Diagnosing and responding to violations in the positivity assumption
Open accessAbstract
The assumption of positivity or experimental treatment assignment requires that observed treatment levels vary within confounder strata. This article discusses the positivity assumption in the context of assessing model and parameter-specific identifiability of causal effects. Positivity violations occur when certain subgroups in a sample rarely or never receive some treatments of interest. The resulting sparsity in the data may increase bias with or without an increase in variance and can threaten valid inference. The parametric bootstrap is presented as a tool to assess the severity of such threats and its utility as a diagnostic is explored using simulated and real data. Several approaches for improving the identifiability of parameters in the presence of positivity violations are reviewed. Potential responses to data sparsity include restriction of the covariate adjustment set, use of an alternative projection function to define the target parameter within a marginal structural working model, restriction of the sample, and modification of the target intervention. All of these approaches can be understood as trading off proximity to the initial target of inference for identifiability; we advocate approaching this tradeoff systematically.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The impact of the absence of current smokers and women with no prior vaginal birth in the UP group was assessed through sensitivity analyses demonstrating robustness of results.
“was assessed for its impact through sensitivity analyses demonstrating robustness of results.53”
From Hysterectomy versus uterine preservation for pelvic organ prolapse surgery: a prospective cohort study (2025) · cites this paper as [53]
Section 5.2 (page unavailable) examines bootstrap diagnostics in an HIV resistance-mutation analysis, not an UP group. Searches for current smokers, prior vaginal birth, and sensitivity analyses found no passage assessing those absences or demonstrating robustness of the cited results. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
The Elements of Statistical Learning
Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., & Friedman, J. (2009) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-84858-7 · Cited by 25,970 · see citing works
The Elements of Statistical Learning
Hastie, T., Friedman, J., & Tibshirani, R. (2001) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-21606-5 · Cited by 24,162 · see citing works
Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference
Pearl, J. (2009) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511803161 · Cited by 11,653 · see citing works
Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies
Rubin, D. B. (1974) · Journal of Educational Psychology · doi:10.1037/h0037350 · Cited by 9,436 · see citing works
Marginal Structural Models and Causal Inference in Epidemiology
Robins, J. M., Hernán, M. Á., & Brumback, B. (2000) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/00001648-200009000-00011 · Cited by 5,581 · see citing works
Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator: Evidence from evaluating a job training programme
Heckman, J. J., Ichimura, H., & Todd, P. E. (1997) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.2307/2971733 · Cited by 5,486 · see citing works
Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes
van der Vaart, A. W., & Wellner, J. A. (1996) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-2545-2 · Cited by 5,014 · see citing works
CAUSALITY: MODELS, REASONING AND INFERENCE
Hitchcock, C., & Pearl, J. (2001) · The Philosophical Review · doi:10.2307/3182612 · Cited by 4,824 · see citing works
Causality: models, reasoning, and inference
(2000) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.38-1494a · Cited by 2,969 · see citing works
Constructing Inverse Probability Weights for Marginal Structural Models
Cole, S. R., & Hernan, M. A. (2008) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwn164 · Cited by 2,796 · see citing works
Robins, J. (1986) · Mathematical Modelling · doi:10.1016/0270-0255(86)90088-6 · Cited by 2,451 · see citing works
Causal effects in nonexperimental studies: Reevaluating the evaluation of training programs
Dehejia, R. H., & Wahba, S. (1999) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1999.10473858 · Cited by 2,395 · see citing works
UPDATE ON DRUG RESISTANCE MUTATIONS IN HIV-1
&NA; (2001) · Infectious Diseases in Clinical Practice · doi:10.1097/00019048-200106000-00020 · Cited by 1,685 · see citing works
On the Application of Probability Theory to Agricultural Experiments. Essay on Principles. Section 9
Neyman, J., Dabrowska, D. M., & Speed, T. P. (1990) · Statistical Science · doi:10.1214/ss/1177012031 · Cited by 1,616 · see citing works
van der Laan, M. J., Polley, E., & Hubbard, A. (2007) · Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology · doi:10.2202/1544-6115.1309 · Cited by 1,472 · see citing works
Adjusting for Nonignorable Drop-Out Using Semiparametric Nonresponse Models
Scharfstein, D. O., Rotnitzky, A. G., & Robins, J. M. (1999) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1999.10473862 · Cited by 1,021 · see citing works
Targeted Maximum Likelihood Learning
van der Laan, M. J., & Rubin, D. (2006) · The International Journal of Biostatistics · doi:10.2202/1557-4679.1043 · Cited by 842 · see citing works
Causal Effects in Non-Experimental Studies: Re-Evaluating the Evaluation of Training Programs
Dehejia, R., & Wahba, S. (1998) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w6586 · Cited by 821 · see citing works
Rubin, D. B. (1990) · Statistical Science · doi:10.1214/ss/1177012032 · Cited by 665 · see citing works
Marginal Structural Models versus Structural nested Models as Tools for Causal inference
Robins, J. M. (2000) · The IMA volumes in mathematics and its applications · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-1284-3_2 · Cited by 557 · see citing works
Analysis of Covariance: Its Nature and Uses
Cochran, W. G. (1957) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2527916 · Cited by 511 · see citing works
Robins, J. (1987) · Journal of Chronic Diseases · doi:10.1016/s0021-9681(87)80018-8 · Cited by 305 · see citing works
Weighting Regressions by Propensity Scores
Freedman, D. A., & Berk, R. A. (2008) · Evaluation Review · doi:10.1177/0193841x08317586 · Cited by 252 · see citing works
Super Learning: An Application to the Prediction of HIV-1 Drug Resistance
Sinisi, S. E., Polley, E. C., Petersen, M. L., Rhee, S., & van der Laan, M. J. (2007) · Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology · doi:10.2202/1544-6115.1240 · Cited by 238 · see citing works
Self-citationEstimation and extrapolation of optimal treatment and testing strategies
Robins, J., Orellana, L., & Rotnitzky, A. (2008) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.3301 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
van der Laan, M. J., & Dudoit, S. (2003) · Collection of Biostatistics Research Archive · Cited by 205 · see citing works
Rosenblum, M. (2011) · Springer series in statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-9782-1_9 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Causal Effect Models for Realistic Individualized Treatment and Intention to Treat Rules
van der Laan, M. J., & Petersen, M. L. (2007) · The International Journal of Biostatistics · doi:10.2202/1557-4679.1022 · Cited by 175 · see citing works
Self-citationCrump, R. K., Hotz, V. J., Imbens, G. W., & Mitnik, O. A. (2006) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/t0330 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Why prefer double robust estimators in causal inference?
Neugebauer, R. S., & van der Laan, M. J. (2004) · Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference · doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2004.06.060 · Cited by 125 · see citing works
Nonparametric causal effects based on marginal structural models
Neugebauer, R. S., & van der Laan, M. J. (2006) · Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference · doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2005.12.008 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Gruber, S., & van der Laan, M. J. (2010) · The International Journal of Biostatistics · doi:10.2202/1557-4679.1182 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Self-citationKlaassen, C. A. J. (2001) · UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Update of the Drug Resistance Mutations in HIV-1: December 2010
Johnson, V. A., Brun‐Vézinet, F., Clotet, B., et al. (2010) · PubMed · doi:10.5167/uzh-43913 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Causal inference in epidemiological studies with strong confounding
Moore, K. L., Neugebauer, R. S., van der Laan, M. J., & Tager, I. B. (2012) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.4469 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Parameter of a Marginal Structural Model
Rosenblum, M., & van der Laan, M. J. (2010) · The International Journal of Biostatistics · doi:10.2202/1557-4679.1238 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Bembom, O., Petersen, M. L., Rhee, S., Fessel, W. J., Sinisi, S. E., Shafer, R. W., & van der Laan, M. J. (2008) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.3414 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Self-citationWang, Y., Petersen, M. L., Bangsberg, D. R., et al. (2006) · Collection of Biostatistics Research Archive · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Self-citationBembom, O., & van der Laan, M. J. (2008) · Collection of Biostatistics Research Archive · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Bembom, O., & van der Laan, M. J. (2007) · Electronic Journal of Statistics · doi:10.1214/07-ejs105 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Rosenblum, M. A., & van der Laan, M. J. (2009) · The International Journal of Biostatistics · doi:10.2202/1557-4679.1118 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Dawson, R., & Lavori, P. W. (2002) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.1111 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Adjusting for Nonignorable Drop-Out Using Semiparametric Nonresponse Models: Comment
Freedman, D. A. (1999) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2669924 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Data-adaptive Selection Of The Adjustment Set In Variable Importance Estimation
Bembom, O., Fessel, J. W., Shafer, R. W., et al. (2008) · Collection of Biostatistics Research Archive · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Robins, J. M. (2002) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.1110 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- [4]Robins JM Robust estimation in sequentially ignorable missing data and causal inference models Proceedings of the American Statistical Association: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 1999 Alexandria, VA 6 10
- [30]Petersen ML Porter K Gruber S Wang Y van der Laan M Diagnosing and responding to violations in the positivity assumption Technical report, division of Biostatstics 2010 Berkeley Universtiy of California PMC4107929 21030422
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Using Big Data to Emulate a Target Trial When a Randomized Trial Is Not Available: Table 1.
Hernán, M. A., & Robins, J. M. (2016) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwv254 · Cited by 3,115 · see citing works
Improving propensity score estimators’ robustness to model misspecification using super learner.
Pirracchio, R., Petersen, M. L., & van der Laan, M. (2015) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwu253 · Cited by 186 · see citing works
Self-citationSocial Media Use and Depressive Symptoms Among United States Adolescents
Kreski, N., Platt, J., Rutherford, C., Olfson, M., Odgers, C., Schulenberg, J., & Keyes, K. M. (2021) · Journal of Adolescent Health · doi:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2020.07.006 · Cited by 97 · see citing works
Machine Learning in Policy Evaluation: New Tools for Causal Inference
Kreif, N., & DiazOrdaz, K. (2019) · Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance · doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.256 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Eisenberg-Guyot, J., Mooney, S. J., Barrington, W. E., & Hajat, A. (2021) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwaa221 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Brennand, E. A., Scime, N. V., Huang, B., Edwards, A. D., Kim-Fine, S., Hall, J., Birch, C., Robert, M., & Carter Ramirez, A. (2025) · American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology · doi:10.1016/j.ajog.2024.10.021 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
- Authors
- Petersen, M. L., Porter, K. E., Gruber, S., Wang, Y., & van der Laan, M. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Berkeley (US)
- Novartis (United States) (US)
- Division of Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94110-7358, USA.
- Corresponding author
- Petersen, Maya L
- Venue
- Statistical Methods in Medical Research
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2010-10-28
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 31-54
- ISSN
- 0962-2802 (ISSN-L)
- 1477-0334
- PMC
- PMC4107929
- OpenAlex
- W2155169076
- Cited by
- 548
- References
- 45
- Citations by year
- 2026: 52 · 2025: 54 · 2024: 58 · 2023: 51 · 2022: 62 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 51 · 2019: 36 · 2018: 26 · 2017: 18 · 2016: 26 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 8.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Statistical Methods in Medical Research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Collection of Biostatistics Research Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (R01AI074345)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
- Keywords
- positivity assumption, positivity violation, data sparsity, parametric bootstrap, marginal structural models, projection functions, bias-variance trade-off
- MeSH terms
- Computer Simulation, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Humans, Mutation, Models, Statistical, Cohort Studies, HIV Infections, Bias, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Treatment Outcome, Anti-HIV Agents, Drug Resistance, Viral, Biomedical Research, Lopinavir
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review