Cited by 1,081Climate Change and Health ImpactsStatistical Methods in EpidemiologyAir Quality and Health Impacts

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 27 of the 27 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Reducing and meta-analysing estimates from distributed lag non-linear models

Open access

Gasparrini, Antonio, Armstrong, Ben·2013·BMC Medical Research Methodology

DOI 10.1186/1471-2288-13-1PMC PMC3599933

Open this paper in CoChat — free account Open PDF

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The two-stage time series design represents a powerful analytical tool in environmental epidemiology. Recently, models for both stages have been extended with the development of distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs), a methodology for investigating simultaneously non-linear and lagged relationships, and multivariate meta-analysis, a methodology to pool estimates of multi-parameter associations. However, the application of both methods in two-stage analyses is prevented by the high-dimensional definition of DLNMs. METHODS: In this contribution we propose a method to synthesize DLNMs to simpler summaries, expressed by a reduced set of parameters of one-dimensional functions, which are compatible with current multivariate meta-analytical techniques. The methodology and modelling framework are implemented in R through the packages dlnm and mvmeta. RESULTS: As an illustrative application, the method is adopted for the two-stage time series analysis of temperature-mortality associations using data from 10 regions in England and Wales. R code and data are available as supplementary online material. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: The methodology proposed here extends the use of DLNMs in two-stage analyses, obtaining meta-analytical estimates of easily interpretable summaries from complex non-linear and delayed associations. The approach relaxes the assumptions and avoids simplifications required by simpler modelling approaches.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1186/1471-2288-13-1

Cites

27 of 27 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Figure 1 Temperature-mortality association in the North-East region of England, 1993–2006.Top-left: 3-D graph (with black reference line at 17°C). Top-right: predictor-specific summary at 22°C (red line parallel to the reference in the 3-D graph). Bottom-left: lag-specific summary at lag 4 (red line perpendicular to the reference in the 3-D graph). Bottom-right: overall cumulative summary. The 95%CI are reported as grey areas.CC BY · PubMed Central

Figure 2 Pooled overall cumulative temperature-mortality association in 10 regions of England and Wales, 1993–2006.Left panel: first-stage region-specific and pooled (95%CI as grey area) summaries from the main model. Right panel: comparison of alternative models.CC BY · PubMed Central

Figure 3 Pooled predictor-specific temperature-mortality association in 10 regions of England and Wales, 1993–2006. First-stage region-specific and pooled (95%CI as grey area) summaries at 22°C (left panel) and 0°C (right panel). Reference at 17°C.CC BY · PubMed Central

Figure 4 Pooled temperature-mortality association by latitude in 10 regions of England and Wales, 1993–2006. Predictions for the 25th (dot-dashed line) and 75th (dashed line) percentiles of latitude from meta-regression for overall cumulative summary (top panel), and predictor-specific summaries at 22°C (bottom-left panel) and 0°C (bottom-right panel). Reference at 17°C. The 95%CI are reported as shaded areas.CC BY · PubMed Central

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data
Verbeke, G. (1997) · Lecture Notes in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-2294-1_3 · Cited by 3,506
Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data
Molenberghs, G., & Verbeke, G. N. (2000) · Springer series in statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-0300-6 · Cited by 2,681
Maximum Likelihood Approaches to Variance Component Estimation and to Related Problems
Harville, D. A. (1977) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1977.10480998 · Cited by 2,667
Distributed lag non‐linear models
Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., & Kenward, M. G. (2010) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.3940 · Cited by 2,481
Self-citation
Distributed Lag Linear and Non-Linear Models in R : The Package dlnm
Gasparrini, A. (2011) · Journal of Statistical Software · doi:10.18637/jss.v043.i08 · Cited by 1,714
Self-citation
Advanced methods in meta‐analysis: multivariate approach and meta‐regression
van Houwelingen, H. C., Arends, L. R., & Stijnen, T. (2002) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.1040 · Cited by 1,599
Weather-Related Mortality
Anderson, B. G., & Bell, M. L. (2009) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/ede.0b013e318190ee08 · Cited by 1,233
Heat Effects on Mortality in 15 European Cities
Baccini, M., Biggeri, A., Accetta, G., Kosatsky, T., Katsouyanni, K., Analitis, A., Anderson, H. R., Bisanti, L., D’Ippoliti, D., Dáňová, J., et al. (2008) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/ede.0b013e318176bfcd · Cited by 887
Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations
Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., & Kenward, M. G. (2012) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.5471 · Cited by 772
Self-citation
Effects of Cold Weather on Mortality: Results From 15 European Cities Within the PHEWE Project
Analitis, A., Katsouyanni, K., Biggeri, A., Baccini, M., Forsberg, B., Bisanti, L., Kirchmayer, U., Ballester, F., Cadum, E., Goodman, P., et al. (2008) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwn266 · Cited by 666

Show all 27 references

Sorted by citations

Items 101–200 of 1,000

Vulnerability to the mortality effects of warm temperature in the districts of England and Wales
Bennett, J. E., Blangiardo, M., Fecht, D., Elliott, P., & Ezzati, M. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2123 · Cited by 86
Socioeconomic level and associations between heat exposure and all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization in 1,814 Brazilian cities: A nationwide case-crossover study
Xu, R., Zhao, Q., Coelho, M. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Abramson, M. J., Li, S., & Guo, Y. (2020) · PLOS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1003369 · Cited by 83
Global, regional, and national mortality burden attributable to air pollution from landscape fires: a health impact assessment study
Xu, R., Ye, T., Huang, W., Yue, X., Morawska, L., Abramson, M. J., Chen, G., Yu, P., Liu, Y., Yang, Z., et al. (2024) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(24)02251-7 · Cited by 97
Self-citation
The association of energy poverty with health, health care utilisation and medication use in southern Europe
Oliveras, L., Artazcoz, L., Borrell, C., Palència, L., López, M. J., Gotsens, M., Peralta, A., & Marí-Dell’Olmo, M. (2020) · SSM - Population Health · doi:10.1016/j.ssmph.2020.100665 · Cited by 83
Extreme heat and acute air pollution episodes: A need for joint public health warnings?
Pascal, M., Wagner, V., Alari, A., Corso, M., & Tertre, A. L. (2021) · Atmospheric Environment · doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118249 · Cited by 83
Genomics literacy matters: Supporting the development of genomics literacy through genetics education could reduce the prevalence of genetic essentialism
Donovan, B., Weindling, M., Salazar, B., Duncan, A., Stuhlsatz, M. A. M., & Keck, P. (2020) · Journal of Research in Science Teaching · doi:10.1002/tea.21670 · Cited by 89
Climatic and meteorological exposure and mental and behavioral health: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Li, D., Zhang, Y., Li, X., Zhang, K., Lü, Y., & Brown, R. D. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164435 · Cited by 88
A Randomised Controlled Trial of a Play-Based Intervention to Improve the Social Play Skills of Children with Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)
Wilkes‐Gillan, S., Bundy, A. C., Cordier, R., Lincoln, M., & Chen, Y.-W. R. (2016) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0160558 · Cited by 95
Nonlinear relationship between extreme temperature and mortality in different temperature zones: A systematic study of 122 communities across the mainland of China
Wang, C., Zhang, Z., Zhou, M., Zhang, L., Yin, P., Ye, W., & Chen, Y. (2017) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.01.218 · Cited by 80
Association of diurnal temperature range with daily mortality in England and Wales: A nationwide time-series study
Zhang, Y., Peng, M., Wang, L., & Yu, C. (2017) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.11.056 · Cited by 81
Barriers, enablers and challenges to initiating end-of-life care in an Australian intensive care unit context
Brooks, L. A., Manias, E., & Nicholson, P. (2017) · Australian Critical Care · doi:10.1016/j.aucc.2016.08.001 · Cited by 79
Hospitalizations from Hypertensive Diseases, Diabetes, and Arrhythmia in Relation to Low and High Temperatures: Population-Based Study
Bai, L., Li, Q., Wang, J., Lavigne, É., Gasparrini, A., Copes, R., Yagouti, A., Burnett, R. T., Goldberg, M. S., Villeneuve, P. J., et al. (2016) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep30283 · Cited by 79
Self-citation
Charting the landscape of graphical displays for meta-analysis and systematic reviews: a comprehensive review, taxonomy, and feature analysis
Kossmeier, M., Tran, U. S., & Voracek, M. (2020) · BMC Medical Research Methodology · doi:10.1186/s12874-020-0911-9 · Cited by 83
Patients receiving anti-TNF therapies experience clinically important improvements in RA-related fatigue: results from the British Society for Rheumatology Biologics Register for Rheumatoid Arthritis
Druce, K. L., Jones, G. T., Macfarlane, G. J., & Basu, N. (2014) · Lara D. Veeken · doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keu390 · Cited by 78
Nonlinear exposure-response associations of daytime, nighttime, and day-night compound heatwaves with mortality amid climate change
Liu, J., Kim, H., Hashizume, M., Lee, W., Honda, Y., Kim, S. E., He, C., Kan, H., & Chen, R. (2025) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-025-56067-7 · Cited by 94
Fine Particulate Air Pollution and Adverse Birth Outcomes: Effect Modification by Regional Nonvolatile Oxidative Potential
Lavigne, É., Burnett, R. T., Stieb, D. M., Evans, G. J., Pollitt, K. J. G., Chen, H., van Rijswijk, D., & Weichenthal, S. (2018) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp2535 · Cited by 77
Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) Use in Surgical Care: A Scoping Study
Jones, S. R., & Stukenborg, G. J. (2017) · Journal of the American College of Surgeons · doi:10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2016.11.015 · Cited by 76
An Investigation on Attributes of Ambient Temperature and Diurnal Temperature Range on Mortality in Five East-Asian Countries
Lee, W., Lim, Y., Đăng, T. N., Seposo, X., Honda, Y., Guo, Y. L., Jang, H.-M., & Kim, H. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-017-10433-8 · Cited by 76
Featured Article: Gender Bias in Pediatric Pain Assessment
Earp, B. D., Monrad, J. T., LaFrance, M., Bargh, J. A., Cohen, L. L., & Richeson, J. A. (2018) · Journal of Pediatric Psychology · doi:10.1093/jpepsy/jsy104 · Cited by 74
Little Gang Research, Big Gang Research
Pyrooz, D. C., & Mitchell, M. M. (2015) · doi:10.1002/9781118726822.ch3 · Cited by 74
Family close but friends closer: exploring social support and resilience in older spousal dementia carers
Donnellan, W. J., Bennett, K. M., & Soulsby, L. K. (2016) · Aging & Mental Health · doi:10.1080/13607863.2016.1209734 · Cited by 73
Effects of Extreme Temperatures on Mortality and Hospitalization in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Đăng, T. N., Honda, Y., Dung, D. V., Pham, A. L. T., Chu, C. M.-Y., Huang, C., & Phung, D. T. (2019) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph16030432 · Cited by 77
Applying SDGs as a systematic approach for incorporating sustainability in higher education
Rajabifard, A., Kahalimoghadam, M., Lumantarna, E., Herath, N., Hui, F. K. P., & Assarkhaniki, Z. (2021) · International Journal of Sustainability in Higher Education · doi:10.1108/ijshe-10-2020-0418 · Cited by 72
Socio-geographic disparity in cardiorespiratory mortality burden attributable to ambient temperature in the United States
Zhang, Y., Xiang, Q., Yu, Y., Zhan, Z., Hu, K., & Ding, Z. (2018) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-018-3653-z · Cited by 72
Spatiotemporal patterns and climatic drivers of severe dengue in Thailand
Xu, Z., Bambrick, H., Yakob, L., Devine, G. J., Lu, J., Frentiu, F. D., Yang, W., Williams, G. M., & Hu, W. (2018) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.395 · Cited by 71
Mortality Risk of Hot Nights: A Nationwide Population-Based Retrospective Study in Japan
Kim, S. E., Hashizume, M., Armstrong, B., Gasparrini, A., Oka, K., Hijioka, Y., Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., & Honda, Y. (2023) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp11444 · Cited by 71
Self-citation
Marijuana Use as a Sex-Drug is Associated with HIV Risk Among Black MSM and Their Network
The UConnect Study Team, Morgan, E., Skaathun, B., Michaels, S., Young, L. E., Khanna, A. S., Friedman, S. R., Davis, B., PITRAK, D. L., & Schneider, J. A. (2015) · AIDS and Behavior · doi:10.1007/s10461-015-1195-7 · Cited by 71
Influencing factors of PM2.5 and O3 from 2016 to 2020 based on DLNM and WRF-CMAQ
Duan, W., Wang, X., Cheng, S., Wang, R., & Zhu, J. (2021) · Environmental Pollution · doi:10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117512 · Cited by 70
User-relevant factors determining prosthesis choice in persons with major unilateral upper limb defects: A meta-synthesis of qualitative literature and focus group results
Kerver, N., van Twillert, S., Maas, B., & van der Sluis, C. K. (2020) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0234342 · Cited by 69
A non-equivalent group pilot trial of a school-based physical activity and fitness intervention for 10–11 year old english children: born to move
Fairclough, S. J., McGrane, B., Sanders, G., Taylor, S. L., Owen, M. B., & Curry, W. B. (2016) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-016-3550-7 · Cited by 71
Heat-related morbidity and mortality in New England: Evidence for local policy
Wellenius, G. A., Eliot, M., Bush, K. F., Holt, D., Lincoln, R. A., Smith, A. E., & Gold, J. (2017) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2017.02.005 · Cited by 69
Comparison of temperature–mortality associations using observed weather station and reanalysis data in 52 Spanish cities
Royé, D., Íñiguez, C., & Tobı́as, A. (2020) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2020.109237 · Cited by 68
Patients’ perspective of disease and medication adherence for type 2 diabetes in an urban area in Bangladesh: a qualitative study
Islam, S. M. S., Biswas, T., Bhuiyan, F. A., Mustafa, K., & Islam, A. (2017) · BMC Research Notes · doi:10.1186/s13104-017-2454-7 · Cited by 79
Malaria incidence trends and their association with climatic variables in rural Gwanda, Zimbabwe, 2005–2015
Gunda, R., Chimbari, M. J., Shamu, S., Sartorius, B., & Mukaratirwa, S. (2017) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/s12936-017-2036-0 · Cited by 68
An exploration of the Business Plan Competition as a methodology for effective nascent entrepreneurial learning
Watson, K., McGowan, P., & Cunningham, J. A. (2017) · International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behaviour & Research · doi:10.1108/ijebr-05-2017-0158 · Cited by 67
Psychological consequences of pelvic floor trauma following vaginal birth: a qualitative study from two Australian tertiary maternity units
Skinner, E. M., Barnett, B. E. W., & Dietz, H. P. (2017) · Archives of Women s Mental Health · doi:10.1007/s00737-017-0802-1 · Cited by 67
Knowledge spillover in entrepreneurial emergence: A learning perspective
Lattacher, W., Gregori, P., Holzmann, P., & Schwarz, E. J. (2021) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120660 · Cited by 69
The spatial heterogeneity of the associations between relative humidity and pediatric hand, foot and mouth disease: Evidence from a nation-wide multicity study from mainland China
Bo, Z., Ma, Y., Chang, Z., Zhang, T., Liu, F., Zhao, X., Long, L., Yi, X., Xiao, X., & Li, Z. (2019) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.136103 · Cited by 66
Factors Associated With Workplace Bullying and the Mental Health of Construction Industry Apprentices: A Mixed Methods Study
Ross, V. L., Mathieu, S. L., Wardhani, R., Gullestrup, J., & Kõlves, K. (2021) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2021.629262 · Cited by 65
Population Attributable and Preventable Fractions: Cancer Risk Factor Surveillance, and Cancer Policy Projection
Shield, K. D., Parkin, D. M., Whiteman, D. C., Rehm, J. T., Viallon, V., Micallef, C. M., Vineis, P., Rushton, L., Bray, F., & Soerjomataram, I. (2016) · Current Epidemiology Reports · doi:10.1007/s40471-016-0085-5 · Cited by 65
“We’re Continually Comparing Ourselves to Something”: Navigating Body Image, Media, and Social Media Ideals at the Nexus of Appearance, Health, and Wellness
Monks, H., Costello, L. N., Dare, J., & Boyd, E. R. (2020) · Sex Roles · doi:10.1007/s11199-020-01162-w · Cited by 67
Socioeconomic inequality in vulnerability to all-cause and cause-specific hospitalisation associated with temperature variability: a time-series study in 1814 Brazilian cities
Xu, R., Zhao, Q., Coelho, M. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Abramson, M. J., Li, S., & Guo, Y. (2020) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30251-5 · Cited by 64
A pilot randomized controlled trial comparing effectiveness of prism glasses, visual search training and standard care in hemianopia
Rowe, F. J., Conroy, E. J., Bedson, E., Cwiklinski, E., Drummond, A. E., García‐Fiñana, M., Howard, C., Pollock, A., Shipman, T. L., Dodridge, C. S., et al. (2016) · Acta Neurologica Scandinavica · doi:10.1111/ane.12725 · Cited by 64
Integrating health care in Australia: a qualitative evaluation
Trankle, S. A., Usherwood, T. P., Abbott, P., Roberts, M. M., Crampton, M., Girgis, C. M., Riskallah, J., Chang, Y., Saini, J., & Reath, J. (2019) · BMC Health Services Research · doi:10.1186/s12913-019-4780-z · Cited by 65
Understanding transitional care programs for older adults who experience delayed discharge: a scoping review
McGilton, K. S., Vellani, S., Krassikova, A., Robertson, S., Irwin, C., Cumal, A., Bethell, J., Burr, E., Keatings, M., McKay, S. M., et al. (2021) · BMC Geriatrics · doi:10.1186/s12877-021-02099-9 · Cited by 62
Practical, epistemic and normative implications of algorithmic bias in healthcare artificial intelligence: a qualitative study of multidisciplinary expert perspectives
Aquino, Y. S. J., Carter, S. M., Houssami, N., Braunack-Mayer, A., Win, K. T., Degeling, C., Wang, L., & Rogers, W. A. (2025) · Journal of Medical Ethics · doi:10.1136/jme-2022-108850 · Cited by 62
Culturally Safe Health Initiatives for Indigenous Peoples in Canada: A Scoping Review
Brooks-Cleator, L. A., Phillipps, B., & Giles, A. R. (2018) · Canadian Journal of Nursing Research · doi:10.1177/0844562118770334 · Cited by 62
Optimal heat stress metric for modelling heat‐related mortality varies from country to country
Lo, Y. T. E., Mitchell, D., Buzan, J., Jakob Zscheischler, A., Schneider, R., Mistry, M., Kyselý, J., Lavigne, É., Silva, S. P., Royé, D., et al. (2023) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.8160 · Cited by 65
Self-citation
Geographic, Demographic, and Temporal Variations in the Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization in Brazil: A Nationwide Study between 2000 and 2015
Zhao, Q., Li, S.-S., Coêlho, M. D. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P., Hu, K., Arblaster, J., Nicholls, N., Huxley, R., Abramson, M., & Guo, Y.-M. (2019) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp3889 · Cited by 51
Association between Ambient Temperature and Cause-Specific Cardiovascular Disease Admissions in Japan: A Nationwide StudyPreprint
Pan, R., Okada, A., Yamana, H., Yasunaga, H., Kumazawa, R., Matsui, H., Fushimi, K., Honda, Y., & Kim, Y. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4310964 · Cited by 62
“We’ve got through hard times before” : acute mental distress and coping among disadvantaged groups during COVID-19 lockdown in North India - a qualitative study
Mathias, K. R., Rawat, M., Philip, S., & Grills, N. (2020) · International Journal for Equity in Health · doi:10.1186/s12939-020-01345-7 · Cited by 63
Acceptability of financial incentives and penalties for encouraging uptake of healthy behaviours: focus groups
Giles, E. L., Sniehotta, F. F., McColl, E., & Adams, J. M. (2015) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-015-1409-y · Cited by 62
Self-management, self-management support needs and interventions in advanced cancer: a scoping review
Budhwani, S., Wodchis, W. P., Zimmermann, C., Moineddin, R., & Howell, D. (2018) · BMJ Supportive & Palliative Care · doi:10.1136/bmjspcare-2018-001529 · Cited by 64
The modifying effects of heat and cold wave characteristics on cardiovascular mortality in 31 major Chinese cities
Chen, J., Zhou, M., Yang, J., Yin, P., Wang, B., Ou, C., & Liu, Q. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abaea0 · Cited by 61
Interventions to improve antimicrobial prescribing of doctors in training (IMPACT): a realist review
Papoutsi, C., Mattick, K. L., Pearson, M., Brennan, N., Briscoe, S., & Wong, G. (2018) · Health Services and Delivery Research · doi:10.3310/hsdr06100 · Cited by 62
The challenges with managing polycystic ovary syndrome: A qualitative study of women’s and clinicians’ experiences
Copp, T., Muscat, D. M., Hersch, J., McCaffery, K. J., Doust, J., Dokras, A., Mol, B. W., & Jansen, J. (2022) · Patient Education and Counseling · doi:10.1016/j.pec.2021.05.038 · Cited by 59
‘It’s like a personal motivator that you carried around wi’ you’: utilising self-determination theory to understand men’s experiences of using pedometers to increase physical activity in a weight management programme
Donnachie, C., Wyke, S., Mutrie, N., & Hunt, K. (2017) · International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity · doi:10.1186/s12966-017-0505-z · Cited by 69
Impact of temperature on mortality in Hubei, China: a multi-county time series analysis
Zhang, Y., Yu, C., Bao, J., & Li, X. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep45093 · Cited by 59
A matching framework to improve causal inference in interrupted time‐series analysis
Linden, A. (2018) · Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice · doi:10.1111/jep.12874 · Cited by 62
Do adolescents understand the items of the European Health Literacy Survey Questionnaire (HLS-EU-Q47) – German version? Findings from cognitive interviews of the project “Measurement of Health Literacy Among Adolescents” (MOHLAA) in Germany
Domańska, O. M., Firnges, C., Bollweg, T. M., Sørensen, K., Holmberg, C., & Jordan, S. (2018) · Archives of Public Health · doi:10.1186/s13690-018-0276-2 · Cited by 58
Ethical issues in using the internet to engage participants in family and child research: A scoping review
Hokke, S., Hackworth, N. J., Quin, N., Bennetts, S. K., Win, H. Y., Nicholson, J. M., Zion, L., Lucke, J. C., Keyzer, P., & Crawford, S. B. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0204572 · Cited by 58
The association between ozone and fine particles and mental health-related emergency department visits in California, 2005–2013
Nguyen, A.-M. N., Malig, B. J., & Basu, R. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0249675 · Cited by 61
The effect of a smartphone-based coronary heart disease prevention (SBCHDP) programme on awareness and knowledge of CHD, stress, and cardiac-related lifestyle behaviours among the working population in Singapore: a pilot randomised controlled trial
Zhang, H., Jiang, Y., Nguyen, H. D., Poo, D. C. C., & Wang, W. (2017) · Health and Quality of Life Outcomes · doi:10.1186/s12955-017-0623-y · Cited by 60
A systematic review on lagged associations in climate–health studies
Pin, W., Zhang, X., Hashizume, M., Goggins, W. B., & Luo, C. (2020) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyaa286 · Cited by 58
Effect modifications of green space and blue space on heat–mortality association in Hong Kong, 2008–2017
Song, J., Lü, Y., Zhao, Q., Zhang, Y., Yang, X., Chen, Q., Guo, Y., & Hu, K. (2022) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156127 · Cited by 54
What farmers want from mental health and wellbeing-focused websites and online interventions
Gunn, K. M., Barrett, A., Hughes-Barton, D., Turnbull, D., Short, C. E., Brumby, S., Skaczkowski, G., & Dollman, J. (2021) · Journal of Rural Studies · doi:10.1016/j.jrurstud.2021.06.016 · Cited by 56
Association between ambient temperature and intentional injuries: A case-crossover analysis using ambulance transport records in Japan
Kubo, R., Ueda, K., Seposo, X., Honda, A., & Takano, H. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145511 · Cited by 56
Valuing child and adolescent health: a qualitative study on different perspectives and priorities taken by the adult general public
Powell, P. A., Rowen, D., Rivero‐Arias, O., Tsuchiya, A., & Brazier, J. E. (2021) · Health and Quality of Life Outcomes · doi:10.1186/s12955-021-01858-x · Cited by 59
Temperature-related mortality in China from specific injury
Hu, J., He, G., Meng, R., Gong, W., Ren, Z., Shi, H., Lin, Z., Liu, T., Zeng, F., Yin, P., et al. (2023) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35462-4 · Cited by 57
Variation in vulnerability to extreme-temperature-related mortality in Japan: A 40-year time-series analysis
Onozuka, D., & Hagihara, A. (2015) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2015.03.031 · Cited by 54
A singing choir: Understanding the dynamics of hope, hopelessness, and despair in palliative care patients. A longitudinal qualitative study
Olsman, E., Leget, C. J. W., Duggleby, W., & Willems, D. L. (2015) · Palliative & Supportive Care · doi:10.1017/s147895151500019x · Cited by 54
The temporal lagged association between meteorological factors and malaria in 30 counties in south-west China: a multilevel distributed lag non-linear analysis
Zhao, X., Chen, F., Feng, Z., Li, X., & Zhou, X. (2014) · Malaria Journal · doi:10.1186/1475-2875-13-57 · Cited by 55
A Spatial Hierarchical Analysis of the Temporal Influences of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Weather on Dengue in Kalutara District, Sri Lanka
Liyanage, P., Tissera, H. A., Sewe, M. O., Quam, M. B., Amarasinghe, A., Palihawadana, P., Wilder‐Smith, A., Louis, V. R., Tozan, Y., & Rocklöv, J. (2016) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph13111087 · Cited by 53
Complex influences of mechanistic knowledge, worldview, and quantitative reasoning on climate change discourse: Evidence for ideologically motivated reasoning among youth
Zummo, L., Donovan, B., & Busch, K. C. (2021) · Journal of Research in Science Teaching · doi:10.1002/tea.21648 · Cited by 52
Effect of exposure to adverse climatic conditions on production in Manchega dairy sheep
Ramón, M., Díaz, C., Pérez-Guzmán, M. D., & Carabaño, M. J. (2016) · Journal of Dairy Science · doi:10.3168/jds.2016-10909 · Cited by 52
Association Between High Environmental Heat and Risk of Acute Kidney Injury Among Older Adults in a Northern Climate: A Matched Case-Control Study
McTavish, R. K., Richard, L., McArthur, E., Shariff, S. Z., Acedillo, R. R., Parikh, C. R., Wald, R., Wilk, P., & Garg, A. X. (2017) · American Journal of Kidney Diseases · doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2017.07.011 · Cited by 57
Vasopressors for hypotensive shock
Gamper, G., Havel, C., Arrich, J., Losert, H., Pace, N. L., Müllner, M., & Herkner, H. (2016) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd003709.pub4 · Cited by 239
Climate change, health and safety of workers in developing economies: A scoping review
Ansah, E. W., Ankomah-Appiah, E., Amoadu, M., & Sarfo, J. O. (2021) · The Journal of Climate Change and Health · doi:10.1016/j.joclim.2021.100034 · Cited by 62
What is known about community pharmacy supply of naloxone? A scoping review
Nielsen, S., & Hout, M. C. V. (2016) · International Journal of Drug Policy · doi:10.1016/j.drugpo.2016.02.006 · Cited by 51
Meteorological factors, governmental responses and COVID-19: Evidence from four European countries
Fu, S., Wang, B., Zhou, J., Xu, X., Liu, J., Ma, Y., Li, L., He, X., Li, S., Niu, J., et al. (2020) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2020.110596 · Cited by 50
HPV vaccine awareness, knowledge and information sources among youth in Switzerland: a mixed methods study
Schwendener, C. L., Kiener, L. M., Jafflin, K. G., Rouached, S., Juillerat, A., Meier, V., Maurer, S. S., Muggli, F., Gültekin, N., Baumann, A., et al. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054419 · Cited by 50
Independent external validation of the QRISK3 cardiovascular disease risk prediction model using UK Biobank
Parsons, R. E., Liu, X., Collister, J. A., Clifton, D. A., Cairns, B. J., & Clifton, L. (2023) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2022-321231 · Cited by 56
Researching the Emergence of 3D Printing, Makerspaces, Hackerspaces and FabLabs in the Global South: A Scoping Review and Research Agenda on Digital Innovation and Fabrication Networks
Seo-Zindy, R., & Heeks, R. (2017) · The Electronic Journal of Information Systems in Developing Countries · doi:10.1002/j.1681-4835.2017.tb00589.x · Cited by 51
Association between fine ambient particulate matter and daily total mortality: An analysis from 160 communities of China
Li, G., Xue, M., Zeng, Q., Cai, Y., Pan, X., & Meng, Q. (2017) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.04.010 · Cited by 50
Temporal and seasonal variations of mortality burden associated with hourly temperature variability: A nationwide investigation in England and Wales
Zhang, Y., Yu, Y., Peng, M., Meng, R., Hu, K., & Yu, C. (2018) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2018.03.036 · Cited by 50
Association between diurnal temperature range and mortality modified by temperature in Japan, 1972–2015: Investigation of spatial and temporal patterns for 12 cause-specific deaths
Lee, W., Kim, Y., Honda, Y., & Kim, H. (2018) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2018.06.020 · Cited by 50
Modification of temperature-related human mortality by area-level socioeconomic and demographic characteristics in Latin American cities
Bakhtsiyarava, M., Schinasi, L. H., Sánchez, B. N., Dronova, I., Kephart, J. L., Ju, Y., Gouveia, N., Caiaffa, W. T., O’Neill, M. S., Yamada, G., et al. (2022) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2022.115526 · Cited by 50
Pollen concentration and asthma exacerbations in Wake County, North Carolina, 2006–2012
Sun, X., Waller, A., Yeatts, K., & Thie, L. (2015) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.11.100 · Cited by 49
Modeling the Present and Future Incidence of Pediatric Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Associated with Ambient Temperature in Mainland China
Zhao, Q., Li, S., Cao, W., Liu, D.-L., Qian, Q., Ren, H., Ding, F., Williams, G. M., Huxley, R., Zhang, W., et al. (2018) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp3062 · Cited by 49
A review protocol on research partnerships: a Coordinated Multicenter Team approach
Hoekstra, F., Mrklas, K., Sibley, K. M., Nguyen, T., Vis‐Dunbar, M., Neilson, C. J., Crockett, L. K., Gainforth, H. L., & Graham, I. D. (2018) · Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1186/s13643-018-0879-2 · Cited by 51
Extreme temperature and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Japan: A nationwide, retrospective, observational study
Onozuka, D., & Hagihara, A. (2016) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.10.045 · Cited by 48
Nonproportional Hazards in Network Meta-Analysis: Efficient Strategies for Model Building and Analysis
Wiksten, A. S., Hawkins, N., Piepho, H., & Gsteiger, S. (2020) · Value in Health · doi:10.1016/j.jval.2020.03.010 · Cited by 50
Life loss of cardiovascular diseases per death attributable to ambient temperature: A national time series analysis based on 364 locations in China
Hu, J., Hou, Z., Xu, Y., Zhou, M., Zhou, C., Xiao, Y., Yu, M., Huang, B., Xu, X., Lin, L., et al. (2020) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142614 · Cited by 48
Academic incentives for enhancing faculty engagement with decision-makers—considerations and recommendations from one School of Public Health
Jessani, N., Valmeekanathan, A., Babcock, C., & Ling, B. (2020) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-020-00629-1 · Cited by 64
Parents’ vaccination information seeking, satisfaction with and trust in medical providers in Switzerland: a mixed-methods study
Ebi, S. J., Deml, M. J., Jafflin, K. G., Buhl, A., Engel, R., Picker, J., Häusler, J., Wingeier, B., Krüerke, D., Huber, B. M., et al. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053267 · Cited by 48
Changes in the associations between heatwaves and human mortality during two extreme hot summers in Shanghai, China
Bi, X., Wu, C., Wang, Y., Li, J., Wang, C., Hahs, A. K., Mavoa, S., Song, C., Konrad, C. E., & Emch, M. (2023) · Sustainable Cities and Society · doi:10.1016/j.scs.2023.104581 · Cited by 50
Consequences of ignoring clustering in linear regression
Ntani, G., Inskip, H. M., Osmond, C., & Coggon, D. (2021) · BMC Medical Research Methodology · doi:10.1186/s12874-021-01333-7 · Cited by 47
Use of high-fidelity simulation to improve communication skills regarding death and dying: a qualitative study
Hawkins, A., & Tredgett, K. M. (2016) · BMJ Supportive & Palliative Care · doi:10.1136/bmjspcare-2015-001081 · Cited by 46
Subjective right ventricle assessment by echo qualified intensive care specialists: assessing agreement with objective measures
Orde, S. R., Slama, M., Yastrebov, K., McLean, A. S., & Huang, S. (2019) · Critical Care · doi:10.1186/s13054-019-2375-z · Cited by 46
Nonlinear temperature-suicide association in Japan from 1972 to 2015: Its heterogeneity and the role of climate, demographic, and socioeconomic factors
Sim, K., Kim, Y., Hashizume, M., Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., Sera, F., Ng, C. F. S., Honda, Y., & Chung, Y. (2020) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2020.105829 · Cited by 46
Self-citation

Authors: Gasparrini, A., & Armstrong, B.
Affiliations: London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
Corresponding author: Gasparrini, Antonio
ORCID: Gasparrini, Antonio
Armstrong, Ben
Venue: BMC Medical Research Methodology
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 2013-01-09
Volume: 13
Issue: 1
Pages: 1-1
ISSN: 1471-2288 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2288-13-1
PMC: PMC3599933
OpenAlex: W2074344667
Cited by: 1,081
References: 27
Citations by year: 2026: 54 · 2025: 115 · 2024: 120 · 2023: 66 · 2022: 83 · 2021: 189 · 2020: 88 · 2019: 63 · 2018: 84 · 2017: 104 · 2016: 68 · 2015: 29 · 2014: 17 · 2013: 1
FWCI: 28.13
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: gold
doi.org
Licence: cc-by
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0 (tdm)
Locations: BMC Medical Research Methodology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
Funders: Medical Research Council (G1002296)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
Keywords: distributed lag non-linear model, multivariate meta-analysis, parameter reduction, temperature-mortality relationship, heat-related mortality, environmental epidemiology
MeSH terms: Air Pollutants, Air Pollution, Algorithms, Data Interpretation, Statistical, England, Environmental Exposure, Environmental Monitoring, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Temperature, Wales, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Multivariate Analysis, Nonlinear Dynamics, Epidemiological Monitoring

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

Reducing and meta-analysing estimates from distributed lag non-linear models

Abstract

Overview

Integrity signals

Figures

Verification

Claims the paper makes

Claims other papers make about this one

Self-check

Citations

Cites

Cited by

Related

Metadata

Record

About these checks