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Rejecting or Accepting Parameter Values in Bayesian Estimation
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This article explains a decision rule that uses Bayesian posterior distributions as the basis for accepting or rejecting null values of parameters. This decision rule focuses on the range of plausible values indicated by the highest density interval of the posterior distribution and the relation between this range and a region of practical equivalence (ROPE) around the null value. The article also discusses considerations for setting the limits of a ROPE and emphasizes that analogous considerations apply to setting the decision thresholds for p values and Bayes factors.
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“There is no uniquely correct ROPE; however, by convention, the ROPE range is often set at half the size of Cohen’s definition of small effect size (i.e. 0.2 [306];) resulting in ROPE values of ±0.1 and ±0.05 for standardized mean differences (e.g. Cohen’s d = group 1 mean – group 2 mean/pooled standard deviation) and standardized regression coefficients (i.e. sβ = coefficient from a regression on”
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“In addition, we used, as suggested by Kruschke (2018), a decision rule considering, together with the HDI, a region of practical equivalence (ROPE) around the null value.”
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“13,14 The ROPE intervals for measles, rubella, and mumps antibodies were calculated based on the median of their respective pre-immunization antibody titers: [0, 0.2] × Median, resulting in [0, 1.00], [0, 0.18], and [0, 2.38], respectively.”
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“The reporting of results will provide the mean and median estimates of the associations, along with 95% credible intervals and probabilities for each predictor’s effect, P ( 𝛽 > 0 ) or P ( 𝛽 0 ) , as indicated by Kruschke [36], on the likelihood of pursuing STEM fields.”
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“For each experiment, the HDI + ROPE analysis of the interaction between Cue Type and Congruency was inconclusive according to our pre-registered criteria ( > 89% of the HDI did not fall inside or outside of the ROPE, see Figure 4).”
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“44 ROPE was determined as −0.026 to 0.026, using the following formula 45 : where P corresponds to the prevalence of HDP (0.03) and CR refers to the acceptable rate change (set as 0.05 in this study).”
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“With reference to the established protocols, detailed inter-brain synchronization analysis procedures have been provided in the Supplementary Materials (Pan et al. 2020; Zhao et al. 2022).”
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HTDV: Hypothesis Testing for Dependent Variables with Unbalanced Data
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Exploring variation in sociolinguistic evaluation across human and machine talkers
Keaton, A., & Zellou, G. (2026) · Linguistics Vanguard · doi:10.1515/lingvan-2025-0101
“We use the region of practical equivalence (ROPE) to evaluate whether an e ff ect is statistically meaningful (Kruschke 2018).”
Kim, M. (2026) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-9663651/v1
Differences of Opinions: How Visualizations of Uncertainty in Ratings Data Affect Choice
Motz, B. A., Hullinger, R. A., Celestin, B. D., Butz, H., & Kruschke, J. K. (2026) · Applied Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1002/acp.70213
Self-citationError processing in implicit correction during visually and memory-guided reaching movements
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“The ROPE was de fi ned as the following formula for each parameter (36, 37): where r and r are the variance of the posterior distribution for the visually guided and memory-guided tasks, respectively.”
mWAR: A Bayesian estimator of manager value
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“…online and offline administration, as well as between single-and multiple-item formats, were examined using independent-and paired-samples t tests, supplemented with equivalence testing via the two one-sided tests (TOST; Lakens, 2017) and the region of practical equivalence (ROPE; Kruschke, 2018).”
Phonetic prominence and lexical stress in Munster Irish, 1928 and 2020–21
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“…the same data, the end goals of which require some form of accept/reject decision-making may benefit from more rigorous statistical procedures, such as the establishment of a region of practical equivalence (ROPE) (Kruschke 2018) to define the cut-off point for engagement with a parameter value range.”
Bączkowski, B. M., Sakaki, M., Kalbe, F., Murayama, K., & Schwabe, L. (2026) · Psychonomic Bulletin & Review · doi:10.3758/s13423-026-02924-5
“Evidence for or against effects was quanti-fied using the Region of Practical Equivalence (ROPE) (Etz et al., 2024; Kruschke, 2018; Makowski et al., 2019), with standard ranges applied to the log-odds (odds ratio): [ − 0.18, 0.18] ( ≈ [0.85, 1.20]) and correlations: [-0.1, 0.1] (Cohen, 2013;…”
InfluentialCampoy, G., Linde, M. D., Hidalgo-Erráez, E. A., Tortajada, M., Palmero, L. B., Martínez‐Pérez, V., & Fuentes, L. J. (2026) · Memory & Cognition · doi:10.3758/s13421-026-01881-7 · Cited by 1
“Such priors facilitate model convergence and improve computational efficiency by guiding the sampling algorithm toward a broad range of plausible parameter values, while ensuring that the final estimates are driven by the observed data (Kruschke, 2018).”
Guidance for Growth: Instrumental Leadership and the Path to Recovery Through Energy
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Kong, X., Wang, X., Li, Z., & Li, X. (2026) · Frontiers in Public Health · doi:10.3389/fpubh.2026.1864607
“The region of practical equivalence (ROPE) and highest density interval (HDI) were also computed (30) (Supplementary Files 4, 5).”
Tian, X., Zhang, D., Jiang, Y., Gao, Z., Shen, H., & Gao, B. (2026) · Cancer Treatment and Research Communications · doi:10.1016/j.ctarc.2026.101285
Metadata
- Authors
- Kruschke, J. K.
- Affiliations
- Indiana University Bloomington (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kruschke, John K.
- ORCID
- Kruschke, John K.
- Venue
- Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2018-05-08
- Volume
- 1
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 270-280
- ISSN
- 2515-2459 (ISSN-L)
- 2515-2467
- OpenAlex
- W2801776818
- Cited by
- 734
- References
- 51
- Citations by year
- 2026: 99 · 2025: 128 · 2024: 128 · 2023: 98 · 2022: 85 · 2021: 93 · 2020: 67 · 2019: 25 · 2018: 10
- FWCI
- 41.08
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science (publishedVersion)
- IUScholarWorks Open (Indiana University) (submittedVersion)
- OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Food and Drug Administration
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Keywords
- Bayesian hypothesis testing, null hypothesis rejection, highest density interval, region of practical equivalence, posterior distribution, decision threshold, p-values, Bayes factor, parameter values
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