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Television and Voter Turnout*
Open accessAbstract
I use variation across markets in the timing of television's introduction to identify its impact on voter turnout. The estimated effect is significantly negative, accounting for between a quarter and a half of the total decline in turnout since the 1950s. I argue that substitution away from other media with more political coverage provides a plausible mechanism linking television to voting. As evidence for this, I show that the entry of television in a market coincided with sharp drops in consumption of newspapers and radio, and in political knowledge as measured by election surveys. I also show that both the information and turnout effects were largest in off-year congressional elections, which receive extensive coverage in newspapers but little or no coverage on television.
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“it is estimated that the growth of television caused somewhere between 25% and 50% of the total decline in voter turnout from the 1950s through the 1970s (Gentzkow, 2006).”
From Stories in Action. (2022) · cites this paper as Gentzkow, 2006
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“2 Litigation Cost Survey of Major Companies, 2010, Lawyers for Civil Justice, Civil Justice Reform Group, and the U.S. Chamber Institute for Legal Reform. 3 See Hope Viner Samborn, The Vanishing Trial: More and More Cases Are Settled, Mediated or Arbitrated Without a Public Resolution, 88 A.B.A.J. 24 (October 2002). T…”
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“Gentzkow (2006) argues instead that television’s introduction depressed turnout in the US by substituting away from media with more political coverage (newspapers and radio), and Gentzkow et al. (2011) find that newspaper entry increases turnout.”
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“4 An established body of literature in economics finds effects of TV on political outcomes, such as reduced turnout and lower political knowledge as voters substitute away from newspapers (Gentzkow, 2006); political persuasion of ideologically biased media (DellaVigna and Kaplan, 2007; Enikolopov et al.”
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Hoy, C., Toth, R., & Merdikawati, N. (2024) · Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics · doi:10.1016/j.socec.2024.102274 · Cited by 5
Television and family demography: Evidence from a natural experiment in East Germany
Hartmann, S. A. (2024) · Labour Economics · doi:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102640 · Cited by 6
Government-led innovation and carbon emissions: evidence from China
Li, Z., & Shen, Y. (2024) · Environment, Development and Sustainability · doi:10.1007/s10668-024-04853-6 · Cited by 5
“To dispel this question, referring to Gentzkow ( 2006 ) and Li et al. ( 2016 ), we searched the critical selection criteria for NICP cities and further controlled for these variables in our econometric model.”
The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation
Wang, T.-Y. (2023) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.3386/w31468 · Cited by 5
Does pollution levy standard reform promotes green innovation? Evidence from China
Li, Z., & Shen, Y. (2022) · Environmental science and pollution research international · doi:10.1007/s11356-022-24713-y · Cited by 5
“To address these concerns, learning from the method suggested by Gentzkow (2006), we introduced the interaction of the selection variables with a third-order polynomial function of the time trend or year dummies.”
MethodModelling Surveys Effects in Political Competitions
Biondo, A. E., Pluchino, A., & Rapisarda, A. (2017) · Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications · doi:10.1016/j.physa.2018.02.211 · Cited by 5
“This should also reduce the chance to cover corruption, even if [38] and in [42] show also the evidence that an increase in the supply of news media may lead to a negative effect on electoral participation due to a crowding-out effect on the existing type of news media.”
BackgroundImpact of Long Run Exposure to Television on Homicides: Some Evidence from Brazil
Chong, A., & Yáñez-Pagans, M. (2017) · doi:10.1080/00220388.2016.1171843 · Cited by 5
Matthew Gentzkow, Winner of the 2014 Clark Medal
Shleifer, A. (2015) · doi:10.1257/jep.29.1.181 · Cited by 5
Media activity and public spending
Bruns, C., & Himmler, O. (2010) · doi:10.1007/s10101-010-0083-x · Cited by 5
“The stationarity is acknowledged by Gentzkow (2006), who assumes current DMA borders to be a valid approximation to those in the 1960s.”
BackgroundCentral Bank Digital Currency and Corporate Cash Holdings: Evidence from China’s e-CNY pilot
Zhang, G.-L. (2023) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4584652 · Cited by 5
Schechter, L., & Vasudevan, S. (2021) · Social Science Research Network · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3929558 · Cited by 5
Metadata
- Authors
- Gentzkow, M.
- Affiliations
- University of Chicago (US)
- Corresponding author
- Gentzkow, Matthew
- ORCID
- Gentzkow, Matthew
- Venue
- Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2006-08
- Volume
- 121
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 931-972
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W2133689495
- Cited by
- 842
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 52 · 2025: 55 · 2024: 69 · 2023: 62 · 2022: 60 · 2021: 46 · 2020: 47 · 2019: 56 · 2018: 43 · 2017: 37 · 2016: 40 · 2015: 53 · 2014: 33 · 2013: 37 · 2012: 26
- FWCI
- 77.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Communication › News Media Framing and Political Communication
- Keywords
- television, voter turnout, media substitution, political coverage, newspaper readership, radio listening, political knowledge, congressional elections, media influence on voters
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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