov, I. (2014) · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2543169 · Cited by 1
“γ(t) = T Y H(t) = T ( β ) 1 1−η AH(0)Φ (19)”
It's a Bird, it's a Plane, it's Superman! Using Mass Media to Fight IntolerancePreprint
Armand, A., Atwell, P., Gomes, J., Musillo, G., & Schenk, Y. (2024) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4883857 · Cited by 5
Broadband Internet and Attitudes Towards Migrants: Evidence from Spain
Golin, M., & Romarri, A. (2022) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4305538 · Cited by 1
“One the other hand, the risk of information overflow might lead Internet users to only consume news that are concordant with their prior beliefs, thus fostering polarization (Mullainathan and Shleifer, 2005; Gentzkow, 2006).”
BackgroundVoting Advice Applications and ElectionsPreprint
Benesch, C., Heim, R., Schelker, M., & Schmid, L. (2021) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3774676 · Cited by 1
“Studies in this literature find that the two most recent changes in the media landscape, the introduction of the television and the internet, had a negative effect on turnout (Gentzkow 2006; Falck, Gold, and Heblich 2014).”
BackgroundMedia and Voting Behavior in Surabaya City, Indonesia
Marijan, K., & Sahab, A. (2020) · doi:10.4108/eai.1-10-2019.2291676 · Cited by 1
“Gentzkow [10] argued that the political news quantity on a variety of media affected political attitude and behavior.”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Gentzkow, M.
- Affiliations
- University of Chicago (US)
- Corresponding author
- Gentzkow, Matthew
- ORCID
- Gentzkow, Matthew
- Venue
- Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2006-08
- Volume
- 121
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 931-972
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W2133689495
- Cited by
- 842
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 52 · 2025: 55 · 2024: 69 · 2023: 62 · 2022: 60 · 2021: 46 · 2020: 47 · 2019: 56 · 2018: 43 · 2017: 37 · 2016: 40 · 2015: 53 · 2014: 33 · 2013: 37 · 2012: 26
- FWCI
- 77.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Communication › News Media Framing and Political Communication
- Keywords
- television, voter turnout, media substitution, political coverage, newspaper readership, radio listening, political knowledge, congressional elections, media influence on voters
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