The DOI matches its Crossref record; 62 of the 62 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Double-ITCZ Problem in IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs: Ocean–Atmosphere Feedback Analysis
Abstract
This study examines the double–intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) problem in the coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) participating in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). The twentieth-century climate simulations of 22 IPCC AR4 CGCMs are analyzed, together with the available Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) runs from 12 of them. To understand the physical mechanisms for the double-ITCZ problem, the main ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, including the zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient–trade wind feedback (or Bjerknes feedback), the SST–surface latent heat flux (LHF) feedback, and the SST–surface shortwave flux (SWF) feedback, are studied in detail. The results show that most of the current state-of-the-art CGCMs have some degree of the double-ITCZ problem, which is characterized by excessive precipitation over much of the Tropics (e.g., Northern Hemisphere ITCZ, South Pacific convergence zone, Maritime Continent, and equatorial Indian Ocean), and are often associated with insufficient precipitation over the equatorial Pacific. The excessive precipitation over much of the Tropics usually causes overly strong trade winds, excessive LHF, and insufficient SWF, leading to significant cold SST bias in much of the tropical oceans. Most of the models also simulate insufficient latitudinal asymmetry in precipitation and SST over the eastern Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. The AMIP runs also produce excessive precipitation over much of the Tropics, including the equatorial Pacific, which also leads to overly strong trade winds, excessive LHF, and insufficient SWF. This suggests that the excessive tropical precipitation is an intrinsic error of the atmospheric models, and that the insufficient equatorial Pacific precipitation in the coupled runs of many models comes from ocean–atmosphere feedback. Feedback analysis demonstrates that the insufficient equatorial Pacific precipitation in different models is associated with one or more of the following three biases in ocean–atmosphere feedback over the equatorial Pacific: 1) excessive Bjerknes feedback, which is caused by excessive sensitivity of precipitation to SST and overly strong time-mean surface wind speed; 2) overly positive SST–LHF feedback, which is caused by excessive sensitivity of surface air humidity to SST; and 3) insufficient SST–SWF feedback, which is caused by insufficient sensitivity of cloud amount to precipitation. Off the equator over the eastern Pacific stratus region, most of the models produce insufficient stratus–SST feedback associated with insufficient sensitivity of stratus cloud amount to SST, which may contribute to the insufficient latitudinal asymmetry of SST in their coupled runs. These results suggest that the double-ITCZ problem in CGCMs may be alleviated by reducing the excessive tropical precipitation and the above feedback-relevant errors in the atmospheric models.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woollen, J., et al. (1996) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:tnyrp>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 28,360
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., & Kaplan, A. (2003) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2002jd002670 · Cited by 10,991
Adler, R. F., Huffman, G. J., Chang, A. T. C., Ferraro, R. R., Xie, P., Janowiak, J. E., Rudolf, B., Schneider, U., Curtis, S., Bolvin, D. T., et al. (2003) · Journal of Hydrometeorology · doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1147:tvgpcp>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 5,425
A Comprehensive Mass Flux Scheme for Cumulus Parameterization in Large-Scale Models
Tiedtke, M. (1989) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1989)117<1779:acmfsf>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 3,648
ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS FROM THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC1
BJERKNES, J. (1969) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1969)097<0163:atftep>2.3.co;2 · Cited by 3,551
Interaction of a Cumulus Cloud Ensemble with the Large-Scale Environment, Part I
Arakawa, A., & Schubert, W. H. (1974) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1974)031<0674:ioacce>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 2,481
Peixoto, J. P., & Oort, A. H. (1992) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 1,943
Zhang, G. J., & McFarlane, N. A. (1995) · Atmosphere-Ocean · doi:10.1080/07055900.1995.9649539 · Cited by 1,878
The Seasonal Cycle of Low Stratiform Clouds
Klein, S. A., & Hartmann, D. L. (1993) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<1587:tscols>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,606
Lindzen, R. S., & Nigam, S. (1987) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1987)044<2418:otross>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,466
Peixoto, J. P., Oort, A. H., Covey, C., & Taylor, K. (1992) · Physics Today · doi:10.1063/1.2809772 · Cited by 1,198
Zhang, Y., Rossow, W. B., Lacis, A. A., Oinas, V., & Mishchenko, M. I. (2004) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2003jd004457 · Cited by 1,125
A Scheme for Representing Cumulus Convection in Large-Scale Models
Emanuel, K. A. (1991) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1991)048<2313:asfrcc>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,067
Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert. A Parameterization of Moist Convection for General Circulation Models
Moorthi, S., & Suarez, M. J. (1992) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1992)120<0978:rasapo>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,041
Improved Extended Reconstruction of SST (1854–1997)
Smith, T. M., & Reynolds, R. W. (2004) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2466:ieros>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,031
A coupled ocean-atmosphere model of relevance to the ITCZ in the eastern Pacific
Xie, S., & Philander, S. G. (1994) · Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography · doi:10.1034/j.1600-0870.1994.t01-1-00001.x · Cited by 1,030
Neelin, J. D., Battisti, D. S., Hirst, A. C., Jin, F., Wakata, Y., Yamagata, T., & Zebiak, S. E. (1998) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans · doi:10.1029/97jc03424 · Cited by 944
Gregory, D., & Rowntree, P. R. (1990) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1990)118<1483:amfcsw>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 900
A new convective adjustment scheme. Part I: Observational and theoretical basis
Betts, A. K. (1986) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49711247307 · Cited by 786
Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in 14 IPCC AR4 Climate Models. Part I: Convective Signals
Lin, J.-L., Kiladis, G. N., Mapes, B. E., Weickmann, K. M., Sperber, K. R., Lin, W., Wheeler, M. C., Schubert, S. D., Del Genio, A., Donner, L. J., et al. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3735.1 · Cited by 742
Self-citationRamanathan, V., & Collins, W. (1991) · Nature · doi:10.1038/351027a0 · Cited by 741
Clement, A. C., Seager, R., Cane, M. A., & Zebiak, S. E. (1996) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2190:aodt>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 603
The Seasonal Cycle over the Tropical Pacific in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models
Mechoso, C. R., Robertson, A. W., Barth, N., Davey, M. K., Delecluse, P., Gent, P. R., Ineson, S., Kirtman, B., Latif, M., Treut, H. L., et al. (1995) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1995)123<2825:tscott>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 560
Why the ITCZ Is Mostly North of the Equator
Philander, S. G. H., Gu, D., Lambert, G., Li, T., Halpern, D., Lau, N.-C., & Pacanowski, R. C. (1996) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2958:wtiimn>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 527
Thermostats, Radiator Fins, and the Local Runaway Greenhouse
Pierrehumbert, R. T. (1995) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<1784:trfatl>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 472
Cloud Clusters and Large-Scale Vertical Motions in the Tropics
Houze, Jr. (1982) · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II · doi:10.2151/jmsj1965.60.1_396 · Cited by 454
STOIC: a study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions.
M., D., M., H., K., S., P., B., F., B., D., C., R., C., C., C., U., C., P., D., et al. (2002) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0188-6 · Cited by 351
Lindzen, R. S. (1974) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1974)031<0156:wcitt>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 339
A coupled atmosphere‐ocean model for transient climate change studies
Russell, G. L., Miller, J. R., & Rind, D. (1995) · Atmosphere-Ocean · doi:10.1080/07055900.1995.9649550 · Cited by 323
Peruvian Stratus Clouds and the Tropical Pacific Circulation: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM Study
Ma, C.-C., Mechoso, C. R., Robertson, A. W., & Arakawa, A. (1996) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<1635:pscatt>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 304
A Simple Parameterization of the Large-Scale Effects of Cumulus Convection
Bougeault, P. (1985) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1985)113<2108:aspotl>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 302
ENSIP: the El Niño simulation intercomparison project
Latif, M., Sperber, K., Arblaster, J., Braconnot, P., Chen, D., Colman, A., Cubasch, U., Cooper, C., Delecluse, P., Dewitt, D., et al. (2001) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820100174 · Cited by 279
Meehl, G. A., Covey, C., McAvaney, B. J., Latif, M., & Stouffer, R. J. (2005) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-86-1-89 · Cited by 271
The Equatorial 30-60 day Oscillation and the Arakawa-Schubert Penetrative Cumulus Parameterization
Tokioka, T., Yamazaki, K., Kitoh, A., & Ose, T. (1988) · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II · doi:10.2151/jmsj1965.66.6_883 · Cited by 254
A cumulus parameterization with a prognostic closure
Pan, D., & Randall, D. D. A. (1998) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49712454714 · Cited by 251
Zipser, E. J. (1969) · Journal of applied meteorology · Cited by 247
Brown, R. G., & Zhang, C. (1997) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1997)054<2760:vommai>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 247
Reducing Climatology Bias in an Ocean–Atmosphere CGCM with Improved Coupling Physics
Luo, J.-J., Masson, S., Roeckner, E., Madec, G., & Yamagata, T. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3404.1 · Cited by 238
Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, the Pacific Cold Tongue, and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Jin, F. (1996) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.274.5284.76 · Cited by 218
Dynamic Ocean-Atmosphere Coupling: A Thermostat for the Tropics
Sun, D.-Z., & Liu, Z. (1996) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.272.5265.1148 · Cited by 195
Tropical air-sea interaction in general circulation models
Neelin, J. D., Latif, M., Allaart, M. A. F., Cane, M. A., Cubasch, U., Gates, W. L., Gent, P. R., Ghil, M., Gordon, C., Lau, N. C., et al. (1992) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/bf00209610 · Cited by 185
Large-Scale Effects on the Regulation of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature
Hartmann, D. L., & Michelsen, M. L. (1993) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<2049:lseotr>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 170
Effect of deep convection on the regulation of tropical sea surface temperature
Wallace, J. M. (1992) · Nature · doi:10.1038/357230a0 · Cited by 159
Yu, J., & Mechoso, C. R. (1999) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3305:lbavop>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 143
Efficient Cumulus Parameterization for Long-Term Climate Studies: The GISS Scheme
DelGenio, A. D., & Yao, M. (1993) · American Meteorological Society eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-935704-13-3_18 · Cited by 134
The Shape of Continents, Air-Sea Interaction, and the Rising Branch of the Hadley Circulation
Xie, S. (2004) · Advances in global change research · doi:10.1007/978-1-4020-2944-8_5 · Cited by 126
Climatic Properties of Tropical Precipitating Convection under Varying Environmental Conditions
C, A. D. D. G., & Kovari, W. (2002) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2597:cpotpc>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 124
Westward Propagation of Latitudinal Asymmetry in a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model
Xie, S. (1996) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · Cited by 108
Preferred Latitudes of the Intertropical Convergence Zone
Waliser, D. E., & Somerville, R. C. J. (1994) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · Cited by 104
On Boundary Layer Dynamics and the ITCZ
Holton, J. R., Wallace, J. M., & Young, J. A. (1971) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · Cited by 102
Toward mitigating the double ITCZ problem in NCAR CCSM3
Zhang, G. J., & Wang, H. (2006) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2005gl025229 · Cited by 101
Coupled general circulation modeling of the tropical Pacific
Delécluse, P., Davey, M. K., Kitamura, Y., Philander, S. G., Suárez, M. J., & Bengtsson, L. O. (1998) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/97jc02546 · Cited by 97
Importance of Cumulus Parameterization for Precipitation Simulation over East Asia in June.
Emori, S., Nozawa, T., Numaguti, A., & Uno, I. (2001) · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II · doi:10.2151/jmsj.79.939 · Cited by 94
Multiple Quasi Equilibria of the ITCZ and the Origin of Monsoon Onset
Chao, W. C. (2000) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · Cited by 79
Understanding Differences between the Equatorial Pacific as Simulated by Two Coupled GCMs
Schneider, E. K. (2002) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0449:udbtep>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 79
Tropical Sensitivity of a Coupled Model to Specified ISCCP Low Clouds
Gordon, C. T., Rosati, A., & Gudgel, R. (2000) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2239:tsoacm>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 76
Climate and the Tropical Oceans*
Clement, A., & Seager, R. (1999) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3383:catto>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 74
Peters, M. E., & Bretherton, C. S. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3534.1 · Cited by 65
Xie, S., & Saito, K. (2001) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<1262:favoan>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 57
Diagnosis of the Surface Momentum Balance over the Tropical Pacific Ocean
Deser, C. (1993) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<0064:dotsmb>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 49
Effect of shallow cumulus convection on the eastern Pacific climate in a coupled model
de Szoeke, S. P., Wang, Y., Xie, S., & Miyama, T. (2006) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2006gl026715 · Cited by 40
Beljaars (1997) · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010
Cited by
Drought under global warming: a review
Dai, A. (2011) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.81 · Cited by 3,523
The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño
Collins, M., An, S.-I., Cai, W., Ganachaud, A., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Jochum, M., Lengaigne, M., Power, S., Timmermann, A., et al. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo868 · Cited by 1,230
Bentsen, M., Bethke, I., Debernard, J. B., Iversen, T., Kirkevåg, A., Seland, Ø., Drange, H., Roelandt, C., Seierstad, I. A., Hoose, C., et al. (2013) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-6-687-2013 · Cited by 1,084
Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000.
Durack, P. J., Wijffels, S. E., & Matear, R. J. (2012) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1212222 · Cited by 1,070
Schneider, T., Lan, S., Stuart, A., & Teixeira, J. (2017) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2017gl076101 · Cited by 391
Metadata
- Authors
- Lin, J.-L.
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2007-09-15
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 18
- Pages
- 4497-4525
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W2158626702
- Cited by
- 594
- References
- 62
- FWCI
- 19.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.