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Outcomes in adults with autism spectrum disorders: a historical perspective
Open accessAbstract
In this review, we examine the ways in which researchers have defined successful adult outcomes for individuals with autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) from the first systematic follow-up reports to the present day. The earliest outcome studies used vague and unreliable outcome criteria, and institutionalization was a common marker of poor outcomes. In the past decade, researchers have begun to standardize the measurement of adult outcomes with specific criteria based on friendships, employment, and living arrangements. Although nearly all of these studies have agreed that the majority of adults with ASD have poor outcomes, evolving concepts of what it means to be an adult could have an impact on outcomes measured. For example, some researchers have suggested that taking into account the person-environment fit could reveal a more optimistic picture of outcomes for these adults. Suggestions for future research are discussed.
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“Meta-analysis have suggested that across the lifespan, subjective QOL tends to be lower among individuals with ASD compared to typically-developing peers 228 , but is often more positive than indicators of objective QOL 223,229 .”
From Autism spectrum disorder (2020) · cites this paper as [229]
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Bouck, E. C., & Joshi, G. S. (2014) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1007/s10803-014-2281-9 · Cited by 22
“Despite a narrow conceptualization of post-school success for students in general as postsecondary education attendance (Balfanz 2009), post-school outcomes for students with disabilities are typically conceptualized along three dimensions: employment, independent living, and postsecondary education (e.g., Hendricks a…”
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McClain, M. B., Harris, B., Haverkamp, C. R., Golson, M. E., & Schwartz, S. (2019) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1007/s10803-019-04321-5 · Cited by 21
Wolpe, S. (2024) · Review Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1007/s40489-024-00448-z · Cited by 20
“…are consistently evidenced in this population, with only 20% of individuals described as having “good/very good” outcomes in these domains as defined by the measure of overall outcome (OO) of individuals on the spectrum (Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Howlin et al., 2000; Steinhausen et al., 2016).”
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“This review will focus primarily on long-term follow-up outcome studies that have been published over the past decade (for reviews of earlier outcome studies see Gillberg 1991; Henninger and Taylor 2012; Howlin 2000; Howlin and Moss 2012; Levy and Perry 2011; Nordin and Gillberg 1998).”
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Bagatell, N., Chan, D. V., Syu, Y.-C., Lamarche, E., & Klinger, L. G. (2022) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2022.876127 · Cited by 20
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A person-centered approach to home and community-based services outcome measurement
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“The person-environment fit describes the complex dynamic between personal needs and societal expectations (Henninger & Taylor, 2013).”
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“The majority of adults with ASD have poor outcomes (Henninger and Taylor 2013) and delayed diagnosis impacts on this.”
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Magiati, I., & Howlin, P. (2019) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108297769.011 · Cited by 17
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“It is worth noting that only a small percentage, ranging from 5% to 15%, of adults with ASD can achieve a relatively normal social life and acceptable levels of academic or occupational functioning (10).”
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Describing Outcomes in Autistic Young Adults One Year After High School Graduation
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Crane, L., Davies, J., Fritz, A., O’Brien, S., Worsley, A., Ashworth, M., & Remington, A. (2021) · British Journal of Special Education · doi:10.1111/1467-8578.12372 · Cited by 9
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“Furthermore, it is well documented that the use of broad categories inaccurately characterizes support needs (Henninger and Taylor 2013; Kapp 2023; Whiteley, Carr, and Shattock 2021; Chapman and Veit 2020; Chapple and Worsley 2021; Rix 2023).”
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Bhattacharya, P., Matthews, R. J., Field, R., Heath, H., Woodcock, K. A., & Surtees, A. D. R. (2025) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1007/s10803-025-06812-0 · Cited by 11
“Independence has predominantly been operationalised from a neurotypical perspective (Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Hume et al., 2014; Hume & Odom, 2007; Wehmeyer, 2000; Zimmer-Gembeck & Collins, 2006).”
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“…IDDs has been suboptimal, with either coarse measurement that has not been scientifically validated or adaptations from childhood measures with limited applicability to adults (Berry-Kravis et al., 2013; Esbensen et al., 2017; Hart et al., 2017; Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Koslowski et al., 2016).”
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“These individuals have long been forgotten in the current context (Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Howlin et al., 2004, 2013).”
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Can archaeology become a positive working environment for adults with autism spectrum disorders?
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“Yet, program development, funding, and research on program effectiveness have largely been focused on children (Henninger & Taylor, 2013).”
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Who Tweets for the autistic community? A natural language processing–driven investigation
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“Whether or not the sample can be deemed adequately representative can be determined by comparing the results of the survey to data from large samples of autistic adults (Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Howlin & Moss, 2012; Magiati et al., 2014).”
Phillips, S. (2024) · Autism · doi:10.1177/13623613241264887 · Cited by 4
“…on Autistic adults, as they have been regularly documented in research to have poor outcomes compared to neurotypical adults, such as less independence, higher rates of mental health difficulties and poor job prospects (e.g. Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Howlin & Magiati, 2017; Lee et al., 2023).”
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“Therefore, more research has recently been devoted to the study of the predictors of ASD outcomes and the actual needs of adolescents and adults with autism [7,8].”
BackgroundSupporting Meaningful Employment for Individuals with Autism
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Koltai, B. G., Pados, E., & Rácz, J. (2024) · Autism · doi:10.1177/13623613241290096 · Cited by 3
“%) co-residing with ageing parents (Anderson et al., 2014; Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Herrema et al., 2017).”
Liu, G., Pearl, A. M., Kong, L., Brown, S. L., Ba, D. M., LESLIE, D. L., & Murray, M. J. (2021) · Research in Autism · doi:10.1016/j.rasd.2021.101800 · Cited by 3
Trajectory research in children on the autism spectrum: a scoping review protocol
Gentles, S. J., Duku, E., Kerns, C. M., McVey, A. J., Hunsche, M. C., Ng‐Cordell, E., Bednar, E. D., Banfield, L. E., Szatmári, P., & Georgiades, S. (2021) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053443 · Cited by 3
Prospective memory and quality of life in older and younger autistic adults
Roestorf, A., Bowler, D., Gaigg, S., & Howlin, P. (2025) · Cortex · doi:10.1016/j.cortex.2025.01.006 · Cited by 3
Transition from Adolescence to Adulthood in Those Without a Comorbid Intellectual Disability
Richard, J., & Duncan, A. W. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-46295-6_12 · Cited by 3
Quality of Life in Emerging Adults with Autism Spectrum Disorder
Carr, S. (2014) · VCU Scholars Compass (Virginia Commonwealth University) · doi:10.25772/wz8r-ab12 · Cited by 3
“Individuals with ASD across the spectrum are reported to experience poor outcomes in 20 the transition from school to adulthood (Hendricks & Wehman, 2010; Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Newman et al., 2011; Shattuck et al., 2012; Shogren & Plotner, 2012; Wehman, 2013).”
BackgroundKahveci, G., & Güneyli, A. (2023) · Behavioral Sciences · doi:10.3390/bs13080674 · Cited by 2
“There is scientific agreement that most autistic children, including 2e students will experience worse educational, health, and life outcomes than their neurotypical counterparts [10].”
BackgroundWard, O. F., Brennan, J., & Tomeny, T. S. (2025) · Research in Autism · doi:10.1016/j.reia.2025.202706 · Cited by 2
Quality-of-life assessment in autistic adults with lower support needs: gaps and emerging challenges
Fernández, M., Wojcik, D. Z., & Díez, E. G. (2026) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2026.1756393 · Cited by 3
Current Status and Future Directions
Williams, L. W., & Matson, J. L. (2016) · Autism and child psychopathology series · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-27171-2_23 · Cited by 2
Calidad de Vida de los jóvenes con Trastorno del Espectro Autista en la transición a la edad adulta
González, A. M., & Escalona, R. C. (2021) · Revista de Psiquiatría Infanto-Juvenil · doi:10.31766/revpsij.v38n3a3 · Cited by 2
Gogineni, R. R., Joshi, P. R., & Rostain, A. L. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/med/9780197521359.003.0023 · Cited by 2
Gunty, K. Y., Weiler, L. M., Keyzers, A., & Hudock, R. L. (2022) · Developmental Disabilities Network Journal · doi:10.59620/2694-1104.1030 · Cited by 2
“Adults with ASD tend to be under-engaged with their communities and often experience low self-efficacy regarding relationships, employment, and independent living (Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Roux et al., 2015).”
Lerner, J. E., Schiltz, H. K., Schisterman, N., Ziegler, S. M. T., & Lord, C. (2025) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1007/s10803-025-06800-4 · Cited by 2
“Through an often-used neurotypical lens, such factors also do not take into account autistic individuals’ or stakeholders’ appraisals of their success (Bishop-Fitzpatrick et al., 2016; Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Merrington et al., 2024; Ruble & Dalrymple, 1996).”
Adult Autism Spectrum Disorder and intimate relationships
Birt, K. (2015) · Cited by 2
Principles for Successful Employment Integration of People with HF-ASD
Syvan, A., & Pearlman-Avnion, S. (2019) · Autism and child psychopathology series · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-28833-4_7 · Cited by 3
Sani-Bozkurt, S. (2021) · Journal of Educational Technology and Online Learning · doi:10.31681/jetol.924084 · Cited by 2
“…to other disability groups, individuals with ASD have more difficulty in finding a job and acquiring a profession due to their social interaction and communication skills and repetitive-obsessive behaviours (Hayward et al., 2019; Hendricks, 2010; Henninger & Taylor, 2013; Taylor & Seltzer, 2011).”
BackgroundJodra, M., & García-Villamisar, D. A. (2021) · Developmental Neuropsychology · doi:10.1080/87565641.2021.1914045 · Cited by 2
Pandémie de la COVID-19 et satisfaction de vie – quel vécu chez les adultes autistes?
Désormeaux-Moreau, M., Hérault, É., Grondin, A., & Couture, M. M. (2021) · Aequitas Revue de développement humain handicap et changement social · doi:10.7202/1078371ar · Cited by 3
Metadata
- Authors
- Henninger, N. A., & Taylor, J. L.
- Affiliations
- Vanderbilt University (US)
- Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital (US)
- ORCID
- Taylor, Julie Lounds
- Venue
- Autism
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2012-08-21
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 103-116
- ISSN
- 1362-3613 (ISSN-L)
- 1461-7005
- PMC
- PMC3769945
- OpenAlex
- W2109872026
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 29 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 31 · 2018: 22 · 2017: 23 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 23 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 10
- FWCI
- 8.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Autism (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Mental Health (K01MH092598)
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (P30HD015052, P30 HD-15052)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Autism Spectrum Disorder Research
- Social Sciences › Education › Disability Education and Employment
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Family and Disability Support Research
- Keywords
- autism spectrum disorder, adult outcomes, outcome measurement, institutionalization, employment, friendship, living arrangements, person-environment fit
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Child, Child Development Disorders, Pervasive, Employment, Humans, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Friends, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, Independent Living
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