A Systematic Review of Theory-Driven Evaluation Practice From 1990 to 2009
Abstract
Although the general conceptual basis appeared far earlier, theory-driven evaluation came to prominence only a few decades ago with the appearance of Chen’s 1990 book Theory-Driven Evaluations. Since that time, the approach has attracted many supporters as well as detractors. In this paper, 45 cases of theory-driven evaluations, published over a twenty-year period, are systematically examined to ascertain how closely theory-driven evaluation practices comport with the key tenants of theory-driven evaluation as described and prescribed by prominent theoretical writers. Evidence derived from this review to repudiate or substantiate many of the claims put forth both by critics of and advocates for theory-driven forms of evaluation are presented and an agenda for future research on the approach is recommended.
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Roughly half (21/45) of the theory-driven evaluations found by Coryn et al. were evaluations of health interventions.
“Roughly half (21/45) were evaluations of health interventions [4].”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
Coryn et al. found 45 examples of theory-driven evaluation in the peer-reviewed literature between 1990 and 2009.
“They found 45 examples of theory-driven evaluation in the peer-reviewed literature between 1990 and 2009.”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
It was difficult to make an assessment of quality of the included papers.
“We did extract data on a checklist of ToC components proposed by Vogel [8] and principles of theory-driven evaluation by Coryn et al. [4], but it was difficult to make an assessment of quality.”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
Coryn et al. report that programme theory was not used in any meaningful way to develop evaluation questions or plan and conduct and interpret the analysis.
“This is similar to the conclusions drawn by Coryn et al. who report that programme theory was not used in any meaningful way to develop evaluation questions or plan and conduct and interpret the analysis [4].”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
Coryn et al. found only three papers describing theory-driven evaluation of health interventions using ToC.
“given that Coryn et al. [4] found only three papers describing theory-driven evaluation of health interventions using ToC.”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
The number of papers found (62) was significantly more than expected given Coryn et al. found only three papers describing theory-driven evaluation of health interventions using ToC.
“This was significantly more than expected, given that Coryn et al. [4] found only three papers describing theory-driven evaluation of health interventions using ToC.”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
Few papers reported on the identification of breakdowns and side effects, effectiveness or efficacy and causal explanation as described by Coryn et al.
“Few papers reported on the identification of breakdowns and side effects, effectiveness or efficacy and causal explanation as described by Coryn et al. [4].”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
Coryn et al. only included papers that reported the use of ToC for evaluation and excluded those that did not provide enough detail.
“However, Coryn et al. only included papers that reported the use of ToC for evaluation (rather than also describing the development of ToC or the use in the design of an intervention) and excluded those that did not provide enough detail [4].”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [4]
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- Authors
- Coryn, C. L. S., Noakes, L. A., Westine, C. D., & Schröter, D. C.
- Affiliations
- Western Michigan University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Coryn, Chris L. S.
- Venue
- American Journal of Evaluation
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2010-11-12
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 199-226
- ISSN
- 1098-2140 (ISSN-L)
- 1557-0878
- OpenAlex
- W2012207800
- Cited by
- 531
- References
- 167
- Citations by year
- 2026: 18 · 2025: 38 · 2024: 36 · 2023: 38 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 42 · 2020: 76 · 2019: 42 · 2018: 43 · 2017: 39 · 2016: 30 · 2015: 34 · 2014: 35 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 19
- FWCI
- 4.76
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Journal of Evaluation (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Evaluation and Performance Assessment
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Social Sciences › Public Administration › Public Policy and Administration Research
- Keywords
- theory-based evaluation, evaluation theory, assessment practices, evaluation methodology, evaluation design
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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