Cited by 117Climate variability and modelsOceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesGeology and Paleoclimatology Research

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 47 of the 47 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the U.K. ACSIS Program

Open access

Sutton, R. T., McCarthy, G. D., Robson, J., Sinha, B., Archibald, A. T., Gray, L. J.·2018·Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

DOI 10.1175/bams-d-16-0266.1

Open this paper in CoChat — free account Open PDF

Abstract

Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) is the term used to describe the pattern of variability in North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) that is characterized by decades of basinwide warm or cool anomalies, relative to the global mean. AMV has been associated with numerous climate impacts in many regions of the world including decadal variations in temperature and rainfall patterns, hurricane activity, and sea level changes. Given its importance, understanding the physical processes that drive AMV and the extent to which its evolution is predictable is a key challenge in climate science. A leading hypothesis is that natural variations in ocean circulation control changes in ocean heat content and consequently AMV phases. However, this view has been challenged recently by claims that changing natural and anthropogenic radiative forcings are critical drivers of AMV. Others have argued that changes in ocean circulation are not required. Here, we review the leading hypotheses and mechanisms for AMV and discuss the key debates. In particular, we highlight the need for a holistic understanding of AMV. This perspective is a key motivation for a major new U.K. research program: the North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS), which brings together seven of the United Kingdom’s leading environmental research institutes to enable a broad spectrum approach to the challenges of AMV. ACSIS will deliver the first fully integrated assessment of recent decadal changes in the North Atlantic, will investigate the attribution of these changes to their proximal and ultimate causes, and will assess the potential to predict future changes.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1175/bams-d-16-0266.1

Cites

47 of 47 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere
Delworth, T. L., & MANN, M. E. (2000) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820000075 · Cited by 1,216
The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 7.0/7.1 and JULES Global Land 7.0 configurations
Walters, D., Baran, A. J., Boutle, I., Brooks, M. E., Earnshaw, P. D., Edwards, J., Furtado, K., Hill, P., Lock, A. P., Manners, J. C., et al. (2019) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-12-1909-2019 · Cited by 1,214
A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate.
Knight, J. R., Allan, R. J., Folland, C. K., Vellinga, M., & Mann, M. E. (2005) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2005gl024233 · Cited by 1,208
Atlantic hurricanes and natural variability in 2005
Trenberth, K. E., & Shea, D. J. (2006) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2006gl026894 · Cited by 1,091
Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability
Booth, B. B. B., Dunstone, N. J., Halloran, P. R., Andrews, T., & Bellouin, N. (2012) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature10946 · Cited by 1,022
NEMO Ocean Engine Reference Manual
Madec, G., Bell, M. J., Benshila, R., Blaker, A., Boudrallé-Badie, R., Bricaud, C., Bruciaferri, D., Carneiro, D., Castrillo, M., Calvert, D., et al. (2013) · Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) · doi:10.5281/zenodo.1464816 · Cited by 1,007
The HadGEM2-ES implementation of CMIP5 centennial simulations
JONES, C. D., Hughes, J. K., Bellouin, N., Hardiman, S. C., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Liddicoat, S. K., O’Connor, F. M., Andres, R. J., Bell, C., et al. (2011) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-4-543-2011 · Cited by 957
Self-citation
Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature Version 4 (ERSST.v4). Part I: Upgrades and Intercomparisons
Huang, B., Banzon, V. F., Freeman, E., Lawrimore, J. H., Liu, W., Peterson, T. C., Smith, T. M., Thorne, P., Woodruff, S. D., & Zhang, H. (2014) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00006.1 · Cited by 941
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes
Zhang, R., & Delworth, T. L. (2006) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2006gl026267 · Cited by 939
Observations, inferences, and mechanisms of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A review
Buckley, M. W., & Marshall, J. C. (2015) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1002/2015rg000493 · Cited by 932

Show all 46 references

Sorted by citations

Pantropical climate interactions
Cai, W., Wu, L., Lengaigne, M., Li, T., McGregor, S., Kug, J., Yu, J., Stuecker, M. F., Santoso, A., Li, X., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aav4236 · Cited by 880
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I: Detection and Attribution
Knutson, T. R., Camargo, S. J., Chan, J. C. L., Emanuel, K., Ho, C.-H., Kossin, J. P., Mohapatra, M., Satoh, M., Sugi, M., Walsh, K. J. E., et al. (2019) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-18-0189.1 · Cited by 659
A Review of the Role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and Associated Climate Impacts
Zhang, R., Sutton, R. T., Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y., Marsh, R., Yeager, S. G., Amrhein, D. E., & Little, C. M. (2019) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2019rg000644 · Cited by 633
Self-citation
Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6
Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J., Wood, R., Andrews, T., Blockley, E., Booth, B. B. B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J., Florek, P., Gray, L. J., et al. (2020) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2019ms001995 · Cited by 281
Self-citation
Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report
Archibald, A. T., Neu, J. L., Elshorbany, Y. F., Cooper, O. R., Young, P. J., Akiyoshi, H., Cox, R. A., Coyle, M., Derwent, R. G., Deushi, M., et al. (2020) · Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene · doi:10.1525/elementa.2020.034 · Cited by 239
Self-citation
The variable European Little Ice Age
Wanner, H., Pfister, C., & Neukom, R. (2022) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107531 · Cited by 171
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Walsh, K. J. E., Camargo, S. J., Knutson, T. R., Kossin, J. P., Lee, T.-C., Murakami, H., & Patricola, C. M. (2019) · Tropical Cyclone Research and Review · doi:10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.01.004 · Cited by 166
Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies
Bulgin, C. E., Merchant, C. J., & Ferreira, D. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-64785-9 · Cited by 150
Pending recovery in the strength of the meridional overturning circulation at 26° N
Moat, B. I., Smeed, D. A., Frajka-Williams, E. E., Desbruyères, D. G., Beaulieu, C., Johns, W. E., Rayner, D., Sanchez‐Franks, A., Baringer, M., Volkov, D. L., et al. (2020) · Ocean science · doi:10.5194/os-16-863-2020 · Cited by 120
WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A Prediction for 2021–25
Hermanson, L., Smith, D. M., Seabrook, M., Bilbao, R. A. F., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Tourigny, É., Lapin, V., Kharin, V., Merryfield, W. J., Sospedra‐Alfonso, R., et al. (2022) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-20-0311.1 · Cited by 114
Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning
Sippel, S., Meinshausen, N., Merrifield, A. L., Lehner, F., Pendergrass, A. G., Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0882.1 · Cited by 113
The Mean State and Variability of the North Atlantic Circulation: A Perspective From Ocean Reanalyses
Jackson, L. C., Dubois, C., Forget, G., Haines, K., Harrison, M., Iovino, D., Köhl, A., Mignac, D., Masina, S., Peterson, K. A., et al. (2019) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1029/2019jc015210 · Cited by 101
Self-citation
Climatology, variability, and trends in near‐surface wind speeds over the North Atlantic and Europe during 1979–2018 based on ERA5
Laurila, T. K., Sinclair, V. A., & Gregow, H. (2020) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.6957 · Cited by 105
Drivers and impacts of water level fluctuations in the Mississippi River delta: Implications for delta restoration
Hiatt, M., Snedden, G. A., Day, J. W., Rohli, R. V., Nyman, J. A., Lane, R. R., & Sharp, L. A. (2019) · Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science · doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2019.04.020 · Cited by 98
A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming
Haustein, K., Otto, F. E. L., Venema, V., Jacobs, P., Cowtan, K. D., Hausfather, Z., Way, R. G., White, B. A., Subramanian, A. C., & Schurer, A. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0555.1 · Cited by 99
Reconciling roles of sulphate aerosol forcing and internal variability in Atlantic multidecadal climate changes
Watanabe, M., & Tatebe, H. (2019) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04811-3 · Cited by 95
Long‐Term SST Variability on the Northwest Atlantic Continental Shelf and Slope
Chen, Z., Kwon, Y., Chen, K., Fratantoni, P., Gawarkiewicz, G. G., & Joyce, T. M. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2019gl085455 · Cited by 92
Annually resolved Atlantic sea surface temperature variability over the past 2,900 y
Lapointe, F., Bradley, R. S., Francus, P., Balascio, N. L., Abbott, M. B., Stoner, J. S., St‐Onge, G., Coninck, A. D., & Labarre, T. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2014166117 · Cited by 87
Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920
Qin, M., Dai, A., & Hua, W. (2020) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abb0425 · Cited by 80
Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870
Qin, M., Dai, A., & Hua, W. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl089504 · Cited by 73
The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing in the 1850–1985 Strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 Historical Simulations
Robson, J. I., Menary, M. B., Sutton, R. T., Mecking, J., Gregory, J. M., Jones, C., Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P., & Wilcox, L. J. (2022) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-22-0124.1 · Cited by 78
Self-citation
Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005–2016
Robson, J. I., Sutton, R. T., Archibald, A. T., Cooper, F., Christensen, M. W., Gray, L. J., Holliday, N. P., MacIntosh, C. R., McMillan, M., Moat, B. I., et al. (2018) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.5815 · Cited by 60
Self-citation
Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection
Omrani, N., Keenlyside, N. S., Matthes, K., Boljka, L., Zanchettin, D., Jungclaus, J. H., & Lubis, S. W. (2022) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00275-1 · Cited by 59
Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study
Ruprich‐Robert, Y., Moreno‐Chamarro, E., Levine, X. J., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F. S., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., et al. (2021) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5 · Cited by 56
Self-citation
North Atlantic oscillation controls multidecadal changes in the North Tropical Atlantic−Pacific connection
Ding, R., Nnamchi, H. C., Yu, J., Li, T., Sun, C. J., Li, J., Tseng, Y., Li, X., Xie, F., Feng, J., et al. (2023) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36564-3 · Cited by 67
Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: A Multimodel View from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project
Ruggieri, P., Bellucci, A., Nicolì, D., Athanasiadis, P., Gualdi, S., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F. S., Gokhan Danabasoglu, C., Davini, P., Dunstone, N., et al. (2020) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-19-0981.1 · Cited by 50
Do CMIP5 Models Reproduce Observed Low‐Frequency North Atlantic Jet Variability?
Bracegirdle, T. J., Lu, H., Eade, R., & Woollings, T. J. (2018) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2018gl078965 · Cited by 48
A Multivariate AMV Index and Associated Discrepancies Between Observed and CMIP5 Externally Forced AMV
Yan, X., Zhang, R., & Knutson, T. R. (2019) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2019gl082787 · Cited by 46
Little Ice Age abruptly triggered by intrusion of Atlantic waters into the Nordic Seas
Lapointe, F., & Bradley, R. S. (2021) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abi8230 · Cited by 43
Multidecadal modulations of key metrics of global climate change
Johnson, N. C., Amaya, D. J., Ding, Q., Kosaka, Y., Tokinaga, H., & Xie, S. (2020) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103149 · Cited by 42
Two regimes of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation: cross-basin dependent or Atlantic-intrinsic
Lin, P., Yu, Z., Lü, J., Ding, M., Hu, A., & Liu, H. (2019) · 中国科学通报：英文版 · doi:10.1016/j.scib.2018.12.027 · Cited by 41
Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study
Ortega, P., Robson, J. I., Menary, M. B., Sutton, R. T., Blaker, A. T., Germe, A., Hirschi, J., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L., & Yeager, S. G. (2021) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-12-419-2021 · Cited by 40
Self-citation
Observation-based estimates of heat and freshwater exchanges from the subtropical North Atlantic to the Arctic
Li, F., Lozier, M. S., Holliday, N. P., Johns, W. E., Bras, I. A.-A. L., Moat, B. I., Cunningham, S. A., & de Jong, M. F. (2021) · Progress In Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102640 · Cited by 38
Warming Pattern over the Northern Hemisphere Midlatitudes in Boreal Summer 1979–2020
Teng, H., Leung, L.-Y. R., Branstator, G. W., Lu, J., & Ding, Q. (2022) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0437.1 · Cited by 46
Mechanisms for Late 20th and Early 21st Century Decadal AMOC Variability
Megann, A. P., Blaker, A. T., Josey, S. A., New, A. L., & Sinha, B. (2021) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1029/2021jc017865 · Cited by 43
Self-citation
Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Reconstruction of the Last Millennium Using Online Data Assimilation
Perkins, W. A., & Hakim, G. J. (2021) · Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · doi:10.1029/2020pa003959 · Cited by 36
The Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation
Lin, J., & Qian, T. (2022) · ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN · doi:10.1080/07055900.2022.2086847 · Cited by 35
Effect of atmospheric circulation on recent temperature changes in Finland
Räisänen, J. (2019) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04890-2 · Cited by 30
The joint impacts of Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal variability on South American precipitation and temperature
He, Z., Dai, A., & Vuille, M. (2021) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0081.1 · Cited by 30
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Drives Interdecadal Pacific Variability via Tropical Atmospheric Bridge
An, X., Wu, B., Zhou, T., & Liu, B. (2021) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0983.1 · Cited by 29
The Evaluation of the North Atlantic Climate System in UKESM1 Historical Simulations for CMIP6
Robson, J. I., Aksenov, Y., Bracegirdle, T. J., Dimdore‐Miles, O., Griffiths, P. T., Grosvenor, D. P., Hodson, D., Keeble, J., MacIntosh, C. R., Megann, A. P., et al. (2020) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2020ms002126 · Cited by 29
Self-citation
Local and Remote Influences on the Heat Content of the Labrador Sea: An Adjoint Sensitivity Study
Jones, D. C., Forget, G., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Boland, E., Meijers, A., & Shuckburgh, E. F. (2018) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1002/2018jc013774 · Cited by 29
Self-citation
Insights into Decadal North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature and Ocean Heat Content Variability from an Eddy-Permitting Coupled Climate Model
Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Robson, J. I., Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N. P., McCarthy, G., New, A. L., & Hirschi, J. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0709.1 · Cited by 27
Self-citation
Early‐to‐Late Winter 20th Century North Atlantic Multidecadal Atmospheric Variability in Observations, CMIP5 and CMIP6
Bracegirdle, T. J. (2022) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2022gl098212 · Cited by 26
Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK
Harvey, B. J., Hawkins, E., & Sutton, R. T. (2023) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.8095 · Cited by 24
Self-citation
Revisiting climate impacts of an AMOC slowdown: dependence on freshwater locations in the North Atlantic
Ma, Q., Shi, X., Scholz, P., Sidorenko, D., Lohmann, G., & Ionita-Scholz, M. (2024) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.adr3243 · Cited by 23
Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations
Robson, J. I., Sutton, R. T., Menary, M. B., & Lai, M. W. K. (2023) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2022.0194 · Cited by 22
Self-citation
Projected increase in the frequency of extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasons
Lopez, H., Lee, S., West, R., Kim, D., Foltz, G. R., Alaka, G. J., & Murakami, H. (2024) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.adq7856 · Cited by 23
Decadal Dynamics of the CO2 System and Associated Ocean Acidification in Coastal Ecosystems of the North East Atlantic Ocean
Gac, J., Marrec, P., Cariou, T., Grosstefan, E., Macé, É., Rimmelin-Maury, P., Vernet, M., & Bozec, Y. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.688008 · Cited by 21
Mechanisms of Internal Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in HadGEM3-GC3.1 at Two Different Resolutions
Lai, M., Robson, J. I., Wilcox, L. J., & Dunstone, N. (2021) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0281.1 · Cited by 20
Self-citation
Past long-term summer warming over western Europe in new generation climate models: role of large-scale atmospheric circulation
Boé, J., Terray, L., Moine, M., Valcke, S., Bellucci, A., Drijfhout, S., Haarsma, R., Lohmann, K., Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C. D., et al. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a89 · Cited by 20
An Investigation of the Ocean’s Role in Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
Li, L., Lozier, M. S., & Buckley, M. W. (2020) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-19-0236.1 · Cited by 19
Evolving AMOC multidecadal variability under different CO2 forcings
Ma, X., Liu, W., Burls, N., Chen, C., Cheng, J., Huang, G., & Li, X. (2021) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05730-y · Cited by 19
Development, intercomparison, and evaluation of an improved mechanism for the oxidation of dimethyl sulfide in the UKCA model
Cala, B. A., Archer‐Nicholls, S., Weber, J., Abraham, N. L., Griffiths, P. T., Jacob, L., Shin, Y. M., Revell, L. E., Woodhouse, M. T., & Archibald, A. T. (2023) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-23-14735-2023 · Cited by 17
Self-citation
Interconnectivity Between Volume Transports Through Arctic Straits
Boer, A. M. D., Pascual‐Ahuir, E. G., Stevens, D. P., Chafik, L., Hutchinson, D. K., Zhang, Q., Sime, L. C., & Willmott, A. J. (2018) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1029/2018jc014320 · Cited by 17
The role of Amazon river runoff on the multidecadal variability of the Atlantic ITCZ
Sharif, J., Vinayachandran, P. N. M., & Nanjundiah, R. S. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab7c8a · Cited by 19
Revisiting AMOC Transport Estimates From Observations and Models
Gokhan Danabasoglu, C., Castruccio, F. S., Small, J., Tomas, R. A., Frajka-Williams, E. E., & Lankhorst, M. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2021gl093045 · Cited by 17
Robust and Nonrobust Aspects of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Variability and Mechanisms in the Community Earth System Model
Gokhan Danabasoglu, C., Landrum, L., Yeager, S. G., & Gent, P. R. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-19-0026.1 · Cited by 16
Droughts and Mega-Droughts
Lin, J., Qian, T., & Schubert, S. D. (2022) · ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN · doi:10.1080/07055900.2022.2086848 · Cited by 16
Thermodynamic effect dictates influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on Eurasia winter temperature
Wang, H., Zuo, Z., Zhang, R., Peng, L., Zhang, K., Chen, D., Xiao, D., You, Q., Dai, G., Zhang, R., et al. (2024) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00686-2 · Cited by 15
Impact of Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age on the Labrador Current flow speed and the AMOC reconstructed by the sediment dynamics and biomarker proxies
Rashid, H., Zhang, Z., Piper, D. J. W., Patro, R., & Xu, Y. (2023) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2023.111558 · Cited by 14
Seasonal, interannual and decadal variability of tropospheric ozone in the North Atlantic: comparison of UM-UKCA and remote sensing observations for 2005–2018
Russo, M. R., Kerridge, B. J., Abraham, N. L., Keeble, J., Latter, B. G., Siddans, R., Weber, J., Griffiths, P. T., Pyle, J. A., & Archibald, A. T. (2023) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-23-6169-2023 · Cited by 14
Self-citation
Tropical Cyclones
Lin, J., Qian, T., & Klotzbach, P. J. (2022) · ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN · doi:10.1080/07055900.2022.2086849 · Cited by 13
20th‐Century hurricanes leave long‐lasting legacies on tropical forest height and the abundance of a dominant wind‐resistant palm
Uriarte, M., Tang, C., Morton, D. C., Zimmerman, J. K., & Zheng, T. (2023) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.10776 · Cited by 12
Subpolar Gyre – AMOC – Atmosphere Interactions on Multidecadal Timescales in a Version of the Kiel Climate Model
Sun, J., Latif, M., & Park, W. (2021) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0725.1 · Cited by 13
Airborne observations over the North Atlantic Ocean reveal the importance of gas-phase urea in the atmosphere
Matthews, E., Bannan, T. J., Khan, M. A. H., Shallcross, D. E., Stark, H. J., Browne, E. C., Archibald, A. T., Mehra, A., Bauguitte, S. J.-B., Reed, C., et al. (2023) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2218127120 · Cited by 12
Self-citation
Climatology of Air Temperature in Belterra: Thermal Regulation Ecosystem Services Provided by the Tapajós National Forest in the Amazon
Martorano, L. G., Soares, W. B., de Moraes, J. R. D. S. C., Nascimento, W., Aparecido, L. E. D. O., & Villa, P. M. (2021) · Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia · doi:10.1590/0102-77863620015 · Cited by 11
Multidecadal Variability in Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperature and Its Sources
Yan, X., & Tang, Y. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl091814 · Cited by 10
Decadal Predictability of the North Atlantic Eddy‐Driven Jet in Winter
Marcheggiani, A., Robson, J. I., Monerie, P., Bracegirdle, T. J., & Smith, D. M. (2023) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2022gl102071 · Cited by 9
Self-citation
Ocean Heat Convergence and North Atlantic Multidecadal Heat Content Variability
Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Berry, D. I., Drijfhout, S., Fraser, N., Hermanson, L., Jones, D. C., Josey, S. A., King, B., MacIntosh, C. R., et al. (2024) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-23-0370.1 · Cited by 9
Self-citation
Sea Surface Temperature Variability on the SE‐Greenland Shelf (1796–2013 CE) and Its Influence on Thrym Glacier in Nørre Skjoldungesund
Wangner, D. J., Sicre, M., Kjeldsen, K. K., Jaeger, J. M., Bjørk, A. A., Vermassen, F., Sha, L., Kjær, K. H., Klein, V., & Andresen, C. S. (2019) · Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · doi:10.1029/2019pa003692 · Cited by 8
Evolution characteristics of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and its thermodynamic and dynamic effects on surface air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere
Wang, H., Zuo, Z., Zhang, K., Bu, L., & Xiao, D. (2023) · Science China Earth Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11430-022-1102-y · Cited by 9
Impact of the Atlantic multidecadal variability on East Asian summer climate in idealized simulations
Si, D., & Yu, L. (2023) · Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters · doi:10.1016/j.aosl.2023.100399 · Cited by 7
Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability
Dong, B., Aksenov, Y., Colfescu, I., Harvey, B. J., Hirschi, J., Josey, S. A., Lu, H., Mecking, J., Oltmanns, M., Osprey, S., et al. (2025) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-025-07591-1 · Cited by 11
Self-citation
Role of Ocean Initialization in Skillful Prediction of Sahel Rainfall on the Decadal Time Scale
He, Y., Wang, B., Li, L., Liu, J., Wang, Y., & Li, F. (2022) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0729.1 · Cited by 8
Counteracting Contributions of the Upper and Lower Meridional Overturning Limbs to the North Atlantic Nutrient Budgets: Enhanced Imbalance in 2010
Carracedo, L. I., Mercier, H., McDonagh, E. L., Rosón, G., SANDERS, R. J., Moore, C. M., Torres‐Valdés, S., Brown, P. J., Lherminier, P., & Pérez, F. F. (2021) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/2020gb006898 · Cited by 7
Decomposition of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a Historical Climate Simulation
Colfescu, I., & Schneider, E. K. (2020) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0180.1 · Cited by 7
Accelerated North Atlantic surface warming reshapes the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
Zanchettin, D., & Rubino, A. (2024) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01804-x · Cited by 6
Deep Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
Yang, J., Li, J., & An, Q. (2024) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2023gl106367 · Cited by 6
Data supporting the North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS) programme, including atmospheric composition; oceanographic and sea-ice observations (2016–2022); and output from ocean, atmosphere, land, and sea-ice models (1950–2050)
Archibald, A. T., Sinha, B., Russo, M. R., Matthews, E., Squires, F., Abraham, N. L., Bauguitte, S. J.-B., Bannan, T. J., Bell, T. G., Berry, D. I., et al. (2025) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-17-135-2025 · Cited by 6
Self-citation
Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages
Bracegirdle, T. J., Lu, H., & Robson, J. I. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f · Cited by 6
Self-citation
Assessment of the Decadal Prediction Skill of Sahel Rainfall in CMIP5 and CMIP6
He, Y., Wang, B., Liu, J., Wang, Y., Li, L., Liu, L., Xu, S., Huang, W., & Lu, H. M. (2024) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-23-0051.1 · Cited by 6
Modeling the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: The High-Resolution Ocean Brings the Timescale; the Atmosphere, the Amplitude
Hao, X., Sein, D., Spiegl, T., Niu, L., Chen, X., & Lohmann, G. (2025) · Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Research · doi:10.34133/olar.0085 · Cited by 5
Energy Transfers between Multidecadal and Turbulent Variability
Hochet, A., Huck, T., Arzel, O., Sévellec, F., & de Verdière, A. C. (2021) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0136.1 · Cited by 7
An Atmospheric Bridge Between the Subpolar and Tropical Atlantic Regions: A Perplexing Asymmetric Teleconnection
Baek, S. H., Kushnir, Y., Robinson, W. A., Lora, J. M., Lee, D. E., & Ting, M. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2021gl096602 · Cited by 4
Multiproxy Reconstruction of Pliocene North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Implications for Rainfall in North Africa
Wycech, J. B., Rajagopalan, B., Molnár, P., Gill, E. C., & Marchitto, T. M. (2022) · Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · doi:10.1029/2022pa004424 · Cited by 4
The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
Börgel, F., Gröger, M., Meier, H. E. M., Dutheil, C., Radtke, H., & Borchert, L. (2023) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00373-8 · Cited by 4
Internal Multidecadal and Interdecadal Climate Oscillations: Absence of Evidence Is No Evidence of Absence
Müller-Plath, G. (2020) · Frontiers in Earth Science · doi:10.3389/feart.2020.559337 · Cited by 4
North Atlantic Ocean–Originated Multicentennial Oscillation of the AMOC: A Coupled Model Study
Yang, K., Yang, H., Li, Y., & Zhang, Q. (2024) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-23-0422.1 · Cited by 3
Simulated and observed transport estimates across the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) sections
Gokhan Danabasoglu, C., Castruccio, F. S., Boza, B., Barthel, A. M., Arne Biastoch, B., Blaker, A. T., Bozec, A., Bruciaferri, D., Bryan, F. O., Chassignet, E. P., et al. (2026) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-19-5071-2026 · Cited by 2
Development, intercomparison and evaluation of an improved mechanism for the oxidation of dimethyl sulfide in the UKCA modelPreprint
Cala, B. A., Archer‐Nicholls, S., Weber, J., Abraham, N. L., Griffiths, P. T., Jacob, L., Shin, Y. M., Revell, L. E., Woodhouse, M. T., & Archibald, A. T. (2023) · doi:10.5194/acp-2023-42 · Cited by 2
Self-citation
Decadal variability of the Indian Ocean and its predictability
Tozuka, T., Dong, L. D., Han, W., Lengaigne, M., & Zhang, L. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-822698-8.00014-7 · Cited by 1
The Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in Observations and in a Large Historical Multimodel Ensemble: Forced and Internal Variability
Christiansen, B., Yang, S., & Drews, A. (2025) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-24-0310.1 · Cited by 1
DAMV: a symbiotic fingerprint of AMV unveiled from the deep Atlantic
Yang, J., Li, J., An, Q., & Hermanson, L. (2026) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-026-08134-y · Cited by 1
The impact of model resolution on the North Atlantic multidecadal response to anthropogenic sulphate aerosols
Lai, W. K. M., Robson, J. I., Wilcox, L. J., Dunstone, N., & Sutton, R. (2026) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-26-11255-2026 · Cited by 1
Self-citation
A Comprehensive and Adaptive Trust Model for Large-Scale P2P Networks
李小勇, & 桂小林 (2009) · Journal of Computer Science and Technology · Cited by 1
大西洋经向翻转环流的演变特征及其对北半球地表气温的热动力影响
王, 欢., Zuo, Z., 张, 楷., 步, 露., & 肖, 栋. (2023) · SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae · doi:10.1360/sste-2022-0402 · Cited by 1
Internal Ocean Dynamics Contribution to North Atlantic Interdecadal Variability Strengthened by Ocean–Atmosphere Thermal Coupling
Arzel, O., Huck, T., Hochet, A., & Mussa, A. (2022) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-22-0191.1 · Cited by 1
Impacts of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the Tropical Pacific: a multi-model study
Ruprich‐Robert, Y., & the AMV - Tropical Pacific study team (2021) · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3477 · Cited by 1
LONG-TERM VARIABILITY OF CURRENTS IN THE SUBARCTIC FRONT OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
Амбросимов, А. К., Diansky, N. A., Kluvitkin, A. A., & Melnikov, V. A. (2019) · Journal of Oceanological Research · doi:10.29006/1564-2291.jor-2019.47(2).15

Authors: Sutton, R. T., McCarthy, G. D., Robson, J., Sinha, B., Archibald, A. T., & Gray, L. J.
Affiliations: National University of Ireland, Maynooth (IE)
National Centre for Atmospheric Science (GB)
National Oceanography Centre (GB)
University of Oxford (GB)
Corresponding author: Sutton, R. T.
McCarthy, G. D.
Archibald, A. T.
ORCID: Sutton, R. T.
McCarthy, G. D.
Robson, J.
Sinha, B.
Archibald, A. T.
Gray, L. J.
Venue: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Published: 2018-02-01
Volume: 99
Issue: 2
Pages: 415-425
ISSN: 0003-0007 (ISSN-L)
1520-0477
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-16-0266.1
OpenAlex: W2736014213
Cited by: 117
References: 46
Citations by year: 2026: 5 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 4
FWCI: 7.01
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Licence: www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses (vor, 25 d)
Locations: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (publishedVersion)
Maynooth University ePrints and eTheses Archive (Maynooth University) (acceptedVersion)
ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (acceptedVersion)
NERC Open Research Archive (Natural Environment Research Council) (acceptedVersion)
CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion)
Apollo
Funders: Natural Environment Research Council (ncas10009, NE/P006779/1, NE/N018044/1, NE/N018028/1, noc010010, NE/N006038/1, noc010012, NE/N010965/1, NE/N006054/1, NE/N018001/1)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Keywords: Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, North Atlantic sea surface temperature, ocean circulation, ocean heat content, radiative forcing, climate change attribution, decadal variability, climate predictability, Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the U.K. ACSIS Program

Abstract

Overview

Integrity signals

Verification

Claims the paper makes

Claims other papers make about this one

Self-check

Citations

Cites

Cited by

Related

Metadata

Record

About these checks