The DOI matches its Crossref record; 64 of the 65 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Does Conflict Beget Conflict? Explaining Recurring Civil War
Abstract
This article attempts to explain why some countries experience civil wars while others do not. It argues that renewed war is likely to have less to do with the attributes of a previous war, as many people have argued, than with current incentives individual citizens have to rejoin a rebel group. Civil wars will have little chance to get off the ground unless individual farmers, shopkeepers, and potential workers choose to enlist in the rebel armies that are necessary to pursue a war, and enlistment is only likely to be attractive when two conditions hold. The first is a situation of individual hardship or severe dissatisfaction with one’s current situation. The second is the absence of any nonviolent means for change. An analysis of all civil wars ending between 1945 and 1996 suggests that a higher quality of life and greater access to political participation have a significant negative effect on the likelihood of renewed war. Countries that provide higher levels of economic well-being to their citizenry and create an open political system are less likely to experience multiple civil wars regardless of what happened in a previous conflict.
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“actors who have incentives to initiate violence will find the conditions more conducive to radicalization and mobilization in poor, post-conflict societies (22,185).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [185]
In the citing paper
“Grievances are important because they provide rebel leaders with an opportunity to mobilize potential soldiers and supporters who are dissatisfied with the government (Walter 2004, 374-75).”
From Conflict Recurrence and Postconflict Justice: Addressing Motivations and Opportunities for Sustainable Peace (2017) · cites this paper as Walter 2004
In the citing paper
“Recruitment and civilian support, in turn, are essential for the opposition to resume violence against the government as it bolsters their fighting capabilities.”
From Conflict Recurrence and Postconflict Justice: Addressing Motivations and Opportunities for Sustainable Peace (2017) · cites this paper as Walter 2004
Citations
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Research works printed but not linked: 5
- 2001, ‘Civil Wars and Poverty: The Role of External Interventions, Political Rights and Economic Growth’
- 1972, ‘War Power and the Willingness to Suffer’, 167
- 2003, ‘Resources and Rebellion in Aceh, Indonesia’
- 1993, ‘The Causes of Peace’, 235
- 2004, ‘War as a Reputation Problem’
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Metadata
- Authors
- Walter, B. F.
- Affiliations
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Corresponding author
- Walter, Barbara F
- ORCID
- Walter, Barbara F
- Venue
- Journal of Peace Research
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2004-05-01
- Volume
- 41
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 371-388
- ISSN
- 0022-3433 (ISSN-L)
- 1460-3578
- OpenAlex
- W2115057879
- Cited by
- 690
- References
- 65
- Citations by year
- 2026: 30 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 37 · 2023: 52 · 2022: 48 · 2021: 53 · 2020: 41 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 48 · 2017: 33 · 2016: 29 · 2015: 28 · 2014: 31 · 2013: 36 · 2012: 35
- FWCI
- 31.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Peace Research (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Peacebuilding and International Security
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Natural Resources and Economic Development
- Keywords
- civil war recurrence, economic well-being, political participation, quality of life, civil war onset
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